Pony AI Inc. (PONY)Technology | Information Technology Services | Guangzhou, China | NasdaqGS
6.69 USD
+0.10
(1.517%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:52 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Pony AI is currently broken by a severe disconnect between its operational reality and its market valuation. Despite reporting robust revenue growth of 145%, the company is burning cash aggressively, with free cash flow and operating cash flow both deeply negative. This fundamental deterioration is reflected in the stock's price action, which has collapsed to its 52-week lows, trading at a forward P/E of negative 11 and a price-to-sales ratio of nearly 26—a premium multiple for a company losing money. The lack of a dividend and the massive short interest further suppress the floor. While analysts maintain a 'strong buy' rating with a target price implying massive upside, this appears to be a speculative bet on a future turnaround rather than a reflection of current business health. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders loading up on deep out-of-the-money puts, betting on further declines or a failure to recover. With no price history to establish a long-term trend and a balance sheet showing significant cash burn, the security lacks the fundamental moat required for a long-term hold. It remains a high-risk speculative vehicle where the thesis relies entirely on future execution, not current performance. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.171001 |
| MSTL | 0.186990 |
| AutoTheta | 0.187450 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.192454 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 27% |
| H-stat | 6.63 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.413 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.74 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 0.98 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.275 |
| Market Cap | 2,906,226,944 |
| Forward P/E | -11.08 |
| Profit Margins | -128.22% |
| Website | https://pony.ai |
As of July 11, 2026, 2:52 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in late August and November, particularly at strikes significantly below current prices. Call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, while put volume far exceeds call volume across most expirations, indicating a bearish sentiment and a 'buy the dip' strategy rather than a breakout expectation.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.47822642 |
| Address1 | 1,301 Pearl Development Building |
| Address2 | 1 Mingzhu 1st Street Hengli Town Nansha District |
| All Time High | 24.92 |
| All Time Low | 4.11 |
| Ask | 8.21 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 3,854,270 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 4,462,978 |
| Average Volume | 4,462,978 |
| Average Volume10Days | 3,854,270 |
| Bid | 4.78 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Book Value | 3.725 |
| City | Guangzhou |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,735,603,200 |
| Country | China |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 6.69 |
| Current Ratio | 16.12 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 6.725 |
| Day Low | 6.365 |
| Debt To Equity | 0.98 |
| Display Name | Pony AI |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,779,796,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,779,796,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,779,798,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,787,056,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,787,056,200 |
| Ebitda | -257,466,256 |
| Ebitda Margins | -2.33483 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -7.395 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 17.266 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,903,958,016 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.60521 |
| Eps Forward | -0.60374 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.35 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 8.5638 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.8737998 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.21880472 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -47.822643 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 24.92 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -18.23 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.7315409 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 6.365 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.3250003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.051060535 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 6.365 - 24.92 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,732,717,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 277,657,352 |
| Forward Eps | -0.60374 |
| Forward P E | -11.08093 |
| Free Cashflow | -170,669,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 1,669 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.15785 |
| Gross Profits | 17,406,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00031 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.36268002 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 434,413,615 |
| Industry | Information Technology Services |
| Industry Disp | Information Technology Services |
| Industry Key | information-technology-services |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,024-11-27 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Pony AI Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the autonomous mobility business in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company provides robotaxi services that include autonomous vehicle (AV) engineering solutions, such as AV software deployment and maintenance; vehicle integration and engineering; and road-testing services to original equipment manufacturers and transportation network companies. It also offers robotruck services that provide transportation services to logistics platforms. In addition, the company engages in the licensing and applications business that comprises personally-owned vehicle intelligent solutions, including intelligent driving software solutions, proprietary vehicle domain controller products, and data analytics tools; vehicle integration services, software development, and licensing services; and vehicle-to-everything (V2X) products and services to enhance road safety. The company's customers include OEMs and TNCs; OEMs and logistics platforms; and sensor and hardware component suppliers. Pony AI Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. |
| Long Name | Pony AI Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,906,226,944 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1860345669 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -141,388,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,792,195,961 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 16 |
| Open | 6.535 |
| Operating Cashflow | -184,996,992 |
| Operating Margins | -1.70327 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.03000021 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -0.44843364 |
| Pre Market Price | 6.66 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,018,927 |
| Previous Close | 6.59 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -11.054014 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.7959732 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 26.355076 |
| Profit Margins | -1.2821699 |
| Quick Ratio | 15.439 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.33333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0999999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.51745 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.725 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 6.365 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 6.365 - 6.725 |
| Regular Market Open | 6.535 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 6.59 |
| Regular Market Price | 6.69 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,735,239 |
| Return On Assets | -0.12060001 |
| Return On Equity | -0.07182 |
| Revenue Growth | 1.45 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.275 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Shares Outstanding | 353,324,845 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0681 |
| Shares Short | 29,569,764 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 30,212,219 |
| Short Name | Pony AI Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0846 |
| Short Ratio | 6.42 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | PONY |
| Target High Price | 32.8 |
| Target Low Price | 10.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 20.9125 |
| Target Median Price | 21.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,067,422,016 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.462 |
| Total Debt | 16,363,000 |
| Total Revenue | 110,272,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.35 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 13.289675 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -6.5996747 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.49660167 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 3,735,239 |
| Website | https://pony.ai |
| Zip | 511,458 |