Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT)Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | South Salt Lake, United States | NasdaqCM
4.90 USD
+0.17
(3.594%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 4.93 +0.03 (0.612%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:34 a.m. EDT
The fundamental reality here is stark: the business is currently burning cash with negative operating margins and a massive hole in its free cash flow. Despite landing some government contracts, the financials tell a story of distress, evidenced by the stock trading near its 52-week lows after a parabolic run-up. The market has seemingly priced in a 'value trap' scenario where the hype of drone deals cannot yet cover the operational bleed. The short-term outlook remains murky. While the statistical forecast model leans slightly negative, it is statistically weak and unreliable given the low confidence score. More telling is the options activity, which shows a 'bull trap' setup: traders are buying deep out-of-the-money calls hoping for a miracle, while simultaneously buying deep out-of-the-money puts to insure against a collapse. This suggests a wait-and-see approach rather than a conviction trade. Long-term, the investment case is severely compromised. The company has endured nearly a decade of structural decline, dropping over 97% from its peak. The recent price recovery is likely driven entirely by the speculative narrative of government contracts, not by a restoration of profitability or a fortress balance sheet. Without a clear path to sustained profitability and positive cash flow, the risk of permanent capital loss remains high. Investors should view this as a high-risk speculative play on a turnaround story, not a sound investment. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.137362 |
| AutoETS | 0.142204 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.142206 |
| AutoTheta | 0.207812 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 37% |
| H-stat | 0.28 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.467 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.90 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 3.157 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.6 |
| Market Cap | 748,300,416 |
| Forward P/E | -8.83 |
| Beta | 1.52 |
| Profit Margins | -136.26% |
| Website | https://redcat.red |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound outcome rather than a directional breakout. Call volume is heavily concentrated at strikes significantly above the current price (10, 15, 31), indicating a speculative hope for a massive rally to double or triple the stock. However, put volume and open interest are even more aggressive at lower strikes (4, 5.5, 6), creating a dense 'floor' of downside protection. This heavy concentration of open interest at both extremes suggests traders expect a choppy, high-volatility environment where the stock could spike on news or crash on earnings, rather than a steady linear move.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.63219285 |
| Address1 | 2,800 South West Temple |
| Address2 | Suite 5 |
| All Time High | 990,000.0 |
| All Time Low | 0.0 |
| Ask | 8.95 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 6,306,760 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 8,228,107 |
| Average Volume | 8,228,107 |
| Average Volume10Days | 6,306,760 |
| Beta | 1.515 |
| Bid | 5.25 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 10 |
| Book Value | 3.086 |
| City | South Salt Lake |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.9 |
| Current Ratio | 14.857 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 4.95 |
| Day Low | 4.41 |
| Debt To Equity | 3.157 |
| Display Name | Red Cat |
| Dividend Date | 1,564,617,600 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | -103,979,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -1.4534199 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -4.209 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 6.117 |
| Enterprise Value | 437,620,384 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.74 |
| Eps Forward | -0.555 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.73 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 7.9367 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -3.0366998 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.3826149 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -63.219284 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 18.78 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -13.880001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.7390842 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.41 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.49000025 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.11111117 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.41 - 18.78 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,011,191,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 139,779,456 |
| Forward Eps | -0.555 |
| Forward P E | -8.828829 |
| Free Cashflow | -117,062,464 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 244 |
| Fullday Change | 0.21000004 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 4.439747 |
| Fullday Price | 4.9 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.0975 |
| Gross Profits | 6,975,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.08741 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.57490003 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 152,714,362 |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Disp | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Key | aerospace-defense |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-04-30 |
| Ir Website | http://www.peacockfinancial.com/frameset.html |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,564,617,600 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:1200 |
| Long Business Summary | Red Cat Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides drone and robotic solutions for defense, national security, and commercial applications in the United States. The company designs and manufactures small and tactical unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), such as BLACK WIDOW, a short-range reconnaissance war fighter with selectable integrated AI software capabilities; TEAL 2, a blue UAS product of defense used by combat soldiers, police officers, firefighters, wildlife managers, and industrial inspectors; and FANG, a first-person view small UAS. It also develops and produces long-endurance, vertical takeoff, and landing fixed-wing unmanned aircraft systems designed for extended-range intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions, such as THE EDGE 130. In addition, the company develops BLUE OPS, a battle-tested uncrewed surface vessel weapons system. Further, it provides FANG FPV DRONE, part of ARACHNID family of unmanned intelligence. The company has a Partnership with Havoc to develop open-architecture autonomous maritime defense systems. Red Cat Holdings, Inc. is based in South Salt Lake, Utah. |
| Long Name | Red Cat Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 748,300,416 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_558103995 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -97,485,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,006,387,645 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 4.56 |
| Operating Cashflow | -139,078,000 |
| Operating Margins | -1.91416 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 800 466 9152 |
| Post Market Change | 0.029999733 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.6122394 |
| Post Market Price | 4.93 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,108,455 |
| Previous Close | 4.73 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -6.6216216 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 1.587816 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 10.459743 |
| Profit Margins | -1.36265 |
| Quick Ratio | 11.711 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.375 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.17 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 3.59408 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.95 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.41 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.41 - 4.95 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.56 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.73 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.9 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,400 |
| Regular Market Volume | 9,885,204 |
| Return On Assets | -0.20694 |
| Return On Equity | -0.34402 |
| Revenue Growth | 5.272 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.6 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16440773 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 152,714,362 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.2343 |
| Shares Short | 35,776,323 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 32,051,407 |
| Short Name | Red Cat Holdings, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.2575 |
| Short Ratio | 4.22 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | UT |
| Symbol | RCAT |
| Target High Price | 25.0 |
| Target Low Price | 9.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 16.5 |
| Target Median Price | 15.0 |
| Total Cash | 325,552,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.132 |
| Total Debt | 14,873,000 |
| Total Revenue | 71,541,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.73 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 10.84905 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.9490495 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.54834753 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 9,885,204 |
| Website | https://redcat.red |
| Zip | 84,115 |