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Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | San Carlos, United States | NasdaqGS
59.84 USD -1.32 (-2.158%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 59.50 -0.33 (-0.335%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:53 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Vaxcyte is currently fractured by a severe disconnect between its lofty analyst targets and its deteriorating operational reality. While the balance sheet remains robust with minimal debt and ample cash reserves, the company is burning through capital rapidly, posting significant losses in both operating and free cash flow. This financial bleed is reflected in the stock's brutal performance over the last five years, which saw a cumulative decline of nearly 37%, capped off by a catastrophic 58% drop in the most recent fiscal year. The market has rightly punished this recent failure, yet the stock trades at a premium to its book value, ignoring the fact that the forward earnings estimates remain deeply negative. On the short end, the options market screams caution; the sheer volume of put buying suggests investors are bracing for further pain rather than betting on a recovery. Until the company can demonstrate a path to profitability or a major catalyst that justifies the current valuation gap, the risk-reward profile remains skewed heavily against the buyer.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.143968
AutoARIMA0.143968
MSTL0.145540
AutoTheta0.163196

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 5.55
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.090
Excess Kurtosis -0.46
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.186
Market Cap 8,903,763,968
Forward P/E -8.29
Beta 1.21
Website https://vaxcyte.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in October and December, particularly at strikes significantly below the current price. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, with very little speculative volume in deep out-of-the-money calls despite the high implied volatility suggesting a fear of a crash rather than a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.9377376
Address1 825 Industrial Road
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 121.055
All Time Low 15.51
Ask 76.51
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 877,110
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,322,208
Average Volume 1,322,208
Average Volume10Days 877,110
Beta 1.21
Bid 43.9
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 6
Book Value 19.048
City San Carlos
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 59.835
Current Ratio 5.724
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 61.805
Day Low 59.485
Debt To Equity 4.186
Display Name Vaxcyte
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,771,968,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,771,968,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda -1,148,780,032
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -6.557
Enterprise Value 7,532,370,944
Eps Current Year -8.19714
Eps Forward -7.21714
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.47
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 57.1559
Fifty Day Average Change 2.6791
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04687355
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 93.77376
Fifty Two Week High 65.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.165001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07946155
Fifty Two Week Low 30.81
Fifty Two Week Low Change 29.025
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9420643
Fifty Two Week Range 30.81 - 65.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,591,968,600,000
Float Shares 136,484,201
Forward Eps -7.21714
Forward P E -8.29068
Free Cashflow -485,755,264
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 507
Fullday Change -1.32
Fullday Change Percent -2.15845
Fullday Price 59.5
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00485
Held Percent Institutions 1.13452
Implied Shares Outstanding 148,805,278
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Vaxcyte, Inc., a clinical-stage vaccine innovation company, develops conjugate and novel protein vaccines to prevent or treat bacterial infectious diseases. Its lead vaccine candidate is VAX-24, a 24-valent carrier-sparing investigational pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) for the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in infants. The company also develops VAX-31, a 31-valent, carrier-sparing investigational PCV for the prevention of IPD in adults and children; VAX-A1, a novel conjugate vaccine candidate to prevent disease caused by Group A Streptococcus; VAX-PG, a novel protein vaccine candidate targeting the keystone pathogen responsible for periodontitis; VAX-GI, a novel preclinical vaccine candidate for the treatment of dysentery and shigellosis, which is caused by Shigella bacteria; and VAX-XL, a third-generation pneumococcal conjugate vaccine. The company was formerly known as SutroVax, Inc. and changed its name to Vaxcyte, Inc. in May 2020. Vaxcyte, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in San Carlos, California.
Long Name Vaxcyte, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,903,763,968
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_307500026
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -1,064,260,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,093,490,538
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 61.06
Operating Cashflow -881,233,024
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 837 0111
Post Market Change -0.33499908
Post Market Change Percent -0.55987144
Post Market Price 59.5
Post Market Time 1,787,959,804
Previous Close 61.155
Price Eps Current Year -7.299497
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.1412745
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 5.481
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.27273
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.32
Regular Market Change Percent -2.15845
Regular Market Day High 61.805
Regular Market Day Low 59.485
Regular Market Day Range 59.485 - 61.805
Regular Market Open 61.06
Regular Market Previous Close 61.155
Regular Market Price 59.835
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 759,733
Return On Assets -0.22606
Return On Equity -0.36514
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 148,805,278
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0994
Shares Short 14,796,265
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 14,231,919
Short Name Vaxcyte, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1
Short Ratio 15.42
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol PCVX
Target High Price 163.0
Target Low Price 67.0
Target Mean Price 109.0
Target Median Price 110.0
Total Cash 1,486,838,016
Total Cash Per Share 9.992
Total Debt 115,445,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -7.47
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 53.620625
Two Hundred Day Average Change 6.2143745
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.11589523
Type Disp Equity
Volume 759,733
Website https://vaxcyte.com
Zip 94,070