| Indicators | Browse All

Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA)

Technology | Software - Application | Waltham, United States | NasdaqGS
33.83 USD -0.55 (-1.600%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 33.83

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:04 a.m. EDT

The stock is currently trapped in a 'value trap' scenario where the market has punished the company severely despite a massive long-term price appreciation of over 265%. While the business fundamentals remain intact with a fortress-like balance sheet and strong cash generation, the recent earnings miss and weak AI demand outlook have shattered investor confidence, leading to a 36% decline in cloud revenue growth expectations. The short-term outlook is bearish to neutral; the stock is trading below its 200-day average, and the lack of recent momentum suggests further downside risk until the narrative shifts. However, the long-term picture remains compelling for patient investors. The company retains a dominant competitive position, generates substantial free cash flow, and trades at a reasonable forward P/E of roughly 13.7x. The disconnect between the deteriorating price trajectory and the still-solid underlying economics presents a buying opportunity for those willing to ignore the short-term noise and wait for the market to re-rate the stock based on its intrinsic value.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.174200
AutoETS0.174206
MSTL0.196702
AutoTheta0.231165

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 3.97
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.549
Excess Kurtosis -0.77
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 12.851
Revenue per Share 10.29
Market Cap 5,561,819,648
Trailing P/E 19.11
Forward P/E 13.03
Beta 0.89
Profit Margins 18.66%
Website https://www.pega.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with a heavy concentration of out-of-the-money put walls at the $25 strike for December expiration, suggesting a fear of a significant drop to that level. Conversely, call interest is skewed toward distant strikes ($50-$70) for later expirations, indicating a belief in a potential recovery or a long-term rebound rather than immediate near-term upside. Implied volatility remains elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty following the recent earnings miss.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.09% 0.57% 0.32% 0.29%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-01 0.0300 0.087133
2026-08-17 0.0830 0.260351
2026-07-01 0.0300 0.096494
2026-04-01 0.0300 0.070939
2026-01-02 0.0300 0.053514
2025-10-01 0.0300 0.052585
2025-07-01 0.0300 0.057143
2025-04-01 0.0150 0.042511
2025-01-02 0.0150 0.032265
2024-10-01 0.0150 0.042620
2024-07-01 0.0150 0.050616
2024-03-28 0.0150 0.046411
2023-12-29 0.0150 0.061400
2023-09-29 0.0150 0.069109
2023-06-30 0.0150 0.060852
2023-03-31 0.0150 0.061881
2022-12-30 0.0150 0.087617
2022-09-30 0.0150 0.093342
2022-06-30 0.0150 0.062709
2022-03-31 0.0150 0.037198
2021-12-31 0.0150 0.026829
2021-09-30 0.0150 0.023603
2021-06-30 0.0150 0.021553
2021-03-31 0.0150 0.026238
2020-12-30 0.0150 0.022784
2020-09-30 0.0150 0.024785
2020-06-30 0.0150 0.029653
2020-03-31 0.0150 0.042117
2019-12-30 0.0150 0.037922
2019-09-30 0.0150 0.044085
2019-06-28 0.0150 0.042129
2019-03-29 0.0150 0.046154
2018-12-28 0.0150 0.063345
2018-09-28 0.0150 0.047923
2018-06-29 0.0150 0.054745
2018-03-29 0.0150 0.049464
2017-12-29 0.0150 0.063627
2017-09-29 0.0150 0.052038
2017-06-29 0.0150 0.051020
2017-03-30 0.0150 0.068259
2016-12-28 0.0150 0.083565
2016-09-29 0.0150 0.101729
2016-06-29 0.0150 0.113593
2016-03-30 0.0150 0.119000
2015-12-29 0.0150 0.106157
2015-09-29 0.0150 0.123865
2015-06-29 0.0150 0.131694
2015-03-30 0.0150 0.137426
2014-12-29 0.0150 0.141443
2014-09-29 0.0150 0.151745
2014-06-27 0.0150 0.139991
2014-04-03 0.0075 0.081433
2013-12-30 0.0075 0.060060
2013-09-27 0.0075 0.076007
2013-06-27 0.0075 0.090009
2013-03-27 0.0075 0.103663
2012-11-29 0.0075 0.143335
2012-09-27 0.0075 0.102041
2012-06-28 0.0075 0.093750
2012-03-29 0.0075 0.079072
2011-12-28 0.0075 0.103022
2011-09-29 0.0075 0.094697
2011-06-29 0.0075 0.065631
2011-03-30 0.0075 0.084246
2010-12-30 0.0075 0.081744
2010-09-29 0.0075 0.099536
2010-06-29 0.0075 0.092081
2010-03-30 0.0075 0.080407
2009-12-30 0.0075 0.086034
2009-09-29 0.0075 0.086381
2009-06-29 0.0075 0.112994
2009-03-30 0.0075 0.163488
2008-12-30 0.0075 0.249169
2008-09-29 0.0075 0.233463
2008-06-27 0.0075 0.221729
2008-03-28 0.0075 0.332226
2007-12-28 0.0075 0.257069
2007-09-27 0.0075 0.246103
2007-06-28 0.0075 0.269784
2007-03-29 0.0075 0.325380
2007-01-08 0.0075 0.323974
2006-12-28 0.0075 0.296736
2006-09-28 0.0075 0.338983
2006-06-29 0.0075 0.472441
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.35
exDividendDate 2026-10-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.12
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0034904012
lastDividendValue 0.03
lastDividendDate 2026-10-01
dividendDate 2026-10-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.38028944
Address1 225 Wyman Street
All Time High 74.4
All Time Low 0.453125
Ask 37.63
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,755,590
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,565,584
Average Volume 2,565,584
Average Volume10Days 1,755,590
Beta 0.889
Bid 32.89
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 3.41
City Waltham
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 33.83
Current Ratio 1.059
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 34.695
Day Low 32.93
Debt To Equity 12.851
Display Name Pegasystems
Dividend Date 1,792,022,400
Dividend Yield 0.35
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,612,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,612,800
Earnings Growth -0.529
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.557
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,526,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,526,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,526,400
Ebitda 209,700,992
Ebitda Margins 0.12077
Enterprise To Ebitda 25.14
Enterprise To Revenue 3.036
Enterprise Value 5,271,928,320
Eps Current Year 2.40606
Eps Forward 2.59555
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.77
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,790,812,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 34.6082
Fifty Day Average Change -0.77819824
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.02248595
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -38.028942
Fifty Two Week High 68.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -34.269997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5032305
Fifty Two Week Low 25.1
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.730001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3478088
Fifty Two Week Range 25.1 - 68.1
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 837,783,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.19
Float Shares 85,908,160
Forward Eps 2.59555
Forward P E 13.033847
Free Cashflow 507,401,984
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 5,598
Fullday Change -0.54999924
Fullday Change Percent -1.5997651
Fullday Price 33.83
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.75573
Gross Profits 1,312,215,040
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.47829
Held Percent Institutions 0.609
Implied Shares Outstanding 164,404,945
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ir Website http://www.pega.com/about-us/investors
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,790,812,800
Last Dividend Value 0.03
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,750,636,800
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Pegasystems Inc. develops, markets, licenses, hosts, and supports enterprise software in the United States, rest of the Americas, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It provides Pega Infinity, a software portfolio comprising of Pega Customer Decision Hub, a real-time AI-powered decision engine, which can predict a customer's behavior and recommend the next best action to take across channels in real-time; Pega Customer Service to anticipate customer needs, connect customers to people and systems, and automate customer interactions to evolve the customer service experience, as well as to allow enterprises to deliver interactions across channels and enhance employee productivity; and Pega Platform, a software for AI-powered workflow automation for increasing the efficiency of clients' processes and operational workflows. The company also offers Situational Layer Cake that organizes logic into layers that map to the unique dimensions of a client's business, such as customer types, lines of business, geographies, etc.; Pega GenAI Blueprint to rapidly prototype and accelerate the development and deployment of applications; Pega Cloud that allows clients to develop, test, and deploy applications; Pega Catalyst, which helps clients to transform and prototype their customer journeys; Pega Academy, which offers enablement content for Pega product implementations, such as instructor-led and online training to its employees, clients, and partners; and global service assurance and client support services. It primarily markets its software and services to financial services, healthcare, communications and media, government, insurance, manufacturing and high tech, and consumer industries through a direct sales force, as well as partnerships with technology providers and application developers. Pegasystems Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
Long Name Pegasystems Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,561,819,648
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_350216
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 324,036,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,783,765,965
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 34.03
Operating Cashflow 512,956,000
Operating Margins 0.046040002
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0678
Peg Ratio 2.99
Phone 617 374 9600
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 33.83
Post Market Time 1,792,012,759
Previous Close 34.38
Price Eps Current Year 14.060332
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 9.920821
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.2031562
Profit Margins 0.18662001
Quick Ratio 0.985
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.4
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.549999
Regular Market Change Percent -1.59977
Regular Market Day High 34.695
Regular Market Day Low 32.93
Regular Market Day Range 32.93 - 34.695
Regular Market Open 34.03
Regular Market Previous Close 34.38
Regular Market Price 33.83
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,000
Regular Market Volume 4,481,154
Return On Assets 0.0907
Return On Equity 0.54693
Revenue Growth 0.094
Revenue Per Share 10.29
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1570785
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 164,404,945
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0602
Shares Short 9,896,348
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 10,548,983
Short Name Pegasystems Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1154
Short Ratio 4.18
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol PEGA
Target High Price 52.0
Target Low Price 32.0
Target Mean Price 41.57143
Target Median Price 43.0
Total Cash 361,907,008
Total Cash Per Share 2.201
Total Debt 72,016,000
Total Revenue 1,736,355,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.12
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0034904012
Trailing Eps 1.77
Trailing P E 19.112995
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.9891
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 38.4903
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.6602974
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.121077195
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,481,154
Website https://www.pega.com
Zip 2,451