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Philip Morris International Inc. (PM)

Consumer Defensive | Tobacco | Stamford, United States | NYSE
202.00 USD +0.81 (0.403%) ⇧ (Oct. 12, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:33 a.m. EDT

Philip Morris International offers a compelling blend of defensive stability and income, though the high payout ratio warrants caution. The long-term investment case is strong, evidenced by a nearly 67% gain over the last nine years and a consistent upward trajectory without recent structural decline. Revenue growth remains healthy at over 10%, supported by robust operating margins, which justifies the premium valuation. However, the dividend yield, while attractive at roughly 3.2%, is funded by a payout ratio exceeding 84%, meaning free cash flow barely covers distributions. This leaves little margin for error if cash generation slows. Short-term momentum is constructive, trading above key moving averages with options flow confirming $200 as a critical support level. While the business quality is exceptional, the balance sheet leverage and aggressive dividend policy prevent this from being a risk-free compounding machine.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.015744
MSTL0.018330
AutoETS0.020512
AutoARIMA0.030378

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 60%
H-stat 0.53
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.448
Excess Kurtosis 0.00
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-01
Last Dividend Date 2026-10-01
Revenue per Share 27.325
Market Cap 314,839,891,968
Trailing P/E 29.15
Forward P/E 21.98
Beta 0.36
Profit Margins 25.56%
Website https://www.pmi.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:33 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery with a strong floor. Call open interest clusters heavily at the $200 strike, acting as a major support wall, while put positioning suggests hedging below the $170-$190 range. Deep ITM volume spikes in January 2027 indicate some speculative bets on significant downside protection or deep value plays, but overall flow leans slightly bullish near current prices with moderate implied volatility.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.85% 3.49% 4.14% 4.65%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-02 1.600 0.853515
2026-06-25 1.470 0.821550
2026-03-19 1.470 0.899798
2025-12-26 1.470 0.912760
2025-10-03 1.470 0.959092
2025-06-27 1.350 0.745733
2025-03-20 1.350 0.885420
2024-12-26 1.350 1.109194
2024-09-26 1.350 1.117087
2024-06-21 1.300 1.301041
2024-03-20 1.300 1.388296
2023-12-20 1.300 1.413197
2023-09-26 1.300 1.427473
2023-06-22 1.270 1.327202
2023-03-22 1.270 1.374905
2022-12-21 1.270 1.263430
2022-09-27 1.270 1.459435
2022-06-30 1.250 1.265951
2022-03-23 1.250 1.369863
2021-12-22 1.250 1.345388
2021-09-28 1.250 1.270067
2021-06-24 1.200 1.211754
2021-03-19 1.200 1.344538
2020-12-22 1.200 1.460032
2020-09-23 1.200 1.589404
2020-06-19 1.170 1.620499
2020-03-20 1.170 1.915207
2019-12-18 1.170 1.365228
2019-09-24 1.170 1.634992
2019-06-20 1.140 1.477067
2019-03-25 1.140 1.291492
2018-12-19 1.140 1.582454
2018-09-25 1.140 1.426605
2018-06-21 1.140 1.434504
2018-03-21 1.070 1.094629
2017-12-20 1.070 1.025199
2017-09-26 1.070 0.953569
2017-06-21 1.040 0.865297
2017-03-21 1.040 0.916380
2016-12-20 1.040 1.146637
2016-09-26 1.040 1.049022
2016-06-21 1.020 1.011403
2016-03-22 1.020 1.054373
2015-12-21 1.020 1.177557
2015-09-28 1.020 1.292612
2015-06-23 1.000 1.229105
2015-03-24 1.000 1.289823
2014-12-22 1.000 1.205255
2014-09-23 1.000 1.195314
2014-06-24 0.940 1.051807
2014-03-25 0.940 1.172070
2013-12-23 0.940 1.102639
2013-09-24 0.940 1.075392
2013-06-25 0.850 0.982659
2013-03-26 0.850 0.926330
2012-12-24 0.085 0.101505
2012-12-20 0.039 0.045614
2012-09-25 0.850 0.943606
2012-06-25 0.770 0.916776
2012-03-27 0.770 0.879799
2011-12-20 0.770 1.003911
2011-09-23 0.770 1.206707
2011-06-21 0.640 0.940485
2011-03-22 0.640 1.010420
2010-12-21 0.640 1.094391
2010-09-22 0.640 1.159630
2010-06-22 0.580 1.289175
2010-03-23 0.580 1.106026
2009-12-23 0.580 1.188525
2009-09-24 0.580 1.201077
2009-06-22 0.540 1.298701
2009-03-23 0.540 1.416579
2008-12-23 0.540 1.294033
2008-09-11 0.540 0.985222
2008-06-26 0.460 0.917248
Additional Data
dividendRate 6.4
dividendYield 3.17
exDividendDate 2026-10-02
trailingAnnualDividendRate 5.88
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.029226106
lastDividendValue 1.6
lastDividendDate 2026-10-02
dividendDate 2026-10-26

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.26988113
Address1 677 Washington Boulevard
Address2 Suite 1100
All Time High 207.76
All Time Low 32.04
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,039,800
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,641,282
Average Volume 4,641,282
Average Volume10Days 4,039,800
Beta 0.36
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 5
Book Value -5.507
City Stamford
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 202.0
Current Ratio 0.98
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 202.77
Day Low 200.5001
Display Name Philip Morris
Dividend Date 1,792,972,800
Dividend Rate 6.4
Dividend Yield 3.17
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,612,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,612,800
Earnings Growth -0.075
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.073
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,585,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,585,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,585,800
Ebitda 18,015,000,576
Ebitda Margins 0.42343
Enterprise To Ebitda 19.978
Enterprise To Revenue 8.459
Enterprise Value 359,901,921,280
Eps Current Year 8.40895
Eps Forward 9.18908
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.93
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,790,899,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 190.107
Fifty Day Average Change 11.893005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06255954
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 26.988113
Fifty Two Week High 207.76
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.7599945
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.027724272
Fifty Two Week Low 142.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 59.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4214341
Fifty Two Week Range 142.11 - 207.76
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,205,760,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.26
Float Shares 1,554,701,319
Forward Eps 9.18908
Forward P E 21.982615
Free Cashflow 9,714,374,656
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 84,900
Fullday Change 1.3899994
Fullday Change Percent 0.6881185
Fullday Price 203.39
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.67481005
Gross Profits 28,710,000,640
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00164
Held Percent Institutions 0.84463996
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,558,613,439
Industry Tobacco
Industry Disp Tobacco
Industry Key tobacco
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,790,899,200
Last Dividend Value 1.6
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Philip Morris International Inc. operates as a tobacco company. The company offers cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, e-vapor, and oral nicotine products under the IQOS, VEEV, and ZYN brands; and consumer accessories, such as lighters and matches. It also offers wellness products. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
Long Name Philip Morris International Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 314,839,891,968
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_6569181
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 10,844,000,256
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 297,445,788,698
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 201.52
Operating Cashflow 14,264,000,512
Operating Margins 0.40002
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.84480006
Peg Ratio 2.42
Phone 203 905 2410
Pre Market Change 1.3899994
Pre Market Change Percent 0.6881185
Pre Market Price 203.39
Pre Market Time 1,791,883,436
Previous Close 201.19
Price Eps Current Year 24.022024
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -36.680588
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 7.4001617
Profit Margins 0.25559
Quick Ratio 0.47
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.6875
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.809998
Regular Market Change Percent 0.402603
Regular Market Day High 202.77
Regular Market Day Low 200.5001
Regular Market Day Range 200.5001 - 202.77
Regular Market Open 201.52
Regular Market Previous Close 201.19
Regular Market Price 202.0
Regular Market Time 1,791,835,202
Regular Market Volume 3,338,459
Return On Assets 0.14591
Revenue Growth 0.104
Revenue Per Share 27.325
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17318833
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 1,558,613,439
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0114
Shares Short 17,747,343
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 16,588,937
Short Name Philip Morris International Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0114
Short Ratio 4.04
Source Interval 15
State CT
Symbol PM
Target High Price 230.0
Target Low Price 175.0
Target Mean Price 208.8
Target Median Price 211.0
Total Cash 6,002,999,808
Total Cash Per Share 3.852
Total Debt 49,138,999,296
Total Revenue 42,545,000,448
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 5.88
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.029226106
Trailing Eps 6.93
Trailing P E 29.14863
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.292
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 179.0221
Two Hundred Day Average Change 22.977905
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.12835234
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,338,459
Website https://www.pmi.com
Zip 6,901