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Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ)

Greater China Region | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
23.63 USD -0.01 (-0.042%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:34 a.m. EDT

The Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF presents a classic value trap scenario where attractive metrics mask a deteriorating trend. While the price-to-book ratio of 0.37 looks compelling on paper, the underlying business has suffered a brutal multi-year decline, dropping nearly 15% in the trailing year alone. The market has correctly priced in the risks associated with the Chinese regulatory environment and economic slowdown, rendering the low valuation a warning sign rather than a bargain. Although the fund offers a 3.4% dividend yield, the payout history shows erratic distributions that do not provide a reliable income floor. Technically, the stock is trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming a downtrend that has yet to reverse. With no meaningful options support from buyers and a statistical forecast showing zero directional bias, there is no immediate catalyst to justify a long position. Investors should wait for a confirmed reversal in the broader Chinese equity market before considering this vehicle.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.063864
AutoETS0.063969
MSTL0.065872
AutoTheta0.068769

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 27.35
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.247
Excess Kurtosis -0.93
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 11.74

As of July 11, 2026, 3:34 a.m. EDT: Options activity reveals a distinct lack of bullish conviction. Call volume is negligible across all expirations, with open interest concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes (35.0) rather than realistic targets. Conversely, put open interest is significantly heavier, particularly in the September expiration where out-of-the-money puts show substantial positioning relative to calls. This imbalance suggests speculators are hedging downside risk or betting on continued stagnation rather than anticipating a near-term rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.30% 2.50% 3.63% 2.42%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-22 0.069 0.299349
2026-03-23 0.011 0.042243
2025-12-22 0.203 0.690711
2025-09-22 0.483 1.464524
2025-06-23 0.215 0.773381
2025-03-24 0.072 0.236376
2024-12-23 0.065 0.243720
2024-09-23 0.152 0.663176
2024-06-24 1.013 4.370147
2023-12-18 0.396 1.592280
2023-09-18 0.144 0.523636
2023-06-20 0.088 0.322699
2023-03-20 0.023 0.083092
2022-12-19 0.083 0.300834
2022-09-19 0.070 0.247262
2022-06-21 0.076 0.239672
2020-12-21 0.082 0.133485
2020-06-22 0.028 0.057085
2020-03-23 0.085 0.242996
2019-09-23 0.019 0.050897
2019-06-24 0.052 0.140883
2018-09-24 0.071 0.186548
2018-06-18 0.027 0.053370
2017-12-18 0.614 1.368398
2017-09-18 0.108 0.240320
2017-06-16 0.197 0.527443
2016-12-16 0.481 1.668980
2016-09-16 0.032 0.097591
2016-06-17 0.042 0.154753
2015-09-18 0.030 0.115696
2015-06-19 0.092 0.263610
2014-12-19 0.081 0.286320
2014-09-19 0.038 0.120635
2014-06-20 0.129 0.433613
2013-12-20 0.143 0.490566
2013-09-20 0.080 0.287047
2013-06-21 0.068 0.333824
2012-12-21 0.097 0.515683
2012-09-21 0.099 0.527157
2012-06-15 0.247 1.285120
2012-03-16 0.018 0.080754
2011-12-16 0.179 0.921730
2011-09-16 0.139 0.603299
2011-06-17 0.138 0.576200
2010-12-17 0.110 0.421295
2010-09-17 0.027 0.108565
2010-06-18 0.041 0.173802
2009-12-18 0.123 0.517459
2009-09-18 0.030 0.125892
2009-06-19 0.046 0.220729
2008-09-19 0.133 0.601810
2008-06-20 0.038 0.148148
2007-09-21 0.049 0.156650
2007-06-15 0.163 0.661258
2006-12-15 0.006 0.030318
2006-09-15 0.080 0.501253
2006-06-16 0.124 0.822281
2005-12-16 0.001 0.007210
2005-09-16 0.112 0.798859
2005-06-17 0.050 0.366032
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.11
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.00465313
dividendDate 2017-12-29
dividendYield 3.4

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 85.9
All Time Low 10.91
Ask 23.63
Ask Size 19
Average Daily Volume10 Day 23,370
Average Daily Volume3 Month 26,875
Average Volume 26,875
Average Volume10Days 23,370
Beta3 Year 0.85
Bid 23.58
Bid Size 19
Book Value 63.494
Category Greater China Region
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 23.84
Day Low 23.56
Dividend Date 1,514,505,600
Dividend Yield 3.4
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.0130184
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 24.8972
Fifty Day Average Change -1.2672005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.050897308
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -20.99632
Fifty Two Week High 34.54
Fifty Two Week High Change -10.910002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3158657
Fifty Two Week Low 21.69
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.9399986
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.089442074
Fifty Two Week Range 21.69 - 34.54
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,102,602,600,000
Five Year Average Return -0.1368021
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Invesco
Fund Inception Date 1,102,550,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund generally will invest at least 90% of its total assets in the securities that comprise the underlying index. The underlying index is composed of securities of U.S. exchange-listed companies that are headquartered or incorporated in the People's Republic of China. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_22892844
Nav Price 23.63
Net Assets 88,411,984.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.7
Open 23.77
Previous Close 23.64
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.37216115
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0100002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.0423022
Regular Market Day High 23.84
Regular Market Day Low 23.56
Regular Market Day Range 23.56 - 23.84
Regular Market Open 23.77
Regular Market Previous Close 23.64
Regular Market Price 23.63
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 12,907
Shares Outstanding 5,250,000
Short Name Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol PGJ
Three Year Average Return -0.0374518
Total Assets 88,411,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.11
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.00465313
Trailing P E 11.738591
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -12.54092
Trailing Three Month Returns -12.54092
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 28.26645
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.6364517
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.16402666
Type Disp ETF
Volume 12,907
Yield 0.034
Ytd Return -21.51841