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Portillo's Inc. (PTLO)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Oak Brook, United States | NasdaqGS
6.17 USD -0.16 (-2.453%) ⇩ (April 21, 2026, 11:51 a.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:16 a.m. EDT

Despite analyst targeting $7.50 ($5.00 target), the immediate options market is screaming 'sell': massive new put flow ($4.00-$5.00 strikes) implies a conviction that PTLO cannot hold current levels ($5.91). Combined with negative earnings growth (-51.9%) and a critical liquidity crisis (Cash $20M vs Debt $670M), the stock is a value trap with a near-term tailwarp. Avoid buying here; the setup favors puts or waiting for a more stable consolidation at lower levels.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.069386
AutoARIMA0.069777
MSTL0.080094
AutoTheta0.103125

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 55%
H-stat 2.60
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.679
Excess Kurtosis -0.60
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 134.794
Revenue per Share 10.637
Market Cap 444,866,496
Trailing P/E 22.83
Forward P/E 25.48
Beta 1.69
Profit Margins 2.64%
Website https://www.portillos.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:16 a.m. EDT: Options data reveals a strong short-term protective bias among speculators. In the near term (May 2026), put volume significantly exceeds call volume, with heavy open interest and new flow at deep OTM strikes ($4.00 and $5.00). The most recent 6/18 expiration shows massive new put volume (611 contracts) crushing negligible open interest, signaling a strong selling sentiment for the upcoming week. While long-dated calls show some positioning at higher strikes ($12.00), this contrasts with the immediate, heavy aggregation of downside protection, suggesting traders are betting on a decline or hedging existing upside positions against an anticipated drop.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.4169742
Address1 2,001 Spring Road
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 57.725
All Time Low 4.41
Ask 8.0
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,342,990
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,448,559
Average Volume 1,448,559
Average Volume10Days 1,342,990
Beta 1.69
Bid 4.61
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 6.5
City Oak Brook
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.165
Current Ratio 0.266
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 6.46
Day Low 6.165
Debt To Equity 134.794
Display Name Portillo's
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,989,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,989,600
Earnings Growth -0.519
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.457
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,984,200
Ebitda 80,622,000
Ebitda Margins 0.11013
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.081
Enterprise To Revenue 1.551
Enterprise Value 1,135,262,848
Eps Current Year 0.188
Eps Forward 0.242
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.27
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.5036
Fifty Day Average Change 0.66139984
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.12017585
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -41.69742
Fifty Two Week High 13.55
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.385
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.54501843
Fifty Two Week Low 4.41
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.7550001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.39795923
Fifty Two Week Range 4.41 - 13.55
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,634,823,000,000
Float Shares 66,337,872
Forward Eps 0.242
Forward P E 25.475206
Free Cashflow -40,455,248
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 7,890
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.21638
Gross Profits 158,402,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.073709995
Held Percent Institutions 0.80991995
Implied Shares Outstanding 72,160,015
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-10-21
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary Portillo's Inc. owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States. The company offers Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, Italian beef sandwiches, char-grilled burgers, chopped salads, crinkle-cut and cheese fries, homemade chocolate cakes, and chocolate cake shake. It also operates a food truck under The Beef Bus name; and a ghost kitchen. In addition, the company provides delivery services through its application and website, as well as third-party delivery platforms. Further, it sells gift cards. Portillo's Inc. was founded in 1963 and is based in Oak Brook, Illinois.
Long Name Portillo's Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 444,866,496
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_307512580
Most Recent Quarter 1,766,880,000
Net Income To Common 19,345,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 456,051,294
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 6.31
Operating Cashflow 71,911,000
Operating Margins 0.07218
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 630 954 3773
Previous Close 6.32
Price Eps Current Year 32.792553
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.94846153
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.60768634
Profit Margins 0.02643
Quick Ratio 0.188
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.46154
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.15500021
Regular Market Change Percent -2.452535
Regular Market Day High 6.46
Regular Market Day Low 6.165
Regular Market Day Range 6.165 - 6.46
Regular Market Open 6.31
Regular Market Previous Close 6.32
Regular Market Price 6.165
Regular Market Time 1,776,786,706
Regular Market Volume 501,974
Return On Assets 0.02073
Return On Equity 0.042719997
Revenue Growth 0.006
Revenue Per Share 10.637
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 72,160,015
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1427
Shares Short 10,280,384
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 11,222,548
Short Name Portillo's Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1602
Short Ratio 8.0
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol PTLO
Target High Price 17.0
Target Low Price 5.0
Target Mean Price 7.5
Target Median Price 6.0
Total Cash 19,963,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.277
Total Debt 670,294,976
Total Revenue 732,065,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.27
Trailing P E 22.833332
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.2778
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.11280012
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.017968098
Type Disp Equity
Volume 501,974
Website https://www.portillos.com
Zip 60,523