The RealReal, Inc. (REAL)Consumer Cyclical | Luxury Goods | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
11.61 USD
-0.22
(-1.860%) ⇩
(April 21, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | April 18, 2026, 10:51 p.m. EDT
REAL is a high-conviction momentum play on a luxury resale turnaround story, but fundamentally fragile. The stock has rallied nearly 29% QoQ and is currently trading above its 50- and 200-day averages, with options flow confirming a robust bullish narrative centered on an upside target of $20. However, the $59 forward P/E and negative book value reveal a business with precarious profitability; this rating assumes the analyst consensus on luxury demand recovery is correct, making it a better trade than investment for now. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.385713 |
| AutoETS | 0.393149 |
| AutoTheta | 0.487046 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.509499 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 51% |
| H-stat | 3.72 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.354 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.35 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Revenue per Share | 6.031 |
| Market Cap | 1,381,390,336 |
| Forward P/E | 56.73 |
| Beta | 2.81 |
| Profit Margins | -6.03% |
| Website | https://www.therealreal.com |
As of April 18, 2026, 10:51 p.m. EDT: Options flow indicates strong bullish positioning with implied volatility skew heavily favoring calls over puts. For the May 15 expiry, ITM calls show significantly higher Open Interest relative to Puts (28.4k vs 3.1k), signaling a near-term expectation of upside. Long-dated options (Jan 27+, Jan 28) show massive positioning in OTM strikes (25.0), suggesting speculators are betting on a continuation of the current 29%+ recovery trend and a potential return to 2027 highs. Put volume remains low relative to call volume, indicating a lack of hedging against immediate downside despite high volatility in deep ITM strikes for long-dated contracts.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 1.0121317 |
| Address1 | 55 Francisco Street |
| Address2 | Suite 150 |
| All Time High | 30.22 |
| All Time Low | 1.0 |
| Ask | 11.64 |
| Ask Size | 4 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,695,030 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,354,157 |
| Average Volume | 3,354,157 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,695,030 |
| Beta | 2.811 |
| Bid | 11.56 |
| Bid Size | 4 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | -3.512 |
| City | San Francisco |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,735,603,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 11.61 |
| Current Ratio | 0.861 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 12.9 |
| Day Low | 11.535 |
| Display Name | The RealReal |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,184,000 |
| Ebitda | 8,970,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.012949999 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 188.786 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.444 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,693,410,304 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.04056 |
| Eps Forward | 0.20466 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.7 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 10.5316 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.0783997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.10239656 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 101.213165 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 17.392 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.7820005 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.33245173 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.7 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 6.91 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.4702128 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.7 - 17.392 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,561,728,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 108,569,430 |
| Forward Eps | 0.20466 |
| Forward P E | 56.72823 |
| Free Cashflow | 24,889,624 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 3,140 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.74594 |
| Gross Profits | 516,822,016 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.08007 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.99446 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 118,982,805 |
| Industry | Luxury Goods |
| Industry Disp | Luxury Goods |
| Industry Key | luxury-goods |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace for resale luxury goods worldwide. It provides a range of product categories, including women's fashion, men's fashion, jewelry, and watches. The company sells products through its website, online marketplace, mobile app, and retail stores. The RealReal, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. |
| Long Name | The RealReal, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,381,390,336 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_159488957 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -41,799,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,380,795,452 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 11.81 |
| Operating Cashflow | 37,010,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.03181 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 855 435 5893 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.32050037 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 2.7605546 |
| Pre Market Price | 11.9305 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,776,862,914 |
| Previous Close | 11.83 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 286.24258 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -3.3058085 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.9937942 |
| Profit Margins | -0.06033 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.662 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.44444 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.22 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.85968 |
| Regular Market Day High | 12.9 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 11.535 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 11.535 - 12.9 |
| Regular Market Open | 11.81 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 11.83 |
| Regular Market Price | 11.61 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,801,600 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,920,731 |
| Return On Assets | -0.0361 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.183 |
| Revenue Per Share | 6.031 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.3140242 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 118,982,805 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1676 |
| Shares Short | 19,940,287 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 18,837,571 |
| Short Name | The RealReal, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1709 |
| Short Ratio | 5.7 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | REAL |
| Target High Price | 20.0 |
| Target Low Price | 16.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 18.1875 |
| Target Median Price | 18.25 |
| Total Cash | 151,231,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.271 |
| Total Debt | 463,251,008 |
| Total Revenue | 692,844,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.7 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 11.051625 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.5583744 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.05052419 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,920,731 |
| Website | https://www.therealreal.com |
| Zip | 94,133 |