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Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH)

Financial Services | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Seattle, United States | NasdaqCM
8.20 USD +0.49 (6.355%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 8.21 +0.01 (0.122%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 5:50 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:23 p.m. EDT

Porous capital structure (-$0.23 book value, negative forward EPS, massive debt-to-equity) renders this a vehicle for a 'Strong Buy' analyst sentiment and optimistic insurance sector tailwinds, but it is fundamentally a high-risk distressed debt play with no dividend safety net. Speculators are positioning for a double-play scenario: a rapid stock recovery justified by recent EBITDA growth, but investors must ignore the balance sheet collapsing into a value trap. The bullish options flow is purely momentum-driven, betting on a re-rating of the $7.71 previous close, while the fundamentals scream caution.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.061840
AutoETS0.061845
MSTL0.068558
AutoTheta0.160141

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.90
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.981
Excess Kurtosis -0.13
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Debt to Equity Ratio 1763.223
Revenue per Share 4.653
Market Cap 870,427,392
Forward P/E -10.93
Beta 3.07
Profit Margins -0.70%
Website https://porchgroup.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:23 p.m. EDT: Options flow indicates a bullish positioning bias driven by heavy Call Open Interest (OI) and Volume (Vol) at strikes significantly above the current price ($10.00 through $22.50 on long-dated expirations). The call chain shows a distinct risk reversal, with total Call Vol/OI heavily outweighing Put Vol/OI across the $8.20 price level. While short-term puts show some defensive positioning at lower strikes ($7.50 ATM, $5.00 OI leaders), the volume is dwarfed by the speculative upside bets. Implied Volatility is elevated at expirations closer to the current date, suggesting anticipated earnings volatility, but the premium sizing points to directional beta-plays rather than hedging.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.75965667
Address1 411 1st Avenue South
Address2 Suite 501
All Time High 27.5
All Time Low 0.495
Ask 10.09
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.1 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,613,140
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,594,403
Average Volume 1,594,403
Average Volume10Days 1,613,140
Beta 3.074
Bid 5.91
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value -0.233
City Seattle
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.2
Current Ratio 2.489
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 8.35
Day Low 7.82
Debt To Equity 1,763.223
Display Name Porch
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,410,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,410,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,406,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,406,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,406,400
Ebitda 60,994,000
Ebitda Margins 0.12642999
Enterprise To Ebitda 18.556
Enterprise To Revenue 2.346
Enterprise Value 1,131,818,496
Eps Forward -0.75
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.03
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.5812
Fifty Day Average Change 0.6187997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.08162292
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 75.96567
Fifty Two Week High 19.436
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.236001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5781025
Fifty Two Week Low 4.645
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.5549998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.765339
Fifty Two Week Range 4.645 - 19.436
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,578,925,800,000
Float Shares 79,768,308
Forward Eps -0.75
Forward P E -10.933333
Free Cashflow -195,318,752
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 799
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.70476997
Gross Profits 339,990,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.21725
Held Percent Institutions 0.62476003
Implied Shares Outstanding 106,149,690
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Disp Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Key insurance-property-casualty
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Porch Group, Inc. develops and sells software and data solutions, manages insurance services, and provides consumer services related to homeownership in the United States. It operates through four segments: Insurance Services, Software & Data, Consumer Services, and the Reciprocal Segment. The Insurance Services segment manages and operates Porch Reciprocal Exchange, providing services including underwriting, policy renewal, risk management, portfolio management, financial oversight, and investment guideline setting. The Software & Data segment offers subscription and transactional software for inspection, mortgage, title, and roofing companies, as well as data products for insurance and other companies, including home inspection software, title and mortgage software, home factors property insights, and mover marketing products; measurement software for roofers; and move and post-move services. The Consumer Services segment provides warranty products under Porch Warranty and other brands, and moving-related services such as moving labor, TV/Internet, and security setup. The Reciprocal Segment, managed but not owned by Porch, includes Homeowners of America and Porch Reciprocal Exchange, which provides consumers with insurance to protect their homes, through premiums collected on policies. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
Long Name Porch Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 870,427,392
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_247450223
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -3,361,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 870,427,458
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 7.82
Operating Cashflow 66,419,000
Operating Margins 0.11721
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 855 767 2400
Post Market Change 0.010000229
Post Market Change Percent 0.12195402
Post Market Price 8.21
Post Market Time 1,776,462,651
Previous Close 7.71
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -35.193134
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.8043162
Profit Margins -0.0069700005
Quick Ratio 1.935
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.14286
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.49
Regular Market Change Percent 6.35538
Regular Market Day High 8.35
Regular Market Day Low 7.82
Regular Market Day Range 7.82 - 8.35
Regular Market Open 7.82
Regular Market Previous Close 7.71
Regular Market Price 8.2
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 2,813,415
Return On Assets 0.02833
Revenue Growth 0.398
Revenue Per Share 4.653
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 106,149,690
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1714
Shares Short 18,188,919
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 16,349,994
Short Name Porch Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2693
Short Ratio 16.98
Source Interval 15
State WA
Symbol PRCH
Target High Price 21.0
Target Low Price 12.0
Target Mean Price 16.28571
Target Median Price 15.0
Total Cash 180,328,992
Total Cash Per Share 1.699
Total Debt 394,715,008
Total Revenue 482,414,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.03
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.5789
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.3789005
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2918153
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,813,415
Website https://porchgroup.com
Zip 98,104