Privia Health Group, Inc. (PRVA)Healthcare | Health Information Services | Arlington, United States | NasdaqGS
21.55 USD
-0.10
(-0.485%) ⇩
(Oct. 14, 2026, 3:51 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:50 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is driven by a massive divergence between deteriorating profitability and accelerating growth expectations. Fundamentally, the company is struggling to convert revenue into profit, with a trailing P/E of nearly 100x and razor-thin operating margins of roughly 1.9%. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt-to-equity exceeding 100%, suggesting capital structure risks that often plague high-growth healthcare plays. However, the market is pricing in a dramatic turnaround, expecting EPS to jump from 0.21 to 1.06 and revenue to grow by 21% annually. This optimism is reflected in the options chain, where traders are aggressively buying calls at strikes far above the current price while ignoring downside protection entirely. While the long-term trajectory shows a recovery from a multi-year slump, the path remains precarious due to the thin margins and high valuation multiple relative to current earnings. The short-term outlook leans positive based on this momentum and options flow, but the lack of dividends and persistent profitability issues keep the long-term rating from reaching 'exceptional' status. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.129944 |
| AutoETS | 0.130369 |
| MSTL | 0.131143 |
| AutoTheta | 0.134108 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 44% |
| H-stat | 5.44 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.101 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.20 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 1.042 |
| Revenue per Share | 19.007 |
| Market Cap | 2,752,033,536 |
| Trailing P/E | 102.60 |
| Forward P/E | 20.27 |
| Beta | 0.80 |
| Profit Margins | 1.19% |
| Website | https://www.priviahealth.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, positioning heavy call volume and open interest at strikes significantly above the current price (22.5 and 25.0 for November expiration, 30.0 for February). This aggressive upside skew contrasts sharply with the near-total absence of put activity, indicating a strong speculative bet on continued appreciation rather than downside protection.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.14223456 |
| Address1 | 950 North Glebe Road |
| Address2 | Suite 700 |
| All Time High | 50.77 |
| All Time Low | 15.92 |
| Ask | 27.5 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,411,420 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,261,900 |
| Average Volume | 1,261,900 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,411,420 |
| Beta | 0.802 |
| Bid | 15.79 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 6.195 |
| City | Arlington |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 2 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 21.545 |
| Current Ratio | 1.616 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 21.97 |
| Day Low | 21.46 |
| Debt To Equity | 1.042 |
| Display Name | Privia Health |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Growth | 2.5 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 2.367 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,881,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,881,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,881,800 |
| Ebitda | 56,936,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.024149999 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 42.464 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.025 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,417,722,624 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.887 |
| Eps Forward | 1.063 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.21 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 20.8444 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.7005997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.03361093 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -14.223456 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 28.82 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -7.2749996 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.25242886 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 18.915 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.6299992 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.13904303 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 18.915 - 28.82 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,619,616,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 108,949,615 |
| Forward Eps | 1.063 |
| Forward P E | 20.26811 |
| Free Cashflow | 95,646,496 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 1,226 |
| Fullday Change | -0.10499954 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.48498634 |
| Fullday Price | 21.545 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.1003 |
| Gross Profits | 236,524,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.06194 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.9854 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 127,734,207 |
| Industry | Health Information Services |
| Industry Disp | Health Information Services |
| Industry Key | health-information-services |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-04-29 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Privia Health Group, Inc. operates as a national physician-enablement company in the United States. The company collaborates with physician practices, health plans, and health systems. It also offers technology and population health tools to enhance providers' workflows; management services organization that enable providers to focus on their patients by reducing administrative work; and single-TIN medical group that facilitates negotiating power, clinical integration, and alignment of financial incentives. In addition, the company operates accountable care organization, which engages patients, reduce inappropriate utilization, and enhance coordination and patient quality metrics to drive value-based care; and network for purchasers and payers that enable providers to connect across platform to better understand the holistic needs of each patient and connect with other providers to address individual medical needs. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. |
| Long Name | Privia Health Group, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,752,033,536 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_118049209 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 28,124,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,439,723,353 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 17 |
| Open | 21.48 |
| Operating Cashflow | 131,129,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.018609999 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 571 366 8850 |
| Previous Close | 21.65 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 24.28974 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.4778047 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.1670709 |
| Profit Margins | 0.01193 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.555 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.38889 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.10499954 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.48498634 |
| Regular Market Day High | 21.97 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 21.46 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 21.46 - 21.97 |
| Regular Market Open | 21.48 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 21.65 |
| Regular Market Price | 21.545 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,007,483 |
| Regular Market Volume | 761,607 |
| Return On Assets | 0.02032 |
| Return On Equity | 0.04306 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.214 |
| Revenue Per Share | 19.007 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17004645 |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Sector Disp | Healthcare |
| Sector Key | healthcare |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 127,734,207 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.045500003 |
| Shares Short | 5,807,295 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 5,454,856 |
| Short Name | Privia Health Group, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0674 |
| Short Ratio | 4.48 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | VA |
| Symbol | PRVA |
| Target High Price | 40.0 |
| Target Low Price | 24.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 31.47059 |
| Target Median Price | 31.0 |
| Total Cash | 412,200,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.227 |
| Total Debt | 8,733,000 |
| Total Revenue | 2,358,068,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.21 |
| Trailing P E | 102.595245 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 22.75775 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.2127495 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.053289518 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 761,607 |
| Website | https://www.priviahealth.com |
| Zip | 22,203 |