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Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | San Carlos, United States | NasdaqGS
65.27 USD -2.28 (-3.375%) ⇩ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:46 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured by a stark disconnect between optimistic analyst targets and the brutal reality of the company's financials. While Wall Street sees massive upside potential based on the vaccine pipeline, the balance sheet tells a different story: the company is burning cash aggressively with negative free cash flow and a trailing P/E that indicates losses. The price action confirms this fear, as the stock has suffered a catastrophic 60% drop in the last year alone, erasing previous gains. The options market is screaming 'sell,' with open interest in protective puts vastly outweighing speculative calls, signaling that smart money is hedging against a collapse rather than betting on a recovery. Without a proven path to profitability or a massive catalyst to reverse the cash burn, the current valuation looks like a trap for anyone ignoring the deteriorating fundamentals.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.047479
AutoETS0.047479
MSTL0.048026
AutoTheta0.049661

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 26%
H-stat 15.36
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.005
Excess Kurtosis 0.80
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.186
Market Cap 10,272,822,272
Forward P/E -9.24
Beta 1.23
Website https://vaxcyte.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection with deep out-of-the-money puts dominating open interest across nearly all expirations, while call activity remains sparse and concentrated near the money. This distribution suggests a market consensus expecting significant volatility or a sharp decline rather than a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.53975
Address1 825 Industrial Road
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 121.055
All Time Low 15.51
Ask 83.82
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,631,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,843,807
Average Volume 1,843,807
Average Volume10Days 5,631,650
Beta 1.234
Bid 48.28
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 19.048
City San Carlos
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 65.27
Current Ratio 5.724
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 68.25
Day Low 65.0
Debt To Equity 4.186
Display Name Vaxcyte
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,771,968,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,771,968,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda -1,148,780,032
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -7.261
Enterprise Value 8,341,127,680
Eps Current Year -8.15714
Eps Forward -7.06714
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.62
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 60.9832
Fifty Day Average Change 4.2867966
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.070294715
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 53.975
Fifty Two Week High 90.75
Fifty Two Week High Change -25.480003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.28077137
Fifty Two Week Low 39.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 25.399998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.6370704
Fifty Two Week Range 39.87 - 90.75
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,591,968,600,000
Float Shares 137,110,671
Forward Eps -7.06714
Forward P E -9.235702
Free Cashflow -485,755,264
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 507
Fullday Change 0.33000183
Fullday Change Percent 0.50559497
Fullday Price 65.6
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00486
Held Percent Institutions 1.10862
Implied Shares Outstanding 157,389,653
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Vaxcyte, Inc., a clinical-stage vaccine innovation company, develops conjugate and novel protein vaccines to prevent or treat bacterial infectious diseases. Its lead vaccine candidate is VAX-24, a 24-valent carrier-sparing investigational pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) for the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in infants. The company also develops VAX-31, a 31-valent, carrier-sparing investigational PCV for the prevention of IPD in adults and children; VAX-A1, a novel conjugate vaccine candidate to prevent disease caused by Group A Streptococcus; VAX-PG, a novel protein vaccine candidate targeting the keystone pathogen responsible for periodontitis; VAX-GI, a novel preclinical vaccine candidate for the treatment of dysentery and shigellosis, which is caused by Shigella bacteria; and VAX-XL, a third-generation pneumococcal conjugate vaccine. The company was formerly known as SutroVax, Inc. and changed its name to Vaxcyte, Inc. in May 2020. Vaxcyte, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in San Carlos, California.
Long Name Vaxcyte, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 10,272,822,272
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_307500026
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -1,064,260,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,406,754,180
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 67.72
Operating Cashflow -881,233,024
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 7
Phone 650 837 0111
Pre Market Change 0.33000183
Pre Market Change Percent 0.50559497
Pre Market Price 65.6
Pre Market Time 1,792,154,512
Previous Close 67.55
Price Eps Current Year -8.001578
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.4266062
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 5.481
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.27273
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.28001
Regular Market Change Percent -3.37529
Regular Market Day High 68.25
Regular Market Day Low 65.0
Regular Market Day Range 65.0 - 68.25
Regular Market Open 67.72
Regular Market Previous Close 67.55
Regular Market Price 65.27
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,400
Regular Market Volume 2,448,406
Return On Assets -0.22606
Return On Equity -0.36514
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 157,389,653
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1162
Shares Short 17,290,712
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 15,016,514
Short Name Vaxcyte, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1168
Short Ratio 12.15
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol PCVX
Target High Price 163.0
Target Low Price 75.0
Target Mean Price 117.3
Target Median Price 121.0
Total Cash 1,486,838,016
Total Cash Per Share 9.992
Total Debt 115,445,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -7.62
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 56.13955
Two Hundred Day Average Change 9.130447
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.16263841
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,448,406
Website https://vaxcyte.com
Zip 94,070