Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON)Consumer Cyclical | Leisure | New York, United States | NasdaqGS
6.08 USD
+0.22
(3.754%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:15 a.m. EDT
The long-term outlook remains neutral due to the company's precarious financial structure. Despite a recent year-over-year price recovery, the underlying business is still weighed down by negative book value, a trailing P/E of nearly 98, and a history of significant volatility. The market has not yet priced in a sustainable turnaround, evidenced by the massive discount to the forward P/E and the lack of analyst consensus. While the short-term chart shows a slight upward lean, the heavy options positioning for extreme moves—both up and down—suggests that smart money is waiting for a catalyst to decide whether this is a value trap or a speculative vehicle. Until the balance sheet stabilizes and revenue growth becomes consistent, the investment case lacks the certainty required for a bullish rating. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.143823 |
| AutoETS | 0.150970 |
| AutoTheta | 0.176632 |
| MSTL_57 | 0.208522 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.234260 |
| MSTL_115 | 0.290558 |
| MSTL_57_115 | 0.326819 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 33% |
| H-stat | 3.45 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.609 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.57 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Revenue per Share | 5.873 |
| Market Cap | 2,632,590,848 |
| Trailing P/E | 101.33 |
| Forward P/E | 24.72 |
| Beta | 2.53 |
| Profit Margins | 0.95% |
| Website | https://www.onepeloton.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:15 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call open interest is heavily skewed toward strikes significantly above the current price (10.0 and 15.0 for Jan '27 expirations), suggesting a bet on a massive gap-up event. Conversely, put volume is concentrated at deep out-of-the-money strikes (1.0 and 4.0), indicating a hedge against a crash to multi-year lows. The skew suggests a binary outcome expectation: either a speculative mania or a continued collapse, with little positioning for a moderate, linear recovery.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.09006214 |
| Address1 | 441 Ninth Avenue |
| Address2 | Sixth Floor |
| All Time High | 171.09 |
| All Time Low | 2.7 |
| Ask | 6.87 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 5 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 8,862,180 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 13,273,426 |
| Average Volume | 13,273,426 |
| Average Volume10Days | 8,862,180 |
| Beta | 2.53 |
| Bid | 5.21 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | -0.559 |
| City | New York |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 6.08 |
| Current Ratio | 2.489 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 6.2099 |
| Day Low | 5.86 |
| Display Name | Peloton Interactive |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,157,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,157,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,157,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,019,400 |
| Ebitda | 225,200,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0921 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 14.368 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.323 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,235,590,912 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.165 |
| Eps Forward | 0.246 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.06 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 5.6534 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.42659998 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.07545901 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -9.006214 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 9.2 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -3.12 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.33913043 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.65 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.4299998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.66575336 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.65 - 9.2 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,569,504,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 406,834,883 |
| Forward Eps | 0.246 |
| Forward P E | 24.715446 |
| Free Cashflow | 397,962,496 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 2,605 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.51959 |
| Gross Profits | 1,270,499,968 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01194 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.89316005 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 432,991,925 |
| Industry | Leisure |
| Industry Disp | Leisure |
| Industry Key | leisure |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,751,241,600 |
| Long Business Summary | Peloton Interactive, Inc. provides fitness and wellness products and services in North America and internationally. The company offers connected fitness products, such as the Peloton Bike, Peloton Bike+, Peloton Tread, Peloton Tread+, and Peloton Row. It also provides all-access, rental, and Peloton App memberships. In addition, the company leases Peloton Bike+ products. The company sells its products through e-commerce and inside sales, retail showrooms, and third-party retailers. Peloton Interactive, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York. |
| Long Name | Peloton Interactive, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,632,590,848 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_225591096 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 23,200,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,782,777,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,630,425,944 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 16 |
| Open | 5.86 |
| Operating Cashflow | 413,600,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.0951 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 929 567 0006 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.049999714 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -0.82236373 |
| Pre Market Price | 6.03 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,016,064 |
| Previous Close | 5.86 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 36.848484 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -10.876565 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.0766363 |
| Profit Margins | 0.00949 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.085 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.22 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 3.75426 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.2099 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 5.86 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 5.86 - 6.2099 |
| Regular Market Open | 5.86 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 5.86 |
| Regular Market Price | 6.08 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 9,271,314 |
| Return On Assets | 0.05885 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.011 |
| Revenue Per Share | 5.873 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 10 |
| Shares Outstanding | 417,155,201 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.142 |
| Shares Short | 61,466,080 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 64,836,724 |
| Short Name | Peloton Interactive, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1488 |
| Short Ratio | 6.14 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NY |
| Symbol | PTON |
| Target High Price | 20.0 |
| Target Low Price | 4.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 8.09375 |
| Target Median Price | 7.25 |
| Total Cash | 1,126,300,032 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.601 |
| Total Debt | 1,729,299,968 |
| Total Revenue | 2,445,199,872 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.06 |
| Trailing P E | 101.333336 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 5.87125 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.20874977 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.03555457 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 9,271,314 |
| Website | https://www.onepeloton.com |
| Zip | 10,001 |