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Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)

Technology | Software - Application | Rochester, United States | NasdaqGS
106.25 USD +1.61 (1.539%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 106.30 +0.05 (0.047%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4:37 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 3, 2026, 1:53 a.m. EDT

The most critical signal here is the divergence between the stock's deteriorating technicals and its robust underlying business quality. Over the last two weeks, the share price has fallen sharply, dropping below both the fifty-day and two-hundred-day moving averages, which creates a near-term headwind for momentum traders. However, the long-term picture remains compelling. The company generates exceptional returns on equity and maintains strong free cash flow, supporting a high-quality compounder thesis despite the recent price weakness. Investors should be cautious about the dividend sustainability given the payout ratio sits near ninety percent, which leaves little margin for error if earnings growth slows. While the valuation is reasonable compared to peers, the short-term trend is clearly negative, making this a hold rather than a buy until the technicals stabilize.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.047232
MSTL0.048313
AutoTheta0.062536
AutoARIMA0.117846

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 26.88
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.15
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-27
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-27
Debt to Equity Ratio 124.704
Revenue per Share 18.452
Market Cap 37,822,926,848
Trailing P/E 21.08
Forward P/E 16.63
Beta 0.85
Profit Margins 27.35%
Website https://www.paychex.com

As of Oct. 3, 2026, 1:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery with a bullish bias for the longer term. Call open interest builds significantly at strikes above the current price (130-145), indicating a belief in a rebound toward the 52-week high. Conversely, near-term put open interest concentrates at the 90-100 strikes, suggesting hedging against further downside volatility. Implied volatility remains subdued around 30-35%, reflecting complacency despite the recent price drop.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.00% 4.34% 3.42% 3.10%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-28 1.190000 1.001094
2026-05-13 1.190000 1.323399
2026-01-28 1.080000 1.054173
2025-11-07 1.080000 0.964630
2025-07-21 1.080000 0.757045
2025-05-12 1.080000 0.711978
2025-02-07 0.980000 0.667848
2024-11-07 0.980000 0.668668
2024-08-08 0.980000 0.787971
2024-05-09 0.980000 0.807914
2024-02-12 0.890000 0.728911
2023-11-13 0.890000 0.777428
2023-08-09 0.890000 0.717568
2023-05-10 0.890000 0.819370
2023-02-08 0.790000 0.687375
2022-11-08 0.790000 0.674925
2022-08-10 0.790000 0.594700
2022-05-11 0.790000 0.668246
2022-01-28 0.660000 0.572271
2021-10-29 0.660000 0.535367
2021-07-30 0.660000 0.579863
2021-05-11 0.660000 0.666465
2021-01-29 0.620000 0.710032
2020-10-30 0.620000 0.753799
2020-07-31 0.620000 0.862069
2020-05-14 0.620000 0.982100
2020-01-31 0.620000 0.722864
2019-10-31 0.620000 0.741272
2019-07-31 0.620000 0.746538
2019-05-14 0.620000 0.736429
2019-01-31 0.560000 0.790960
2018-10-31 0.560000 0.855092
2018-07-31 0.560000 0.811359
2018-05-08 0.560000 0.909239
2018-01-31 0.500000 0.732601
2017-10-31 0.500000 0.783822
2017-07-28 0.500000 0.865651
2017-05-08 0.460000 0.792284
2017-01-30 0.460000 0.756455
2016-10-28 0.460000 0.835604
2016-07-28 0.460000 0.777027
2016-05-05 0.420000 0.820473
2016-01-28 0.420000 0.904588
2015-10-29 0.420000 0.811437
2015-07-30 0.420000 0.908501
2015-05-07 0.380000 0.778689
2015-01-29 0.380000 0.819319
2014-10-30 0.380000 0.823402
2014-07-30 0.380000 0.916104
2014-05-08 0.350000 0.858474
2014-01-30 0.350000 0.827815
2013-10-30 0.350000 0.827423
2013-07-30 0.350000 0.900206
2012-12-18 0.660000 1.990350
2012-10-31 0.330000 1.017890
2012-07-30 0.320000 0.973236
2012-05-04 0.320000 1.069519
2012-01-30 0.320000 1.013621
2011-10-28 0.320000 1.089918
2011-07-28 0.310000 1.094246
2011-04-28 0.310000 0.939679
2011-01-28 0.310000 0.978227
2010-10-28 0.310000 1.119134
2010-07-29 0.310000 1.186830
2010-04-29 0.310000 1.003561
2010-01-28 0.310000 1.073779
2009-10-29 0.310000 1.081270
2009-07-30 0.310000 1.176024
2009-04-29 0.310000 1.129738
2009-01-28 0.310000 1.226266
2008-10-29 0.310000 1.171580
2008-07-30 0.310000 0.944546
2008-04-29 0.300000 0.832178
2008-01-30 0.300000 0.910194
2007-10-30 0.300000 0.734574
2007-07-30 0.300000 0.715478
2007-04-27 0.210000 0.559403
2007-01-30 0.210000 0.528967
2006-10-30 0.210000 0.527506
2006-07-28 0.160000 0.464306
2006-04-27 0.160000 0.391102
2006-01-30 0.160000 0.432316
2005-10-28 0.160000 0.416125
2005-07-28 0.130000 0.370582
2005-04-28 0.130000 0.427350
2005-01-28 0.130000 0.431464
2004-10-28 0.130000 0.393939
2004-07-29 0.120000 0.400267
2004-04-29 0.120000 0.325556
2004-01-29 0.120000 0.321543
2003-10-30 0.120000 0.314465
2003-07-30 0.110000 0.353130
2003-04-29 0.110000 0.355757
2003-01-30 0.110000 0.444265
2002-10-30 0.110000 0.390348
2002-07-30 0.110000 0.422914
2002-04-29 0.110000 0.303951
2002-01-30 0.110000 0.306492
2001-10-30 0.110000 0.339297
2001-07-30 0.090000 0.233281
2001-04-27 0.090000 0.264395
2001-01-30 0.090000 0.198895
2000-10-30 0.090000 0.154506
2000-07-28 0.060000 0.138728
2000-04-27 0.060000 0.169412
2000-01-28 0.060000 0.214286
1999-10-28 0.060000 0.225000
1999-07-29 0.040000 0.217195
1999-04-29 0.040000 0.171838
1999-01-28 0.040000 0.188976
1998-10-29 0.040000 0.179551
1998-07-30 0.026667 0.136172
1998-04-29 0.026667 0.164762
1998-01-29 0.026667 0.186531
1997-10-23 0.026667 0.231887
1997-07-29 0.017778 0.150945
1997-04-29 0.017778 0.203969
1997-01-28 0.017778 0.190984
1996-10-24 0.017778 0.155509
1996-07-30 0.011852 0.129731
1996-04-23 0.011852 0.138198
1996-01-30 0.011852 0.172664
1995-10-25 0.011852 0.199448
1995-07-31 0.007901 0.161069
1995-04-21 0.007901 0.195646
1995-01-26 0.007901 0.227841
1994-10-24 0.007901 0.239993
1994-07-27 0.005267 0.181801
1994-04-25 0.005267 0.172646
1994-01-26 0.005267 0.152852
1993-10-22 0.005267 0.177761
1993-07-20 0.003512 0.146803
1993-04-23 0.003512 0.150015
1993-01-22 0.003512 0.167848
1992-10-19 0.003512 0.175200
1992-07-21 0.002341 0.166659
1992-04-16 0.002341 0.156856
1992-01-29 0.002341 0.161066
1991-10-21 0.002341 0.203381
1991-07-22 0.001951 0.229894
1991-04-22 0.001951 0.229894
1991-01-25 0.001951 0.266677
1990-10-22 0.001951 0.353997
1990-07-23 0.001561 0.262339
1990-04-23 0.001561 0.237077
1990-01-30 0.001561 0.213369
1989-10-23 0.001561 0.172072
1989-07-24 0.001171 0.123759
1989-04-24 0.001171 0.144633
1989-01-24 0.001171 0.151957
1988-11-04 0.001171 0.166730
Additional Data
dividendRate 4.76
dividendYield 4.55
exDividendDate 2026-07-28
trailingAnnualDividendRate 4.54
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.04338685
lastDividendValue 1.19
lastDividendDate 2026-07-28
dividendDate 2026-08-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.18625087
Address1 911 Panorama Trail South
All Time High 161.24
All Time Low 0.134397
Ask 111.15
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,841,990
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,983,103
Average Volume 2,983,103
Average Volume10Days 2,841,990
Beta 0.848
Bid 100.96
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 7
Book Value 10.409
City Rochester
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 106.25
Current Ratio 1.277
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 106.57
Day Low 104.87
Debt To Equity 124.704
Display Name Paychex
Dividend Date 1,787,875,200
Dividend Rate 4.76
Dividend Yield 4.55
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,790,170,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,790,170,200
Earnings Growth 0.139
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.12
Earnings Timestamp 1,790,166,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,797,597,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,797,597,000
Ebitda 3,078,000,128
Ebitda Margins 0.46618998
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.3
Enterprise To Revenue 6.2
Enterprise Value 40,936,497,152
Eps Current Year 5.96074
Eps Forward 6.38856
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.04
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,196,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 115.2944
Fifty Day Average Change -9.044403
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.07844616
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -18.625086
Fifty Two Week High 129.24
Fifty Two Week High Change -22.990005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.17788614
Fifty Two Week Low 85.45
Fifty Two Week Low Change 20.800003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.24341725
Fifty Two Week Range 85.45 - 129.24
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 430,752,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.81
Float Shares 319,602,828
Forward Eps 6.38856
Forward P E 16.631292
Free Cashflow 1,887,112,448
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 17,600
Fullday Change 1.6600037
Fullday Change Percent 1.5863949
Fullday Price 106.3
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.74391997
Gross Profits 4,911,699,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.10175
Held Percent Institutions 0.85831
Implied Shares Outstanding 355,980,473
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ir Website http://investor.paychex.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,785,196,800
Last Dividend Value 1.19
Last Fiscal Year End 1,780,185,600
Last Split Date 959,040,000
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for human resources, payroll processing, employee benefits, and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, Canada, India, and Israel. It offers technology and advisory solutions; and payroll tax administration services. The company also provides retirement solutions, such as plan implementation, ongoing compliance with government regulations, employee and employer reporting, participant and employer online access, electronic funds transfer, and other administrative services; HCM solutions from recruiting and hiring to retirement; and talent management and talent acquisition services. In addition, it offers payroll solutions, including calculation, preparation, and delivery of employee payroll checks; production of internal accounting records and management reports; preparation of federal, state, and local payroll tax returns; and collection and remittance of clients' payroll obligations. Further, the company provides workforce management solutions; benefits administration solutions; digital marketplace for earned wages, financial wellness solutions, and voluntary lifestyle benefits; administrative services organization HR outsourcing solutions; solutions to payroll and non-payroll customers; retirement and funding solutions; and insurance services for property and casualty coverage, such as workers' compensation, business-owner policies, cyber security protection, and commercial auto, as well as health and benefits coverage, including health, dental, vision, and life. Additionally, it offers payroll, HR, employee benefits administration, retirement, insurance, risk management outsourcing, and access to professionally trained HR representatives, virtually and on-site. It markets and sells its solutions primarily through its direct sales force. Paychex, Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
Long Name Paychex, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 37,822,926,848
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_295368
Most Recent Quarter 1,788,134,400
Net Income To Common 1,806,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,811,721,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 37,196,399,623
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 105.38
Operating Cashflow 2,251,800,064
Operating Margins 0.38504001
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.9008
Peg Ratio 1.95
Phone 585 385 6666
Post Market Change 0.05000305
Post Market Change Percent 0.047061697
Post Market Price 106.3
Post Market Time 1,791,923,879
Previous Close 104.64
Price Eps Current Year 17.824968
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 10.207512
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.7285767
Profit Margins 0.27353
Quick Ratio 0.516
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.6100006
Regular Market Change Percent 1.5386091
Regular Market Day High 106.57
Regular Market Day Low 104.87
Regular Market Day Range 104.87 - 106.57
Regular Market Open 105.38
Regular Market Previous Close 104.64
Regular Market Price 106.25
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,600
Regular Market Volume 2,016,734
Return On Assets 0.1019
Return On Equity 0.47055
Revenue Growth 0.059
Revenue Per Share 18.452
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 355,980,473
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0529
Shares Short 18,828,544
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 20,420,231
Short Name Paychex, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0592
Short Ratio 5.42
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol PAYX
Target High Price 150.0
Target Low Price 96.0
Target Mean Price 113.92857
Target Median Price 111.0
Total Cash 934,200,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.624
Total Debt 4,620,899,840
Total Revenue 6,602,500,096
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 4.54
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.04338685
Trailing Eps 5.04
Trailing P E 21.081348
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.8455
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 103.44855
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.8014526
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.027080638
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,016,734
Website https://www.paychex.com
Zip 14,625-2396