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Polaris Inc. (PII)

Consumer Cyclical | Recreational Vehicles | Medina, United States | NYSE
63.78 USD -0.07 (-0.110%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 63.78
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:55 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Polaris is currently broken by a severe multi-year structural decline. Despite a recent price bounce, the underlying business has suffered four consecutive years of negative annual returns, dragging the total shareholder return down nearly 38% over the last nine years. This persistent deterioration suggests the market is correctly pricing in a fundamental issue with the company's growth engine, rendering any 'value' narrative suspect. While the stock offers a headline-grabbing 4.2% yield, the payout ratio of 373% indicates the dividend is being funded by capital destruction rather than earnings, making it unsustainable in the long run. Options data confirms this pessimism, with traders loading up on protection at lower price levels while ignoring upside potential. The statistical forecast shows almost no directional bias, reinforcing the view that the stock is stuck in a low-quality equilibrium until the core business issues are resolved.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.057423
AutoARIMA0.058764
MSTL0.065714
AutoTheta0.074876

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 1.34
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.197
Excess Kurtosis -1.32
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-31
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-31
Debt to Equity Ratio 244.899
Revenue per Share 131.536
Market Cap 3,629,306,624
Forward P/E 18.78
Beta 1.29
Profit Margins -3.46%
Website https://www.polaris.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated at strikes below the current price (60 and 50), while call activity remains thin and skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, suggesting fear of further downside rather than anticipation of a rally.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.00% 4.37% 4.12% 3.38%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-01 0.680000 1.003690
2026-03-02 0.680000 1.152542
2025-12-01 0.670000 1.033153
2025-09-02 0.670000 1.180201
2025-06-02 0.670000 1.765016
2025-03-03 0.670000 1.567251
2024-12-02 0.660000 0.972734
2024-09-03 0.660000 0.800291
2024-06-03 0.660000 0.803702
2024-02-29 0.660000 0.711897
2023-11-30 0.650000 0.788165
2023-08-31 0.650000 0.579891
2023-05-31 0.650000 0.603472
2023-02-28 0.650000 0.571429
2022-11-30 0.640000 0.561108
2022-08-31 0.640000 0.565022
2022-05-31 0.640000 0.600657
2022-02-28 0.640000 0.526706
2021-11-30 0.630000 0.563557
2021-08-31 0.630000 0.526052
2021-05-28 0.630000 0.480110
2021-02-26 0.630000 0.534986
2020-11-30 0.620000 0.645833
2020-08-31 0.620000 0.613618
2020-06-04 0.620000 0.647182
2020-02-28 0.620000 0.751242
2019-11-29 0.610000 0.624360
2019-08-30 0.610000 0.743721
2019-05-31 0.610000 0.763645
2019-02-28 0.610000 0.715710
2018-11-30 0.600000 0.618557
2018-08-30 0.600000 0.554529
2018-05-31 0.600000 0.536193
2018-02-28 0.600000 0.526362
2017-11-30 0.580000 0.456657
2017-08-30 0.580000 0.626553
2017-05-30 0.580000 0.685660
2017-02-27 0.580000 0.666897
2016-11-29 0.550000 0.634518
2016-08-30 0.550000 0.618881
2016-05-27 0.550000 0.636500
2016-02-26 0.550000 0.602476
2015-11-27 0.530000 0.501419
2015-08-28 0.530000 0.403902
2015-05-28 0.530000 0.365870
2015-02-26 0.530000 0.336252
2014-11-26 0.480000 0.307239
2014-08-28 0.480000 0.329489
2014-05-29 0.480000 0.366608
2014-02-27 0.480000 0.363306
2013-11-27 0.420000 0.313480
2013-08-29 0.420000 0.378038
2013-05-30 0.420000 0.441780
2013-02-27 0.420000 0.484653
2012-11-28 0.370000 0.437818
2012-08-29 0.370000 0.484864
2012-05-30 0.370000 0.480270
2012-02-28 0.370000 0.557649
2011-10-28 0.225000 0.358794
2011-07-28 0.225000 0.382101
2011-04-28 0.225000 0.426500
2011-01-28 0.225000 0.600080
2010-10-28 0.200000 0.569152
2010-07-29 0.200000 0.669792
2010-04-29 0.200000 0.646621
2010-01-28 0.200000 0.884369
2009-10-29 0.195000 0.874636
2009-07-30 0.195000 1.012987
2009-04-29 0.195000 1.191931
2009-01-30 0.195000 1.833568
2008-10-30 0.190000 1.175015
2008-07-30 0.190000 0.848214
2008-04-29 0.190000 0.819672
2008-01-30 0.190000 0.933432
2007-10-30 0.170000 0.660579
2007-07-30 0.170000 0.678507
2007-04-27 0.170000 0.658532
2007-01-30 0.170000 0.726962
2006-10-30 0.155000 0.713628
2006-07-28 0.155000 0.834455
2006-04-27 0.155000 0.645699
2006-01-30 0.155000 0.576101
2005-10-28 0.140000 0.623192
2005-07-28 0.140000 0.498931
2005-04-28 0.140000 0.489425
2005-01-28 0.140000 0.422897
2004-10-28 0.115000 0.385518
2004-07-29 0.115000 0.482281
2004-04-29 0.115000 0.536006
2004-01-29 0.115000 0.550898
2003-10-30 0.077500 0.364706
2003-07-30 0.077500 0.406291
2003-04-29 0.077500 0.578790
2003-01-29 0.077500 0.587678
2002-10-30 0.070000 0.442338
2002-07-30 0.070000 0.400000
2002-04-29 0.070000 0.370126
2002-01-30 0.070000 0.502242
2001-10-30 0.062500 0.552486
2001-07-30 0.062500 0.507614
2001-04-27 0.062500 0.638570
2001-01-30 0.062500 0.548246
2000-10-30 0.055000 0.644689
2000-07-28 0.055000 0.752137
2000-04-27 0.055000 0.706827
2000-01-28 0.055000 0.682171
1999-10-28 0.050000 0.595903
1999-07-29 0.050000 0.504732
1999-04-29 0.050000 0.530680
1999-01-28 0.050000 0.620155
1998-10-29 0.045000 0.513369
1998-07-29 0.045000 0.480000
1998-04-29 0.045000 0.501742
1998-01-29 0.045000 0.597510
1997-11-04 0.040000 0.526749
1997-07-30 0.040000 0.534447
1997-04-28 0.040000 0.612440
1997-02-04 0.040000 0.656410
1996-10-30 0.037500 0.769231
1996-07-30 0.037500 0.540541
1996-04-29 0.037500 0.431655
1996-02-01 0.037500 0.502092
1995-10-30 0.032500 0.446352
1995-09-19 0.320000 4.219780
1995-08-01 0.025000 0.377358
1995-06-06 0.320000 4.363637
1995-04-27 0.025000 0.332410
1995-03-13 0.320000 4.129032
1995-01-31 0.025000 0.338028
1994-12-09 0.105000 1.354839
1994-09-09 0.105000 1.774648
1994-06-09 0.105000 1.826087
1994-03-09 0.105000 1.826087
1993-12-09 0.105000 1.793594
1993-09-09 0.105000 1.800000
1993-06-09 0.104167 2.183413
1993-03-09 0.104167 2.444995
1992-12-09 0.104167 2.770092
1992-09-09 0.104167 2.610975
1992-06-09 0.104167 2.941186
1992-03-10 0.104167 3.236256
1991-12-10 0.104167 3.367014
1991-09-11 0.104167 3.533580
1991-06-11 0.104167 3.937021
1991-03-11 0.104167 4.291860
1991-02-25 0.104167 3.984077
1990-09-11 0.104167 4.065054
1990-06-11 0.104167 3.610119
1990-03-09 0.104167 4.237302
1989-12-11 0.050000 2.436549
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.72
dividendYield 4.26
exDividendDate 2026-09-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.7
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.042286612
lastDividendValue 0.68
lastDividendDate 2026-06-01
dividendDate 2026-09-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.12348068
Address1 2,100 Highway 55
All Time High 159.33
All Time Low 1.177083
Ask 64.2
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 792,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 837,422
Average Volume 837,422
Average Volume10Days 792,640
Beta 1.285
Bid 64.09
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 2
Book Value 14.701
City Medina
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 63.78
Current Ratio 1.2
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 64.59
Day Low 62.24
Debt To Equity 244.899
Display Name Polaris
Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Dividend Rate 2.72
Dividend Yield 4.26
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,243,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,243,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,182,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,044,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,044,800
Ebitda 492,100,000
Ebitda Margins 0.06546
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.956
Enterprise To Revenue 0.717
Enterprise Value 5,391,306,752
Eps Current Year 3.13694
Eps Forward 3.39661
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.59
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,220,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 68.8516
Fifty Day Average Change -5.071602
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0736599
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 12.348068
Fifty Two Week High 77.98
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.200005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.18209803
Fifty Two Week Low 47.14
Fifty Two Week Low Change 16.64
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.35299107
Fifty Two Week Range 47.14 - 77.98
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 558,797,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.32
Float Shares 53,475,656
Forward Eps 3.39661
Forward P E 18.777546
Free Cashflow 277,100,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 14,500
Fullday Change -0.0699997
Fullday Change Percent -0.109631
Fullday Price 63.78
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.21948
Gross Profits 1,649,900,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.063379996
Held Percent Institutions 0.90586996
Implied Shares Outstanding 56,903,524
Industry Recreational Vehicles
Industry Disp Recreational Vehicles
Industry Key recreational-vehicles
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=108235&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Last Dividend Value 0.68
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,315,872,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Polaris Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Off Road, On Road, and Marine. The company offers off-road vehicles (ORVs), including all-terrain vehicles and side-by-side vehicles; military and commercial ORVs; snowmobiles; motorcycles; moto-roadsters; quadricycles; and pontoon and deck boats. It also provides source parts, garments, and accessories, such as helmets, jackets, gloves, pants, and hats; and snowmobile accessories comprising covers, traction products, reverse kits, electric starters, tracks, pull-behinds, bags, and windshields, as well as gear and apparel for its snowmobiles consisting of helmets, jackets, goggles, gloves, boots, bibs, pants, and hats. In addition, the company offers ORV accessories, including winches, bumper/brushguards, plows, racks, wheels and tires, cab systems, lighting and audio systems, cargo box accessories, and tracks, as well as replacement parts and lubricants. Further, it provides motorcycle accessories, such as performance enhancements, saddle bags, handlebars, backrests, exhausts, windshields, seats, and various chrome accessories, as well as light duty hauling and passenger vehicles. The company sells its products through dealers and distributors, as well as online. The company was formerly known as Polaris Industries Inc. Polaris Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Medina, Minnesota.
Long Name Polaris Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,629,306,624
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_297441
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -260,400,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,633,290,007
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 64.17
Operating Cashflow 247,500,000
Operating Margins 0.071729995
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 3.7324
Peg Ratio 3.34
Phone 763 542 0500
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 63.78
Post Market Time 1,787,959,804
Previous Close 63.85
Price Eps Current Year 20.331915
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.33848
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.4827939
Profit Margins -0.03464
Quick Ratio 0.327
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.77778
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0699997
Regular Market Change Percent -0.109631
Regular Market Day High 64.59
Regular Market Day Low 62.24
Regular Market Day Range 62.24 - 64.59
Regular Market Open 64.17
Regular Market Previous Close 63.85
Regular Market Price 63.78
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 993,354
Return On Assets 0.02638
Return On Equity -0.25571
Revenue Growth 0.088
Revenue Per Share 131.536
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 56,903,524
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0705
Shares Short 4,010,464
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 3,761,775
Short Name Polaris Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1148
Short Ratio 4.71
Source Interval 15
State MN
Symbol PII
Target High Price 85.0
Target Low Price 46.0
Target Mean Price 72.73333
Target Median Price 73.0
Total Cash 302,100,000
Total Cash Per Share 5.309
Total Debt 2,059,600,000
Total Revenue 7,517,300,224
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.7
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.042286612
Trailing Eps -4.59
Trailing Peg Ratio 3.3368
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 65.0403
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.2602997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.019377213
Type Disp Equity
Volume 993,354
Website https://www.polaris.com
Zip 55,340