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Redwire Corporation (RDW)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Jacksonville, United States | NYSE
15.12 USD -1.97 (-11.527%) ⇩ (June 12, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 15.20 +0.08 (0.529%) ⇧ (June 12, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | June 12, 2026, 9:01 p.m. EDT

Redwire is a high-risk, high-reward speculative play on the space sector that has recently suffered a sharp correction. The stock has fallen nearly 40% from its May highs, coinciding with significant insider selling and a $500 million equity offering that diluted shareholders. While the company boasts impressive top-line revenue growth of nearly 58% and a positive four-year price trajectory, it remains unprofitable with negative operating cash flow and a negative return on equity. The options market is pricing in substantial volatility, with heavy positioning at current levels suggesting a struggle to find direction. Investors should view this as a bet on future contract wins rather than current financial stability.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_90_115 ✓0.177099
MSTL_1150.193384
AutoARIMA0.226856
AutoETS0.226857
AutoTheta0.226944
MSTL0.238880
MSTL_900.285861

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_90_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 24%
H-stat 62.88
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.23
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 11.325
Revenue per Share 2.47
Market Cap 3,007,651,072
Forward P/E -36.88
Beta 2.94
Profit Margins -80.90%
Previous Name Genesis Park Acquisition Corp.
Website https://www.rdw.com

As of June 12, 2026, 9:01 p.m. EDT: Implied volatility is elevated across all expirations, indicating uncertainty. Open interest is heavily concentrated at the 15.0 strike for both calls and puts, creating a dense barrier near current prices. Call buyers are targeting the 20.0 to 25.0 range, while put sellers are defending the 14.5 to 15.0 floor. The flow suggests a range-bound expectation with significant hedging activity.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.26494896
Address1 8,226 Philips Highway
Address2 Suite 101
All Time High 26.66
All Time Low 1.67
Ask 15.28
Ask Size 1,500
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 53,330,610
Average Daily Volume3 Month 37,008,028
Average Volume 37,008,028
Average Volume10Days 53,330,610
Beta 2.936
Bid 15.17
Bid Size 1,300
Board Risk 9
Book Value 5.496
City Jacksonville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.12
Current Ratio 1.752
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,780,012,800
Day High 16.43
Day Low 14.72
Debt To Equity 11.325
Display Name Redwire
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,158,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,158,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda -178,411,008
Ebitda Margins -0.48095
Enterprise To Ebitda -17.131
Enterprise To Revenue 8.239
Enterprise Value 3,056,398,336
Eps Current Year -0.68
Eps Forward -0.41
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.59
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.3994
Fifty Day Average Change 1.7206001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.12840874
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -26.494896
Fifty Two Week High 26.64
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.5199995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4324324
Fifty Two Week Low 4.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.1047227
Fifty Two Week Range 4.87 - 26.64
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,610,634,600,000
Float Shares 195,228,831
Forward Eps -0.41
Forward P E -36.878048
Free Cashflow -71,324,128
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,780,531,200
Gross Margins 0.12858
Gross Profits 47,697,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.012569999
Held Percent Institutions 0.45319
Implied Shares Outstanding 198,918,728
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Redwire Corporation provides critical space solutions and space infrastructure for government and commercial customers in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates in two segments Space and Defense Tech. The company offers sensors and avionics systems, including star trackers and sun sensors, which are critical for accurate navigation and control of spacecraft; camera systems; infrared, space situational awareness, and position timing and navigation payloads; It also provides software suite that enables digital engineering and generation of high-fidelity, interactive modeling and simulations of individual components, entire spacecraft, and full constellations in a cloud-based environment. In addition, the company offers microgravity payloads, radio frequency systems, antennas, spacecraft platforms and missions, and in-space manufacturing and biotech facilities, as well as field-proven uncrewed airborne system (UAS) technology. Further, it provides combat-proven autonomous systems, optical sensors, advanced optics, resilient energy solutions, and radio frequency payloads, as well as provides intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities for customers including the U.S. Department of War, U.S. Federal Civilian Agencies and allied governments across multiple domains. Redwire Corporation was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
Long Name Redwire Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,007,651,072
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_408856966
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-06-12
Net Income To Common -343,864,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,007,651,167
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 16.28
Operating Cashflow -138,916,000
Operating Margins -0.71836
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 701 7722
Post Market Change 0.07999992
Post Market Change Percent 0.5291
Post Market Price 15.2
Post Market Time 1,781,308,799
Prev Name Genesis Park Acquisition Corp.
Previous Close 17.09
Price Eps Current Year -22.235294
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.7510917
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 8.107794
Profit Margins -0.809
Quick Ratio 1.258
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.7
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.97
Regular Market Change Percent -11.5272
Regular Market Day High 16.43
Regular Market Day Low 14.72
Regular Market Day Range 14.72 - 16.43
Regular Market Open 16.28
Regular Market Previous Close 17.09
Regular Market Price 15.12
Regular Market Time 1,781,294,402
Regular Market Volume 63,667,286
Return On Assets -0.15016
Return On Equity -0.48749
Revenue Growth 0.579
Revenue Per Share 2.47
Sand P52 Week Change 0.23177934
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 198,918,728
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.18530001
Shares Short 36,860,568
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,777,507,200
Shares Short Prior Month 27,479,524
Short Name Redwire Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.2243
Short Ratio 0.73
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol RDW
Target High Price 24.0
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 15.66667
Target Median Price 15.0
Total Cash 144,506,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.73
Total Debt 131,888,000
Total Revenue 370,958,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.59
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.76625
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.35375
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.548189
Type Disp Equity
Volume 63,667,286
Website https://www.rdw.com
Zip 32,256