PagerDuty, Inc. (PD)Technology | Software - Application | San Francisco, United States | NYSE
16.68 USD
+0.44
(2.709%)
⇧
(Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT
The investment case for PagerDuty is currently broken by a severe multi-year structural decline. Despite a seemingly attractive low P/E ratio of 8.0, the company has suffered four consecutive years of negative annual returns, dropping nearly 38% cumulatively over the last six years. This relentless downward trajectory, coupled with a 28% share price plunge recently and a lack of analyst support, signals that the market views the current valuation as insufficient to compensate for the deteriorating business quality. The options market confirms this pessimism, with investors aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts to hedge against further losses rather than betting on a rebound. Without a clear turnaround in revenue growth or margin expansion, the fundamentals remain too weak to justify a long-term hold, while the short-term outlook remains neutral-to-bearish given the heavy put positioning. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.375392 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.375394 |
| MSTL | 0.384614 |
| AutoTheta | 0.402379 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 4.08 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.321 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.60 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 167.197 |
| Revenue per Share | 5.875 |
| Market Cap | 1,311,879,936 |
| Trailing P/E | 8.26 |
| Forward P/E | 11.36 |
| Beta | 0.97 |
| Profit Margins | 37.50% |
| Website | https://www.pagerduty.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at $2.50 and $5.00) expiring late in 2027. While there is some volume in ATM calls, the overwhelming capital deployment is in put writing and buying, suggesting a consensus view that the stock will struggle to recover from current lows without significant external catalysts.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.027197957 |
| Address1 | 600 Townsend Street |
| Address2 | Suite 200 |
| All Time High | 59.82 |
| All Time Low | 5.7 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 600 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,823,410 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,549,157 |
| Average Volume | 1,549,157 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,823,410 |
| Beta | 0.97 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 600 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 2.98 |
| City | San Francisco |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 9 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 16.68 |
| Current Ratio | 2.016 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 16.835 |
| Day Low | 16.11 |
| Debt To Equity | 167.197 |
| Display Name | PagerDuty |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,787,864,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,787,864,400 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.4 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.517 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,787,860,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,795,550,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,795,550,400 |
| Ebitda | 45,853,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.09268 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 27.398 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.539 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,256,267,648 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.35556 |
| Eps Forward | 1.46778 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.02 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 13.576 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 3.104 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.22863878 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 2.7197957 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 16.835 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.15499878 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.009206938 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 5.7 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 10.9800005 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.9263159 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 5.7 - 16.835 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,554,989,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 70,810,717 |
| Forward Eps | 1.46778 |
| Forward P E | 11.364101 |
| Free Cashflow | 116,991,624 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,155 |
| Fullday Change | 0.55999947 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 3.4482727 |
| Fullday Price | 16.65 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.84980005 |
| Gross Profits | 420,424,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.088319995 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.98213995 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 78,649,873 |
| Industry | Software - Application |
| Industry Disp | Software - Application |
| Industry Key | software-application |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,769,817,600 |
| Long Business Summary | PagerDuty, Inc. engages in the operation of a digital operations management platform in the United States and internationally. The company collects data and digital signals from virtually any software-enabled system or device and leverages artificial intelligence and powerful machine learning to correlate, process, predict, and remediate incident. Its platform includes PagerDuty Incident Management that provides a real-time view status of a digital service; AIOps that applies machine learning to correlate and automate the identification of incidents from billions of events; automation that offers centralized design time and run time environment for orchestrating automated workflows; customer service operations, which is offered to orchestrate, automate, and scale responses to customer issues; and artificial intelligence that offers generative AI capabilities for the PagerDuty operations cloud platform. The company serves various industries, including software and technology, telecommunications, retail, travel and hospitality, media and entertainment, and financial services. PagerDuty, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. |
| Long Name | PagerDuty, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,311,879,936 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_116060746 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,785,456,000 |
| Net Income To Common | 185,546,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,801,353,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,166,377,616 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 16.15 |
| Operating Cashflow | 131,442,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.082279995 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 844 800 3889 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.030000687 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -0.17986023 |
| Pre Market Price | 16.65 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,791,967,125 |
| Previous Close | 16.24 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 12.304878 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 5.5973153 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.6516929 |
| Profit Margins | 0.37504002 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.886 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.440001 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.70936 |
| Regular Market Day High | 16.835 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 16.11 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 16.11 - 16.835 |
| Regular Market Open | 16.15 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 16.24 |
| Regular Market Price | 16.68 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,791,921,602 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,541,012 |
| Return On Assets | 0.022880001 |
| Return On Equity | 0.82557 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.008 |
| Revenue Per Share | 5.875 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17502642 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 78,649,873 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.097799994 |
| Shares Short | 7,691,609 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,028,591 |
| Short Name | PagerDuty, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.119899996 |
| Short Ratio | 4.37 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | PD |
| Target High Price | 15.0 |
| Target Low Price | 9.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 12.64286 |
| Target Median Price | 12.0 |
| Total Cash | 470,043,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 6.038 |
| Total Debt | 412,816,992 |
| Total Revenue | 494,732,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.02 |
| Trailing P E | 8.257426 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 9.82175 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 6.8582506 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.69827175 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,541,012 |
| Website | https://www.pagerduty.com |
| Zip | 94,103 |