Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT)Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | South Salt Lake, United States | NasdaqCM
8.38 USD
-0.45
(-5.096%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 8.39 +0.01 (0.112%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:35 a.m. EDT
The fundamental reality here is stark: despite the hype surrounding NATO deals and drone programs, the business is hemorrhaging cash with negative operating margins and free cash flow. The stock has lost over 98% of its value over the last nine years, a structural decline that no amount of recent contract wins can immediately reverse. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt-to-equity nearing 6 and no dividend to cushion the blow. While the analyst consensus is aggressively bullish based on potential future contracts, the market has priced in a value trap where the current price reflects a lack of sustainable profitability. The options market confirms this skepticism, with traders buying massive amounts of downside protection rather than betting on a rally. Until the company demonstrates a path to positive cash flow and stabilizes its operations, this remains a speculative gamble on a turnaround story rather than a sound investment. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.117512 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.119993 |
| AutoETS | 0.125110 |
| MSTL | 0.136275 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 35% |
| H-stat | 0.55 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.262 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.20 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 5.778 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.506 |
| Market Cap | 1,275,371,264 |
| Forward P/E | -23.28 |
| Beta | 1.30 |
| Profit Margins | -138.36% |
| Website | https://redcat.red |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:35 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with deep in-the-money put open interest significantly exceeding call open interest across nearly all expirations. While there is notable call volume at strikes above the current price (11-15), the overwhelming open interest concentration in the money suggests a 'bear put spread' or hedging strategy rather than a bullish breakout play. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, indicating fear of a sharp decline.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.14520812 |
| Address1 | 2,800 South West Temple |
| Address2 | Suite 5 |
| All Time High | 990,000.0 |
| All Time Low | 0.0 |
| Ask | 10.71 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.2 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 11,103,730 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 13,417,550 |
| Average Volume | 13,417,550 |
| Average Volume10Days | 11,103,730 |
| Beta | 1.296 |
| Bid | 6.27 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 10 |
| Book Value | 1.959 |
| City | South Salt Lake |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 8.38 |
| Current Ratio | 10.988 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 8.71 |
| Day Low | 8.27 |
| Debt To Equity | 5.778 |
| Display Name | Red Cat |
| Dividend Date | 1,564,617,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,185,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,185,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,184,000 |
| Ebitda | -78,932,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -1.44644 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -11.535 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 16.684 |
| Enterprise Value | 910,456,000 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.43 |
| Eps Forward | -0.36 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.68 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 10.8608 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.4807997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.22841777 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -14.520812 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 18.78 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -10.400001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5537806 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 5.77 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.6100001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.4523397 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 5.77 - 18.78 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,011,191,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 111,480,749 |
| Forward Eps | -0.36 |
| Forward P E | -23.277777 |
| Free Cashflow | -89,164,896 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 244 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.07493 |
| Gross Profits | 4,089,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.09114 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.44284 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 152,192,265 |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Disp | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Key | aerospace-defense |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-04-30 |
| Ir Website | http://www.peacockfinancial.com/frameset.html |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,564,617,600 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:1200 |
| Long Business Summary | Red Cat Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides drone and robotic solutions for defense, national security, and commercial applications in the United States. The company designs and manufactures small and tactical unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), such as BLACK WIDOW, a short-range reconnaissance war fighter with selectable integrated AI software capabilities; TEAL 2, a blue UAS product of defense used by combat soldiers, police officers, firefighters, wildlife managers, and industrial inspectors; and FANG, a first-person view small UAS. It also develops and produces long-endurance, vertical takeoff, and landing fixed-wing unmanned aircraft systems designed for extended-range intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions, such as THE EDGE 130. In addition, the company develops BLUE OPS, a battle-tested uncrewed surface vessel weapons system. Further, it provides FANG FPV DRONE, part of ARACHNID family of unmanned intelligence. Red Cat Holdings, Inc. is based in South Salt Lake, Utah. |
| Long Name | Red Cat Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,275,371,264 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_558103995 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -75,505,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,341,574,815 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 6 |
| Open | 8.7 |
| Operating Cashflow | -105,172,000 |
| Operating Margins | -1.76472 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 800 466 9152 |
| Post Market Change | 0.009399414 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.11216485 |
| Post Market Price | 8.3894 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,170 |
| Previous Close | 8.83 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -19.488373 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 4.277693 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 23.37129 |
| Profit Margins | -1.3836399 |
| Quick Ratio | 7.468 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.16667 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.45 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.09626 |
| Regular Market Day High | 8.71 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 8.27 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 8.27 - 8.71 |
| Regular Market Open | 8.7 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 8.83 |
| Regular Market Price | 8.38 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 7,088,403 |
| Return On Assets | -0.29799 |
| Return On Equity | -0.56421 |
| Revenue Growth | 8.491 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.506 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 152,192,265 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.21350001 |
| Shares Short | 32,499,770 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 28,461,821 |
| Short Name | Red Cat Holdings, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.2348 |
| Short Ratio | 2.29 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | UT |
| Symbol | RCAT |
| Target High Price | 25.0 |
| Target Low Price | 20.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 22.0 |
| Target Median Price | 21.0 |
| Total Cash | 131,919,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.075 |
| Total Debt | 13,794,000 |
| Total Revenue | 54,570,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.68 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 11.451875 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -3.0718746 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.26824206 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 7,088,403 |
| Website | https://redcat.red |
| Zip | 84,115 |