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Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Irvine, United States | NasdaqGS
16.07 USD -0.73 (-4.345%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 16.02 -0.05 (-0.050%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:08 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is defined by a struggle to break free from a tight consolidation zone. While the company recently beat revenue expectations and raised its delivery outlook for 2026—providing a necessary fundamental lifeline—the market has not yet fully priced in this optimism. The stock is currently hovering near the top of its recent trading range, facing significant resistance from established option sellers at the $17.50 and $20.00 levels. The heavy put volume just below current prices acts as a safety net, preventing a panic sell-off, but it also caps upside momentum. Fundamentally, the business remains in a precarious spot with negative operating margins and a massive cash burn, meaning any rally is likely driven by sentiment and delivery hype rather than immediate profitability. Until the stock can decisively close above the $17.50-$20.00 option wall, the trend remains neutral-to-slightly-bearish, waiting for a catalyst to force a choice between a continuation of the recovery or a return to the lows.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.054731
AutoARIMA0.055420
MSTL0.056321
AutoTheta0.057016

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 0.57
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.850
Excess Kurtosis 0.09
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 104.408
Revenue per Share 4.682
Market Cap 23,267,119,104
Forward P/E -8.99
Beta 1.61
Profit Margins -54.95%
Website https://www.rivian.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:08 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound scenario rather than a decisive breakout. Call Open Interest peaks significantly at the $17.50 and $20.00 strikes, creating a dense wall of resistance that suggests sellers will defend these levels aggressively. Conversely, Put Open Interest is heavily concentrated at the $14.00 and $15.00 strikes, establishing a strong floor. This distribution implies a 'squeeze' dynamic where the stock is expected to oscillate between $14 and $17, with limited capital willing to commit to a full-blown rally above $20 or a crash below $14.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.21124732
Address1 14,600 Myford Road
All Time High 179.47
All Time Low 8.26
Ask 20.4
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 23,068,230
Average Daily Volume3 Month 31,707,730
Average Volume 31,707,730
Average Volume10Days 23,068,230
Beta 1.612
Bid 15.69
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 9
Book Value 3.749
City Irvine
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 16.07
Current Ratio 2.104
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 16.73
Day Low 15.605
Debt To Equity 104.408
Display Name Rivian Automotive
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,445,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,445,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda -2,713,999,872
Ebitda Margins -0.46133
Enterprise To Ebitda -8.597
Enterprise To Revenue 3.966
Enterprise Value 23,331,121,152
Eps Current Year -2.20059
Eps Forward -1.78668
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.48
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.4538
Fifty Day Average Change -0.3838005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.02332595
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 21.124733
Fifty Two Week High 22.69
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.620001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2917585
Fifty Two Week Low 12.39
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.6799994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.29701367
Fifty Two Week Range 12.39 - 22.69
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,636,554,600,000
Float Shares 945,380,598
Forward Eps -1.78668
Forward P E -8.994336
Free Cashflow -1,539,374,976
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 15,232
Fullday Change -0.73
Fullday Change Percent -4.34524
Fullday Price 16.0201
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.07513
Gross Profits 442,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.3454
Held Percent Institutions 0.40471
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,447,860,630
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-11-10
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Rivian Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells category-defining electric vehicles. It operates through two segments, Automotive, and Software and Services. The company offers consumer vehicles, including a two-row, five-passenger pickup truck under the R1T brand; and a three-row, seven-passenger sport utility vehicle under the R1S name. It also provides software and services, such as vehicle electrical architecture and software development, as well as Autonomy+, remarketing, vehicle repair and maintenance services, software subscriptions, vehicle accessories, financing, insurance, and other services. In addition, the company designs, develops, and manufactures the Rivian Adventure Network Direct Current fast chargers; and FleetOS, a proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. Further, it offers Rivian Commercial Van platform for Electric Delivery Van with collaboration with Amazon.com, Inc. Rivian Automotive, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in Irvine, California.
Long Name Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 23,267,119,104
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_144746614
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -3,232,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 24,324,058,584
Number Of Analyst Opinions 26
Open 16.52
Operating Cashflow -1,844,999,936
Operating Margins -0.50422
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 888 748 4261
Post Market Change -0.049900055
Post Market Change Percent -0.31051683
Post Market Price 16.0201
Post Market Time 1,787,961,590
Previous Close 16.8
Price Eps Current Year -7.302587
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.286476
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.9549754
Profit Margins -0.54955
Quick Ratio 1.569
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.56
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.73
Regular Market Change Percent -4.34524
Regular Market Day High 16.73
Regular Market Day Low 15.605
Regular Market Day Range 15.605 - 16.73
Regular Market Open 16.52
Regular Market Previous Close 16.8
Regular Market Price 16.07
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 40,838,481
Return On Assets -0.14368
Return On Equity -0.57523
Revenue Growth 0.272
Revenue Per Share 4.682
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 1,443,948,130
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1067
Shares Short 154,422,410
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 140,540,265
Short Name Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1361
Short Ratio 6.45
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol RIVN
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 13.0
Target Mean Price 19.23077
Target Median Price 18.5
Total Cash 5,310,000,128
Total Cash Per Share 3.667
Total Debt 5,352,999,936
Total Revenue 5,882,999,808
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.48
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.30785
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.23785019
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.014585013
Type Disp Equity
Volume 40,838,481
Website https://www.rivian.com
Zip 92,606