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Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF - December (PDEC)

Defined Outcome | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
46.06 USD -0.14 (-0.303%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 46.06 -0.02 (-0.024%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4:10 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:07 a.m. EDT

The short-term outlook is compelling due to strong relative strength; the price has climbed nearly 6% over the last two months while trading comfortably above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating robust momentum. Additionally, the statistical forecasting model signals a high-confidence upward move over the next 45 days, reinforcing the case for a tactical entry. However, the long-term investment thesis is fundamentally flawed because this is a leveraged, monthly-expiry buffer ETF designed for short-term trading, not long-term holding. The lack of any dividend history and the inherent decay of daily reset structures mean it offers no income or compounding value for a buy-and-hold strategy. While the statistical model suggests a favorable price path in the coming weeks, relying on such instruments for multi-year wealth accumulation is structurally unsound.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.010152
AutoTheta0.014023
MSTL0.016464
AutoETS0.018665

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 72%
H-stat 1.00
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.605
Excess Kurtosis -0.72
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 26.83

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 46.21
All Time Low 21.58
Ask 46.08
Ask Size 900
Average Daily Volume10 Day 17,870
Average Daily Volume3 Month 42,596
Average Volume 42,596
Average Volume10Days 17,870
Beta3 Year 0.55
Bid 23.04
Bid Size 4,400
Category Defined Outcome
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 46.1601
Day Low 46.06
Dividend Yield 0.0
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.7169338
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 45.57244
Fifty Day Average Change 0.48756027
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.010698577
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 14.868223
Fifty Two Week High 46.21
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.14999771
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0032460012
Fifty Two Week Low 39.99
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.0699997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.15178794
Fifty Two Week Range 39.99 - 46.21
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,575,297,000,000
Five Year Average Return 0.085303895
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fund Family Innovator ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,574,985,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests under normal circumstances, at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in investments that provide exposure to the SPDR ® S&P 500 ® ETF Trust (the “Underlying ETF”). FLEX Options are exchange-traded option contracts with uniquely customizable terms. It is non-diversified.
Long Name Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF - December
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_640503095
Nav Price 46.1433
Net Assets 983,826,430.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.79
Open 46.08
Phone (215) 979-3750
Post Market Change -0.024097443
Post Market Change Percent -0.052290145
Post Market Price 46.06
Post Market Time 1,783,973,404
Previous Close 46.2
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.139999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.303029
Regular Market Day High 46.1601
Regular Market Day Low 46.06
Regular Market Day Range 46.06 - 46.1601
Regular Market Open 46.08
Regular Market Previous Close 46.2
Regular Market Price 46.06
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,791
Regular Market Volume 13,142
Short Name Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buf
Source Interval 15
Symbol PDEC
Three Year Average Return 0.1173003
Total Assets 983,826,432
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 26.826893
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 8.12193
Trailing Three Month Returns 8.12193
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 43.697346
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.3626556
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.05406863
Type Disp ETF
Volume 13,142
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return 5.88311