The RealReal, Inc. (REAL)Consumer Cyclical | Luxury Goods | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
10.42 USD
-0.12
(-1.139%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 3:56 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:51 a.m. EDT
The RealReal presents a classic 'value trap' scenario where the business story has improved while the stock remains trapped in a downtrend. Fundamentally, the company is turning the corner with a massive 185% year-over-year revenue surge and a path to profitability, yet the share price has been dragged down by a catastrophic 58% decline over the last six years. This disconnect creates a compelling long-term thesis for patient capital, but the execution risk remains high. The balance sheet is fragile with negative book value and a current ratio below 1.0, meaning the market is pricing in a potential liquidity crisis or further operational missteps despite the top-line growth. Short-term, the stock is technically weak, trading below both its 50-day and 200-day averages, which acts as a heavy ceiling. While analysts are upgrading targets to $18, the stock lacks the momentum to get there quickly without a catalyst. The options market reflects this tension: traders are buying calls for a quick pop, but they are also hedging heavily against a drop, creating a choppy environment unsuitable for swing traders. Ultimately, this is a high-risk, high-reward speculative play. You are betting that the luxury resale boom will continue to outweigh the company's historical operational inefficiencies and debt load. It is not a safe compounder yet; it requires a belief that management can fix the balance sheet as fast as they grew the top line. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.135785 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.137724 |
| MSTL | 0.144917 |
| AutoTheta | 0.160990 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 31% |
| H-stat | 22.69 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.260 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.20 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Revenue per Share | 6.329 |
| Market Cap | 1,267,812,992 |
| Forward P/E | 34.26 |
| Beta | 2.81 |
| Profit Margins | -10.82% |
| Website | https://www.therealreal.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. In the near term (Oct/Nov 2026), there is heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at the $12.50 strike, suggesting bets on a significant upside move to test resistance levels. However, this bullishness is tempered by substantial put volume at lower strikes ($5.00, $7.50) and deep out-of-the-money puts expiring in early 2028, indicating a fear of a sharp downside correction or a 'double bottom' scenario. The skew suggests traders expect high volatility with a potential for a gap up followed by a mean reversion, rather than a linear uptrend.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.027290463 |
| Address1 | 55 Francisco Street |
| Address2 | Suite 150 |
| All Time High | 30.22 |
| All Time Low | 1.0 |
| Ask | 13.44 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 3,039,210 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,944,809 |
| Average Volume | 2,944,809 |
| Average Volume10Days | 3,039,210 |
| Beta | 2.814 |
| Bid | 7.83 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | -3.105 |
| City | San Francisco |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 10.42 |
| Current Ratio | 0.828 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 11.045 |
| Day Low | 10.305 |
| Display Name | RealReal |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,307,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,307,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,304,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,304,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,304,000 |
| Ebitda | 26,355,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.03514 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 61.718 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.169 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,626,589,568 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.10094 |
| Eps Forward | 0.30416 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.94 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 10.162 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.25800037 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.02538874 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 2.7290463 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 17.392 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.972 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.40087396 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 8.05 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.37 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.29440993 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 8.05 - 17.392 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,561,728,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 101,719,486 |
| Forward Eps | 0.30416 |
| Forward P E | 34.258286 |
| Free Cashflow | 35,174,876 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 3,140 |
| Fullday Change | -0.119999886 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -1.1385188 |
| Fullday Price | 10.42 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.74497 |
| Gross Profits | 558,659,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.07231 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.95507 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 121,671,115 |
| Industry | Luxury Goods |
| Industry Disp | Luxury Goods |
| Industry Key | luxury-goods |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace for resale luxury goods worldwide. It provides a range of product categories, including women's fashion, men's fashion, jewelry, and watches. The company sells products through its website, online marketplace, mobile app, and retail stores. The RealReal, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. |
| Long Name | The RealReal, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,267,812,992 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_159488957 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -81,130,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,113,899,057 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 10.54 |
| Operating Cashflow | 53,842,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.01186 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Phone | 855 435 5893 |
| Previous Close | 10.54 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 103.229645 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -3.3558776 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.6906202 |
| Profit Margins | -0.10819 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.596 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.44444 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.119999886 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.1385188 |
| Regular Market Day High | 11.045 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 10.305 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 10.305 - 11.045 |
| Regular Market Open | 10.54 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 10.54 |
| Regular Market Price | 10.42 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,180,593 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,254,379 |
| Return On Assets | -0.010199999 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.166 |
| Revenue Per Share | 6.329 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 121,671,115 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1427 |
| Shares Short | 17,365,458 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 16,295,898 |
| Short Name | The RealReal, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.16290002 |
| Short Ratio | 6.96 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | REAL |
| Target High Price | 20.0 |
| Target Low Price | 15.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 18.0 |
| Target Median Price | 18.0 |
| Total Cash | 119,132,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.979 |
| Total Debt | 463,308,000 |
| Total Revenue | 749,910,016 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.94 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 11.30155 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.88154984 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.078002565 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 4,254,379 |
| Website | https://www.therealreal.com |
| Zip | 94,133 |