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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long RIOT ETF (RIOX)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
31.80 USD +1.23 (4.024%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 9:47 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7:01 a.m. EDT

The most critical signal here is the instrument's nature as a leveraged daily product with a catastrophic structural flaw: compounding decay. The price history shows the fund starting near $53 in July 2025 and trading around $33-34 recently, representing a massive loss of capital despite the underlying asset (Riot Platforms) likely being flat or up. This confirms the 'daily reset' mechanism is eroding value rapidly. The 21.74% dividend yield is an illusion; it is the return of principal via reverse splits and liquidation, not income. With the fund losing nearly half its value in less than a year due to leverage drag, the short-term outlook is bearish as the decay accelerates. The long-term rating is neutral because the vehicle itself is mathematically broken for holding periods beyond a day, regardless of the underlying miner's performance. Investors should avoid this structure entirely.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.679450
AutoETS0.710966
AutoTheta0.721601
AutoARIMA0.724543

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 21%
H-stat 2.17
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 2.47

As of July 11, 2026, 7:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for extreme volatility rather than a specific directional move. In the near term (July 2026), there is heavy out-of-the-money call interest at strikes significantly above current prices, suggesting a bet on a massive gap-up event, while put volume is concentrated deep in-the-money, indicating a hedge against a crash to near-zero levels. This 'long gamma' setup implies the market expects a binary outcome where the price either doubles or halves, rather than a steady trend.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-30 12.852 59.832404
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 21.74

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 153.75
All Time Low 12.96
Ask 31.53
Ask Size 300
Average Daily Volume10 Day 132,030
Average Daily Volume3 Month 233,216
Average Volume 233,216
Average Volume10Days 132,030
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 31.34
Bid Size 100
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 33.82
Day Low 31.17
Dividend Yield 21.74
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 51.2081
Fifty Day Average Change -19.4081
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.3790045
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -38.982033
Fifty Two Week High 153.75
Fifty Two Week High Change -121.95
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7931707
Fifty Two Week Low 12.96
Fifty Two Week Low Change 18.84
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.4537038
Fifty Two Week Range 12.96 - 153.75
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,735,914,600,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,735,776,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund (“ETF”) that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long RIOT ETF
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1914752426
Nav Price 32.9899
Net Assets 30,637,620.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.95
Open 32.83
Previous Close 30.57
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.2299995
Regular Market Change Percent 4.023551
Regular Market Day High 33.82
Regular Market Day Low 31.17
Regular Market Day Range 31.17 - 33.82
Regular Market Open 32.83
Regular Market Previous Close 30.57
Regular Market Price 31.8
Regular Market Time 1,784,036,825
Regular Market Volume 20,037
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long R
Source Interval 15
Symbol RIOX
Total Assets 30,637,620
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 294.78387
Trailing Three Month Returns 294.78387
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 49.88725
Two Hundred Day Average Change -18.08725
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.36256257
Type Disp ETF
Volume 20,037
Yield 0.2174
Ytd Return 179.1522