Portillo's Inc. (PTLO)Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Oak Brook, United States | NasdaqGS
4.75 USD
+0.16
(3.486%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:29 a.m. EDT
Portillo's presents a classic 'value trap' scenario where the balance sheet is crumbling under the weight of debt, despite the stock trading at a seemingly attractive price-to-book ratio. The company is drowning in liabilities, with a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 137 and a current ratio of just 0.26, meaning it cannot cover its immediate obligations without selling assets or raising capital. This precarious financial structure is the primary driver of the low long-term rating; even if sales stabilize, the burden of servicing this debt will likely continue to erode shareholder value. While the stock has recently rallied off its lows, showing some technical resilience, the fundamental reality remains dire: free cash flow is negative, and the business is struggling to overcome inflationary pressures. The options market reflects this tension, with heavy speculation on a potential multi-bagger recovery far in the future, but significant hedging activity nearby suggests investors fear further declines. Until the balance sheet is repaired and consistent profitability is restored, this remains a dangerous speculative vehicle rather than a sound investment. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.334177 |
| AutoETS | 0.334181 |
| MSTL | 0.342354 |
| AutoTheta | 0.381805 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 30% |
| H-stat | 0.92 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.000 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 2.44 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 137.647 |
| Revenue per Share | 10.415 |
| Market Cap | 343,809,568 |
| Trailing P/E | 21.59 |
| Forward P/E | 17.92 |
| Beta | 1.57 |
| Profit Margins | 2.12% |
| Website | https://www.portillos.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:29 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a specific directional breakout. Call open interest is heavily skewed out-of-the-money (OTM) at strikes like $12.00 and $8.00 for 2027, suggesting a speculative bet on a massive recovery or turnaround. However, put open interest is concentrated near the money ($4.00-$5.00) and deep OTM ($3.00) for near-term expirations, acting as a hedge against further downside. The imbalance in volume versus open interest at the $7.00 strike for August puts indicates active selling pressure or hedging against a drop to that level, while the lack of similar aggressive call volume suggests uncertainty about the upside catalyst.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.59772134 |
| Address1 | 2,001 Spring Road |
| Address2 | Suite 400 |
| All Time High | 57.725 |
| All Time Low | 3.775 |
| Ask | 6.01 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,350,900 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,756,380 |
| Average Volume | 1,756,380 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,350,900 |
| Beta | 1.566 |
| Bid | 3.41 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 6.527 |
| City | Oak Brook |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.75 |
| Current Ratio | 0.26 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 4.825 |
| Day Low | 4.665 |
| Debt To Equity | 137.647 |
| Display Name | Portillo's |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,777,989,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,777,989,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,777,984,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,846,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,846,600 |
| Ebitda | 75,598,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.1024 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 13.727 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.406 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,037,700,544 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.21722 |
| Eps Forward | 0.26504 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.22 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 4.4319 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.31809998 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.07177508 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -59.772133 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 11.82 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -7.0699997 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.59813875 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.775 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.9749999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.2582781 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.775 - 11.82 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,634,823,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 67,425,034 |
| Forward Eps | 0.26504 |
| Forward P E | 17.921822 |
| Free Cashflow | -35,002,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 7,890 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.21211 |
| Gross Profits | 156,590,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.07716 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.76167 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 72,380,958 |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Industry Disp | Restaurants |
| Industry Key | restaurants |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-10-21 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,766,880,000 |
| Long Business Summary | Portillo's Inc. owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States. The company offers Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, Italian beef sandwiches, char-grilled burgers, chopped salads, crinkle-cut and cheese fries, homemade chocolate cakes, and chocolate cake shake. It also operates a food truck under The Beef Bus name; and a ghost kitchen. In addition, the company provides delivery services through its application and website, as well as third-party delivery platforms. Further, it sells gift cards. Portillo's Inc. was founded in 1963 and is based in Oak Brook, Illinois. |
| Long Name | Portillo's Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 343,809,568 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_307512580 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,742,400 |
| Net Income To Common | 15,630,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,416,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 332,228,597 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 10 |
| Open | 4.68 |
| Operating Cashflow | 80,015,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.02386 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 630 954 3773 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.1500001 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -3.1578968 |
| Pre Market Price | 4.6 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,019,378 |
| Previous Close | 4.59 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 21.867231 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 0.7277463 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.46570757 |
| Profit Margins | 0.021170001 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.186 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.16 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 3.48584 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.825 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.665 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.665 - 4.825 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.68 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.59 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.75 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,207,723 |
| Return On Assets | 0.01828 |
| Return On Equity | 0.03333 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.035 |
| Revenue Per Share | 10.415 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 72,380,958 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.14130001 |
| Shares Short | 10,229,699 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 9,922,637 |
| Short Name | Portillo's Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1514 |
| Short Ratio | 6.59 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | IL |
| Symbol | PTLO |
| Target High Price | 11.0 |
| Target Low Price | 5.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 6.375 |
| Target Median Price | 6.0 |
| Total Cash | 23,993,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.331 |
| Total Debt | 688,584,000 |
| Total Revenue | 738,252,032 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.22 |
| Trailing P E | 21.59091 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 5.18745 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.43744993 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.08432851 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,207,723 |
| Website | https://www.portillos.com |
| Zip | 60,523 |