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Prairie Operating Co. (PROP)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Houston, United States | NasdaqCM
1.24 USD -0.07 (-5.344%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.24

Short-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:51 a.m. EDT

PROP is a fundamental value trap in distress. With negative trailing earnings, massive cash burn (-$534M FCF), and a balance sheet crippled by high debt-to-equity (104%), the stock has fractured by 43% upon 2026 guidance cuts and restructuring. Despite a low forward P/E, the lack of dividends, negative equity trends, and overwhelming options positioning against downside signal that the 'cheap' valuation is priced out of existence. The recent price action in April (dropping from ~2.50 to ~1.24) validates seller dominance; avoid until fundamental distress abates.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.121997
AutoETS0.122911
AutoTheta0.125056
AutoARIMA0.127379

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 19.60
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.748
Excess Kurtosis 0.18
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Debt to Equity Ratio 104.046
Revenue per Share 5.342
Market Cap 94,952,040
Forward P/E 1.28
Beta -0.17
Profit Margins 13.26%
Previous Name Prairie Operating Co., LLC
Website https://www.prairieopco.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:51 a.m. EDT: Near-term expiration (April 17) shows extreme Implied Volatility (IV) disparity with puts traded at 5.13 IV vs calls at 8.81 IV, reflecting recent OTM drop and pin levels. However, Open Interest (OI) heavily favors downside protection: in April, OI at 1.5 is 2.4k vs only 2.6k at 1.0; notably, deep OTM puts (40 strike) saw a 47 contract volume spike compared to minimal call flow, signaling a 'cyrene' of downside selling or a hedge against further restructuring. In the May expiration, Put OI at 1.5 is 2.3k, far exceeding Call OI which is negligible. While ATM calls have higher volume on the surface for April 17, the aggregate OI distribution and the specific news-driven crash suggest positioning is defensive long-side (putting) or executive hedging.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.6923077
Address1 55 Waugh Drive
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 752.94116
All Time Low 1.21
Ask 1.28
Ask Size 45
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 9,385,680
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,112,693
Average Volume 4,112,693
Average Volume10Days 9,385,680
Beta -0.167
Bid 1.21
Bid Size 45
Board Risk 7
Book Value 2.083
City Houston
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.24
Current Ratio 0.634
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 1.27
Day Low 1.21
Debt To Equity 104.046
Display Name Prairie Operating
Dividend Date 1,582,761,600
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,774,960,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,774,960,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,774,900,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,875,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,875,200
Ebitda 119,666,000
Ebitda Margins 0.49521
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.783
Enterprise To Revenue 2.864
Enterprise Value 692,078,016
Eps Current Year 0.675
Eps Forward 0.97
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.35
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.7692
Fifty Day Average Change -0.52919996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.29911822
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -69.230774
Fifty Two Week High 4.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.5600002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7416667
Fifty Two Week Low 1.21
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.029999971
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.024793364
Fifty Two Week Range 1.21 - 4.8
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,361,284,200,000
Float Shares 74,483,747
Forward Eps 0.97
Forward P E 1.2783505
Free Cashflow -534,919,872
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 59
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.7039
Gross Profits 170,096,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.41312
Held Percent Institutions 0.20832
Implied Shares Outstanding 76,574,223
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-12-28
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,697,414,400
Last Split Factor 34:1000
Long Business Summary Prairie Operating Co., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids resources in the United States. Prairie Operating Co. is based in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Prairie Operating Co.
Market us_market
Market Cap 94,952,040
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1792348219
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Name Change Date 2,026-04-19
Net Income To Common -60,907,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 95,334,907
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 1.25
Operating Cashflow 153,902,000
Operating Margins 0.21625
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 713 766 1200
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 1.24
Post Market Time 1,776,470,368
Prev Name Prairie Operating Co., LLC
Previous Close 1.31
Price Eps Current Year 1.837037
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.59529525
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.39293534
Profit Margins 0.13264
Quick Ratio 0.365
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0699999
Regular Market Change Percent -5.34351
Regular Market Day High 1.27
Regular Market Day Low 1.21
Regular Market Day Range 1.21 - 1.27
Regular Market Open 1.25
Regular Market Previous Close 1.31
Regular Market Price 1.24
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 4,216,994
Return On Assets 0.07617
Return On Equity 0.15665
Revenue Growth 9.456
Revenue Per Share 5.342
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 76,574,223
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.065
Shares Short 4,977,311
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 8,186,045
Short Name Prairie Operating Co.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0975
Short Ratio 1.02
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol PROP
Target High Price 4.75
Target Low Price 2.0
Target Mean Price 3.58333
Target Median Price 4.0
Total Cash 20,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.0
Total Debt 370,865,984
Total Revenue 241,648,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.35
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.131575
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.8915751
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.41827056
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,216,994
Website https://www.prairieopco.com
Zip 77,007