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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

Consumer Cyclical | Packaging & Containers | Lake Forest, United States | NYSE
240.39 USD -3.30 (-1.354%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 240.39
Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:08 a.m. EDT

PKG presents a compelling turnaround narrative where revenue growth is outpacing earnings, creating a valuation gap that the market expects to close. The forward P/E of 19.5x is significantly lower than the trailing multiple, signaling a belief in an earnings rebound supported by strong guidance despite recent margin compression. The balance sheet carries elevated leverage but maintains a robust liquidity position, allowing the dividend to remain secure at a sustainable 68% payout ratio. Short-term momentum is constructive with price trading above key moving averages and options flow highlighting aggressive buying at the $260 level. Long-term prospects are solid given the 14.7% revenue growth and decade-long price appreciation, though the earnings drag keeps the investment case from reaching exceptional status until profitability stabilizes.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.053730
AutoARIMA0.066171
AutoETS0.066188
MSTL0.066932

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 7.14
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.184
Excess Kurtosis -0.62
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 94.474
Revenue per Share 107.191
Market Cap 21,418,338,304
Trailing P/E 31.63
Forward P/E 18.58
Beta 0.81
Profit Margins 7.26%
Website https://www.packagingcorp.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:08 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside with new call volume at the $260 strike, while put open interest clusters at the $230 level to define a downside floor. Implied volatility remains elevated in the mid-30s percent range, indicating heightened uncertainty around near-term price moves.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.65% 2.44% 2.61% 2.95%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-15 1.500 0.652287
2026-03-13 1.250 0.582751
2025-12-15 1.250 0.611307
2025-09-15 1.250 0.590152
2025-06-13 1.250 0.662919
2025-03-14 1.250 0.635163
2024-12-20 1.250 0.548294
2024-09-16 1.250 0.582506
2024-06-14 1.250 0.684257
2024-03-14 1.250 0.683023
2023-12-15 1.250 0.758679
2023-09-22 1.250 0.838589
2023-06-14 1.250 0.951583
2023-03-14 1.250 0.951656
2022-12-16 1.250 0.957268
2022-09-30 1.250 1.113189
2022-06-14 1.250 0.849012
2022-03-14 1.000 0.662559
2021-12-17 1.000 0.769053
2021-09-14 1.000 0.674400
2021-06-14 1.000 0.720150
2021-03-12 1.000 0.728757
2020-12-18 1.000 0.741510
2020-09-14 0.790 0.745776
2020-06-12 0.790 0.798625
2020-03-12 0.790 1.020408
2019-12-19 0.790 0.707442
2019-09-12 0.790 0.738111
2019-06-13 0.790 0.820609
2019-03-14 0.790 0.800000
2018-12-14 0.790 0.845462
2018-09-13 0.790 0.694444
2018-06-14 0.790 0.654082
2018-03-14 0.630 0.531556
2017-12-22 0.630 0.524607
2017-09-14 0.630 0.544041
2017-06-13 0.630 0.595688
2017-03-13 0.630 0.684634
2016-12-21 0.630 0.728239
2016-09-13 0.630 0.795856
2016-06-13 0.550 0.833081
2016-03-11 0.550 0.992422
2015-12-23 0.550 0.861529
2015-09-11 0.550 0.839310
2015-06-11 0.550 0.808111
2015-03-11 0.550 0.709128
2014-12-17 0.400 0.513149
2014-09-11 0.400 0.577034
2014-06-11 0.400 0.566733
2014-03-12 0.400 0.554939
2013-12-19 0.400 0.646831
2013-09-11 0.400 0.730994
2013-06-12 0.400 0.832813
2013-03-13 0.313 0.735951
2012-12-13 0.250 0.685871
2012-09-13 0.250 0.758265
2012-06-13 0.250 0.924214
2012-03-13 0.250 0.826993
2011-12-15 0.200 0.825423
2011-09-13 0.200 0.774293
2011-06-13 0.200 0.700771
2011-03-11 0.200 0.729927
2010-12-13 0.150 0.563910
2010-09-13 0.150 0.628404
2010-06-11 0.150 0.670241
2010-03-11 0.150 0.617792
2009-12-11 0.150 0.689655
2009-09-11 0.150 0.711575
2009-06-11 0.150 0.891266
2009-03-11 0.150 1.421801
2008-12-11 0.300 2.442997
2008-09-11 0.300 1.168224
2008-06-11 0.300 1.284247
2008-03-12 0.300 1.330377
2007-12-12 0.300 1.066477
2007-09-12 0.250 0.975039
2007-06-13 0.250 0.988142
2007-03-13 0.250 1.024590
2006-12-13 0.250 1.117069
2006-09-13 0.250 1.102293
2006-06-13 0.250 1.219512
2006-03-13 0.250 1.090275
2005-12-13 0.250 1.098901
2005-09-13 0.250 1.193317
2005-06-13 0.250 1.178134
2005-03-11 0.250 1.005227
2004-12-13 0.150 0.662252
2004-09-13 0.150 0.635055
2004-06-14 0.150 0.649351
2004-03-11 0.150 0.693802
2003-12-11 0.150 0.705882
Additional Data
dividendRate 6.0
dividendYield 2.46
exDividendDate 2026-06-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 5.25
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.021543764
lastDividendValue 1.5
lastDividendDate 2026-06-15
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.12584889
Address1 1 North Field Court
All Time High 259.98
All Time Low 9.25
Ask 241.53
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 480,780
Average Daily Volume3 Month 629,570
Average Volume 629,570
Average Volume10Days 480,780
Beta 0.807
Bid 236.87
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 52.642
City Lake Forest
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 240.39
Current Ratio 2.941
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 246.18
Day Low 239.985
Debt To Equity 94.474
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 6.0
Dividend Yield 2.46
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,811,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,811,600
Earnings Growth -0.195
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.205
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,612,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,612,800
Ebitda 2,000,099,968
Ebitda Margins 0.20977
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.549
Enterprise To Revenue 2.632
Enterprise Value 25,098,745,856
Eps Current Year 10.49928
Eps Forward 12.93639
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.6
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 847 482 4545
Fifty Day Average 242.2026
Fifty Day Average Change -1.8126068
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.007483845
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 12.584888
Fifty Two Week High 259.98
Fifty Two Week High Change -19.590012
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07535199
Fifty Two Week Low 191.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change 48.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.25530025
Fifty Two Week Range 191.5 - 259.98
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 949,069,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.82
Float Shares 86,966,636
Forward Eps 12.93639
Forward P E 18.582464
Free Cashflow 432,950,016
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 16,800
Fullday Change -3.3
Fullday Change Percent -1.35418
Fullday Price 240.39
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.21385999
Gross Profits 2,039,100,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01579
Held Percent Institutions 1.0014601
Implied Shares Outstanding 89,098,299
Industry Packaging & Containers
Industry Disp Packaging & Containers
Industry Key packaging-containers
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=113281&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Last Dividend Value 1.5
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various linerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers; and white papers. This segment sells papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.
Long Name Packaging Corporation of America
Market us_market
Market Cap 21,418,338,304
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_98885
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 687,400,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 21,712,364,483
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 245.34
Operating Cashflow 1,624,099,968
Operating Margins 0.13121
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.6818
Peg Ratio 1.93
Phone 847 482 3000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 240.39
Post Market Time 1,787,959,804
Previous Close 243.69
Price Eps Current Year 22.895855
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.566506
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.2463803
Profit Margins 0.07256
Quick Ratio 1.767
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -3.3
Regular Market Change Percent -1.35418
Regular Market Day High 246.18
Regular Market Day Low 239.985
Regular Market Day Range 239.985 - 246.18
Regular Market Open 245.34
Regular Market Previous Close 243.69
Regular Market Price 240.39
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 417,987
Return On Assets 0.082779996
Return On Equity 0.14887
Revenue Growth 0.147
Revenue Per Share 107.191
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 89,098,299
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.033
Shares Short 2,936,535
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 3,573,838
Short Name Packaging Corporation of Americ
Short Percent Of Float 0.0383
Short Ratio 4.31
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol PKG
Target High Price 312.0
Target Low Price 167.0
Target Mean Price 260.5
Target Median Price 270.0
Total Cash 593,800,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.705
Total Debt 4,404,299,776
Total Revenue 9,534,600,192
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 5.25
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.021543764
Trailing Eps 7.6
Trailing P E 31.630264
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.9114
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 222.1362
Two Hundred Day Average Change 18.2538
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.082173906
Type Disp Equity
Volume 417,987
Website https://www.packagingcorp.com
Zip 60,045