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Post Holdings, Inc. (POST)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Saint Louis, United States | NYSE
85.35 USD +3.86 (4.737%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 84.16 -1.19 (-1.190%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT

Post Holdings is currently exhibiting the characteristics of a value trap, where attractive valuation metrics mask underlying operational decay. Despite trading near its 52-week low and offering a forward P/E under 12, the company is contracting in both revenue and earnings while burdened by a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 240%. The technical structure confirms this weakness, with the stock trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating persistent selling pressure. Options flow aligns with this pessimism, as heavy open interest in put contracts suggests institutional players are hedging against further downside. Although analysts maintain a buy rating with a 30% upside target, the absence of dividends and the high short interest imply skepticism regarding a sustainable recovery. This is a speculative turnaround play rather than a stable investment, requiring patience for a balance sheet deleveraging that is not currently evident.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.052092
MSTL0.053053
AutoARIMA0.054060
AutoETS0.054061

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 12.13
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.430
Excess Kurtosis -0.90
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 247.074
Revenue per Share 169.436
Market Cap 3,868,282,368
Trailing P/E 14.82
Forward P/E 11.86
Beta 0.32
Profit Margins 3.48%
Website https://www.postholdings.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility ranges from 30% to 45% across expirations. Open interest is heavily skewed toward puts, with significant concentration in the-money strikes at 85 and 105 for September and December 2026, indicating substantial downside hedging or bearish positioning. While there is some call activity at the 105 strike for year-end 2026, the overwhelming put volume suggests speculators are pricing in continued weakness or seeking protection against a drop below current levels.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.23439181
Address1 2,503 South Hanley Road
All Time High 125.84
All Time Low 16.58377
Ask 88.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 4
Average Daily Volume10 Day 882,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 932,936
Average Volume 932,936
Average Volume10Days 882,650
Beta 0.319
Bid 75.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 5
Book Value 70.023
City Saint Louis
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 85.35
Current Ratio 1.851
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 85.44
Day Low 81.835
Debt To Equity 247.074
Display Name Post
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,107,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,107,600
Earnings Growth -0.279
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.417
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,795,118,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,795,118,400
Ebitda 1,449,799,936
Ebitda Margins 0.17233999
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.676
Enterprise To Revenue 1.323
Enterprise Value 11,129,013,248
Eps Current Year 7.65274
Eps Forward 7.19891
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.76
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 86.4324
Fifty Day Average Change -1.0824051
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.01252314
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -23.43918
Fifty Two Week High 117.28
Fifty Two Week High Change -31.93
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.27225444
Fifty Two Week Low 75.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.949997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.13196282
Fifty Two Week Range 75.4 - 117.28
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,327,674,600,000
Float Shares 34,058,172
Forward Eps 7.19891
Forward P E 11.855961
Free Cashflow 394,649,984
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 13,180
Fullday Change 3.86
Fullday Change Percent 4.73678
Fullday Price 84.16
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.2882
Gross Profits 2,424,499,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.15863
Held Percent Institutions 1.0515699
Implied Shares Outstanding 45,322,586
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Last Split Date 1,646,956,800
Last Split Factor 1,528:1000
Long Business Summary Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail segments. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals under Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal brands; hot cereal; peanut butter under the Peter Pan brand; and branded and private label pet food under Rachael Ray Nutrish, Nature's Recipe, 9Lives, Kibbles 'n Bits and Gravy Train brands. The Weetabix segment manufactures, markets, and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal under Weetabix and Alpen brands; hot cereals and other cereal-based food products; private label cereals; and protein-based shakes under the UFIT brand, and nutritional snacks. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg products primarily under Papetti's and Abbotsford Farms brands, as well as potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. The segment also manufactures certain meat products. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dish, potato, sausage products under Bob Evans, Bob Evans Farms, and Simply Potatoes brands; eggs and egg products under Bob Evans Egg Whites and Egg Beaters brands; and cheese and other dairy products under Crystal Farms brand. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, dollar stores, discounters, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, foodservice distributors, and national restaurant chains, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
Long Name Post Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,868,282,368
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_140950927
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 293,100,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,693,337,533
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 81.73
Operating Cashflow 992,600,000
Operating Margins 0.102819994
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.17
Phone 314 644 7600
Post Market Change -1.1899948
Post Market Change Percent -1.3942529
Post Market Price 84.16
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 81.49
Price Eps Current Year 11.152868
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2188852
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.45982555
Profit Margins 0.03484
Quick Ratio 0.897
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.86
Regular Market Change Percent 4.73678
Regular Market Day High 85.44
Regular Market Day Low 81.835
Regular Market Day Range 81.835 - 85.44
Regular Market Open 81.73
Regular Market Previous Close 81.49
Regular Market Price 85.35
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 886,856
Return On Assets 0.04192
Return On Equity 0.082779996
Revenue Growth -0.018
Revenue Per Share 169.436
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 45,322,586
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.14140001
Shares Short 6,408,651
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,134,017
Short Name Post Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1666
Short Ratio 6.36
Source Interval 15
State MO
Symbol POST
Target High Price 125.0
Target Low Price 86.0
Target Mean Price 105.16667
Target Median Price 102.0
Total Cash 266,500,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.063
Total Debt 7,632,600,064
Total Revenue 8,412,499,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 5.76
Trailing P E 14.817707
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 97.0216
Two Hundred Day Average Change -11.6716
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.12029899
Type Disp Equity
Volume 886,856
Website https://www.postholdings.com
Zip 63,144