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Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI)

Technology | Computer Hardware | Berkeley, United States | NasdaqCM
11.68 USD -1.10 (-8.607%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 11.65 -0.03 (-0.030%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:07 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is fundamentally broken. Despite a recent statistical anomaly showing a massive price surge, the underlying business is deteriorating rapidly. The company is burning cash with negative operating margins and a return on equity of nearly -44%. The valuation is absurd, trading at 350 times sales with no path to profitability visible in the forward estimates. This is a classic value trap where the market is paying a premium for a speculative technology story while the fundamentals crumble. The recent price action appears to be a speculative bubble detached from reality, likely fueled by hype around quantum computing rather than sustainable earnings power. For the short term, the setup is volatile and dangerous. While the options data reveals heavy speculation on a massive upside move, the underlying weakness makes any rally fragile. The stock is trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming a downtrend that has recently been interrupted by a sharp, likely unsustainable spike. The heavy put writing suggests smart money is hedging against a failure of the catalyst driving the recent rally. Given the high beta and negative earnings, this is a high-risk momentum play with a low probability of survival as a core holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.111347
AutoETS0.115558
AutoTheta0.341612
AutoARIMA0.427795

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.24
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.170
Excess Kurtosis -0.38
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 1.433
Revenue per Share 0.04
Market Cap 3,898,418,944
Forward P/E -56.70
Beta 2.03
Website https://www.rigetti.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a massive gap-up event, evidenced by massive open interest walls at strikes like $18, $20, $30, and $35 across multiple expirations. Call volume is heavily skewed out-of-the-money, suggesting bets on a binary outcome rather than steady appreciation. Conversely, put writers are establishing significant defensive walls at $14-$16, indicating a fear of a sharp rejection or a 'sell the news' event if the anticipated catalyst fails to materialize. The implied volatility surface shows extreme spikes at deep out-of-the-money strikes, reflecting a market pricing in a high-variance, low-probability boom-or-bust scenario.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.73358345
Address1 775 Heinz Avenue
All Time High 58.15
All Time Low 0.36
Ask 30.0
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 13,673,070
Average Daily Volume3 Month 17,751,377
Average Volume 17,751,377
Average Volume10Days 13,673,070
Beta 2.027
Bid 12.77
Bid Size 5
Board Risk 7
Book Value 1.611
City Berkeley
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 11.68
Current Ratio 3.944
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 12.39
Day Low 11.55
Debt To Equity 1.433
Display Name Rigetti Computing
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,050,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,050,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,340,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,340,800
Ebitda -87,229,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -40.267
Enterprise To Revenue 263.043
Enterprise Value 3,512,410,880
Eps Current Year -0.187
Eps Forward -0.206
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.77
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.0568
Fifty Day Average Change -4.3768005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.27258235
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -73.358345
Fifty Two Week High 55.16
Fifty Two Week High Change -43.48
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.78825235
Fifty Two Week Low 11.55
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.13000011
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.011255421
Fifty Two Week Range 11.55 - 55.16
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,619,098,200,000
Float Shares 327,964,508
Forward Eps -0.206
Forward P E -56.69903
Free Cashflow 26,453,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 162
Fullday Change -1.1300001
Fullday Change Percent -8.841942
Fullday Price 11.68
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.34614
Gross Profits 4,622,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01737
Held Percent Institutions 0.5435
Implied Shares Outstanding 333,768,747
Industry Computer Hardware
Industry Disp Computer Hardware
Industry Key computer-hardware
Ipo Expected Date 2,022-03-02
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Rigetti Computing, Inc., through its subsidiaries, builds and operates quantum computers and the superconducting quantum processors the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers quantum processing units (QPUs) and quantum computing systems to provide access to quantum computing systems through the cloud in the form of quantum computing as a service (QCaaS). It provides Novera, a 9-qubit chip QPU that features tunable couplers for fast two-qubit operations and a 5-qubit chip for testing single-qubit operations; Novera QPU that is based in fourth generation Ankaa-class architecture; 36-qubit Cepheus-1-36Q system, a multi-chip quantum computer; and 84-qubit Ankaa-3 quantum computer. The company also sells access to its quantum computers through QCaaS. In addition, the company offers Rigetti quantum cloud services, a platform that provides support for various range of programming capabilities, public or private clouds integration, and connectivity, as well as quantum operating system software that supports public and private cloud architectures. Further, it offers QCS Outpost, a distributed software environment for operating, administering, and monitoring the overall system; Rigetti Foundry Services that delivers superconducting quantum chips to advance and accelerate quantum information science and technology research and development; and professional services, such as algorithm development, benchmarking, quantum application programming, and software development. The company serves commercial enterprises, government organizations, and international government entities, as well as academia, defense laboratories, and national laboratories. Rigetti Computing, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Berkeley, California.
Long Name Rigetti Computing, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,898,418,944
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_270093415
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -238,672,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,341,968,795
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 12.341
Operating Cashflow -60,716,000
Operating Margins -5.4616604
Overall Risk 8
Phone 510 210 5550
Post Market Change -0.030000687
Post Market Change Percent -0.2568552
Post Market Price 11.65
Post Market Time 1,792,022,387
Previous Close 12.78
Price Eps Current Year -62.459892
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.2501554
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 291.9508
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 3.784
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.1
Regular Market Change Percent -8.60719
Regular Market Day High 12.39
Regular Market Day Low 11.55
Regular Market Day Range 11.55 - 12.39
Regular Market Open 12.341
Regular Market Previous Close 12.78
Regular Market Price 11.68
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,000
Regular Market Volume 25,246,719
Return On Assets -0.094519995
Return On Equity -0.43765
Revenue Growth 1.853
Revenue Per Share 0.04
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1570785
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 333,768,747
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.19680001
Shares Short 65,671,238
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 58,908,223
Short Name Rigetti Computing, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1976
Short Ratio 3.99
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol RGTI
Target High Price 40.0
Target Low Price 17.3
Target Mean Price 28.525
Target Median Price 30.0
Total Cash 393,708,992
Total Cash Per Share 1.18
Total Debt 7,701,000
Total Revenue 13,353,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.77
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.974825
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.2948246
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.35020226
Type Disp Equity
Volume 25,246,719
Website https://www.rigetti.com
Zip 94,710