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PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT)

Consumer Defensive | Discount Stores | San Diego, United States | NasdaqGS
191.13 USD -5.17 (-2.634%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:10 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is mixed, caught between defensive hedging and speculative upside bets. While the statistical forecast model leans slightly negative with low confidence, the actual price action over the last two weeks shows a robust recovery, surging nearly 10% from mid-June lows to close near the 52-week high. This momentum suggests the recent dip was a healthy consolidation rather than a trend reversal. Fundamentally, the company is showing signs of life with double-digit revenue and earnings growth, supported by a fortress-like balance sheet where debt is manageable and cash flow is positive. The valuation, however, remains stretched with a trailing P/E of 36x, pricing in perfection. The dividend yield is modest at 0.74%, reflecting the growth profile rather than income focus. For investors, the thesis here is on the execution of expansion plans and the re-rating of the stock as a growth leader in discount retail, though the high valuation leaves little room for error.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_90 ✓0.067573
MSTL_48_900.076178
AutoTheta0.086699
AutoETS0.089017
AutoARIMA0.089033
MSTL0.089680
MSTL_480.095095

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_90

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 62.21
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.105
Excess Kurtosis -0.86
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-02-16
Debt to Equity Ratio 24.017
Revenue per Share 188.58
Market Cap 5,898,372,096
Trailing P/E 36.76
Forward P/E 27.11
Beta 0.77
Profit Margins 2.82%
Website https://www.pricesmart.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:10 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume in the near term, creating a 'floor' around the $170-$175 strike range. However, there is notable call flow at the $250 strike for the January 2027 expiration, suggesting some bets on significant upside potential over the next year, while immediate-term call interest remains muted relative to the put volume.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.46% 1.04% 1.67% 1.46%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-02-17 0.70 0.458776
2025-08-15 0.63 0.578247
2025-02-18 0.63 0.715665
2024-08-15 0.58 0.677175
2024-04-18 1.00 1.243472
2024-02-14 0.58 0.724457
2023-08-14 0.46 0.597635
2023-02-15 0.46 0.627901
2022-08-12 0.43 0.653198
2022-02-14 0.43 0.608806
2021-08-12 0.35 0.418460
2021-02-11 0.35 0.344387
2020-08-13 0.35 0.528541
2020-02-13 0.35 0.573019
2019-08-14 0.35 0.614251
2019-02-14 0.35 0.580143
2018-08-14 0.35 0.418160
2018-02-13 0.35 0.443599
2017-08-11 0.35 0.426309
2017-02-13 0.35 0.396825
2016-08-11 0.35 0.426829
2016-02-10 0.35 0.482692
2015-08-12 0.35 0.375657
2015-02-11 0.35 0.421636
2014-08-13 0.35 0.407973
2014-02-12 0.35 0.368809
2013-08-13 0.30 0.329634
2012-12-06 0.30 0.381825
2012-08-13 0.30 0.423729
2012-02-13 0.30 0.412088
2011-08-11 0.30 0.523286
2011-02-11 0.30 0.796178
2010-08-11 0.25 0.953471
2010-02-10 0.25 1.228501
2009-08-12 0.25 1.419648
2009-02-11 0.25 1.385042
2008-10-10 0.16 1.301871
2008-04-11 0.16 0.604002
2007-10-11 0.16 0.574300
2007-04-11 0.16 0.937866
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.4
dividendYield 0.71
exDividendDate 2026-08-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.33
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.006775344
lastDividendValue 0.7
lastDividendDate 2026-02-17
dividendDate 2026-08-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.84250045
Address1 9,797 Aero Drive
Address2 Suite 100
All Time High 199.84
All Time Low 4.89
Ask 245.76
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 442,090
Average Daily Volume3 Month 279,483
Average Volume 279,483
Average Volume10Days 442,090
Beta 0.767
Bid 140.4
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 44.236
City San Diego
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 191.13
Current Ratio 1.277
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 198.7819
Day Low 190.73
Debt To Equity 24.017
Display Name PriceSmart
Dividend Date 1,788,134,400
Dividend Rate 1.4
Dividend Yield 0.71
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,783,612,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,783,612,800
Earnings Growth 0.123
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.129
Earnings Timestamp 1,783,540,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,783,540,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,783,540,800
Ebitda 357,155,008
Ebitda Margins 0.06276
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.141
Enterprise To Revenue 1.013
Enterprise Value 5,764,750,848
Eps Current Year 5.56
Eps Forward 7.05
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.2
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 174.0934
Fifty Day Average Change 17.036606
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.097859
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 84.250046
Fifty Two Week High 199.84
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.709991
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.043584827
Fifty Two Week Low 103.84
Fifty Two Week Low Change 87.29001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.8406203
Fifty Two Week Range 103.84 - 199.84
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 873,207,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.14
Float Shares 27,756,319
Forward Eps 7.05
Forward P E 27.110638
Free Cashflow 58,311,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 13,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.17635
Gross Profits 1,003,592,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07455
Held Percent Institutions 0.98927003
Implied Shares Outstanding 30,860,524
Industry Discount Stores
Industry Disp Discount Stores
Industry Key discount-stores
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,771,286,400
Last Dividend Value 0.7
Last Fiscal Year End 1,756,598,400
Long Business Summary PriceSmart, Inc. owns and operates U.S.-style membership shopping warehouse clubs in the United States, Central America, the Caribbean, and Colombia. The company provides basic and private label merchandise and consumable and non-consumable products under the Member's Selection brand, including groceries, cleaning supplies, health and beauty aids, meat, produce, deli, seafood, and poultry. It also offers electronics, large and small appliances, automotive, hardware, sporting goods, seasonal products, clothing, domestic, and home furnishing products. In addition, the company offers food and bakery services, as well as health services, such as optical, audiology, and pharmacy. Further, it operates an e-commerce platform, as well as offers curbside pickup and delivery services. PriceSmart, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Long Name PriceSmart, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,898,372,096
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_377097
Most Recent Quarter 1,780,185,600
Net Income To Common 157,192,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,788,134,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,048,971,309
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 196.895
Operating Cashflow 274,356,992
Operating Margins 0.044499997
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.2558
Peg Ratio 1.83
Phone 858 404 8800
Previous Close 196.3
Price Eps Current Year 34.3759
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.320689
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.036434
Profit Margins 0.028199999
Quick Ratio 0.463
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -5.17
Regular Market Change Percent -2.63372
Regular Market Day High 198.7819
Regular Market Day Low 190.73
Regular Market Day Range 190.73 - 198.7819
Regular Market Open 196.895
Regular Market Previous Close 196.3
Regular Market Price 191.13
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 239,624
Return On Assets 0.07005
Return On Equity 0.12314
Revenue Growth 0.125
Revenue Per Share 188.58
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 30,860,524
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0572
Shares Short 1,765,175
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,688,250
Short Name PriceSmart, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.094799995
Short Ratio 5.36
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol PSMT
Target High Price 165.0
Target Low Price 135.0
Target Mean Price 153.33333
Target Median Price 160.0
Total Cash 322,593,984
Total Cash Per Share 10.718
Total Debt 334,414,016
Total Revenue 5,691,024,896
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.33
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.006775344
Trailing Eps 5.2
Trailing P E 36.75577
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 145.62265
Two Hundred Day Average Change 45.507355
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.3125019
Type Disp Equity
Volume 239,624
Website https://www.pricesmart.com
Zip 92,123