Post Holdings, Inc. (POST)Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Saint Louis, United States | NYSE
77.39 USD
-0.27
(-0.348%) ⇩
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:17 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Post Holdings is currently fractured by a severe disconnect between its valuation metrics and its actual performance trajectory. While the balance sheet appears manageable with a low debt-to-equity ratio relative to peers, the business is failing to generate growth; revenue is flat, earnings are contracting sharply, and the stock has delivered a negative return over the last twelve months. The market has rightly punished this stagnation, driving the price down significantly. Crucially, there is no dividend to provide a floor for income investors, leaving the total return entirely dependent on a turnaround that hasn't materialized yet. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders buying heavy insurance against further declines rather than betting on a recovery. Until the company demonstrates a clear path to restoring revenue growth and earnings expansion, the risk-reward profile remains skewed toward caution. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.095531 |
| MSTL | 0.097313 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.098222 |
| AutoETS | 0.100182 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 49% |
| H-stat | 3.03 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.186 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.42 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 247.074 |
| Revenue per Share | 169.436 |
| Market Cap | 3,401,817,088 |
| Trailing P/E | 14.07 |
| Forward P/E | 10.75 |
| Beta | 0.32 |
| Profit Margins | 3.48% |
| Website | https://www.postholdings.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:17 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 50, 40, 65) expiring in late 2026 and early 2027. This 'insurance' positioning suggests a fear of a significant drop to the $50–$70 range. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish bets despite the stock trading near its 52-week low.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.26866376 |
| Address1 | 2,503 South Hanley Road |
| All Time High | 125.84 |
| All Time Low | 16.58377 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.9 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 653,450 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 928,154 |
| Average Volume | 928,154 |
| Average Volume10Days | 653,450 |
| Beta | 0.324 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | 70.023 |
| City | Saint Louis |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 77.39 |
| Current Ratio | 1.851 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 80.66 |
| Day Low | 77.16 |
| Debt To Equity | 247.074 |
| Display Name | Post |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,107,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,107,600 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.279 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.417 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,795,118,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,795,118,400 |
| Ebitda | 1,449,799,936 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.17233999 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 7.435 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.281 |
| Enterprise Value | 10,779,117,568 |
| Eps Current Year | 7.65131 |
| Eps Forward | 7.19891 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 5.5 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 78.5162 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.1261978 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.014343509 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -26.866377 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 117.28 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -39.89 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.3401262 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 71.45 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.9400024 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.0831351 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 71.45 - 117.28 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,327,674,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 34,439,717 |
| Forward Eps | 7.19891 |
| Forward P E | 10.750238 |
| Free Cashflow | 394,649,984 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 13,180 |
| Fullday Change | -0.27000427 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.34767482 |
| Fullday Price | 77.39 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.2882 |
| Gross Profits | 2,424,499,968 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.158 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.0460299 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 43,956,805 |
| Industry | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Disp | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Key | packaged-foods |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,759,190,400 |
| Last Split Date | 1,646,956,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 1,528:1000 |
| Long Business Summary | Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail segments. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals under Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal brands; hot cereal; peanut butter under the Peter Pan brand; and branded and private label pet food under Rachael Ray Nutrish, Nature's Recipe, 9Lives, Kibbles 'n Bits and Gravy Train brands. The Weetabix segment manufactures, markets, and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal under Weetabix and Alpen brands; hot cereals and other cereal-based food products; private label cereals; and protein-based shakes under the UFIT brand, and nutritional snacks. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg products primarily under Papetti's and Abbotsford Farms brands, as well as potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. The segment also manufactures certain meat products. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dish, potato, sausage products under Bob Evans, Bob Evans Farms, and Simply Potatoes brands; eggs and egg products under Bob Evans Egg Whites and Egg Beaters brands; and cheese and other dairy products under Crystal Farms brand. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, dollar stores, discounters, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, foodservice distributors, and national restaurant chains, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri. |
| Long Name | Post Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,401,817,088 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_140950927 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 293,100,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,790,726,400 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,435,905,244 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 6 |
| Open | 78.175 |
| Operating Cashflow | 992,600,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.102819994 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.17 |
| Phone | 314 644 7600 |
| Previous Close | 77.66 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 10.114608 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.1052083 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.40437648 |
| Profit Margins | 0.03484 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.897 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.85714 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.270004 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.347675 |
| Regular Market Day High | 80.66 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 77.16 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 77.16 - 80.66 |
| Regular Market Open | 78.175 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 77.66 |
| Regular Market Price | 77.39 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,403 |
| Regular Market Volume | 628,547 |
| Return On Assets | 0.04192 |
| Return On Equity | 0.082779996 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.018 |
| Revenue Per Share | 169.436 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 43,956,805 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1266 |
| Shares Short | 5,565,956 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 5,944,559 |
| Short Name | Post Holdings, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.15 |
| Short Ratio | 5.71 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | MO |
| Symbol | POST |
| Target High Price | 121.0 |
| Target Low Price | 79.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 98.66667 |
| Target Median Price | 99.5 |
| Total Cash | 266,500,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 6.063 |
| Total Debt | 7,632,600,064 |
| Total Revenue | 8,412,499,968 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 5.5 |
| Trailing P E | 14.070909 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 93.06595 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -15.675949 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.16843915 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 628,547 |
| Website | https://www.postholdings.com |
| Zip | 63,144 |