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Rio Tinto Group (RIO)

Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | London, United Kingdom | NYSE
94.30 USD -0.48 (-0.506%) ⇩ (Oct. 12, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★★☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:20 a.m. EDT

Rio Tinto presents a compelling long-term value proposition anchored by robust fundamentals, though short-term momentum remains subdued. The business is generating strong revenue growth of 15.5% and maintains healthy profitability with a 19% return on equity, supported by a forward P/E of just 11. This valuation suggests the market is pricing in a recovery, yet the stock trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, creating a technical headwind for the immediate future. The statistical forecast leans slightly negative for the next 45 days, reinforcing the caution needed for a quick trade. However, the dividend profile is a standout feature, offering nearly 5% yield with a sustainable payout ratio under 60%, making it attractive for income-focused investors who can tolerate the cyclical nature of the sector. Options activity confirms a range-bound outlook, with traders placing protective floors around 85 while capping upside expectations near 145. While the long-term trajectory over nine years remains strongly positive with a 94% cumulative gain, the recent single-year decline and weak technicals suggest patience is required before a breakout occurs.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.035323
AutoETS0.035325
MSTL0.035745
AutoTheta0.099797

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 0.62
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.297
Excess Kurtosis -1.14
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 31.872
Revenue per Share 38.026
Market Cap 153,368,543,232
Trailing P/E 12.78
Forward P/E 11.01
Beta 0.66
Profit Margins 19.58%
Website https://www.riotinto.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:20 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility sits near 33% across expirations, indicating standard pricing without extreme fear or greed. Open interest reveals a distinct range-bound strategy: December 2026 shows a major put wall at the 85 strike for protection and a call wall at 145 for upside targets. January 2027 data highlights unusual volume in deep in-the-money strikes on both sides, suggesting institutional hedging or synthetic positioning rather than pure directional bets. Speculators are primarily positioning for a trade between 85 and 145.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.21% 5.02% 6.00% 7.00%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-14 2.11000 2.205268
2026-03-06 2.54000 2.815652
2025-08-15 1.48000 2.416721
2025-03-07 2.25000 3.610977
2024-08-16 1.77000 2.888381
2024-03-07 2.58000 4.052144
2023-08-10 1.77000 2.885086
2023-03-09 2.25000 3.298153
2022-08-11 2.67000 4.451484
2022-03-10 4.79000 6.399466
2021-08-12 5.61000 7.086912
2021-03-04 4.02000 4.908425
2020-08-06 1.55000 2.481588
2020-03-06 2.31000 5.004333
2019-08-08 2.12000 4.185587
2019-03-07 4.23000 7.727439
2018-08-09 1.27100 2.524831
2018-03-01 1.79500 3.409954
2017-08-09 1.10000 2.383016
2017-02-22 1.25800 2.837167
2016-08-10 0.45000 1.403181
2016-02-24 1.07300 4.134875
2015-08-12 1.06900 2.720794
2015-03-04 1.19800 2.597572
2014-08-13 0.95800 1.666377
2014-03-05 1.09600 2.005489
2013-08-14 0.84100 1.695223
2013-03-06 0.93400 1.817474
2012-08-15 0.72600 1.521694
2012-02-29 0.91000 1.598454
2011-08-10 0.54000 0.978084
2011-03-02 0.63300 0.904673
2010-08-11 0.44800 0.880330
2010-02-24 0.45000 0.874423
2009-07-08 5.70800 18.166773
2009-02-18 0.68000 2.532588
2008-09-03 0.68000 0.831042
2008-02-20 0.84000 0.744186
2007-08-08 0.52000 0.774674
2007-03-07 0.64000 1.222541
2006-02-22 1.51500 3.035920
2005-08-10 0.38500 1.053207
2005-02-23 0.45000 1.340283
2004-08-11 0.32000 1.274012
2004-03-10 0.34000 1.378611
2003-08-13 0.45000 2.157756
2003-03-05 0.33900 1.747423
2002-08-14 0.32775 1.977375
2002-03-06 0.30725 1.454438
2001-08-15 0.22225 1.307353
2001-03-07 0.42775 2.193871
2000-08-16 0.21100 1.210036
2000-03-08 0.42775 2.969197
1999-08-11 0.16500 0.839428
1999-03-11 0.25875 1.831858
1998-09-23 0.16125 1.409836
1998-03-18 0.35500 2.593607
1997-09-24 0.16625 1.049310
1997-03-19 0.37225 2.368191
1996-09-27 0.25625 1.656566
1996-02-23 0.22375 1.556522
1995-10-20 0.23250 1.603448
1995-03-31 0.11625 0.894231
1994-10-06 0.13125 0.933333
1994-03-18 0.13150 1.004296
1993-06-11 0.26050 2.564923
1993-03-19 0.25800 2.517073
1992-09-25 0.15825 1.442735
1992-03-27 0.31100 3.129560
1991-09-26 0.11800 1.202548
1991-04-05 0.26975 2.680745
1990-09-28 0.12975 1.722822
Additional Data
dividendRate 4.65
dividendYield 4.93
exDividendDate 2026-08-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 4.65
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.049060985
lastDividendValue 2.11
lastDividendDate 2026-08-14
dividendDate 2026-09-24

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.38229263
Address1 6 St James’s Square
All Time High 139.6625
All Time Low 7.5
Ask 94.32
Ask Size 500
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,897,540
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,211,809
Average Volume 2,211,809
Average Volume10Days 1,897,540
Beta 0.66
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Book Value 40.264
City London
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United Kingdom
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 94.3
Current Ratio 1.424
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 94.735
Day Low 94.14
Debt To Equity 31.872
Display Name Rio Tinto
Dividend Date 1,790,208,000
Dividend Rate 4.65
Dividend Yield 4.93
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,286,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,286,800
Earnings Growth 0.469
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.472
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Ebitda 22,911,000,576
Ebitda Margins 0.37077
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.546
Enterprise To Revenue 2.798
Enterprise Value 172,896,944,128
Eps Current Year 8.52614
Eps Forward 8.56784
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.38
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 98.8672
Fifty Day Average Change -4.5671997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.046195295
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 38.229263
Fifty Two Week High 112.58
Fifty Two Week High Change -18.279999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16237341
Fifty Two Week Low 66.49
Fifty Two Week Low Change 27.810005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4182585
Fifty Two Week Range 66.49 - 112.58
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 646,579,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 6.65
Float Shares 1,423,420,416
Forward Eps 8.56784
Forward P E 11.006275
Free Cashflow 3,595,500,032
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 56,890
Fullday Change -0.099998474
Fullday Change Percent -0.105997965
Fullday Price 94.24
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.29751
Gross Profits 18,383,998,976
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.000030000001
Held Percent Institutions 0.10486
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,626,389,620
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-industrial-metals-mining
Ir Website http://www.riotinto.com/investors-87.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Last Dividend Value 2.11
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,272,585,600
Last Split Factor 4:1
Long Business Summary Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. The company operates through Iron Ore; Aluminium and lithium; and Copper segments. The Iron Ore segment engages in the iron ore mining, and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia. The Aluminum and lithium segment is involved in bauxite mining; alumina refining; and aluminium smelting, and recycling, as well as mining and processing of lithium. The Copper segment engages in mining and refining of copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other by-products and exploration activities. It also owns and operates open pit and underground mines; and refineries, smelters, processing plants and power, and shipping facilities. The company was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Long Name Rio Tinto Group
Market us_market
Market Cap 153,368,543,232
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_299199
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 12,101,999,616
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 157,287,435,921
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 94.35
Operating Cashflow 19,081,000,960
Operating Margins 0.28049
Payout Ratio 0.5446
Peg Ratio 5.69
Phone 44 20 7781 2000
Pre Market Change -0.099998474
Pre Market Change Percent -0.105997965
Pre Market Price 94.24
Pre Market Time 1,791,891,807
Previous Close 94.78
Price Eps Current Year 11.060104
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.3420427
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.4819727
Profit Margins 0.19584998
Quick Ratio 0.926
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.3
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.479996
Regular Market Change Percent -0.506431
Regular Market Day High 94.735
Regular Market Day Low 94.14
Regular Market Day Range 94.14 - 94.735
Regular Market Open 94.35
Regular Market Previous Close 94.78
Regular Market Price 94.3
Regular Market Time 1,791,835,202
Regular Market Volume 1,207,286
Return On Assets 0.08106
Return On Equity 0.19312
Revenue Growth 0.155
Revenue Per Share 38.026
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 1,254,639,382
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0057
Shares Short 9,329,476
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 10,031,942
Short Name Rio Tinto Plc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0087
Short Ratio 5.29
Source Interval 15
Symbol RIO
Target High Price 118.0
Target Low Price 85.0
Target Mean Price 103.48333
Target Median Price 102.0
Total Cash 9,507,000,320
Total Cash Per Share 5.848
Total Debt 22,851,999,744
Total Revenue 61,793,001,472
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 4.65
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.049060985
Trailing Eps 7.38
Trailing P E 12.777778
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 96.09575
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.7957458
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.018687047
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,207,286
Website https://www.riotinto.com
Zip SW1Y 4AD