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Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF (PFIX)

Trading--Inverse Debt | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
58.60 USD -0.98 (-1.645%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 59.02 +0.42 (0.717%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4:02 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:25 a.m. EDT

The recent price surge is a classic 'mean reversion' trap for this specific instrument. While the underlying business logic—hedging against rising rates—remains sound, the price has detached from its historical averages, trading significantly above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The market is now pricing in a sharp pullback, and the options data confirms this skepticism with heavy downside positioning. For the long term, the asset is neutral; it lacks the explosive multi-year growth trajectory required for a top-tier buy, having suffered a massive crash in 2024 that wiped out previous gains. However, the short-term setup looks attractive for a tactical entry. The gap between the current price and the 200-day average offers a substantial cushion, and the heavy put activity suggests a potential bounce or consolidation rather than a collapse. Investors should view this as a high-conviction swing trade opportunity rather than a permanent accumulation zone.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.094384
AutoETS0.094456
AutoARIMA0.094457
MSTL0.095650

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 59.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.064
Excess Kurtosis -1.02

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a downside correction in the near term, evidenced by massive put volume and open interest concentrated at strikes below the current price (47, 50, 54). This 'insurance' buying contrasts sharply with the limited call activity, which is mostly ITM or low-volume OTM. The implied volatility skew is heavily weighted toward downside protection, suggesting a fear of a rapid drop despite the recent rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.17% 7.78% 34.10% —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-25 0.100 0.171145
2026-08-26 0.100 0.195503
2026-07-28 0.100 0.212224
2026-06-25 0.100 0.238949
2026-05-26 0.100 0.202758
2026-04-27 0.100 0.218007
2026-03-26 0.100 0.204792
2026-02-24 0.100 0.234687
2026-01-27 0.100 0.218771
2025-12-23 2.610 5.455686
2025-11-21 0.100 0.206143
2025-10-28 0.100 0.225479
2025-09-25 0.100 0.209776
2025-08-26 0.600 1.081471
2025-07-28 0.600 1.016088
2025-06-25 0.120 0.222758
2025-05-27 0.150 0.257113
2025-04-25 0.150 0.283768
2025-03-26 0.150 0.300120
2025-02-25 0.100 0.215517
2025-01-28 0.100 0.190694
2024-12-23 0.148 0.281048
2024-11-25 0.180 0.382572
2024-10-28 0.180 0.371058
2024-09-25 0.200 0.482975
2024-08-27 0.200 0.484848
2024-07-26 0.180 0.372401
2024-06-25 0.160 0.360685
2024-05-24 0.140 0.293317
2024-04-25 0.120 0.216998
2024-03-25 0.100 0.211640
2024-02-26 0.100 0.208681
2024-01-26 0.070 0.147275
2023-12-26 34.267 86.707995
2023-11-27 0.100 0.114051
2023-10-26 0.100 0.093791
2023-09-27 0.100 0.106191
2023-08-28 0.100 0.129116
2023-07-26 0.100 0.155909
2023-06-27 0.100 0.160901
2023-05-25 0.100 0.146714
2023-04-25 0.100 0.156666
2023-01-26 0.100 0.165207
2022-12-27 0.179 0.248163
2022-11-25 0.117 0.176978
2022-10-26 0.052 0.067524
2022-09-27 0.049 0.071869
2022-08-26 0.034 0.063386
2022-07-26 0.013 0.024612
2022-05-25 0.004 0.007645
2022-04-26 0.002 0.003636
2022-01-26 0.002 0.004950
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 1.87

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 114.424
All Time Low 37.0
Ask 58.86
Ask Size 100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 852,160
Average Daily Volume3 Month 300,512
Average Volume 300,512
Average Volume10Days 852,160
Beta3 Year -5.94
Bid 58.75
Bid Size 100
Category Trading--Inverse Debt
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 59.75
Day Low 58.51
Display Name Interest Rate Hedge ETF
Dividend Yield 1.87
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 55.54688
Fifty Day Average Change 3.0531197
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.05496474
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.762913
Fifty Two Week High 68.112
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.512001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13965236
Fifty Two Week Low 41.365
Fifty Two Week Low Change 17.234997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4166565
Fifty Two Week Range 41.365 - 68.112
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,620,739,800,000
Five Year Average Return 0.2618502
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -0.5600014
Fullday Change Percent -0.939915
Fullday Price 58.6
Fund Family Simplify Asset Management
Fund Inception Date 1,620,604,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The adviser seeks to achieve the fund’s investment objective by allocating the fund’s assets approximately equally between: interest rate related derivatives and interest income producing debt instruments. The adviser seeks to achieve the interest rate hedging aspect of the fund’s investment objective by investing in swaptions, interest rate options, and Treasury futures. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_708955996
Nav Price 59.3293
Net Assets 217,459,056.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.5
Open 59.58
Phone 614-469-3294
Post Market Change 0.42000198
Post Market Change Percent 0.71672696
Post Market Price 59.02
Post Market Time 1,792,180,922
Previous Close 59.58
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.980003
Regular Market Change Percent -1.64485
Regular Market Day High 59.75
Regular Market Day Low 58.51
Regular Market Day Range 58.51 - 59.75
Regular Market Open 59.58
Regular Market Previous Close 59.58
Regular Market Price 58.6
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,800
Regular Market Volume 636,525
Short Name Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ET
Source Interval 15
Symbol PFIX
Three Year Average Return 0.0776198
Total Assets 217,459,056
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 46.05153
Trailing Three Month Returns 46.05153
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 48.61938
Two Hundred Day Average Change 9.980618
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.20528063
Type Disp ETF
Volume 636,525
Yield 0.0187
Ytd Return 33.45686