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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

Consumer Cyclical | Packaging & Containers | Lake Forest, United States | NYSE
231.65 USD +3.83 (1.681%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4:02 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:08 a.m. EDT

PKG represents a compelling long-term opportunity where the market is currently discounting the business due to a temporary earnings miss rather than structural decline. The forward P/E of 17.4 offers a substantial margin of safety against the trailing multiple of nearly 30, reflecting a clear re-rating opportunity as analysts project earnings recovery. Fundamentally, the company retains a fortress balance sheet with a 2.9 current ratio and is demonstrating commitment to shareholders by raising the quarterly dividend to $1.50. While the stock trades below its 50-day moving average, creating near-term technical resistance, it holds firm above the 200-day support, and options flow indicates speculative capital is betting on a rebound. For investors willing to ride out the cyclical headwinds, the combination of sustained revenue growth and a resilient dividend makes this a core holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.039322
AutoARIMA0.040852
AutoETS0.040949
AutoTheta0.061616

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 55%
H-stat 0.95
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.115
Excess Kurtosis -1.44
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 94.474
Revenue per Share 107.191
Market Cap 20,639,619,072
Trailing P/E 30.12
Forward P/E 17.08
Beta 0.77
Profit Margins 7.26%
Website https://www.packagingcorp.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:08 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside over the medium-to-long term, evidenced by significantly higher open interest in out-of-the-money calls compared to puts across January and April 2027 expirations. Near-term flows show a balanced mix with protective puts at the 220 strike, but the overall gamma exposure leans bullish, suggesting expectations of a price recovery above current levels.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.65% 2.50% 2.55% 2.95%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-15 1.500 0.648761
2026-06-15 1.500 0.652287
2026-03-13 1.250 0.582751
2025-12-15 1.250 0.611307
2025-09-15 1.250 0.590152
2025-06-13 1.250 0.662919
2025-03-14 1.250 0.635163
2024-12-20 1.250 0.548294
2024-09-16 1.250 0.582506
2024-06-14 1.250 0.684257
2024-03-14 1.250 0.683023
2023-12-15 1.250 0.758679
2023-09-22 1.250 0.838589
2023-06-14 1.250 0.951583
2023-03-14 1.250 0.951656
2022-12-16 1.250 0.957268
2022-09-30 1.250 1.113189
2022-06-14 1.250 0.849012
2022-03-14 1.000 0.662559
2021-12-17 1.000 0.769053
2021-09-14 1.000 0.674400
2021-06-14 1.000 0.720150
2021-03-12 1.000 0.728757
2020-12-18 1.000 0.741510
2020-09-14 0.790 0.745776
2020-06-12 0.790 0.798625
2020-03-12 0.790 1.020408
2019-12-19 0.790 0.707442
2019-09-12 0.790 0.738111
2019-06-13 0.790 0.820609
2019-03-14 0.790 0.800000
2018-12-14 0.790 0.845462
2018-09-13 0.790 0.694444
2018-06-14 0.790 0.654082
2018-03-14 0.630 0.531556
2017-12-22 0.630 0.524607
2017-09-14 0.630 0.544041
2017-06-13 0.630 0.595688
2017-03-13 0.630 0.684634
2016-12-21 0.630 0.728239
2016-09-13 0.630 0.795856
2016-06-13 0.550 0.833081
2016-03-11 0.550 0.992422
2015-12-23 0.550 0.861529
2015-09-11 0.550 0.839310
2015-06-11 0.550 0.808111
2015-03-11 0.550 0.709128
2014-12-17 0.400 0.513149
2014-09-11 0.400 0.577034
2014-06-11 0.400 0.566733
2014-03-12 0.400 0.554939
2013-12-19 0.400 0.646831
2013-09-11 0.400 0.730994
2013-06-12 0.400 0.832813
2013-03-13 0.313 0.735951
2012-12-13 0.250 0.685871
2012-09-13 0.250 0.758265
2012-06-13 0.250 0.924214
2012-03-13 0.250 0.826993
2011-12-15 0.200 0.825423
2011-09-13 0.200 0.774293
2011-06-13 0.200 0.700771
2011-03-11 0.200 0.729927
2010-12-13 0.150 0.563910
2010-09-13 0.150 0.628404
2010-06-11 0.150 0.670241
2010-03-11 0.150 0.617792
2009-12-11 0.150 0.689655
2009-09-11 0.150 0.711575
2009-06-11 0.150 0.891266
2009-03-11 0.150 1.421801
2008-12-11 0.300 2.442997
2008-09-11 0.300 1.168224
2008-06-11 0.300 1.284247
2008-03-12 0.300 1.330377
2007-12-12 0.300 1.066477
2007-09-12 0.250 0.975039
2007-06-13 0.250 0.988142
2007-03-13 0.250 1.024590
2006-12-13 0.250 1.117069
2006-09-13 0.250 1.102293
2006-06-13 0.250 1.219512
2006-03-13 0.250 1.090275
2005-12-13 0.250 1.098901
2005-09-13 0.250 1.193317
2005-06-13 0.250 1.178134
2005-03-11 0.250 1.005227
2004-12-13 0.150 0.662252
2004-09-13 0.150 0.635055
2004-06-14 0.150 0.649351
2004-03-11 0.150 0.693802
2003-12-11 0.150 0.705882
Additional Data
dividendYield 2.59
exDividendDate 2026-09-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 5.25
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.023044508
lastDividendValue 1.5
lastDividendDate 2026-09-15
dividendDate 2026-10-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.08666825
Address1 1 North Field Court
All Time High 259.98
All Time Low 9.25
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 503,330
Average Daily Volume3 Month 608,987
Average Volume 608,987
Average Volume10Days 503,330
Beta 0.771
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 52.642
City Lake Forest
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 231.65
Current Ratio 2.941
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 232.14
Day Low 227.11
Debt To Equity 94.474
Display Name Packaging Corp of America
Dividend Date 1,792,022,400
Dividend Yield 2.59
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,699,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,699,200
Earnings Growth -0.195
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.205
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,612,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,612,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,612,800
Ebitda 2,000,099,968
Ebitda Margins 0.20977
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.162
Enterprise To Revenue 2.551
Enterprise Value 24,324,757,504
Eps Current Year 10.44766
Eps Forward 13.56383
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.69
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 847 482 4545
Fifty Day Average 240.371
Fifty Day Average Change -8.721008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.036281448
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 8.666825
Fifty Two Week High 259.98
Fifty Two Week High Change -28.330017
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10896998
Fifty Two Week Low 191.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change 40.149994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20966054
Fifty Two Week Range 191.5 - 259.98
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 949,069,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.71
Float Shares 86,963,979
Forward Eps 13.56383
Forward P E 17.078508
Free Cashflow 432,950,016
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 16,800
Fullday Change 3.8299866
Fullday Change Percent 1.6811458
Fullday Price 239.8317
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.21385999
Gross Profits 2,039,100,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01579
Held Percent Institutions 1.00131
Implied Shares Outstanding 89,098,299
Industry Packaging & Containers
Industry Disp Packaging & Containers
Industry Key packaging-containers
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=113281&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Last Dividend Value 1.5
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various linerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers; and white papers. This segment sells papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.
Long Name Packaging Corporation of America
Market us_market
Market Cap 20,639,619,072
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_98885
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 687,400,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 21,225,887,770
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 230.56
Operating Cashflow 1,624,099,968
Operating Margins 0.13121
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.6827
Peg Ratio 1.46
Phone 847 482 3000
Pre Market Change 8.181702
Pre Market Change Percent 3.531924
Pre Market Price 239.8317
Pre Market Time 1,791,969,013
Previous Close 227.82
Price Eps Current Year 22.172428
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.400479
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.1647074
Profit Margins 0.07256
Quick Ratio 1.767
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.82999
Regular Market Change Percent 1.68115
Regular Market Day High 232.14
Regular Market Day Low 227.11
Regular Market Day Range 227.11 - 232.14
Regular Market Open 230.56
Regular Market Previous Close 227.82
Regular Market Price 231.65
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,767
Regular Market Volume 529,375
Return On Assets 0.082779996
Return On Equity 0.14887
Revenue Growth 0.147
Revenue Per Share 107.191
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 89,098,299
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.033299997
Shares Short 2,967,488
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,671,598
Short Name Packaging Corporation of Americ
Short Percent Of Float 0.0387
Short Ratio 4.77
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol PKG
Target High Price 320.0
Target Low Price 167.0
Target Mean Price 261.1
Target Median Price 265.0
Total Cash 593,800,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.705
Total Debt 4,404,299,776
Total Revenue 9,534,600,192
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 5.25
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.023044508
Trailing Eps 7.69
Trailing P E 30.123535
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.5303
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 227.2156
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.434387
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.01951621
Type Disp Equity
Volume 529,375
Website https://www.packagingcorp.com
Zip 60,045