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Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH)

Financial Services | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Seattle, United States | NasdaqCM
17.40 USD -0.04 (-0.229%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 17.40

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:29 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by a powerful earnings-driven reversal. After a catastrophic collapse from 2021 to 2023, the company staged a miraculous recovery in 2024 and 2025, culminating in a massive 1297% surge last year. The recent Q2 beat confirms the turnaround is real, with revenue up 18% and EPS beating estimates, pushing the stock back above its 52-week highs. However, the fundamentals remain precarious; the company is still burning cash with negative operating margins and a negative book value, supported by a high debt load. This creates a 'high-risk, high-reward' profile where the business quality is improving but the balance sheet is fragile. The short-term rating is boosted by the momentum of this recovery and the aggressive bullish positioning in the options chain, which sees traders betting on continued upside despite the deep in-the-money put protection. Long-term, the stock is a speculative play on whether management can fix the profitability issues quickly enough to justify the current valuation, rather than a safe buy-and-hold opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.104106
AutoARIMA0.137718
MSTL0.158885
AutoETS0.161925

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 1.63
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.016
Excess Kurtosis 0.02
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Debt to Equity Ratio 2091.675
Revenue per Share 4.81
Market Cap 1,975,245,184
Forward P/E 47.03
Beta 3.15
Profit Margins -2.62%
Website https://porchgroup.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:29 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily skewed toward bullish exposure, with out-of-the-money call open interest dominating across nearly all expirations. The 2026-09-18 and 2026-11-20 dates show massive call volume relative to puts, while put activity is concentrated deep in-the-money (below $10), suggesting a hedge against a crash rather than a bet on downside. Conversely, long-dated calls (2028) show significant open interest at strikes far above the current price ($35), indicating a speculative belief in a substantial multi-year rally. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty, but the directional bias is overwhelmingly upward.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.01971829
Address1 411 1st Avenue South
Address2 Suite 501
All Time High 27.5
All Time Low 0.495
Ask 22.65
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 909,350
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,776,200
Average Volume 1,776,200
Average Volume10Days 909,350
Beta 3.147
Bid 17.89
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 5
Book Value -0.105
City Seattle
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 17.4
Current Ratio 2.741
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 17.9577
Day Low 17.34
Debt To Equity 2,091.675
Display Name Porch
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,358,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,358,800
Earnings Growth 1.553
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.173
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 69,094,000
Ebitda Margins 0.13453001
Enterprise To Ebitda 31.752
Enterprise To Revenue 4.272
Enterprise Value 2,193,871,104
Eps Forward 0.37
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.13
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 14.8375
Fifty Day Average Change 2.5625
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.1727043
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.9718289
Fifty Two Week High 19.436
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.0360012
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10475412
Fifty Two Week Low 6.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.039999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.7358489
Fifty Two Week Range 6.36 - 19.436
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,578,925,800,000
Float Shares 88,562,500
Forward Eps 0.37
Forward P E 47.027027
Free Cashflow -193,632,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 799
Fullday Change -0.0400009
Fullday Change Percent -0.229363
Fullday Price 17.4
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.72102
Gross Profits 370,315,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.22575001
Held Percent Institutions 0.77739
Implied Shares Outstanding 113,519,836
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Disp Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Key insurance-property-casualty
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Porch Group, Inc. develops and sells software and data solutions, manages insurance services, and provides consumer services related to homeownership in the United States. It operates through four segments: Insurance Services, Software & Data, Consumer Services, and the Reciprocal Segment. The Insurance Services segment manages and operates Porch Reciprocal Exchange, providing services including underwriting, policy renewal, risk management, portfolio management, financial oversight, and investment guideline setting. The Software & Data segment offers subscription and transactional software for inspection, mortgage, title, and roofing companies, as well as data products for insurance and other companies, including home inspection software, title and mortgage software, home factors property insights, and mover marketing products; measurement software for roofers; and move and post-move services. The Consumer Services segment provides warranty products under Porch Warranty and other brands, and moving-related services such as moving labor, TV/Internet, and security setup. The Reciprocal Segment, managed but not owned by Porch, includes Homeowners of America and Porch Reciprocal Exchange, which provides consumers with insurance to protect their homes, through premiums collected on policies. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
Long Name Porch Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,975,245,184
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_247450223
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -13,445,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,979,785,939
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 17.46
Operating Cashflow 96,317,000
Operating Margins -0.029189998
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 855 767 2400
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 17.4
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 17.44
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -165.7143
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.8459048
Profit Margins -0.026180001
Quick Ratio 2.398
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.28571
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0400009
Regular Market Change Percent -0.229363
Regular Market Day High 17.9577
Regular Market Day Low 17.34
Regular Market Day Range 17.34 - 17.9577
Regular Market Open 17.46
Regular Market Previous Close 17.44
Regular Market Price 17.4
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 1,200,704
Return On Assets 0.03179
Return On Equity -1.03316
Revenue Growth 0.117
Revenue Per Share 4.81
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 113,519,836
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1529
Shares Short 17,358,317
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 15,718,309
Short Name Porch Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.23
Short Ratio 9.54
Source Interval 15
State WA
Symbol PRCH
Target High Price 23.0
Target Low Price 16.5
Target Mean Price 19.75
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 217,878,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.919
Total Debt 405,283,008
Total Revenue 513,596,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.13
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.32215
Two Hundred Day Average Change 7.0778494
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.68569523
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,200,704
Website https://porchgroup.com
Zip 98,104