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Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)

Technology | Information Technology Services | Fremont, United States | NasdaqGS
49.51 USD -2.94 (-5.605%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 49.30 -0.21 (-0.210%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:56 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Penguin Solutions is currently bifurcated between a fundamentally improving business and a market that remains deeply skeptical. Fundamentally, the company shows signs of life: revenue is surging nearly 48% year-over-year, profitability is returning with a 6.4% margin, and the forward P/E of 15.7 suggests the market expects significant earnings acceleration. However, the price action tells a different story; despite these improvements, the stock is trading significantly below its 200-day average, indicating persistent institutional doubt. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts, betting on a sharp decline rather than a recovery. Until the stock can close decisively above its 200-day moving average and the options skew shifts toward calls, the risk-reward profile remains skewed against the buyer.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.430774
AutoARIMA0.584109
AutoETS0.632500
MSTL0.655329

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 26%
H-stat 35.41
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.203
Excess Kurtosis -1.14
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 77.496
Revenue per Share 28.801
Market Cap 2,537,026,048
Trailing P/E 37.79
Forward P/E 14.81
Beta 2.87
Profit Margins 6.44%
Previous Name SMART Global Holdings, Inc.
Website https://www.penguinsolutions.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 25, 30, 40) expiring late 2026 and early 2027. While there is some call volume at near-term strikes, the overwhelming capital deployment is in put writing and buying, suggesting a fear of a significant correction or a 'bear put spread' strategy rather than a bullish breakout.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.200084
Address1 45,800 Northport Loop West
All Time High 89.86
All Time Low 5.75
Ask 62.87
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,533,450
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,317,470
Average Volume 3,317,470
Average Volume10Days 1,533,450
Beta 2.874
Bid 49.0
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 1
Book Value 8.569
City Fremont
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 49.51
Current Ratio 1.544
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 53.0
Day Low 48.765
Debt To Equity 77.496
Display Name Penguin
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,783,456,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,783,456,200
Earnings Quarterly Growth 15.794
Earnings Timestamp 1,783,454,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,791,921,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,791,921,600
Ebitda 173,926,000
Ebitda Margins 0.11574
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.23
Enterprise To Revenue 1.878
Enterprise Value 2,822,765,056
Eps Current Year 2.61471
Eps Forward 3.34414
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.31
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 60.8816
Fifty Day Average Change -11.371601
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.18678223
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 120.0084
Fifty Two Week High 89.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -40.350002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.44903186
Fifty Two Week Low 16.04
Fifty Two Week Low Change 33.469997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.086658
Fifty Two Week Range 16.04 - 89.86
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,495,632,600,000
Float Shares 49,569,112
Forward Eps 3.34414
Forward P E 14.805001
Free Cashflow -107,568,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,900
Fullday Change -2.94
Fullday Change Percent -5.60534
Fullday Price 49.3
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.27924
Gross Profits 419,615,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03265
Held Percent Institutions 1.23774
Implied Shares Outstanding 51,242,699
Industry Information Technology Services
Industry Disp Information Technology Services
Industry Key information-technology-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,756,425,600
Last Split Date 1,643,760,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Penguin Solutions, Inc. designs, builds, deploys and manages enterprise solutions worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Advanced Computing, Integrated Memory, and Optimized LED. It offers hardware, software, and services focusing on technical computing for core and cloud environments through computing and AI solutions. The company also provides Penguin Solutions OriginAI, an AI infrastructure solution for customers deploying GPUs at scale; continuous availability of customers critical data and applications in data centers and edge locations under the Stratus brand products; and dynamic random-access memory, modules, solid-state/flash storage, and integrated memory solutions to networking and telecom, data analytics, AI, and ML under the SMART Modular Technologies brand. In addition, it provides Zefr, a memory module; Altus and AMD EPYC based servers for expansive memory for AI workloads; flash memory products comprising solid-state drives, Serial Advanced Technology Attachment, and PCIe NVMe products in 2.5 enclosures, M.2, EDSFF, and other form factors; and multimediacard and embedded and removable USB products, SD and microSD Card configurations, and firmware development. Further, the company offers procurement, logistics, inventory management, temporary warehousing, programming, kitting, and packaging supply chain services; and LEDs under the Cree LED brand; Cree LED XLamp and J Series packaged LED components. It serves OEMs, enterprises, government, and other customers through direct and third-party channels. The company has a strategic collaboration with Deepgram, Dell Technologies, and ZulaFly to offer healthcare, location-based workflow, and safety solutions. The company was formerly known as SMART Global Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Penguin Solutions, Inc. in October 2024. Penguin Solutions, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
Long Name Penguin Solutions, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,537,026,048
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_429150870
Most Recent Quarter 1,780,012,800
Name Change Date 2,026-08-28
Net Income To Common 75,914,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,787,961,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,687,679,562
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 51.71
Operating Cashflow -59,211,000
Operating Margins 0.108260006
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 510 623 1231
Post Market Change -0.20999908
Post Market Change Percent -0.4241549
Post Market Price 49.3
Post Market Time 1,787,961,496
Prev Name SMART Global Holdings, Inc.
Previous Close 52.45
Price Eps Current Year 18.935177
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.7778034
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6883061
Profit Margins 0.06445
Quick Ratio 1.022
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.94
Regular Market Change Percent -5.60534
Regular Market Day High 53.0
Regular Market Day Low 48.765
Regular Market Day Range 48.765 - 53.0
Regular Market Open 51.71
Regular Market Previous Close 52.45
Regular Market Price 49.51
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 1,420,806
Return On Assets 0.03845
Return On Equity 0.16194999
Revenue Growth 0.476
Revenue Per Share 28.801
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 51,242,699
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1237
Shares Short 6,340,818
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 9,695,051
Short Name Penguin Solutions, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1762
Short Ratio 2.12
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol PENG
Target High Price 85.0
Target Low Price 40.0
Target Mean Price 74.28571
Target Median Price 80.0
Total Cash 440,300,992
Total Cash Per Share 8.592
Total Debt 508,691,008
Total Revenue 1,502,705,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.31
Trailing P E 37.79389
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 35.744625
Two Hundred Day Average Change 13.765373
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.38510332
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,420,806
Website https://www.penguinsolutions.com
Zip 94,538