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Privia Health Group, Inc. (PRVA)

Healthcare | Health Information Services | Arlington, United States | NasdaqGS
20.79 USD -0.07 (-0.336%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 20.79

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:34 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Privia Health is currently bifurcated between a deteriorating business reality and aggressive speculative positioning. Fundamentally, the company is trapped in a value trap: despite reporting a recent year-over-year gain, the last four years have been a structural decline with a cumulative loss of over 25%. The balance sheet is fragile, with a massive 96x trailing P/E ratio and razor-thin operating margins of roughly 1.9%, suggesting the market has already priced out the growth narrative. The recent news of insider selling by the CEO further erodes confidence in management's outlook. However, the short-term outlook is being driven entirely by options flow rather than fundamentals. Speculators are aggressively buying calls at strikes 20% to 40% above the current price, creating a 'gamma squeeze' environment where any minor positive catalyst could trigger a violent move higher. This disconnect creates a high-risk scenario: the stock is fundamentally broken, yet the options market is pricing in a recovery that the financial statements do not support. For a long-term investor, the multi-year decline and lack of sustainable profitability warrant a neutral-to-bearish stance. For a trader, the options flow suggests a volatile bounce is possible, but the lack of fundamental support makes this a dangerous trade.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.134874
AutoETS0.139182
AutoARIMA0.139401
MSTL0.140716

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 7.10
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.405
Excess Kurtosis -0.89
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 1.042
Revenue per Share 19.007
Market Cap 2,655,594,240
Trailing P/E 94.50
Forward P/E 19.55
Beta 0.90
Profit Margins 1.19%
Website https://www.priviahealth.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, positioning heavy call volume and open interest at strikes significantly above the current price (25.0 and 27.5), while put activity is negligible. This indicates a strong speculative bet on a rally, despite the underlying fundamentals showing severe distress.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.103492856
Address1 950 North Glebe Road
Address2 Suite 700
All Time High 50.77
All Time Low 15.92
Ask 26.81
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 870,480
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,188,419
Average Volume 1,188,419
Average Volume10Days 870,480
Beta 0.897
Bid 15.02
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 2
Book Value 6.195
City Arlington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 20.79
Current Ratio 1.616
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 21.25
Day Low 20.71
Debt To Equity 1.042
Display Name Privia Health
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,017,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,017,600
Earnings Growth 2.5
Earnings Quarterly Growth 2.367
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 56,936,000
Ebitda Margins 0.024149999
Enterprise To Ebitda 40.534
Enterprise To Revenue 0.979
Enterprise Value 2,307,871,232
Eps Current Year 0.8758
Eps Forward 1.0634
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.22
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 24.2606
Fifty Day Average Change -3.4705982
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.14305493
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -10.349285
Fifty Two Week High 28.82
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.029999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2786259
Fifty Two Week Low 19.53
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2600002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.06451614
Fifty Two Week Range 19.53 - 28.82
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,619,616,600,000
Float Shares 115,421,907
Forward Eps 1.0634
Forward P E 19.550499
Free Cashflow 95,646,496
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 1,226
Fullday Change -0.0699997
Fullday Change Percent -0.335569
Fullday Price 20.79
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.1003
Gross Profits 236,524,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.06182
Held Percent Institutions 0.98301005
Implied Shares Outstanding 127,734,207
Industry Health Information Services
Industry Disp Health Information Services
Industry Key health-information-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-04-29
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Privia Health Group, Inc. operates as a national physician-enablement company in the United States. The company collaborates with physician practices, health plans, and health systems. It also offers technology and population health tools to enhance providers' workflows; management services organization that enable providers to focus on their patients by reducing administrative work; and single-TIN medical group that facilitates negotiating power, clinical integration, and alignment of financial incentives. In addition, the company operates accountable care organization, which engages patients, reduce inappropriate utilization, and enhance coordination and patient quality metrics to drive value-based care; and network for purchasers and payers that enable providers to connect across platform to better understand the holistic needs of each patient and connect with other providers to address individual medical needs. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
Long Name Privia Health Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,655,594,240
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_118049209
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 28,124,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,663,258,215
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 20.9
Operating Cashflow 131,129,000
Operating Margins 0.018609999
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 571 366 8850
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 20.79
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 20.86
Price Eps Current Year 23.738297
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.3559322
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1261733
Profit Margins 0.01193
Quick Ratio 1.555
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.36842
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0699997
Regular Market Change Percent -0.335569
Regular Market Day High 21.25
Regular Market Day Low 20.71
Regular Market Day Range 20.71 - 21.25
Regular Market Open 20.9
Regular Market Previous Close 20.86
Regular Market Price 20.79
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 823,729
Return On Assets 0.02032
Return On Equity 0.04306
Revenue Growth 0.214
Revenue Per Share 19.007
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 127,734,207
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0414
Shares Short 5,287,772
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 3,687,073
Short Name Privia Health Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.061300002
Short Ratio 3.98
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol PRVA
Target High Price 40.0
Target Low Price 24.0
Target Mean Price 31.66667
Target Median Price 31.0
Total Cash 412,200,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.227
Total Debt 8,733,000
Total Revenue 2,358,068,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.22
Trailing P E 94.50001
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.31945
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.5294495
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.108469516
Type Disp Equity
Volume 823,729
Website https://www.priviahealth.com
Zip 22,203