Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN)Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Irvine, United States | NasdaqGS
17.50 USD
+0.19
(1.098%)
⇧
(July 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 17.49 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (July 14, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:26 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year decline. The business has suffered three consecutive years of negative annual returns, dropping nearly 56% over the last three years, which signals deep structural deterioration in market confidence regarding the company's ability to execute. While the company recently beat revenue expectations, this operational win was completely overshadowed by a massive capital raise involving the sale of 75 million shares, which diluted existing owners and sent the stock sliding. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt significantly outweighing cash reserves and operating cash flows remaining deeply negative. For the short term, the outlook is murky; while there is some speculative buying at higher price levels, the heavy put volume suggests traders are bracing for further downside or a prolonged grind. The recent equity offering has likely capped any immediate upside, making this a high-risk situation where the market is pricing in significant challenges ahead. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.078142 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.078970 |
| AutoETS | 0.078970 |
| AutoTheta | 0.079709 |
| MSTL_78 | 0.081303 |
| MSTL_78_117 | 0.164692 |
| MSTL_117 | 0.191150 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 1.03 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.533 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.71 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 118.153 |
| Revenue per Share | 4.554 |
| Market Cap | 25,328,949,248 |
| Forward P/E | -9.36 |
| Beta | 1.60 |
| Profit Margins | -63.62% |
| Website | https://www.rivian.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (20.0 and 25.0), indicating a speculative hope for a recovery to the upper end of the range. However, put volume is equally aggressive, with massive open interest walls at 15.0 and 17.0, suggesting a strong floor where sellers believe the price will struggle to advance. The implied volatility remains elevated across the board, reflecting uncertainty about whether the recent equity dilution and capital raise will stabilize operations or further depress the stock.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.37054634 |
| Address1 | 14,600 Myford Road |
| All Time High | 179.47 |
| All Time Low | 8.26 |
| Ask | 18.28 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.6 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 56,819,810 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 34,643,637 |
| Average Volume | 34,643,637 |
| Average Volume10Days | 56,819,810 |
| Beta | 1.602 |
| Bid | 17.51 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 3.494 |
| City | Irvine |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 17.5 |
| Current Ratio | 2.101 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 17.65 |
| Day Low | 16.7 |
| Debt To Equity | 118.153 |
| Display Name | Rivian Automotive |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,441,600 |
| Ebitda | -3,032,999,936 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.54866004 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -7.414 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 4.068 |
| Enterprise Value | 22,486,310,912 |
| Eps Current Year | -2.38612 |
| Eps Forward | -1.86968 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.95 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 15.725 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.7749996 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.112877555 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 37.054634 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 22.69 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.1900005 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.22873515 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.57 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.9300003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.5125325 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.57 - 22.69 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,636,554,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 836,161,165 |
| Forward Eps | -1.86968 |
| Forward P E | -9.35989 |
| Free Cashflow | -1,302,749,952 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 15,232 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.01031 |
| Gross Profits | 57,000,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.33208 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.37083998 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 1,447,368,573 |
| Industry | Auto Manufacturers |
| Industry Disp | Auto Manufacturers |
| Industry Key | auto-manufacturers |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-11-10 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Rivian Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells category-defining electric vehicles. It operates through two segments, Automotive, and Software and Services. The company offers consumer vehicles, including a two-row, five-passenger pickup truck under the R1T brand; and a three-row, seven-passenger sport utility vehicle under the R1S name. It also provides software and services, such as vehicle electrical architecture and software development, as well as Autonomy+, remarketing, vehicle repair and maintenance services, software subscriptions, vehicle accessories, financing, insurance, and other services. In addition, the company designs, develops, and manufactures the Rivian Adventure Network Direct Current fast chargers; and FleetOS, a proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. Further, it offers Rivian Commercial Van platform for Electric Delivery Van with collaboration with Amazon.com, Inc. Rivian Automotive, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in Irvine, California. |
| Long Name | Rivian Automotive, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 25,328,949,248 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_144746614 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -3,516,999,936 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 25,053,949,998 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 26 |
| Open | 17.35 |
| Operating Cashflow | -1,294,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.63794 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 888 748 4261 |
| Post Market Change | -0.010000229 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.057144165 |
| Post Market Price | 17.49 |
| Post Market Time | 1,784,073,547 |
| Previous Close | 17.31 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -7.3340816 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 5.0085864 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 4.5819373 |
| Profit Margins | -0.63622004 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.542 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.57692 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.19000053 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.0976346 |
| Regular Market Day High | 17.65 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 16.7 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 16.7 - 17.65 |
| Regular Market Open | 17.35 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 17.31 |
| Regular Market Price | 17.5 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,059,201 |
| Regular Market Volume | 31,266,446 |
| Return On Assets | -0.16018999 |
| Return On Equity | -0.65691 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.114 |
| Revenue Per Share | 4.554 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 10 |
| Shares Outstanding | 1,443,456,073 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1105 |
| Shares Short | 150,409,525 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 144,871,068 |
| Short Name | Rivian Automotive, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1435 |
| Short Ratio | 4.65 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | RIVN |
| Target High Price | 25.0 |
| Target Low Price | 13.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 18.76923 |
| Target Median Price | 18.0 |
| Total Cash | 4,830,000,128 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.832 |
| Total Debt | 5,232,999,936 |
| Total Revenue | 5,528,000,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.95 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 15.88555 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 1.6144505 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.10163013 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 31,266,446 |
| Website | https://www.rivian.com |
| Zip | 92,606 |