Portillo's Inc. (PTLO)Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Oak Brook, United States | NasdaqGS
4.66 USD
-0.13
(-2.714%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 4.60 -0.06 (-0.059%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 5:17 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT
Portillo's Inc. presents a catastrophic long-term investment case driven by a relentless four-year price collapse. The stock has lost nearly 80% of its value over the last four years, with every single year showing negative returns, culminating in a massive -50.86% drop last year. This is not a temporary correction; the market has consistently reassessed the business quality downward, resulting in a fortress of losses rather than a margin of safety. Fundamentally, the company is bleeding cash, generating negative free cash flow, and carrying a debt load that dwarfs its equity, leaving it with a precarious balance sheet and a current ratio well below 1.0. The lack of any dividend history confirms the company is focused solely on survival rather than shareholder returns. While the short-term chart shows a slight stabilization after a recent dip, the underlying rot in the business model—sliding sales and shrinking margins—makes any bounce highly suspect. The options market agrees with this bearish outlook, with traders aggressively buying protection against further declines. This is a deep value trap where the low price reflects a broken business, not a bargain opportunity. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.115153 |
| AutoETS | 0.185191 |
| MSTL | 0.186036 |
| AutoTheta | 0.200815 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 35% |
| H-stat | 22.86 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.114 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.50 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 135.579 |
| Revenue per Share | 10.388 |
| Market Cap | 337,937,024 |
| Trailing P/E | 24.53 |
| Forward P/E | 19.78 |
| Beta | 1.59 |
| Profit Margins | 1.85% |
| Website | https://www.portillos.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume relative to calls, particularly in the February 2027 expiration where out-of-the-money puts show significant open interest compared to calls. While there is some call activity at strikes significantly above the current price (e.g., $12 in Jan 2027), the dominant theme is hedging against further downside, evidenced by the high percentage of out-of-the-money put open interest across most expirations.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.17667842 |
| Address1 | 2,001 Spring Road |
| Address2 | Suite 400 |
| All Time High | 57.725 |
| All Time Low | 3.29 |
| Ask | 6.0 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.5 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,193,300 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,506,567 |
| Average Volume | 1,506,567 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,193,300 |
| Beta | 1.588 |
| Bid | 3.53 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 6.622 |
| City | Oak Brook |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.66 |
| Current Ratio | 0.264 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 4.9755 |
| Day Low | 4.645 |
| Debt To Equity | 135.579 |
| Display Name | Portillo's |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.25 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.202 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,881,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,881,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,881,800 |
| Ebitda | 76,974,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.1028 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 13.484 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.386 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,037,889,024 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.19626 |
| Eps Forward | 0.23561 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.19 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 4.25 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.40999985 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.09647055 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -17.667843 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 6.69 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.0300002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.303438 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.29 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.3699999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.41641334 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.29 - 6.69 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,634,823,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 67,477,180 |
| Forward Eps | 0.23561 |
| Forward P E | 19.778448 |
| Free Cashflow | -39,332,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 7,890 |
| Fullday Change | -0.18909979 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -3.9478035 |
| Fullday Price | 4.66 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.20749001 |
| Gross Profits | 155,356,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.08015 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.67324996 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 72,518,678 |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Industry Disp | Restaurants |
| Industry Key | restaurants |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-10-21 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,766,880,000 |
| Long Business Summary | Portillo's Inc. owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States. The company offers Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, Italian beef sandwiches, char-grilled burgers, chopped salads, crinkle-cut and cheese fries, homemade chocolate cakes, and chocolate cake shake. It also operates a food truck under The Beef Bus name; and a ghost kitchen. In addition, the company provides delivery services through its application and website, as well as third-party delivery platforms. Further, it sells gift cards. Portillo's Inc. was founded in 1963 and is based in Oak Brook, Illinois. |
| Long Name | Portillo's Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 337,937,024 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_307512580 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,604,800 |
| Net Income To Common | 13,870,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,416,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 308,342,881 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 4.79 |
| Operating Cashflow | 78,346,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.084350005 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 630 954 3773 |
| Post Market Change | -0.059099674 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -1.2682334 |
| Post Market Price | 4.6009 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,185,455 |
| Previous Close | 4.79 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 23.74401 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 0.70371485 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.45133492 |
| Profit Margins | 0.01852 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.172 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.5 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.13000011 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.7139897 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.9755 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.645 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.645 - 4.9755 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.79 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.79 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.66 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,180,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,481,791 |
| Return On Assets | 0.018029999 |
| Return On Equity | 0.02747 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.056 |
| Revenue Per Share | 10.388 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.13723719 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 72,518,678 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1449 |
| Shares Short | 10,511,530 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 9,823,486 |
| Short Name | Portillo's Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1552 |
| Short Ratio | 7.34 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | IL |
| Symbol | PTLO |
| Target High Price | 11.0 |
| Target Low Price | 4.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 6.0 |
| Target Median Price | 5.0 |
| Total Cash | 21,253,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.293 |
| Total Debt | 691,388,032 |
| Total Revenue | 748,750,016 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.19 |
| Trailing P E | 24.526316 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 4.8461 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.1861 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.038402017 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,481,791 |
| Website | https://www.portillos.com |
| Zip | 60,523 |