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Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | New York, United States | NYSE
9.07 USD -0.11 (-1.198%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:46 a.m. EDT

Rithm Capital presents a classic 'value trap' profile where attractive headline numbers mask deteriorating operational reality. While the 10.86% dividend yield is enticing, the company is burning significant operating cash (-$2.6B annually) and carries a crushing debt-to-equity ratio of 422.9x, meaning the dividend is largely funded by leverage rather than organic cash flow. Fundamentally, the business is struggling with low returns on assets (1.5%) and equity (8.5%), and while recent price action shows a slight uptick, the multi-year trajectory remains flat to negative, failing to meet the threshold for a high-conviction long-term buy. The options market confirms this skepticism, with traders buying cheap insurance far below the current price rather than betting on a rally. This is a speculative hold for income seekers who can stomach the risk of capital erosion, but it lacks the structural strength for a core portfolio position.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_57 ✓0.049291
AutoTheta0.069588
AutoETS0.069612
AutoARIMA0.069612
MSTL0.075030
MSTL_57_1260.093035
MSTL_1260.118410

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_57

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 24.32
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.340
Excess Kurtosis -0.87
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-01
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-01
Debt to Equity Ratio 422.945
Revenue per Share 7.766
Market Cap 5,063,840,768
Trailing P/E 8.32
Forward P/E 3.86
Beta 1.13
Profit Margins 17.00%
Previous Name New Residential Investment Corp.
Website https://www.rithmcap.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at strikes significantly below current price (e.g., $3.00 and $5.00 expiring in 2027/2028), suggesting a fear of deep value traps or a crash scenario. Conversely, call interest is concentrated near the money ($9.00-$10.00) with very low open interest at distant strikes, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish conviction beyond immediate range-bound moves. Implied volatility remains elevated for near-term protection, reflecting uncertainty rather than a clear directional bet.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.75% 9.87% 9.49% 10.09%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-02 0.25 2.750275
2026-04-06 0.25 2.593361
2025-12-31 0.25 2.293578
2025-10-01 0.25 2.228164
2025-06-30 0.25 2.214349
2025-03-31 0.25 2.183406
2024-12-31 0.25 2.308403
2024-10-01 0.25 2.285192
2024-07-01 0.25 2.362949
2024-03-28 0.25 2.240143
2023-12-28 0.25 2.308403
2023-09-28 0.25 2.699784
2023-06-30 0.25 2.673797
2023-03-30 0.25 3.188775
2022-12-29 0.25 3.022974
2022-10-03 0.25 3.486750
2022-06-30 0.25 2.682404
2022-04-01 0.25 2.306273
2021-12-30 0.25 2.323420
2021-10-01 0.25 2.287283
2021-07-01 0.20 1.901141
2021-04-01 0.20 1.784121
2020-12-30 0.20 2.038736
2020-10-02 0.15 1.833741
2020-07-01 0.10 1.381216
2020-04-14 0.05 0.959693
2019-12-30 0.50 3.117207
2019-10-02 0.50 3.387534
2019-06-28 0.50 3.248863
2019-04-03 0.50 3.012048
2018-12-28 0.50 3.450656
2018-09-28 0.50 2.805836
2018-06-29 0.50 2.858776
2018-03-29 0.50 3.039514
2017-12-28 0.50 2.767017
2017-09-29 0.50 2.988643
2017-06-29 0.50 3.146633
2017-03-23 0.48 2.882883
2016-12-28 0.46 2.954400
2016-09-29 0.46 3.338171
2016-07-05 0.46 3.524904
2016-03-31 0.46 3.955288
2015-12-29 0.46 3.782895
2015-10-01 0.46 3.709678
2015-05-21 0.45 2.616279
2015-03-24 0.38 2.531646
2014-12-26 0.38 2.938902
2014-09-25 0.35 2.941177
2014-06-25 0.50 3.987241
2014-03-27 0.35 2.730109
2013-12-26 0.50 3.736921
2013-09-25 0.35 2.684049
2013-06-11 0.14 1.090343
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.0
dividendYield 10.89
exDividendDate 2026-07-02
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.10893246
lastDividendValue 0.25
lastDividendDate 2026-07-02
dividendDate 2026-07-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.21739131
Address1 799 Broadway
Address2 8th Floor
All Time High 18.75
All Time Low 2.91
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 7,400
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,644,390
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,290,503
Average Volume 5,290,503
Average Volume10Days 5,644,390
Beta 1.125
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 3,500
Board Risk 7
Book Value 12.506
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 9.07
Current Ratio 0.995
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 9.24
Day Low 9.04
Debt To Equity 422.945
Display Name Rithm Capital
Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Dividend Rate 1.0
Dividend Yield 10.89
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,377,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,377,600
Earnings Growth 0.722
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.303
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,379,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,241,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,241,800
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 10.849
Enterprise Value 46,005,551,104
Eps Current Year 2.25335
Eps Forward 2.35045
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.09
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,950,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.3242
Fifty Day Average Change -0.25419998
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.027262392
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -21.739132
Fifty Two Week High 12.74
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.67
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2880691
Fifty Two Week Low 8.43
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.6399994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.07591926
Fifty Two Week Range 8.43 - 12.74
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,367,501,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 9.44
Float Shares 555,827,716
Forward Eps 2.35045
Forward P E 3.8588355
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 7,240
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 4,240,526,080
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0050700004
Held Percent Institutions 0.63783
Implied Shares Outstanding 558,306,597
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,950,400
Last Dividend Value 0.25
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,413,763,200
Last Split Factor 1:2
Long Business Summary Rithm Capital Corp. operates as an asset manager focused on real estate, credit, and financial services in the United States. It operates through Origination and Servicing, Residential Transitional Lending, and Asset Management and Investment Portfolio. The company's investment portfolio primarily comprises of single-family rental properties, title, appraisal and property preservation and maintenance businesses; real estate securities, call rights, SFR properties, residential mortgage loans, collateralized loan obligations and consumer loans, excess mortgage servicing rights, servicer advance investments, and asset management related investments. It also provides government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) and government guaranteed loans; non-GSE or non-government guaranteed loans; and residential transitional lending. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as New Residential Investment Corp. and changed its name to Rithm Capital Corp. in August 2022. Rithm Capital Corp. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, New York.
Long Name Rithm Capital Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,063,840,768
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_225838735
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 598,508,032
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,125,254,560
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 9.19
Operating Cashflow -2,612,631,040
Operating Margins 0.13152
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.9174
Phone 212 850 7770
Pre Market Change -0.01499939
Pre Market Change Percent -0.16528253
Pre Market Price 9.06
Pre Market Time 1,784,016,063
Prev Name New Residential Investment Corp.
Previous Close 9.18
Price Eps Current Year 4.025118
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.72525185
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1941539
Profit Margins 0.17001
Quick Ratio 0.337
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.36364
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.110001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.19826
Regular Market Day High 9.24
Regular Market Day Low 9.04
Regular Market Day Range 9.04 - 9.24
Regular Market Open 9.19
Regular Market Previous Close 9.18
Regular Market Price 9.07
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 4,176,271
Return On Assets 0.01513
Return On Equity 0.08465
Revenue Growth 0.646
Revenue Per Share 7.766
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 558,306,597
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0574
Shares Short 32,065,185
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 30,961,261
Short Name Rithm Capital Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0577
Short Ratio 6.25
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol RITM
Target High Price 14.5
Target Low Price 12.5
Target Mean Price 13.2
Target Median Price 13.0
Total Cash 1,788,573,056
Total Cash Per Share 3.204
Total Debt 40,202,149,888
Total Revenue 4,240,526,080
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.10893246
Trailing Eps 1.09
Trailing P E 8.3211
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.35275
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.2827501
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.12390429
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,176,271
Website https://www.rithmcap.com
Zip 10,003