The RealReal, Inc. (REAL)Consumer Cyclical | Luxury Goods | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
10.68 USD
+0.08
(0.755%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 10.38 -0.30 (-0.299%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 6:45 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:45 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case remains deeply compromised despite recent revenue growth headlines. While the company posted 19% revenue growth and raised guidance, the underlying business quality is deteriorating, evidenced by a catastrophic 79% cumulative price decline over six years and a trailing P/S ratio of nearly 1.8x on negative earnings. The balance sheet is fragile with negative book value and a current ratio below 1.0, while the CFO selling over 35,000 shares signals insider skepticism. The market has correctly priced this as a value trap; the recent price action shows the stock trading below its 50-day moving average, confirming that the latest positive news was insufficient to reverse the secular downtrend. The short-term outlook is neutral-to-bearish as the stock lacks the momentum to break out without a fundamental turnaround in profitability, which remains elusive. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.201110 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.204047 |
| MSTL | 0.214521 |
| AutoTheta | 0.239280 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 0.14 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.106 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.32 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Revenue per Share | 6.189 |
| Market Cap | 1,286,808,960 |
| Forward P/E | 47.57 |
| Beta | 2.67 |
| Profit Margins | -9.03% |
| Website | https://www.therealreal.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 2:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for extreme volatility rather than a specific directional breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes ($15, $20) for 2027-2028 expirations, suggesting a bet on a massive recovery or a 'lottery ticket' scenario. Conversely, Put Open Interest is concentrated at lower strikes ($5, $7.50) for the same long-dated contracts, indicating a hedge against a continued collapse or a belief that the floor is significantly lower than current prices. The imbalance in volume vs. open interest at deep OTM strikes suggests active speculation on binary outcomes rather than a consensus on immediate trend direction.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 1.0152092 |
| Address1 | 55 Francisco Street |
| Address2 | Suite 150 |
| All Time High | 30.22 |
| All Time Low | 1.0 |
| Ask | 13.44 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,915,430 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,495,486 |
| Average Volume | 3,495,486 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,915,430 |
| Beta | 2.669 |
| Bid | 7.7 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | -2.983 |
| City | San Francisco |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 10.68 |
| Current Ratio | 0.842 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 10.84 |
| Day Low | 10.42 |
| Display Name | The RealReal |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.376 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,184,000 |
| Ebitda | 19,186,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.02655 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 84.822 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.252 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,627,385,984 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.06047 |
| Eps Forward | 0.2245 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.63 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 10.6654 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.014600754 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0013689833 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 101.52092 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 17.392 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.712 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.38592455 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 5.0 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.6800003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.136 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 5.0 - 17.392 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,561,728,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 100,700,028 |
| Forward Eps | 0.2245 |
| Forward P E | 47.572384 |
| Free Cashflow | 19,607,124 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 3,140 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.74478996 |
| Gross Profits | 538,132,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0729 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.0241101 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 120,487,728 |
| Industry | Luxury Goods |
| Industry Disp | Luxury Goods |
| Industry Key | luxury-goods |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace for resale luxury goods worldwide. It provides a range of product categories, including women's fashion, men's fashion, jewelry, and watches. The company sells products through its website, online marketplace, mobile app, and retail stores. The RealReal, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. |
| Long Name | The RealReal, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,286,808,960 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_159488957 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -65,263,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,277,169,916 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 10.46 |
| Operating Cashflow | 48,657,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.01199 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 855 435 5893 |
| Post Market Change | -0.29909992 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -2.800561 |
| Post Market Price | 10.3809 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,982,756 |
| Previous Close | 10.6 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 176.61652 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -3.5802884 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.7809839 |
| Profit Margins | -0.09033 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.617 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0799999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.754716 |
| Regular Market Day High | 10.84 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 10.42 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 10.42 - 10.84 |
| Regular Market Open | 10.46 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 10.6 |
| Regular Market Price | 10.68 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,693,968 |
| Return On Assets | -0.02152 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.185 |
| Revenue Per Share | 6.189 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 120,487,728 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1471 |
| Shares Short | 17,727,463 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 17,327,009 |
| Short Name | The RealReal, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1682 |
| Short Ratio | 5.18 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | REAL |
| Target High Price | 20.0 |
| Target Low Price | 13.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 17.25 |
| Target Median Price | 17.0 |
| Total Cash | 123,952,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.029 |
| Total Debt | 464,528,992 |
| Total Revenue | 722,526,976 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.63 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 12.042825 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.3628244 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.11316485 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,693,968 |
| Website | https://www.therealreal.com |
| Zip | 94,133 |