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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

Consumer Cyclical | Packaging & Containers | Lake Forest, United States | NYSE
225.86 USD -2.91 (-1.272%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:55 a.m. EDT

The core investment thesis rests on resilient revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, yet the recent earnings miss and analyst downgrades create a ceiling on near-term optimism. While technicals and options positioning suggest a bullish bounce is possible, the negative earnings trajectory prevents a higher long-term rating. The dividend remains sustainable, offering income support, but the valuation premium requires patience given the mixed performance signals.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79 ✓0.041127
MSTL_79_1260.047485
AutoTheta0.052117
MSTL0.056151
AutoARIMA0.057867
MSTL_1260.058798
AutoETS0.059398

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 5.54
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.438
Excess Kurtosis -0.71
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 95.185
Revenue per Share 103.377
Market Cap 20,123,820,032
Trailing P/E 27.41
Forward P/E 18.05
Beta 0.82
Profit Margins 8.04%
Website https://www.packagingcorp.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for upside moves with significant out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes above the current price, indicating bullish sentiment. However, there is also notable deep out-of-the-money put volume, suggesting a hedge against downside risk or a belief in a potential floor.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.65% 2.44% 2.61% 2.95%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-15 1.500 0.652287
2026-03-13 1.250 0.582751
2025-12-15 1.250 0.611307
2025-09-15 1.250 0.590152
2025-06-13 1.250 0.662919
2025-03-14 1.250 0.635163
2024-12-20 1.250 0.548294
2024-09-16 1.250 0.582506
2024-06-14 1.250 0.684257
2024-03-14 1.250 0.683023
2023-12-15 1.250 0.758679
2023-09-22 1.250 0.838589
2023-06-14 1.250 0.951583
2023-03-14 1.250 0.951656
2022-12-16 1.250 0.957268
2022-09-30 1.250 1.113189
2022-06-14 1.250 0.849012
2022-03-14 1.000 0.662559
2021-12-17 1.000 0.769053
2021-09-14 1.000 0.674400
2021-06-14 1.000 0.720150
2021-03-12 1.000 0.728757
2020-12-18 1.000 0.741510
2020-09-14 0.790 0.745776
2020-06-12 0.790 0.798625
2020-03-12 0.790 1.020408
2019-12-19 0.790 0.707442
2019-09-12 0.790 0.738111
2019-06-13 0.790 0.820609
2019-03-14 0.790 0.800000
2018-12-14 0.790 0.845462
2018-09-13 0.790 0.694444
2018-06-14 0.790 0.654082
2018-03-14 0.630 0.531556
2017-12-22 0.630 0.524607
2017-09-14 0.630 0.544041
2017-06-13 0.630 0.595688
2017-03-13 0.630 0.684634
2016-12-21 0.630 0.728239
2016-09-13 0.630 0.795856
2016-06-13 0.550 0.833081
2016-03-11 0.550 0.992422
2015-12-23 0.550 0.861529
2015-09-11 0.550 0.839310
2015-06-11 0.550 0.808111
2015-03-11 0.550 0.709128
2014-12-17 0.400 0.513149
2014-09-11 0.400 0.577034
2014-06-11 0.400 0.566733
2014-03-12 0.400 0.554939
2013-12-19 0.400 0.646831
2013-09-11 0.400 0.730994
2013-06-12 0.400 0.832813
2013-03-13 0.313 0.735951
2012-12-13 0.250 0.685871
2012-09-13 0.250 0.758265
2012-06-13 0.250 0.924214
2012-03-13 0.250 0.826993
2011-12-15 0.200 0.825423
2011-09-13 0.200 0.774293
2011-06-13 0.200 0.700771
2011-03-11 0.200 0.729927
2010-12-13 0.150 0.563910
2010-09-13 0.150 0.628404
2010-06-11 0.150 0.670241
2010-03-11 0.150 0.617792
2009-12-11 0.150 0.689655
2009-09-11 0.150 0.711575
2009-06-11 0.150 0.891266
2009-03-11 0.150 1.421801
2008-12-11 0.300 2.442997
2008-09-11 0.300 1.168224
2008-06-11 0.300 1.284247
2008-03-12 0.300 1.330377
2007-12-12 0.300 1.066477
2007-09-12 0.250 0.975039
2007-06-13 0.250 0.988142
2007-03-13 0.250 1.024590
2006-12-13 0.250 1.117069
2006-09-13 0.250 1.102293
2006-06-13 0.250 1.219512
2006-03-13 0.250 1.090275
2005-12-13 0.250 1.098901
2005-09-13 0.250 1.193317
2005-06-13 0.250 1.178134
2005-03-11 0.250 1.005227
2004-12-13 0.150 0.662252
2004-09-13 0.150 0.635055
2004-06-14 0.150 0.649351
2004-03-11 0.150 0.693802
2003-12-11 0.150 0.705882
Additional Data
dividendRate 6.0
dividendYield 2.62
exDividendDate 2026-06-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 5.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.021856012
lastDividendValue 1.5
lastDividendDate 2026-06-15
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.12478495
Address1 1 North Field Court
All Time High 250.82
All Time Low 9.25
Ask 352.45
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 593,850
Average Daily Volume3 Month 736,118
Average Volume 736,118
Average Volume10Days 593,850
Beta 0.818
Bid 99.27
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 8
Book Value 51.812
City Lake Forest
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 225.86
Current Ratio 3.071
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 233.63
Day Low 225.12
Debt To Equity 95.185
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 6.0
Dividend Yield 2.62
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,836,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,836,800
Earnings Growth -0.155
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.161
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Ebitda 1,963,299,968
Ebitda Margins 0.21303
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.134
Enterprise To Revenue 2.585
Enterprise Value 23,821,963,264
Eps Current Year 10.40317
Eps Forward 12.51319
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 8.24
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 847 482 4545
Fifty Day Average 224.4686
Fifty Day Average Change 1.3914032
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.006198654
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 12.478495
Fifty Two Week High 249.51
Fifty Two Week High Change -23.649994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.09478576
Fifty Two Week Low 189.03
Fifty Two Week Low Change 36.83
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19483681
Fifty Two Week Range 189.03 - 249.51
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 949,069,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.82
Float Shares 86,917,495
Forward Eps 12.51319
Forward P E 18.049753
Free Cashflow 391,424,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 16,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.21753
Gross Profits 2,004,800,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.016239999
Held Percent Institutions 1.00056
Implied Shares Outstanding 89,098,647
Industry Packaging & Containers
Industry Disp Packaging & Containers
Industry Key packaging-containers
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=113281&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Last Dividend Value 1.5
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various linerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers; and white papers. This segment sells papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.
Long Name Packaging Corporation of America
Market us_market
Market Cap 20,123,820,032
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_98885
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 736,300,032
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 20,383,097,474
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 229.28
Operating Cashflow 1,547,699,968
Operating Margins 0.13447
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.6075
Peg Ratio 1.74
Phone 847 482 3000
Pre Market Change -1.4900055
Pre Market Change Percent -0.65970314
Pre Market Price 224.37
Pre Market Time 1,784,021,726
Previous Close 228.77
Price Eps Current Year 21.710691
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.359222
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.1835504
Profit Margins 0.080419995
Quick Ratio 1.786
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.91
Regular Market Change Percent -1.27202
Regular Market Day High 233.63
Regular Market Day Low 225.12
Regular Market Day Range 225.12 - 233.63
Regular Market Open 229.28
Regular Market Previous Close 228.77
Regular Market Price 225.86
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 407,842
Return On Assets 0.08369
Return On Equity 0.16313
Revenue Growth 0.106
Revenue Per Share 103.377
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 89,098,647
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0397
Shares Short 3,541,278
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,886,377
Short Name Packaging Corporation of Americ
Short Percent Of Float 0.0462
Short Ratio 5.47
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol PKG
Target High Price 272.0
Target Low Price 167.0
Target Mean Price 242.9
Target Median Price 251.0
Total Cash 543,699,968
Total Cash Per Share 6.14
Total Debt 4,366,900,224
Total Revenue 9,216,100,352
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 5.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.021856012
Trailing Eps 8.24
Trailing P E 27.410194
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.743
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 215.6154
Two Hundred Day Average Change 10.244598
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.047513295
Type Disp Equity
Volume 407,842
Website https://www.packagingcorp.com
Zip 60,045