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Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ)

Greater China Region | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
21.83 USD -0.30 (-1.352%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:17 a.m. EDT

The 'Golden Dragon' ETF presents a classic value trap scenario where cheap valuation masks a broken trend. While the price-to-book ratio of 0.35 looks attractive on paper, the asset is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming that the market has priced in severe structural issues with the underlying Chinese equities. The recent price action shows a grinding decline, hitting a fresh 52-week low, which suggests the downtrend is intact despite the recent minor bounce. The statistical forecast model leans slightly negative, aligning with the technical weakness. While the dividend yield offers some cushion, it is insufficient to offset the capital loss potential in a continuing bear market. The options market is the only bright spot, with heavy call buying at distant strikes hinting at a speculative hope for a policy-driven rally, but this is not yet reflected in the underlying price momentum. For now, the risk-reward profile remains unfavorable.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.049588
AutoETS0.050750
AutoARIMA0.050959
MSTL0.051492

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 6.60
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.202
Excess Kurtosis -1.29
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 10.59

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:17 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a modest rebound rather than a crash. Call open interest is heavily skewed out-of-the-money (OTM) at strikes like $29 and $35, suggesting bets on a significant recovery to previous highs. Conversely, put activity is concentrated near the current price ($21-$25) with very little OTM protection bought, indicating a lack of fear regarding a deep decline but a hedge against stagnation.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.66% 1.69% 3.68% 2.55%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-21 0.148 0.660419
2026-06-22 0.069 0.299349
2026-03-23 0.011 0.042243
2025-12-22 0.203 0.690711
2025-09-22 0.483 1.464524
2025-06-23 0.215 0.773381
2025-03-24 0.072 0.236376
2024-12-23 0.065 0.243720
2024-09-23 0.152 0.663176
2024-06-24 1.013 4.370147
2023-12-18 0.396 1.592280
2023-09-18 0.144 0.523636
2023-06-20 0.088 0.322699
2023-03-20 0.023 0.083092
2022-12-19 0.083 0.300834
2022-09-19 0.070 0.247262
2022-06-21 0.076 0.239672
2020-12-21 0.082 0.133485
2020-06-22 0.028 0.057085
2020-03-23 0.085 0.242996
2019-09-23 0.019 0.050897
2019-06-24 0.052 0.140883
2018-09-24 0.071 0.186548
2018-06-18 0.027 0.053370
2017-12-18 0.614 1.368398
2017-09-18 0.108 0.240320
2017-06-16 0.197 0.527443
2016-12-16 0.481 1.668980
2016-09-16 0.032 0.097591
2016-06-17 0.042 0.154753
2015-09-18 0.030 0.115696
2015-06-19 0.092 0.263610
2014-12-19 0.081 0.286320
2014-09-19 0.038 0.120635
2014-06-20 0.129 0.433613
2013-12-20 0.143 0.490566
2013-09-20 0.080 0.287047
2013-06-21 0.068 0.333824
2012-12-21 0.097 0.515683
2012-09-21 0.099 0.527157
2012-06-15 0.247 1.285120
2012-03-16 0.018 0.080754
2011-12-16 0.179 0.921730
2011-09-16 0.139 0.603299
2011-06-17 0.138 0.576200
2010-12-17 0.110 0.421295
2010-09-17 0.027 0.108565
2010-06-18 0.041 0.173802
2009-12-18 0.123 0.517459
2009-09-18 0.030 0.125892
2009-06-19 0.046 0.220729
2008-09-19 0.133 0.601810
2008-06-20 0.038 0.148148
2007-09-21 0.049 0.156650
2007-06-15 0.163 0.661258
2006-12-15 0.006 0.030318
2006-09-15 0.080 0.501253
2006-06-16 0.124 0.822281
2005-12-16 0.001 0.007210
2005-09-16 0.112 0.798859
2005-06-17 0.050 0.366032
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.11
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0049711224
dividendDate 2017-12-29
dividendYield 1.96

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 85.9
All Time Low 10.91
Ask 25.62
Ask Size 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 20,540
Average Daily Volume3 Month 20,584
Average Volume 20,584
Average Volume10Days 20,540
Beta3 Year 0.66
Bid 25.41
Bid Size 3
Book Value 63.494
Category Greater China Region
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 22.07
Day Low 21.775
Dividend Date 1,514,505,600
Dividend Yield 1.96
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.0617018
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 23.191
Fifty Day Average Change -1.3624
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.05874693
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -30.427944
Fifty Two Week High 32.93
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.1014
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3371212
Fifty Two Week Low 21.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.57859993
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.027228232
Fifty Two Week Range 21.25 - 32.93
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,102,602,600,000
Five Year Average Return -0.11107139
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -0.2777996
Fullday Change Percent -1.2560002
Fullday Price 21.8286
Fund Family Invesco
Fund Inception Date 1,102,550,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund generally will invest at least 90% of its total assets in the securities that comprise the underlying index. The underlying index is composed of securities of U.S. exchange-listed companies that are headquartered or incorporated in the People's Republic of China. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF
Market us_market
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_22892844
Nav Price 22.13
Net Assets 84,517,880.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.7
Open 22.07
Previous Close 22.1278
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.34378996
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.29920006
Regular Market Change Percent -1.3521456
Regular Market Day High 22.07
Regular Market Day Low 21.775
Regular Market Day Range 21.775 - 22.07
Regular Market Open 22.07
Regular Market Previous Close 22.1278
Regular Market Price 21.8286
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,000
Regular Market Volume 12,634
Shares Outstanding 5,250,000
Short Name Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol PGJ
Three Year Average Return -0.0217603
Total Assets 84,517,880
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.11
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0049711224
Trailing P E 10.587661
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -2.01811
Trailing Three Month Returns -2.01811
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 25.78395
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.9553509
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1534036
Type Disp ETF
Volume 12,634
Yield 0.0196
Ytd Return -23.10225