PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS)Technology | Software - Application | Santa Clara, United States | NasdaqGS
52.79 USD
-2.73
(-4.917%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 53.20 +0.41 (0.777%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:06 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is driven by aggressive speculative positioning rather than fundamental stability. While the stock has rallied nearly 100% over the last year, the underlying business remains fragile with negative free cash flow, a bloated trailing P/E of 308, and a balance sheet carrying debt significantly higher than its cash reserves. The recent price action shows volatility, trading well above its 200-day average, which aligns with the heavy call option activity seen at strikes far above the current price. However, the lack of a dividend and the deteriorating operational cash flow suggest this rally is priced on momentum and potential catalysts rather than sustainable earnings power. The statistical forecast model offers only a weak lean upward, confirming that the recent price gains are not supported by a robust predictive signal. Investors should view this as a high-risk momentum play where the upside is capped by the company's inability to generate cash, while the downside risk remains substantial given the valuation disconnect. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_79 ✓ | 0.198378 |
| MSTL | 0.210933 |
| MSTL_79_115 | 0.224062 |
| AutoTheta | 0.224873 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.225233 |
| AutoETS | 0.225235 |
| MSTL_115 | 0.247819 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 14.55 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.127 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.12 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 25.672 |
| Revenue per Share | 5.856 |
| Market Cap | 2,210,196,992 |
| Trailing P/E | 293.28 |
| Forward P/E | 34.00 |
| Beta | 1.63 |
| Profit Margins | 3.10% |
| Website | https://www.pdf.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 75 and 80) and a massive volume spike at the 90 strike. Conversely, put writing is concentrated at lower strikes (40 and 50), suggesting a floor rather than a bearish bet. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty about whether the recent price surge can sustain itself.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 1.4233959 |
| Address1 | 2,858 De La Cruz Blvd. |
| All Time High | 71.69 |
| All Time Low | 0.97 |
| Ask | 52.81 |
| Ask Size | 4 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 904,430 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 833,862 |
| Average Volume | 833,862 |
| Average Volume10Days | 904,430 |
| Beta | 1.633 |
| Bid | 38.68 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 7.027 |
| City | Santa Clara |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 52.79 |
| Current Ratio | 2.343 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 54.35 |
| Day Low | 52.23 |
| Debt To Equity | 25.672 |
| Display Name | |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Ebitda | 29,439,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.12722999 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 72.974 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 9.285 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,148,281,344 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.2475 |
| Eps Forward | 1.5525 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.18 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 408 280 7900 |
| Fifty Day Average | 54.1808 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.3908005 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.025669618 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 142.33958 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 71.69 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -18.900002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.2636351 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 18.12 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 34.67 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.9133552 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 18.12 - 71.69 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 996,586,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 32,534,890 |
| Forward Eps | 1.5525 |
| Forward P E | 34.00322 |
| Free Cashflow | -31,306,750 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 600 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.72077006 |
| Gross Profits | 166,770,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.106520005 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.82341003 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 41,867,720 |
| Industry | Software - Application |
| Industry Disp | Software - Application |
| Industry Key | software-application |
| Ir Website | http://www.pdf.com/investors-corporate-overview |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | PDF Solutions, Inc. provides proprietary software, physical intellectual property for integrated circuit designs, electrical measurement hardware tools, proven methodologies, and professional services in the United States, Japan, China, and internationally. The company offers Exensio software, such as Manufacturing Analytics, which uses a proprietary database schema to store collected data; Process Control, which provides failure detection and classification capabilities for monitoring, alarming, and controlling manufacturing tool sets; Test Operations, which offer data collection and analysis capabilities; and Assembly Operations, which provide device manufacturers with the capability to link assembly and packaging data, including fabrication and characterization data across the product life cycle. It also provides Sapience Data Platform, which unifies fragmented data from diverse equipment and protocols across the factory floor; Sapience Manufacturing Hub enterprise, a connectivity platform between enterprise applications; DirectScan systems, such as Proprietary Software and eProbe Non-Contact E-Beam Tool; and Characterization Vehicle (CV) system, which includes CV Test Chips, pdFasTest Electrical Tester, and Exensio characterization software. In addition, the company offers Cimetrix software products that enable equipment manufacturers to provide standard interfaces on their products for equipment communication, control, and data collection; equipment factory connectivity products, such as Cimetrix CIMConnect, Cimetrix CIM300, and Cimetrix CIMPortal Plus; equipment factory connectivity testing and control products; secureWISE systems, including software, servers, and networks; software-as-a-service; software and hardware installation and configuration; system/data integration, and value realization; and technical support and maintenance for hardware and software. PDF Solutions, Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. |
| Long Name | PDF Solutions, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,210,196,992 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_32789 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 7,183,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,324,495,814 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 4 |
| Open | 53.37 |
| Operating Cashflow | 17,087,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.10499 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 4.19 |
| Phone | 408 280 7900 |
| Post Market Change | 0.40999985 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.77666193 |
| Post Market Price | 53.2 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,984,010 |
| Previous Close | 55.52 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 42.316635 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 7.512452 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 9.552403 |
| Profit Margins | 0.031040002 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.211 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -2.73 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -4.91715 |
| Regular Market Day High | 54.35 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 52.23 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 52.23 - 54.35 |
| Regular Market Open | 53.37 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 55.52 |
| Regular Market Price | 52.79 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 390,383 |
| Return On Assets | 0.0308 |
| Return On Equity | 0.02713 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.259 |
| Revenue Per Share | 5.856 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 41,867,720 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0517 |
| Shares Short | 2,166,315 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,730,757 |
| Short Name | PDF Solutions, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0664 |
| Short Ratio | 2.52 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | PDFS |
| Target High Price | 74.0 |
| Target Low Price | 51.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 62.125 |
| Target Median Price | 61.5 |
| Total Cash | 31,153,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.78 |
| Total Debt | 72,000,000 |
| Total Revenue | 231,376,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.18 |
| Trailing P E | 293.27777 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 36.9556 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 15.8344 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.4284709 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 390,383 |
| Website | https://www.pdf.com |
| Zip | 95,050 |