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The RealReal, Inc. (REAL)

Consumer Cyclical | Luxury Goods | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
10.93 USD -0.02 (-0.183%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.76 -0.17 (-0.167%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:07 a.m. EDT

The RealReal presents a classic 'value trap' scenario where the business story has improved, but the balance sheet remains broken. While revenue growth has accelerated to 16.6% and the company raised guidance, the stock is still trading at a forward P/E of 38x despite reporting negative earnings and a negative book value. This disconnect explains why the long-term rating is capped at 2 stars; the market is pricing in a massive turnaround that hasn't happened yet, evidenced by the -54% cumulative decline over the last six years. The recent price action shows some life, with the stock rallying nearly 200% year-over-year to $7.61 before settling around $11, yet it remains significantly below its 200-day average, suggesting the broader market remains skeptical of the sustainability of these gains. The options market reflects this ambivalence, with heavy open interest at both $12.50 and $5.00 strikes, creating a volatile trading range but no clear consensus on a trend. For investors, the high beta (2.74) amplifies this uncertainty, making it a speculative vehicle rather than a core holding until the free cash flow consistently covers the debt load and the stock trades at a multiple commensurate with its growth.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.119826
AutoETS0.150697
AutoARIMA0.154537
MSTL0.161838

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 1.51
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.319
Excess Kurtosis -0.55
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Revenue per Share 6.329
Market Cap 1,329,865,344
Forward P/E 37.37
Beta 2.74
Profit Margins -10.82%
Website https://www.therealreal.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes ($12.50 and $15.00), suggesting bets on a recovery to the $15 range, while Put Open Interest clusters at lower strikes ($5.00-$10.00), indicating a floor or downside protection strategy. The presence of significant new volume in both deep OTM calls and puts across multiple expirations suggests a 'long gamma' environment where traders expect large swings in either direction, but the lack of overwhelming directional flow implies uncertainty about whether the recent rally will sustain or reverse.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.43137252
Address1 55 Francisco Street
Address2 Suite 150
All Time High 30.22
All Time Low 1.0
Ask 11.09
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,059,760
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,251,033
Average Volume 3,251,033
Average Volume10Days 3,059,760
Beta 2.744
Bid 8.1
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value -3.105
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.93
Current Ratio 0.828
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 11.4375
Day Low 10.89
Display Name The RealReal
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,050,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,050,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,254,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,254,400
Ebitda 26,355,000
Ebitda Margins 0.03514
Enterprise To Ebitda 63.519
Enterprise To Revenue 2.232
Enterprise Value 1,674,041,344
Eps Current Year 0.09927
Eps Forward 0.2925
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.71
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.6158
Fifty Day Average Change -0.6857996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.059040237
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 43.137253
Fifty Two Week High 17.392
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.462
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3715501
Fifty Two Week Low 7.3
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.63
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.49726027
Fifty Two Week Range 7.3 - 17.392
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,561,728,600,000
Float Shares 101,719,486
Forward Eps 0.2925
Forward P E 37.367523
Free Cashflow 35,174,876
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,140
Fullday Change -0.0199995
Fullday Change Percent -0.182644
Fullday Price 10.7634
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.74497
Gross Profits 558,659,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.072280005
Held Percent Institutions 0.95204
Implied Shares Outstanding 121,671,115
Industry Luxury Goods
Industry Disp Luxury Goods
Industry Key luxury-goods
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace for resale luxury goods worldwide. It provides a range of product categories, including women's fashion, men's fashion, jewelry, and watches. The company sells products through its website, online marketplace, mobile app, and retail stores. The RealReal, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name The RealReal, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,329,865,344
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_159488957
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -81,130,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,332,298,709
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 10.94
Operating Cashflow 53,842,000
Operating Margins -0.01186
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 855 435 5893
Post Market Change -0.16660023
Post Market Change Percent -1.5242473
Post Market Price 10.7634
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 10.95
Price Eps Current Year 110.10376
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -3.520129
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.7733666
Profit Margins -0.10819
Quick Ratio 0.596
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0199995
Regular Market Change Percent -0.182644
Regular Market Day High 11.4375
Regular Market Day Low 10.89
Regular Market Day Range 10.89 - 11.4375
Regular Market Open 10.94
Regular Market Previous Close 10.95
Regular Market Price 10.93
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 2,035,838
Return On Assets -0.010199999
Revenue Growth 0.166
Revenue Per Share 6.329
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 121,671,115
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.122
Shares Short 14,847,444
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 18,054,624
Short Name The RealReal, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1393
Short Ratio 4.46
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol REAL
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 18.0
Target Median Price 18.0
Total Cash 119,132,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.979
Total Debt 463,308,000
Total Revenue 749,910,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.71
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.1313
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.2012997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.09902481
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,035,838
Website https://www.therealreal.com
Zip 94,133