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Polaris Inc. (PII)

Consumer Cyclical | Recreational Vehicles | Medina, United States | NYSE
66.93 USD -0.47 (-0.697%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken. While the company boasts a high dividend yield of 4.13%, the underlying business is deteriorating rapidly. The stock has lost nearly 42% of its value over the last nine years, and the most recent annual performance was another significant drop. With negative profit margins and a return on equity of -45%, the company is failing to generate capital efficiently. The high payout ratio relative to earnings suggests the dividend is being propped up by cash flow rather than sustainable profitability, making it a potential trap for income investors. Although the stock recently rallied off lows, the technical bounce is likely a relief reaction rather than a reversal of the long-term downtrend. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders buying deep insurance against further losses rather than betting on a recovery. Until the fundamentals show a sustained turnaround in profitability and revenue growth, this remains a weak hold.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.037786
AutoETS0.043284
MSTL0.051249
AutoARIMA0.140206

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 2.51
Ljung-Box p 0.007
Jarque-Bera p 0.023
Excess Kurtosis 0.64
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-31
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-31
Debt to Equity Ratio 292.094
Revenue per Share 128.947
Market Cap 3,807,391,232
Forward P/E 21.49
Beta 1.26
Profit Margins -6.07%
Website https://www.polaris.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 30, 40, 50) expiring in early 2027, alongside significant volume in lower strikes. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, with very little speculative volume in deep calls, suggesting a lack of conviction in a major rally despite some hedging against further declines.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.00% 4.37% 4.12% 3.38%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-01 0.680000 1.003690
2026-03-02 0.680000 1.152542
2025-12-01 0.670000 1.033153
2025-09-02 0.670000 1.180201
2025-06-02 0.670000 1.765016
2025-03-03 0.670000 1.567251
2024-12-02 0.660000 0.972734
2024-09-03 0.660000 0.800291
2024-06-03 0.660000 0.803702
2024-02-29 0.660000 0.711897
2023-11-30 0.650000 0.788165
2023-08-31 0.650000 0.579891
2023-05-31 0.650000 0.603472
2023-02-28 0.650000 0.571429
2022-11-30 0.640000 0.561108
2022-08-31 0.640000 0.565022
2022-05-31 0.640000 0.600657
2022-02-28 0.640000 0.526706
2021-11-30 0.630000 0.563557
2021-08-31 0.630000 0.526052
2021-05-28 0.630000 0.480110
2021-02-26 0.630000 0.534986
2020-11-30 0.620000 0.645833
2020-08-31 0.620000 0.613618
2020-06-04 0.620000 0.647182
2020-02-28 0.620000 0.751242
2019-11-29 0.610000 0.624360
2019-08-30 0.610000 0.743721
2019-05-31 0.610000 0.763645
2019-02-28 0.610000 0.715710
2018-11-30 0.600000 0.618557
2018-08-30 0.600000 0.554529
2018-05-31 0.600000 0.536193
2018-02-28 0.600000 0.526362
2017-11-30 0.580000 0.456657
2017-08-30 0.580000 0.626553
2017-05-30 0.580000 0.685660
2017-02-27 0.580000 0.666897
2016-11-29 0.550000 0.634518
2016-08-30 0.550000 0.618881
2016-05-27 0.550000 0.636500
2016-02-26 0.550000 0.602476
2015-11-27 0.530000 0.501419
2015-08-28 0.530000 0.403902
2015-05-28 0.530000 0.365870
2015-02-26 0.530000 0.336252
2014-11-26 0.480000 0.307239
2014-08-28 0.480000 0.329489
2014-05-29 0.480000 0.366608
2014-02-27 0.480000 0.363306
2013-11-27 0.420000 0.313480
2013-08-29 0.420000 0.378038
2013-05-30 0.420000 0.441780
2013-02-27 0.420000 0.484653
2012-11-28 0.370000 0.437818
2012-08-29 0.370000 0.484864
2012-05-30 0.370000 0.480270
2012-02-28 0.370000 0.557649
2011-10-28 0.225000 0.358794
2011-07-28 0.225000 0.382101
2011-04-28 0.225000 0.426500
2011-01-28 0.225000 0.600080
2010-10-28 0.200000 0.569152
2010-07-29 0.200000 0.669792
2010-04-29 0.200000 0.646621
2010-01-28 0.200000 0.884369
2009-10-29 0.195000 0.874636
2009-07-30 0.195000 1.012987
2009-04-29 0.195000 1.191931
2009-01-30 0.195000 1.833568
2008-10-30 0.190000 1.175015
2008-07-30 0.190000 0.848214
2008-04-29 0.190000 0.819672
2008-01-30 0.190000 0.933432
2007-10-30 0.170000 0.660579
2007-07-30 0.170000 0.678507
2007-04-27 0.170000 0.658532
2007-01-30 0.170000 0.726962
2006-10-30 0.155000 0.713628
2006-07-28 0.155000 0.834455
2006-04-27 0.155000 0.645699
2006-01-30 0.155000 0.576101
2005-10-28 0.140000 0.623192
2005-07-28 0.140000 0.498931
2005-04-28 0.140000 0.489425
2005-01-28 0.140000 0.422897
2004-10-28 0.115000 0.385518
2004-07-29 0.115000 0.482281
2004-04-29 0.115000 0.536006
2004-01-29 0.115000 0.550898
2003-10-30 0.077500 0.364706
2003-07-30 0.077500 0.406291
2003-04-29 0.077500 0.578790
2003-01-29 0.077500 0.587678
2002-10-30 0.070000 0.442338
2002-07-30 0.070000 0.400000
2002-04-29 0.070000 0.370126
2002-01-30 0.070000 0.502242
2001-10-30 0.062500 0.552486
2001-07-30 0.062500 0.507614
2001-04-27 0.062500 0.638570
2001-01-30 0.062500 0.548246
2000-10-30 0.055000 0.644689
2000-07-28 0.055000 0.752137
2000-04-27 0.055000 0.706827
2000-01-28 0.055000 0.682171
1999-10-28 0.050000 0.595903
1999-07-29 0.050000 0.504732
1999-04-29 0.050000 0.530680
1999-01-28 0.050000 0.620155
1998-10-29 0.045000 0.513369
1998-07-29 0.045000 0.480000
1998-04-29 0.045000 0.501742
1998-01-29 0.045000 0.597510
1997-11-04 0.040000 0.526749
1997-07-30 0.040000 0.534447
1997-04-28 0.040000 0.612440
1997-02-04 0.040000 0.656410
1996-10-30 0.037500 0.769231
1996-07-30 0.037500 0.540541
1996-04-29 0.037500 0.431655
1996-02-01 0.037500 0.502092
1995-10-30 0.032500 0.446352
1995-09-19 0.320000 4.219780
1995-08-01 0.025000 0.377358
1995-06-06 0.320000 4.363637
1995-04-27 0.025000 0.332410
1995-03-13 0.320000 4.129032
1995-01-31 0.025000 0.338028
1994-12-09 0.105000 1.354839
1994-09-09 0.105000 1.774648
1994-06-09 0.105000 1.826087
1994-03-09 0.105000 1.826087
1993-12-09 0.105000 1.793594
1993-09-09 0.105000 1.800000
1993-06-09 0.104167 2.183413
1993-03-09 0.104167 2.444995
1992-12-09 0.104167 2.770092
1992-09-09 0.104167 2.610975
1992-06-09 0.104167 2.941186
1992-03-10 0.104167 3.236256
1991-12-10 0.104167 3.367014
1991-09-11 0.104167 3.533580
1991-06-11 0.104167 3.937021
1991-03-11 0.104167 4.291860
1991-02-25 0.104167 3.984077
1990-09-11 0.104167 4.065054
1990-06-11 0.104167 3.610119
1990-03-09 0.104167 4.237302
1989-12-11 0.050000 2.436549
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.72
dividendYield 4.06
exDividendDate 2026-06-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.69
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.03991098
lastDividendValue 0.68
lastDividendDate 2026-06-01
dividendDate 2026-06-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.41560912
Address1 2,100 Highway 55
All Time High 159.33
All Time Low 1.177083
Ask 70.67
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 767,490
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,166,106
Average Volume 1,166,106
Average Volume10Days 767,490
Beta 1.263
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 2
Book Value 13.188
City Medina
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 66.93
Current Ratio 1.214
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 68.97
Day Low 66.79
Debt To Equity 292.094
Display Name Polaris
Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Dividend Rate 2.72
Dividend Yield 4.06
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,182,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,182,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,182,400
Ebitda 393,100,000
Ebitda Margins 0.053460002
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.591
Enterprise To Revenue 0.78
Enterprise Value 5,735,691,264
Eps Current Year 1.82391
Eps Forward 3.11378
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.84
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 67.3396
Fifty Day Average Change -0.4095993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.006082592
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 41.560913
Fifty Two Week High 75.25
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.32
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.11056478
Fifty Two Week Low 46.03
Fifty Two Week Low Change 20.900002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.45405176
Fifty Two Week Range 46.03 - 75.25
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 558,797,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.32
Float Shares 53,458,207
Forward Eps 3.11378
Forward P E 21.494774
Free Cashflow 384,487,488
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 14,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.20899999
Gross Profits 1,536,800,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0634
Held Percent Institutions 0.98403
Implied Shares Outstanding 56,886,167
Industry Recreational Vehicles
Industry Disp Recreational Vehicles
Industry Key recreational-vehicles
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=108235&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Last Dividend Value 0.68
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,315,872,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Polaris Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Off Road, On Road, and Marine. The company offers off-road vehicles (ORVs), including all-terrain vehicles and side-by-side vehicles; military and commercial ORVs; snowmobiles; motorcycles; moto-roadsters; quadricycles; and pontoon and deck boats. It also provides source parts, garments, and accessories, such as helmets, jackets, gloves, pants, and hats; and snowmobile accessories comprising covers, traction products, reverse kits, electric starters, tracks, pull-behinds, bags, and windshields, as well as gear and apparel for its snowmobiles consisting of helmets, jackets, goggles, gloves, boots, bibs, pants, and hats. In addition, the company offers ORV accessories, including winches, bumper/brushguards, plows, racks, wheels and tires, cab systems, lighting and audio systems, cargo box accessories, and tracks, as well as replacement parts and lubricants. Further, it provides motorcycle accessories, such as performance enhancements, saddle bags, handlebars, backrests, exhausts, windshields, seats, and various chrome accessories, as well as light duty hauling and passenger vehicles. The company sells its products through dealers and distributors, as well as online. The company was formerly known as Polaris Industries Inc. Polaris Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Medina, Minnesota.
Long Name Polaris Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,807,391,232
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_297441
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -446,100,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,807,391,157
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 68.08
Operating Cashflow 337,600,000
Operating Margins -0.00448
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 3.7324
Peg Ratio 3.34
Phone 763 542 0500
Pre Market Change 0.0
Pre Market Change Percent 0.0
Pre Market Price 66.93
Pre Market Time 1,784,029,500
Previous Close 67.4
Price Eps Current Year 36.69589
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.0750685
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.517787
Profit Margins -0.06067
Quick Ratio 0.266
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.77778
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.470001
Regular Market Change Percent -0.697331
Regular Market Day High 68.97
Regular Market Day Low 66.79
Regular Market Day Range 66.79 - 68.97
Regular Market Open 68.08
Regular Market Previous Close 67.4
Regular Market Price 66.93
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 408,259
Return On Assets 0.013660001
Return On Equity -0.44851002
Revenue Growth 0.075
Revenue Per Share 128.947
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 56,886,167
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0652
Shares Short 3,706,261
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,914,035
Short Name Polaris Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1062
Short Ratio 4.29
Source Interval 15
State MN
Symbol PII
Target High Price 84.0
Target Low Price 43.0
Target Mean Price 68.33333
Target Median Price 70.0
Total Cash 282,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.957
Total Debt 2,205,600,000
Total Revenue 7,353,200,128
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.69
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.03991098
Trailing Eps -7.84
Trailing Peg Ratio 3.3368
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 64.21015
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.7198486
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.042358544
Type Disp Equity
Volume 408,259
Website https://www.polaris.com
Zip 55,340