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Redwire Corporation (RDW)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Jacksonville, United States | NYSE
10.87 USD -0.40 (-3.549%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.87

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:13 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by aggressive speculative buying, with options traders stacking significant call walls at $14 and $15 while fresh volume flows into near-money calls. This aligns with recent news of manufacturing capacity boosts and defense wins, creating a short-term momentum play despite the lack of a statistical forecast signal. However, the long-term picture remains murky due to the company's inability to generate profit, with negative operating margins and free cash flow eroding shareholder value. The balance sheet shows high debt relative to equity, and the stock has suffered a severe multi-year decline, dropping nearly 72% at one point before a partial recovery. While the recent price action and revenue growth offer hope, the fundamental engine is currently broken, making this a high-risk speculative vehicle rather than a solid investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.286725
AutoTheta0.287048
AutoARIMA0.287656
MSTL0.314317

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 0.57
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.247
Excess Kurtosis -1.20
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.539
Revenue per Share 2.331
Market Cap 2,717,419,520
Forward P/E -36.85
Beta 3.08
Profit Margins -57.26%
Previous Name Genesis Park Acquisition Corp.
Website https://www.rdw.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:13 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for upside, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $14, $15, $16, and $20 strikes across multiple expirations. Call volume significantly exceeds open interest at near-money strikes ($12-$13.5), indicating fresh bullish entries. While put volume is elevated at the money, the sheer size of the out-of-the-money call walls suggests a speculative bet on a continued rally rather than a hedge against a crash.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.21860981
Address1 8,226 Philips Highway
Address2 Suite 101
All Time High 26.66
All Time Low 1.67
Ask 10.88
Ask Size 1,700
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 11,934,710
Average Daily Volume3 Month 25,265,100
Average Volume 25,265,100
Average Volume10Days 11,934,710
Beta 3.075
Bid 10.89
Bid Size 4,700
Board Risk 9
Book Value 6.567
City Jacksonville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.87
Current Ratio 3.919
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 11.1819
Day Low 10.68
Debt To Equity 5.539
Display Name Redwire
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,021,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,021,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda -121,260,000
Ebitda Margins -0.28447
Enterprise To Ebitda -18.468
Enterprise To Revenue 5.254
Enterprise Value 2,239,463,168
Eps Current Year -0.485
Eps Forward -0.295
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.16
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 10.9532
Fifty Day Average Change -0.083200455
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.007595995
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 21.860981
Fifty Two Week High 26.64
Fifty Two Week High Change -15.7699995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.591967
Fifty Two Week Low 4.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.2320329
Fifty Two Week Range 4.87 - 26.64
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,610,634,600,000
Float Shares 246,182,942
Forward Eps -0.295
Forward P E -36.847458
Free Cashflow -25,958,376
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,410
Fullday Change -0.400001
Fullday Change Percent -3.54925
Fullday Price 10.87
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.22729
Gross Profits 96,887,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.013250001
Held Percent Institutions 0.68754
Implied Shares Outstanding 249,992,609
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Redwire Corporation provides critical space solutions and space infrastructure for government and commercial customers in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates in two segments Space and Defense Tech. The company offers sensors and avionics systems, including star trackers and sun sensors, which are critical for accurate navigation and control of spacecraft; camera systems; infrared, space situational awareness, and position timing and navigation payloads; It also provides software suite that enables digital engineering and generation of high-fidelity, interactive modeling and simulations of individual components, entire spacecraft, and full constellations in a cloud-based environment. In addition, the company offers microgravity payloads, radio frequency systems, antennas, spacecraft platforms and missions, and in-space manufacturing and biotech facilities, as well as field-proven uncrewed airborne system (UAS) technology. Further, it provides combat-proven autonomous systems, optical sensors, advanced optics, resilient energy solutions, and radio frequency payloads, as well as provides intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities for customers including the U.S. Department of War, U.S. Federal Civilian Agencies and allied governments across multiple domains. Redwire Corporation was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
Long Name Redwire Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,717,419,520
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_408856966
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common -258,712,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,817,416,703
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 11.165
Operating Cashflow -76,189,000
Operating Margins -0.18858999
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 701 7722
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 10.87
Post Market Time 1,787,961,596
Prev Name Genesis Park Acquisition Corp.
Previous Close 11.27
Price Eps Current Year -22.41237
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.6552459
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.374849
Profit Margins -0.57263
Quick Ratio 3.38
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.77778
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.400001
Regular Market Change Percent -3.54925
Regular Market Day High 11.1819
Regular Market Day Low 10.68
Regular Market Day Range 10.68 - 11.1819
Regular Market Open 11.165
Regular Market Previous Close 11.27
Regular Market Price 10.87
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 9,723,960
Return On Assets -0.06102
Return On Equity -0.18153
Revenue Growth 0.896
Revenue Per Share 2.331
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 249,992,609
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1593
Shares Short 39,820,178
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 42,903,142
Short Name Redwire Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.1849
Short Ratio 2.24
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol RDW
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 14.5625
Target Median Price 15.0
Total Cash 556,966,976
Total Cash Per Share 2.237
Total Debt 90,275,000
Total Revenue 426,272,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.16
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.46235
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.40765
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.038963523
Type Disp Equity
Volume 9,723,960
Website https://www.rdw.com
Zip 32,256