Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL)Real Estate | Real Estate Services | Newark, United States | NYSE
2.43 USD
+0.16
(7.048%)
⇧
(July 14, 2026, 9:51 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:05 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case is severely compromised by deteriorating fundamentals. Revenue has contracted by half year-over-year, operating margins are deeply negative at -38%, and free cash flow is burning through reserves. Despite a recent price bounce, the multi-year trajectory remains structurally broken, with the stock trading at a premium to book value despite generating losses. The short-term outlook is equally murky; while the price has rallied recently, the statistical forecasting models are completely unreliable due to high noise, offering no directional clarity. The options market tells a conflicting story: traders are buying cheap, far-out calls hoping for a miracle turnaround, but they are pricing in a catastrophic near-term drop via the massive implied volatility on puts. This disconnect suggests a speculative frenzy detached from reality rather than a genuine momentum build-up. Without a clear path to profitability or revenue stabilization, the business quality is insufficient to justify a buy. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.189941 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.229993 |
| AutoTheta | 0.233694 |
| MSTL | 0.234869 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 16% |
| H-stat | 129.26 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.014 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.75 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 0.755 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.02 |
| Market Cap | 126,359,992 |
| Beta | 0.29 |
| Website | https://www.rafaelholdings.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:05 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on the upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 5.0 and 7.5) compared to negligible put activity. However, this bullishness is concentrated in deep out-of-the-money territory, suggesting a speculative 'lottery ticket' thesis rather than a conviction bet on immediate price appreciation. The implied volatility skew shows extreme fear for near-term downside (July puts IV > 10x calls), indicating the market prices in a high probability of a crash, while the call volume suggests a hope for a massive recovery.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.027272701 |
| Address1 | 520 Broad Street |
| All Time High | 65.52268 |
| All Time Low | 1.12 |
| Ask | 2.5 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 368,020 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 194,719 |
| Average Volume | 194,719 |
| Average Volume10Days | 368,020 |
| Beta | 0.291 |
| Bid | 2.21 |
| Bid Size | 1,000 |
| Board Risk | 10 |
| Book Value | 1.45 |
| City | Newark |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 7 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 2.43 |
| Current Ratio | 3.163 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 2.47 |
| Day Low | 2.25 |
| Debt To Equity | 0.755 |
| Display Name | Rafael |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,781,181,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,781,181,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,781,181,000 |
| Ebitda | -36,238,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -2.568 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 94.949 |
| Enterprise Value | 93,049,992 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.72 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 1.915 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.5150001 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.26892957 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 2.7272701 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 3.96 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -1.53 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.38636363 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 1.12 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.3100001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.1696429 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 1.12 - 3.96 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,522,157,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 31,829,198 |
| Free Cashflow | -20,674,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 21 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.95102 |
| Gross Profits | 932,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.3812 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.07327 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 51,999,996 |
| Industry | Real Estate Services |
| Industry Disp | Real Estate Services |
| Industry Key | real-estate-services |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,753,920,000 |
| Last Split Date | 1,746,748,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 1,014:1000 |
| Long Business Summary | Rafael Holdings, Inc. primarily engages in holding interests in clinical and early-stage pharmaceutical companies, and medical devices in the United States and Israel. It operates in three segments, Healthcare, Infusion Technology, and Real Estate. The company engages in the development and commercialization of therapies that exploit the metabolic differences between normal cells and cancer cells. Its lead drug candidate is Trappsol Cyclo, which is in phase 3 clinical trial being evaluated for the potential treatment of Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1 ("NPC1"), a rare, fatal and progressive genetic disorder; and CPI-613 (devimistat), a stable analog of normally transient, acylated catalytic intermediates of lipoate, which is in phase II of clinical trial. The company is also involved in developing Promitil, a molecule designed for the targeted delivery of mitomycin-C in a proprietary prodrug form, completed Phase 1A and 1B clinical studies targeting patients with advanced cancers. In addition, it engages in the development of surgical and procedural devices, including orthopedic arthroscopy instrument for Carpal Tunnel syndrome. Rafael Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Newark, New Jersey. |
| Long Name | Rafael Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 126,359,992 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_542275995 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,777,507,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -32,553,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,785,456,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 117,519,990 |
| Open | 2.32 |
| Operating Cashflow | -31,990,000 |
| Operating Margins | -38.37989 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 212 658 1450 |
| Previous Close | 2.27 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 1.6758621 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 128.93877 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.794 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.16000009 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 7.0484614 |
| Regular Market Day High | 2.47 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 2.25 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 2.25 - 2.47 |
| Regular Market Open | 2.32 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 2.27 |
| Regular Market Price | 2.43 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,037,115 |
| Regular Market Volume | 15,723 |
| Return On Assets | -0.22766 |
| Return On Equity | -0.37595 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.506 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.02 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Sector Disp | Real Estate |
| Sector Key | real-estate |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 51,212,833 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0026 |
| Shares Short | 133,570 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 66,706 |
| Short Name | Rafael Holdings, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0062 |
| Short Ratio | 0.41 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NJ |
| Symbol | RFL |
| Total Cash | 30,497,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.586 |
| Total Debt | 610,000 |
| Total Revenue | 980,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.72 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 1.44034 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.98966 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.68710166 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 15,723 |
| Website | https://www.rafaelholdings.com |
| Zip | 7,102 |