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PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG)

Industrials | Rental & Leasing Services | Draper, United States | NYSE
44.63 USD +0.39 (0.882%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 44.63

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT

PROG Holdings presents a compelling value case for patient investors, trading at a forward P/E of roughly 8x with robust free cash flow and a healthy payout ratio, yet the stock is currently weighed down by a recent multi-month price decline and a lack of aggressive speculative interest. While the fundamentals—specifically the 11% revenue growth and strong balance sheet—are solid enough to support a 'buy' thesis, the market has punished the stock recently, evidenced by the single year-over-year decline and the defensive positioning seen in the options chain. The recent price action shows a bounce off the lows, but without a confirmed trend reversal in the short term, the risk-reward profile leans slightly toward accumulation rather than immediate momentum plays. The dividend yield is modest and stable, serving as a floor rather than a primary driver of value.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_84_126 ✓0.119110
MSTL_1260.151019
MSTL_840.157560
MSTL0.178567
AutoARIMA0.182274
AutoETS0.182464
AutoTheta0.182490

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_84_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 30%
H-stat 14.14
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.006
Excess Kurtosis -0.14
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-18
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-18
Debt to Equity Ratio 120.891
Revenue per Share 62.312
Market Cap 1,788,126,208
Trailing P/E 11.36
Forward P/E 8.37
Beta 1.78
Profit Margins 5.96%
Previous Name Aaron's, Inc.
Website https://progholdings.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume relative to calls, particularly in the near term where ATM implied volatility for puts is significantly elevated compared to calls. Open interest is concentrated deep in the money for puts, suggesting a floor is being established around the $20-$25 range, while call activity remains modest and focused near the current price, indicating limited aggressive bullish momentum despite the recent price recovery.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.42% 1.80% 1.32% 0.79%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-19 0.140000 0.423857
2026-03-12 0.140000 0.489682
2025-11-18 0.130000 0.496562
2025-08-19 0.130000 0.390156
2025-05-20 0.130000 0.439783
2025-03-13 0.130000 0.496562
2024-11-19 0.120000 0.256355
2024-08-20 0.120000 0.264201
2024-05-24 0.120000 0.338028
2024-03-13 0.120000 0.374065
2020-11-13 0.038168 0.074938
2020-09-16 0.033927 0.069869
2020-06-17 0.033927 0.090273
2020-03-19 0.033927 0.219298
2019-12-18 0.033927 0.067340
2019-09-18 0.029686 0.057851
2019-06-17 0.029686 0.057471
2019-03-18 0.029686 0.067632
2018-12-19 0.029686 0.082859
2018-09-19 0.025445 0.057703
2018-06-18 0.025445 0.066934
2018-03-22 0.025445 0.065302
2017-12-12 0.025445 0.083286
2017-09-14 0.023749 0.065712
2017-06-23 0.023749 0.072727
2017-03-13 0.023749 0.098592
2016-12-08 0.023749 0.086048
2016-08-31 0.021204 0.102625
2016-06-01 0.021204 0.099600
2016-03-11 0.021204 0.102289
2015-11-27 0.021204 0.101295
2015-09-01 0.019508 0.062653
2015-06-02 0.019508 0.066880
2015-03-06 0.019508 0.081996
2014-11-26 0.019508 0.081416
2014-08-29 0.017812 0.081969
2014-06-03 0.017812 0.062819
2014-02-28 0.017812 0.068338
2013-11-27 0.017812 0.073121
2013-08-29 0.014419 0.061063
2013-06-04 0.014419 0.061617
2013-03-01 0.014419 0.062066
2012-11-29 0.014419 0.058946
2012-08-30 0.012723 0.050711
2012-06-04 0.012723 0.057254
2012-03-01 0.012723 0.054567
2011-11-29 0.012723 0.060953
2011-08-31 0.011026 0.048797
2011-06-02 0.011026 0.046577
2011-03-02 0.011026 0.058663
2010-11-29 0.011026 0.065129
2010-08-30 0.010178 0.089218
2010-06-02 0.010178 0.075709
2010-03-03 0.010178 0.074906
2009-11-27 0.010178 0.088932
2009-08-28 0.009613 0.078525
2009-06-03 0.009613 0.063459
2009-03-04 0.009613 0.085862
2008-11-26 0.009613 0.079073
2008-08-28 0.009047 0.065978
2008-06-04 0.009047 0.078816
2008-03-05 0.009047 0.085973
2007-11-29 0.009047 0.085697
2007-08-29 0.008482 0.064518
2007-06-06 0.008482 0.058254
2007-03-07 0.008482 0.063000
2006-11-29 0.008482 0.061908
2006-08-30 0.007916 0.065756
2006-05-31 0.007916 0.057141
2006-03-01 0.007916 0.058065
2005-11-29 0.007916 0.076920
2005-08-30 0.007916 0.070883
2005-05-31 0.007351 0.064199
2005-03-01 0.007351 0.068603
2004-11-29 0.007351 0.058798
2004-08-30 0.007351 0.068821
2004-05-28 0.007539 0.075241
2003-11-28 0.007539 0.100096
2003-05-30 0.005026 0.092162
2002-11-27 0.005026 0.091823
2002-05-30 0.005026 0.077636
2001-11-29 0.005026 0.137925
2001-05-30 0.005026 0.124994
2000-11-29 0.005026 0.135587
2000-05-30 0.005026 0.131142
1999-12-01 0.005026 0.124508
1999-05-27 0.005026 0.124508
1998-12-02 0.005026 0.140963
1998-05-28 0.005026 0.101261
1997-12-05 0.005026 0.122132
1997-05-29 0.005026 0.163258
1996-12-04 0.005026 0.137925
1996-05-30 0.002513 0.072069
1995-12-12 0.002513 0.109584
1995-05-30 0.002513 0.136746
1994-11-25 0.002513 0.158409
1994-05-31 0.003770 0.233030
1993-11-26 0.003770 0.255341
1993-05-25 0.003770 0.279094
1992-11-27 0.003770 0.324352
1992-05-27 0.003141 0.377311
1991-11-29 0.003141 0.540473
1991-05-30 0.003141 0.605985
1990-11-28 0.003141 0.605985
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.56
dividendYield 1.27
exDividendDate 2026-05-19
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.53
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.011980107
lastDividendValue 0.14
lastDividendDate 2026-05-19
dividendDate 2026-06-02

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5187092
Address1 256 West Data Drive
All Time High 66.709076
All Time Low 0.408381
Ask 49.93
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 807,780
Average Daily Volume3 Month 530,701
Average Volume 530,701
Average Volume10Days 807,780
Beta 1.777
Bid 36.5
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 3
Book Value 19.328
City Draper
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 44.63
Current Ratio 4.826
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 45.09
Day Low 44.175
Debt To Equity 120.891
Display Name PROG
Dividend Date 1,780,358,400
Dividend Rate 0.56
Dividend Yield 1.27
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Earnings Growth 0.064
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.038
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,328,200
Ebitda 412,870,016
Ebitda Margins 0.16625
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.43
Enterprise To Revenue 1.069
Enterprise Value 2,654,862,080
Eps Current Year 4.6525
Eps Forward 5.3325
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.93
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,148,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 37.9546
Fifty Day Average Change 6.6754
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.17587854
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 51.87092
Fifty Two Week High 47.6
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.9699974
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.062394906
Fifty Two Week Low 25.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change 18.830002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.72984505
Fifty Two Week Range 25.8 - 47.6
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 405,268,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.28
Float Shares 38,576,728
Forward Eps 5.3325
Forward P E 8.369433
Free Cashflow 1,489,874,560
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,235
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.3477
Gross Profits 863,489,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.041589998
Held Percent Institutions 1.07605
Implied Shares Outstanding 40,065,564
Industry Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Disp Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Key rental-leasing-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,148,800
Last Dividend Value 0.14
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,606,780,800
Last Split Factor 1,179:1000
Long Business Summary PROG Holdings, Inc., a financial technology holding company, provides payment options to consumers in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Progressive Leasing and Four. It owns Progressive Leasing, an in-store, app-based, and e-commerce point-of-sale lease-to-own solutions provider; and Four, which enables consumers of all credit backgrounds to pay for purchases over time through short-term, interest-free instalment buy-now-pay-later BNPL plans. The company offers Purchasing Power, that provides these underserved customers with alternatives to traditional financing options. The company was formerly known as Aaron's Holdings Company, Inc. and changed its name to PROG Holdings, Inc. in December 2020. PROG Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is based in Draper, Utah.
Long Name PROG Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,788,126,208
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_247226
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 125,980,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,772,500,551
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 44.4
Operating Cashflow 296,732,000
Operating Margins 0.14671
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.1349
Peg Ratio 0.93
Phone 385 351 1369
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 44.63
Post Market Time 1,783,981,119
Prev Name Aaron's, Inc.
Previous Close 44.24
Price Eps Current Year 9.592692
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.3090854
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.7200115
Profit Margins 0.05964
Quick Ratio 3.692
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.625
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.389999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.881554
Regular Market Day High 45.09
Regular Market Day Low 44.175
Regular Market Day Range 44.175 - 45.09
Regular Market Open 44.4
Regular Market Previous Close 44.24
Regular Market Price 44.63
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 251,120
Return On Assets 0.13783
Return On Equity 0.17634001
Revenue Growth 0.111
Revenue Per Share 62.312
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 40,065,564
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0868
Shares Short 3,477,376
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,205,272
Short Name PROG Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1238
Short Ratio 5.64
Source Interval 15
State UT
Symbol PRG
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 45.0
Target Mean Price 51.42857
Target Median Price 50.0
Total Cash 69,386,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.732
Total Debt 936,121,984
Total Revenue 2,483,469,056
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.53
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.011980107
Trailing Eps 3.93
Trailing P E 11.356235
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 32.75155
Two Hundred Day Average Change 11.878452
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.36268368
Type Disp Equity
Volume 251,120
Website https://progholdings.com
Zip 84,020-2315