PagerDuty, Inc. (PD)Technology | Software - Application | San Francisco, United States | NYSE
10.84 USD
+0.51
(4.937%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 10.30 -0.54 (-0.540%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT
The investment case for PagerDuty is currently broken by a severe multi-year structural decline. The stock has lost nearly 70% of its value over the last six years, with four consecutive years of negative annual returns ending in a sharp drop. This trajectory is confirmed by the market's pricing of deep downside protection via options, where traders are buying insurance against further collapse rather than betting on a recovery. While the company boasts a fortress-like balance sheet with strong free cash flow and a low P/E ratio, these metrics reflect a 'value trap' scenario where the market has permanently downgraded the business due to stagnant growth (only 1% revenue expansion) and a failing competitive moat. The absence of any dividend yield further erodes the total return profile. Until there is clear evidence of a turnaround in growth rates or a restoration of market confidence, the risk-reward profile remains heavily skewed toward the downside. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.313997 |
| MSTL | 0.320407 |
| AutoTheta | 0.331200 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.364402 |
| MSTL_115 | 0.369498 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 35% |
| H-stat | 8.25 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.064 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.43 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 180.645 |
| Revenue per Share | 5.608 |
| Market Cap | 830,879,616 |
| Trailing P/E | 5.24 |
| Forward P/E | 7.71 |
| Beta | 0.94 |
| Profit Margins | 38.61% |
| Website | https://www.pagerduty.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at 2.5 and 5.0) expiring late in 2027, suggesting a belief in a prolonged decline. Conversely, call activity is skewed toward lower strikes (7.5) or specific upside targets (22.5), while implied volatility remains compressed, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish speculation.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.309492 |
| Address1 | 600 Townsend Street |
| Address2 | Suite 200 |
| All Time High | 59.82 |
| All Time Low | 5.7 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.4 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,872,960 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,257,416 |
| Average Volume | 2,257,416 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,872,960 |
| Beta | 0.936 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 300 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 2.825 |
| City | San Francisco |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 9 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 10.84 |
| Current Ratio | 1.948 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 11.0 |
| Day Low | 10.26 |
| Debt To Equity | 180.645 |
| Display Name | PagerDuty |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,780,002,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,780,002,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,779,998,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,779,998,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,779,998,400 |
| Ebitda | 39,403,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.07981 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 20.728 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.654 |
| Enterprise Value | 816,757,632 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.31556 |
| Eps Forward | 1.40556 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.07 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 8.382 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 2.4580002 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.29324746 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -30.9492 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 18.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -7.16 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.39777777 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 5.7 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.1400003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.9017545 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 5.7 - 18.0 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,554,989,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 70,936,564 |
| Forward Eps | 1.40556 |
| Forward P E | 7.712229 |
| Free Cashflow | 114,944,872 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,155 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.85162 |
| Gross Profits | 420,452,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.06826 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.02711 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 76,649,404 |
| Industry | Software - Application |
| Industry Disp | Software - Application |
| Industry Key | software-application |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,769,817,600 |
| Long Business Summary | PagerDuty, Inc. engages in the operation of a digital operations management platform in the United States and internationally. The company collects data and digital signals from virtually any software-enabled system or device and leverages artificial intelligence and powerful machine learning to correlate, process, predict, and remediate incident. Its platform includes PagerDuty Incident Management that provides a real-time view status of a digital service; AIOps that applies machine learning to correlate and automate the identification of incidents from billions of events; automation offers centralized design time and run time environment for orchestrating automated workflows; customer service operations, which is offered to orchestrate, automate, and scale responses to customer issues; and artificial intelligence offers generative AI capabilities for the PagerDuty operations cloud platform . The company serves various industries, including software and technology, telecommunications, retail, travel and hospitality, media and entertainment, and financial services. PagerDuty, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. |
| Long Name | PagerDuty, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 830,879,616 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_116060746 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,777,507,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 190,596,992 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,801,353,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 796,676,096 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 10.33 |
| Operating Cashflow | 128,470,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.078660004 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 844 800 3889 |
| Post Market Change | -0.53999996 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -4.9815493 |
| Post Market Price | 10.3 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,986,852 |
| Previous Close | 10.33 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 8.239838 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.8371682 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.6829373 |
| Profit Margins | 0.38605 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.812 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.44444 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.51 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 4.93708 |
| Regular Market Day High | 11.0 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 10.26 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 10.26 - 11.0 |
| Regular Market Open | 10.33 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 10.33 |
| Regular Market Price | 10.84 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,188,146 |
| Return On Assets | 0.01824 |
| Return On Equity | 0.94625 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.01 |
| Revenue Per Share | 5.608 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 76,649,404 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.088599995 |
| Shares Short | 6,829,306 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,630,564 |
| Short Name | PagerDuty, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1091 |
| Short Ratio | 3.0 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | PD |
| Target High Price | 11.0 |
| Target Low Price | 7.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 9.42857 |
| Target Median Price | 10.0 |
| Total Cash | 443,956,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 5.757 |
| Total Debt | 412,750,016 |
| Total Revenue | 493,708,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.07 |
| Trailing P E | 5.2367153 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 10.49505 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.34494972 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.03286785 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,188,146 |
| Website | https://www.pagerduty.com |
| Zip | 94,103 |