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Quince Therapeutics, Inc. (QNCX)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | South San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
17.25 USD -0.29 (-1.653%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:24 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Quince Therapeutics is currently broken by a combination of existential corporate risk and deteriorating fundamentals. The company is navigating a perilous period of strategic uncertainty, with headlines confirming plans for a reverse merger and explicit bankruptcy risks, which has triggered a severe sell-off. Financially, the picture is stark: the stock has lost over 95% of its value over the past six years, trading at a negative forward P/E with significant losses in free cash flow and equity. While the recent Phase 2a data for LAM-001 offers a glimmer of scientific hope, the market is pricing in the high probability of a distressed liquidation or a chaotic restructuring rather than a clean turnaround. The options market confirms this pessimism, with heavy put buying suggesting traders expect further declines. Until the corporate structure stabilizes and the path to profitability becomes clear, this remains a speculative gamble on survival rather than a viable investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.065282
MSTL_900.080003
AutoTheta0.137610
MSTL0.144887
AutoETS0.168124
MSTL_660.234340
MSTL_66_900.439553

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 0.58
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.143
Excess Kurtosis -1.25
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.591
Market Cap 16,869,862
Forward P/E -3.27
Beta 1.40
Previous Name Cortexyme, Inc.
Website https://quincetx.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:24 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for a massive crash rather than a rally. Call volume is negligible and concentrated at strikes far below the current price ($0.50-$2.00), while put volume is active at the money and slightly out-of-the-money. This indicates a 'bear put spread' or hedging strategy where traders are betting on further downside or protecting existing long positions against a collapse, rather than anticipating a recovery.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.9507303
Address1 611 Gateway Boulevard
Address2 Suite 273
All Time High 24,396.0
All Time Low 15.1
Ask 22.27
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 38,355
Average Daily Volume3 Month 67,338
Average Volume 67,338
Average Volume10Days 38,355
Beta 1.401
Bid 12.83
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 1.136
City South San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 17.25
Current Ratio 2.917
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 18.2
Day Low 17.21
Debt To Equity 2.591
Display Name Quince Therapeutics
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,478,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,478,400
Ebitda -48,461,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda 0.076
Enterprise Value -3,697,611
Eps Current Year -1.48
Eps Forward -5.28
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -210.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.0122
Fifty Day Average Change -3.7621994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.17904834
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -95.07303
Fifty Two Week High 910.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -892.75
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.98104393
Fifty Two Week Low 15.1
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.1499996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.14238408
Fifty Two Week Range 15.1 - 910.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,557,408,600,000
Float Shares 731,871
Forward Eps -5.28
Forward P E -3.2670453
Free Cashflow -30,789,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 38
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00316
Held Percent Institutions 0.14206
Implied Shares Outstanding 977,963
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,782,777,600
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Quince Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on acquiring, developing, and commercializing therapeutics for patients with debilitating and rare diseases. The company's lead asset candidature comprises eDSP, which is in Phase 3, for the treatment of rare pediatric neurodegenerative disease, including A-T, an inherited autosomal recessive neurodegenerative and immunodeficiency disorder caused by mutations in ATM gene. Its AIDE technology platform, a drug/device combination platform that uses an automated process to encapsulate a drug into a patient's own red blood cells, as well as consist of an automated equipment the RCL, a sterile single-use consumable treatment kit comprising kit medical devices, syringe kit, and process solutions. The company was formerly known as Cortexyme, Inc. and changed its name to Quince Therapeutics, Inc. in August 2022. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Long Name Quince Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 16,869,862
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_266230063
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common -36,155,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 16,869,861
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 17.59
Operating Cashflow -39,451,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 415 910 5717
Pre Market Change -0.13999939
Pre Market Change Percent -0.8115907
Pre Market Price 17.11
Pre Market Time 1,784,016,473
Prev Name Cortexyme, Inc.
Previous Close 17.54
Price Eps Current Year -11.655405
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 15.184858
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 2.819
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.290001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.65337
Regular Market Day High 18.2
Regular Market Day Low 17.21
Regular Market Day Range 17.21 - 18.2
Regular Market Open 17.59
Regular Market Previous Close 17.54
Regular Market Price 17.25
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 52,600
Return On Assets -0.45439997
Return On Equity -1.9289999
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 977,963
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1153
Shares Short 112,788
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 102,989
Short Name Quince Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1157
Short Ratio 4.14
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol QNCX
Target High Price 100.0
Target Low Price 70.0
Target Mean Price 83.33333
Target Median Price 80.0
Total Cash 18,163,000
Total Cash Per Share 22.285
Total Debt 406,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -210.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 239.68304
Two Hundred Day Average Change -222.43304
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.92802995
Type Disp Equity
Volume 52,600
Website https://quincetx.com
Zip 94,080