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Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Louisville, United States | NasdaqGS
19.21 USD -0.09 (-0.466%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 19.21

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:15 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Papa John's is currently broken by a severe multi-year structural decline. Despite a low forward P/E, the company has suffered four consecutive years of negative annual returns, dropping nearly 47% over the last nine years. This is not a temporary dip; the market has consistently reassessed the business quality downward, evidenced by the relentless price erosion. Fundamentals confirm the distress: revenue is contracting, earnings are shrinking, and the balance sheet is fragile with negative book value and a current ratio below 1. While the dividend offers a 2% yield, it is insufficient to offset the capital destruction occurring in the stock price. The options market reflects this pessimism, with heavy put buying acting as a floor while call buyers are placing distant, speculative bets on a miracle turnaround rather than a near-term bounce. With analysts cutting forecasts and downgrades mounting, the short-term outlook remains bearish as the company struggles to execute a turnaround.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.281256
MSTL0.289515
AutoETS0.290544
AutoARIMA0.290547

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 4.39
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.036
Excess Kurtosis 0.26
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Revenue per Share 59.73
Market Cap 632,425,600
Trailing P/E 24.01
Forward P/E 14.42
Beta 1.12
Profit Margins 1.40%
Website https://www.papajohns.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:15 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts at strikes like 17.5 and 22.5 across multiple expirations. Call activity is concentrated near the money, while deep out-of-the-money calls show massive open interest walls at strikes far above the current price (e.g., 40, 55, 85), suggesting speculative bets on a massive recovery or a 'lottery ticket' strategy rather than a near-term rally. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty about the turnaround story.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.39% 3.86% 3.79% 2.97%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-18 0.460 1.394362
2026-02-09 0.460 1.320321
2025-11-17 0.460 1.143710
2025-08-18 0.460 1.002834
2025-05-19 0.460 1.114611
2025-02-10 0.460 1.190476
2024-11-18 0.460 0.961338
2024-08-19 0.460 0.989886
2024-05-17 0.460 0.900196
2024-02-09 0.460 0.634570
2023-11-10 0.460 0.713732
2023-08-11 0.460 0.560292
2023-05-12 0.420 0.547802
2023-02-03 0.420 0.450741
2022-11-10 0.420 0.511073
2022-08-12 0.420 0.452148
2022-05-13 0.350 0.428606
2022-02-04 0.350 0.288779
2021-11-08 0.350 0.268962
2021-08-13 0.350 0.274273
2021-05-10 0.225 0.235874
2021-02-05 0.225 0.221022
2020-11-09 0.225 0.291300
2020-08-10 0.225 0.238854
2020-05-08 0.225 0.277094
2020-02-07 0.225 0.348082
2019-11-07 0.225 0.359540
2019-08-09 0.225 0.488918
2019-05-10 0.225 0.428816
2019-02-08 0.225 0.523499
2018-11-08 0.225 0.406137
2018-08-10 0.225 0.558867
2018-05-11 0.225 0.428164
2018-02-09 0.225 0.393977
2017-11-06 0.225 0.383436
2017-08-03 0.225 0.290810
2017-05-04 0.200 0.245791
2017-02-02 0.200 0.244170
2016-11-03 0.200 0.255984
2016-08-04 0.200 0.263992
2016-05-05 0.175 0.291521
2016-02-04 0.175 0.382013
2015-11-06 0.175 0.303609
2015-08-07 0.175 0.243224
2015-05-07 0.140 0.213025
2015-02-05 0.140 0.221134
2014-11-07 0.140 0.279553
2014-08-11 0.140 0.341463
2014-05-08 0.125 0.297194
2014-02-06 0.125 0.268586
2013-11-06 0.125 0.324971
2013-09-04 0.125 0.364910
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.0
exDividendDate 2026-05-18
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.84
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.095336795
lastDividendValue 0.46
lastDividendDate 2026-05-18
dividendDate 2026-05-29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.63924885
Address1 2,002 Papa John’s Boulevard
All Time High 140.68
All Time Low 1.888889
Ask 24.98
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,339,090
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,464,158
Average Volume 1,464,158
Average Volume10Days 1,339,090
Beta 1.118
Bid 14.25
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value -13.763
City Louisville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 19.21
Current Ratio 0.829
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 19.3
Day Low 18.7801
Display Name Papa John's
Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Earnings Growth -0.143
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.105
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 196,010,000
Ebitda Margins 0.099630006
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.913
Enterprise To Revenue 0.788
Enterprise Value 1,551,024,640
Eps Current Year 1.1819
Eps Forward 1.3318
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.8
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.8878
Fifty Day Average Change -2.6778011
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12234218
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -63.924885
Fifty Two Week High 55.74
Fifty Two Week High Change -36.530003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6553642
Fifty Two Week Low 18.78
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.4299984
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.022896612
Fifty Two Week Range 18.78 - 55.74
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 739,546,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.43
Float Shares 32,481,524
Forward Eps 1.3318
Forward P E 14.424088
Free Cashflow 58,907,876
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 9,400
Fullday Change -0.09000015
Fullday Change Percent -0.46632206
Fullday Price 19.21
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.20365
Gross Profits 400,644,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01704
Held Percent Institutions 1.15948
Implied Shares Outstanding 32,921,687
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ir Website http://ir.papajohns.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Last Dividend Value 0.46
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Last Split Date 1,388,361,600
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Papa John's International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Franchising, North America Commissaries, and International. The company operates dine-in and delivery restaurants. It also offers pizza and other food and beverage products. In addition, the company supplies pizza sauce, dough, food products, paper products, smallware, and cleaning supplies to restaurants. Papa John's International, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.
Long Name Papa John's International, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 632,425,600
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_325388
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,604,800
Net Income To Common 26,337,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 671,602,414
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 19.2
Operating Cashflow 94,985,000
Operating Margins 0.057439998
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 2.3
Peg Ratio 2.21
Phone 502 261 7272
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 19.21
Post Market Time 1,792,008,056
Previous Close 19.3
Price Eps Current Year 16.253489
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -1.3957713
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.32146245
Profit Margins 0.01401
Quick Ratio 0.441
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0900002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.466322
Regular Market Day High 19.3
Regular Market Day Low 18.7801
Regular Market Day Range 18.7801 - 19.3
Regular Market Open 19.2
Regular Market Previous Close 19.3
Regular Market Price 19.21
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,001
Regular Market Volume 1,175,298
Return On Assets 0.077309996
Revenue Growth -0.088
Revenue Per Share 59.73
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1570785
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 32,921,687
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.2028
Shares Short 6,676,926
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 6,047,013
Short Name Papa John's International, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2749
Short Ratio 4.46
Source Interval 15
State KY
Symbol PZZA
Target High Price 43.0
Target Low Price 24.0
Target Mean Price 29.0
Target Median Price 27.5
Total Cash 28,762,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.874
Total Debt 935,520,000
Total Revenue 1,967,339,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.84
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.095336795
Trailing Eps 0.8
Trailing P E 24.012499
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.3394
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 31.24265
Two Hundred Day Average Change -12.03265
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.38513538
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,175,298
Website https://www.papajohns.com
Zip 40,299-2367