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Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA)

Technology | Software - Application | Waltham, United States | NasdaqGS
36.17 USD +0.28 (0.780%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 35.00 -1.17 (-1.170%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:36 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:44 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Pegasystems hinges on a stark divergence between its deteriorating operational reality and its resilient historical valuation. While the company boasts an exceptional long-term track record with nearly 300% cumulative gains over the last nine years and a massive 55% return on equity, the immediate outlook is clouded by a severe earnings miss and a concerning 56% drop in earnings growth. This fundamental weakness explains why the stock is trading at a discount relative to its lofty analyst targets; the market is pricing in a struggle to regain momentum in the AI space. However, the short-term picture is not purely bearish. The stock has stabilized near its 50-day moving average after a brutal decline, and the options market is screaming for a bounce. Speculators have built a massive wall of call open interest at the $50 strike, implying a collective belief that the stock can rally significantly within the next year. This speculative positioning suggests that while the business fundamentals are currently under stress, the market views the current price as a potential inflection point where the long-term dominance of the platform could resume. The dividend is negligible and irrelevant to the thesis, serving only as a minor yield on a stock that needs to prove it can grow again.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.092640
AutoETS0.105601
AutoARIMA0.106751
AutoTheta0.147597

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 3.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 2.04
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Debt to Equity Ratio 12.851
Revenue per Share 10.29
Market Cap 5,946,526,720
Trailing P/E 20.55
Forward P/E 13.68
Beta 0.87
Profit Margins 18.66%
Website https://www.pega.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:44 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes like 50 and 60, which act as major resistance walls. Conversely, put activity is concentrated at lower strikes (20-30), suggesting a floor rather than a bearish breakout. The skew in volume and open interest heavily favors calls, indicating a speculative bet on a recovery to the mid-40s or higher, despite the recent earnings miss.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.26% 0.53% 0.31% 0.28%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-17 0.0830 0.260351
2026-07-01 0.0300 0.096494
2026-04-01 0.0300 0.070939
2026-01-02 0.0300 0.053514
2025-10-01 0.0300 0.052585
2025-07-01 0.0300 0.057143
2025-04-01 0.0150 0.042511
2025-01-02 0.0150 0.032265
2024-10-01 0.0150 0.042620
2024-07-01 0.0150 0.050616
2024-03-28 0.0150 0.046411
2023-12-29 0.0150 0.061400
2023-09-29 0.0150 0.069109
2023-06-30 0.0150 0.060852
2023-03-31 0.0150 0.061881
2022-12-30 0.0150 0.087617
2022-09-30 0.0150 0.093342
2022-06-30 0.0150 0.062709
2022-03-31 0.0150 0.037198
2021-12-31 0.0150 0.026829
2021-09-30 0.0150 0.023603
2021-06-30 0.0150 0.021553
2021-03-31 0.0150 0.026238
2020-12-30 0.0150 0.022784
2020-09-30 0.0150 0.024785
2020-06-30 0.0150 0.029653
2020-03-31 0.0150 0.042117
2019-12-30 0.0150 0.037922
2019-09-30 0.0150 0.044085
2019-06-28 0.0150 0.042129
2019-03-29 0.0150 0.046154
2018-12-28 0.0150 0.063345
2018-09-28 0.0150 0.047923
2018-06-29 0.0150 0.054745
2018-03-29 0.0150 0.049464
2017-12-29 0.0150 0.063627
2017-09-29 0.0150 0.052038
2017-06-29 0.0150 0.051020
2017-03-30 0.0150 0.068259
2016-12-28 0.0150 0.083565
2016-09-29 0.0150 0.101729
2016-06-29 0.0150 0.113593
2016-03-30 0.0150 0.119000
2015-12-29 0.0150 0.106157
2015-09-29 0.0150 0.123865
2015-06-29 0.0150 0.131694
2015-03-30 0.0150 0.137426
2014-12-29 0.0150 0.141443
2014-09-29 0.0150 0.151745
2014-06-27 0.0150 0.139991
2014-04-03 0.0075 0.081433
2013-12-30 0.0075 0.060060
2013-09-27 0.0075 0.076007
2013-06-27 0.0075 0.090009
2013-03-27 0.0075 0.103663
2012-11-29 0.0075 0.143335
2012-09-27 0.0075 0.102041
2012-06-28 0.0075 0.093750
2012-03-29 0.0075 0.079072
2011-12-28 0.0075 0.103022
2011-09-29 0.0075 0.094697
2011-06-29 0.0075 0.065631
2011-03-30 0.0075 0.084246
2010-12-30 0.0075 0.081744
2010-09-29 0.0075 0.099536
2010-06-29 0.0075 0.092081
2010-03-30 0.0075 0.080407
2009-12-30 0.0075 0.086034
2009-09-29 0.0075 0.086381
2009-06-29 0.0075 0.112994
2009-03-30 0.0075 0.163488
2008-12-30 0.0075 0.249169
2008-09-29 0.0075 0.233463
2008-06-27 0.0075 0.221729
2008-03-28 0.0075 0.332226
2007-12-28 0.0075 0.257069
2007-09-27 0.0075 0.246103
2007-06-28 0.0075 0.269784
2007-03-29 0.0075 0.325380
2007-01-08 0.0075 0.323974
2006-12-28 0.0075 0.296736
2006-09-28 0.0075 0.338983
2006-06-29 0.0075 0.472441
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.12
dividendYield 0.33
exDividendDate 2026-08-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.12
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0033435498
lastDividendValue 0.083
lastDividendDate 2026-08-17
dividendDate 2026-09-16

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.33165735
Address1 225 Wyman Street
All Time High 74.4
All Time Low 0.453125
Ask 39.12
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,705,890
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,598,562
Average Volume 2,598,562
Average Volume10Days 1,705,890
Beta 0.865
Bid 36.31
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 7
Book Value 3.41
City Waltham
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 36.17
Current Ratio 1.059
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 36.53
Day Low 35.69
Debt To Equity 12.851
Display Name Pegasystems
Dividend Date 1,789,516,800
Dividend Rate 0.12
Dividend Yield 0.33
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,721,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,721,600
Earnings Growth -0.529
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.557
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,664,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,526,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,526,400
Ebitda 209,700,992
Ebitda Margins 0.12077
Enterprise To Ebitda 26.975
Enterprise To Revenue 3.258
Enterprise Value 5,656,635,904
Eps Current Year 2.45118
Eps Forward 2.64365
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.76
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 31.3184
Fifty Day Average Change 4.8515987
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.15491208
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -33.165733
Fifty Two Week High 68.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -31.93
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.46886933
Fifty Two Week Low 25.1
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.069998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.44103575
Fifty Two Week Range 25.1 - 68.1
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 837,783,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.21
Float Shares 85,881,855
Forward Eps 2.64365
Forward P E 13.68184
Free Cashflow 507,401,984
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 5,598
Fullday Change 0.279999
Fullday Change Percent 0.780158
Fullday Price 35.0
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.75573
Gross Profits 1,312,215,040
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.47845
Held Percent Institutions 0.6167
Implied Shares Outstanding 164,404,945
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ir Website http://www.pega.com/about-us/investors
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Last Dividend Value 0.083
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,750,636,800
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Pegasystems Inc. develops, markets, licenses, hosts, and supports enterprise software in the United States, rest of the Americas, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It provides Pega Infinity, a software portfolio comprising of Pega Customer Decision Hub, a real-time AI-powered decision engine, which can predict a customer's behavior and recommend the next best action to take across channels in real-time; Pega Customer Service to anticipate customer needs, connect customers to people and systems, and automate customer interactions to evolve the customer service experience, as well as to allow enterprises to deliver interactions across channels and enhance employee productivity; and Pega Platform, a software for AI-powered workflow automation for increasing the efficiency of clients' processes and operational workflows. The company also offers Situational Layer Cake that organizes logic into layers that map to the unique dimensions of a client's business, such as customer types, lines of business, geographies, etc.; Pega GenAI Blueprint to rapidly prototype and accelerate the development and deployment of applications; Pega Cloud that allows clients to develop, test, and deploy applications; Pega Catalyst, which helps clients to transform and prototype their customer journeys; Pega Academy, which offers enablement content for Pega product implementations, such as instructor-led and online training to its employees, clients, and partners; and global service assurance and client support services. It primarily markets its software and services to financial services, healthcare, communications and media, government, insurance, manufacturing and high tech, and consumer industries through a direct sales force, as well as partnerships with technology providers and application developers. Pegasystems Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
Long Name Pegasystems Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,946,526,720
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_350216
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 324,036,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,900,493,476
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 35.84
Operating Cashflow 512,956,000
Operating Margins 0.046040002
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0682
Peg Ratio 2.99
Phone 617 374 9600
Post Market Change -1.1699982
Post Market Change Percent -3.23472
Post Market Price 35.0
Post Market Time 1,787,960,202
Previous Close 35.89
Price Eps Current Year 14.756158
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 10.607038
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.4247165
Profit Margins 0.18662001
Quick Ratio 0.985
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.279999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.780158
Regular Market Day High 36.53
Regular Market Day Low 35.69
Regular Market Day Range 35.69 - 36.53
Regular Market Open 35.84
Regular Market Previous Close 35.89
Regular Market Price 36.17
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 1,404,556
Return On Assets 0.0907
Return On Equity 0.54693
Revenue Growth 0.094
Revenue Per Share 10.29
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 164,404,945
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.069299996
Shares Short 11,385,050
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 15,814,935
Short Name Pegasystems Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.13270001
Short Ratio 3.3
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol PEGA
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 25.0
Target Mean Price 43.35734
Target Median Price 43.0
Total Cash 361,907,008
Total Cash Per Share 2.201
Total Debt 72,016,000
Total Revenue 1,736,355,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.12
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0033435498
Trailing Eps 1.76
Trailing P E 20.551136
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.9891
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 42.20695
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.036953
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1430322
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,404,556
Website https://www.pega.com
Zip 2,451