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Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON)

Consumer Cyclical | Leisure | New York, United States | NasdaqGS
5.00 USD -0.18 (-3.475%) ⇩ (April 21, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:30 p.m. EDT

Peloton presents a bifurcated picture: structurally risky long-term value trap meeting a volatile, gamma-heavy short-term bounce play. While the company is trading at bargain valuation (0.89 P/S) with a positive forward EPS outlook, the balance sheet remains fragile with negative book value and recent revenue contraction. Technically, the stock is rebounding from yearly lows and sits near strong support, yet the heavy put wall and negative forecasting model (-13% predicted change) warn of a likely grind lower or choppy yo-yo until fundamental sales growth stabilizes. It is a high-beta vehicle for short-term momentum traders but an inadequate holding for long-term capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.217139
MSTL0.283066
AutoARIMA0.294786
AutoETS0.296959

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.49
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.075
Excess Kurtosis -1.08
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Revenue per Share 5.982
Market Cap 2,127,445,504
Forward P/E 21.51
Beta 2.38
Profit Margins -2.09%
Website https://www.onepeloton.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:30 p.m. EDT: Options flow is mixed but leaning speculative. Call OI builds significantly at $6.0 and $10.0 strikes, creating a bullish gamma floor above current price. However, out-of-the-money Put OI is exceptionally heavy at near-term expirations ($5.0 and $6.0 strikes with massive Open Interest supports), suggesting speculators are positioning for a protective downside or a 'long gamma' volatility expansion. ATM IV for longer-dated calls (May 29) is anomalously high (11.94), indicating extreme market fear of downside risk far out, while ATM IV for close calls is compressed.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.16387957
Address1 441 Ninth Avenue
Address2 Sixth Floor
All Time High 171.09
All Time Low 2.7
Ask 5.76
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.2 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 12,838,570
Average Daily Volume3 Month 14,414,814
Average Volume 14,414,814
Average Volume10Days 12,838,570
Beta 2.377
Bid 4.74
Bid Size 3
Board Risk 5
Book Value -0.769
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.0
Current Ratio 1.983
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 5.26
Day Low 4.89
Display Name Peloton Interactive
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,770,298,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,770,298,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,770,298,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Ebitda 173,200,000
Ebitda Margins 0.07103
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.713
Enterprise To Revenue 1.187
Enterprise Value 2,894,745,344
Eps Current Year 0.21333
Eps Forward 0.2325
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.12
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.2678
Fifty Day Average Change 0.73220015
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.17156385
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -16.387957
Fifty Two Week High 9.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.2
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.45652172
Fifty Two Week Low 3.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.3499999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.36986297
Fifty Two Week Range 3.65 - 9.2
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,569,504,600,000
Float Shares 399,542,765
Forward Eps 0.2325
Forward P E 21.505377
Free Cashflow 353,787,488
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,605
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.51725
Gross Profits 1,261,200,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01197
Held Percent Institutions 0.91424006
Implied Shares Outstanding 425,489,090
Industry Leisure
Industry Disp Leisure
Industry Key leisure
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Long Business Summary Peloton Interactive, Inc. provides fitness and wellness products and services in North America and internationally. The company offers connected fitness products, such as the Peloton Bike, Peloton Bike+, Peloton Tread, Peloton Tread+, and Peloton Row. It also provides all-access, rental, and Peloton App memberships. In addition, the company leases Peloton Bike+ products. The company sells its products through e-commerce and inside sales, retail showrooms, and third-party retailers. Peloton Interactive, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name Peloton Interactive, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,127,445,504
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_225591096
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -50,900,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,127,445,450
Number Of Analyst Opinions 16
Open 5.2
Operating Cashflow 357,600,000
Operating Margins 0.01721
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 929 567 0006
Pre Market Change 0.03999996
Pre Market Change Percent 0.79999924
Pre Market Price 5.04
Pre Market Time 1,776,848,921
Previous Close 5.18
Price Eps Current Year 23.437866
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -6.5019507
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8725118
Profit Margins -0.02088
Quick Ratio 1.624
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.19048
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.18
Regular Market Change Percent -3.4749
Regular Market Day High 5.26
Regular Market Day Low 4.89
Regular Market Day Range 4.89 - 5.26
Regular Market Open 5.2
Regular Market Previous Close 5.18
Regular Market Price 5.0
Regular Market Time 1,776,801,600
Regular Market Volume 10,435,512
Return On Assets 0.03878
Revenue Growth -0.026
Revenue Per Share 5.982
Sand P52 Week Change 0.3140242
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 409,652,366
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.14109999
Shares Short 60,041,610
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 67,604,673
Short Name Peloton Interactive, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1481
Short Ratio 4.31
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol PTON
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 4.0
Target Mean Price 7.875
Target Median Price 6.5
Total Cash 1,179,600,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.772
Total Debt 1,946,899,968
Total Revenue 2,438,299,904
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.12
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.35655
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.3565502
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.21340981
Type Disp Equity
Volume 10,435,512
Website https://www.onepeloton.com
Zip 10,001