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Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)

Technology | Software - Application | Rochester, United States | NasdaqGS
110.75 USD +3.21 (2.985%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 110.89 +0.14 (0.126%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT

The long-term rating reflects a high-quality compounder with a nine-year cumulative return of nearly 134%, driven by consistent revenue expansion and accelerating earnings growth. While the business fundamentals are robust, the balance sheet leverage prevents a top-tier classification, keeping the long-term outlook at a solid buy rather than exceptional. The short-term outlook benefits from price action trading well above the 50-day average, yet the statistical forecast offers no directional edge, suggesting the move is more technical than predictive. The dividend yield is attractive, but the payout ratio exceeds 90%, which constrains the sustainability rating and introduces risk if earnings growth falters. Overall, this is a reliable income stock with strong growth credentials, though investors should monitor the high payout intensity closely.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.061906
AutoETS0.061907
MSTL0.070081
AutoTheta0.077500

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 12.26
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.830
Excess Kurtosis -0.43
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-12
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-12
Debt to Equity Ratio 123.378
Revenue per Share 10.88
Market Cap 39,382,700,032
Trailing P/E 22.65
Forward P/E 17.33
Profit Margins 26.63%
Website https://www.paychex.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound trade near current levels, with significant call open interest clustered at the 110 and 115 strikes suggesting a bias toward holding or modest gains. Conversely, heavy put open interest sits at the 85 and 90 strikes, indicating defensive hedging against a drop to the mid-80s. Implied volatility is notably elevated on deep out-of-the-money puts, reflecting fear of a sharp downside move despite the bullish technical setup.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.32% 4.10% 3.32% 3.02%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-13 1.190000 1.323399
2026-01-28 1.080000 1.054173
2025-11-07 1.080000 0.964630
2025-07-21 1.080000 0.757045
2025-05-12 1.080000 0.711978
2025-02-07 0.980000 0.667848
2024-11-07 0.980000 0.668668
2024-08-08 0.980000 0.787971
2024-05-09 0.980000 0.807914
2024-02-12 0.890000 0.728911
2023-11-13 0.890000 0.777428
2023-08-09 0.890000 0.717568
2023-05-10 0.890000 0.819370
2023-02-08 0.790000 0.687375
2022-11-08 0.790000 0.674925
2022-08-10 0.790000 0.594700
2022-05-11 0.790000 0.668246
2022-01-28 0.660000 0.572271
2021-10-29 0.660000 0.535367
2021-07-30 0.660000 0.579863
2021-05-11 0.660000 0.666465
2021-01-29 0.620000 0.710032
2020-10-30 0.620000 0.753799
2020-07-31 0.620000 0.862069
2020-05-14 0.620000 0.982100
2020-01-31 0.620000 0.722864
2019-10-31 0.620000 0.741272
2019-07-31 0.620000 0.746538
2019-05-14 0.620000 0.736429
2019-01-31 0.560000 0.790960
2018-10-31 0.560000 0.855092
2018-07-31 0.560000 0.811359
2018-05-08 0.560000 0.909239
2018-01-31 0.500000 0.732601
2017-10-31 0.500000 0.783822
2017-07-28 0.500000 0.865651
2017-05-08 0.460000 0.792284
2017-01-30 0.460000 0.756455
2016-10-28 0.460000 0.835604
2016-07-28 0.460000 0.777027
2016-05-05 0.420000 0.820473
2016-01-28 0.420000 0.904588
2015-10-29 0.420000 0.811437
2015-07-30 0.420000 0.908501
2015-05-07 0.380000 0.778689
2015-01-29 0.380000 0.819319
2014-10-30 0.380000 0.823402
2014-07-30 0.380000 0.916104
2014-05-08 0.350000 0.858474
2014-01-30 0.350000 0.827815
2013-10-30 0.350000 0.827423
2013-07-30 0.350000 0.900206
2012-12-18 0.660000 1.990350
2012-10-31 0.330000 1.017890
2012-07-30 0.320000 0.973236
2012-05-04 0.320000 1.069519
2012-01-30 0.320000 1.013621
2011-10-28 0.320000 1.089918
2011-07-28 0.310000 1.094246
2011-04-28 0.310000 0.939679
2011-01-28 0.310000 0.978227
2010-10-28 0.310000 1.119134
2010-07-29 0.310000 1.186830
2010-04-29 0.310000 1.003561
2010-01-28 0.310000 1.073779
2009-10-29 0.310000 1.081270
2009-07-30 0.310000 1.176024
2009-04-29 0.310000 1.129738
2009-01-28 0.310000 1.226266
2008-10-29 0.310000 1.171580
2008-07-30 0.310000 0.944546
2008-04-29 0.300000 0.832178
2008-01-30 0.300000 0.910194
2007-10-30 0.300000 0.734574
2007-07-30 0.300000 0.715478
2007-04-27 0.210000 0.559403
2007-01-30 0.210000 0.528967
2006-10-30 0.210000 0.527506
2006-07-28 0.160000 0.464306
2006-04-27 0.160000 0.391102
2006-01-30 0.160000 0.432316
2005-10-28 0.160000 0.416125
2005-07-28 0.130000 0.370582
2005-04-28 0.130000 0.427350
2005-01-28 0.130000 0.431464
2004-10-28 0.130000 0.393939
2004-07-29 0.120000 0.400267
2004-04-29 0.120000 0.325556
2004-01-29 0.120000 0.321543
2003-10-30 0.120000 0.314465
2003-07-30 0.110000 0.353130
2003-04-29 0.110000 0.355757
2003-01-30 0.110000 0.444265
2002-10-30 0.110000 0.390348
2002-07-30 0.110000 0.422914
2002-04-29 0.110000 0.303951
2002-01-30 0.110000 0.306492
2001-10-30 0.110000 0.339297
2001-07-30 0.090000 0.233281
2001-04-27 0.090000 0.264395
2001-01-30 0.090000 0.198895
2000-10-30 0.090000 0.154506
2000-07-28 0.060000 0.138728
2000-04-27 0.060000 0.169412
2000-01-28 0.060000 0.214286
1999-10-28 0.060000 0.225000
1999-07-29 0.040000 0.217195
1999-04-29 0.040000 0.171838
1999-01-28 0.040000 0.188976
1998-10-29 0.040000 0.179551
1998-07-30 0.026667 0.136172
1998-04-29 0.026667 0.164762
1998-01-29 0.026667 0.186531
1997-10-23 0.026667 0.231887
1997-07-29 0.017778 0.150945
1997-04-29 0.017778 0.203969
1997-01-28 0.017778 0.190984
1996-10-24 0.017778 0.155509
1996-07-30 0.011852 0.129731
1996-04-23 0.011852 0.138198
1996-01-30 0.011852 0.172664
1995-10-25 0.011852 0.199448
1995-07-31 0.007901 0.161069
1995-04-21 0.007901 0.195646
1995-01-26 0.007901 0.227841
1994-10-24 0.007901 0.239993
1994-07-27 0.005267 0.181801
1994-04-25 0.005267 0.172646
1994-01-26 0.005267 0.152852
1993-10-22 0.005267 0.177761
1993-07-20 0.003512 0.146803
1993-04-23 0.003512 0.150015
1993-01-22 0.003512 0.167848
1992-10-19 0.003512 0.175200
1992-07-21 0.002341 0.166659
1992-04-16 0.002341 0.156856
1992-01-29 0.002341 0.161066
1991-10-21 0.002341 0.203381
1991-07-22 0.001951 0.229894
1991-04-22 0.001951 0.229894
1991-01-25 0.001951 0.266677
1990-10-22 0.001951 0.353997
1990-07-23 0.001561 0.262339
1990-04-23 0.001561 0.237077
1990-01-30 0.001561 0.213369
1989-10-23 0.001561 0.172072
1989-07-24 0.001171 0.123759
1989-04-24 0.001171 0.144633
1989-01-24 0.001171 0.151957
1988-11-04 0.001171 0.166730
Additional Data
dividendRate 4.76
dividendYield 4.43
exDividendDate 2026-05-13
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 1.19
lastDividendDate 2026-05-13
dividendDate 2026-05-29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.2547987
Address1 911 Panorama Trail South
All Time High 161.24
All Time Low 0.134397
Ask 115.67
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 3.2 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,417,460
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,371,001
Average Volume 3,371,001
Average Volume10Days 3,417,460
Bid 103.93
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 6
Book Value 10.504
City Rochester
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 110.75
Current Ratio 1.152
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 111.64
Day Low 108.7425
Debt To Equity 123.378
Display Name Paychex
Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Dividend Rate 4.76
Dividend Yield 4.43
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,782,307,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,782,307,800
Earnings Growth 0.426
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.415
Earnings Timestamp 1,782,304,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,782,304,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,782,304,200
Ebitda 1,608,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.40523997
Enterprise To Ebitda 26.658
Enterprise To Revenue 10.803
Enterprise Value 42,866,499,584
Eps Current Year 5.96768
Eps Forward 6.39146
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.89
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,630,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 97.7232
Fifty Day Average Change 13.026802
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.13330306
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -25.479872
Fifty Two Week High 148.11
Fifty Two Week High Change -37.36
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.25224495
Fifty Two Week Low 85.45
Fifty Two Week Low Change 25.300003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.29607964
Fifty Two Week Range 85.45 - 148.11
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 430,752,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.83
Forward Eps 6.39146
Forward P E 17.32781
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.67197996
Gross Profits 2,666,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.103599995
Held Percent Institutions 0.8571
Implied Shares Outstanding 355,600,000
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ir Website http://investor.paychex.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,630,400
Last Dividend Value 1.19
Last Fiscal Year End 1,567,209,600
Last Split Date 959,040,000
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. It offers payroll processing services; payroll tax administration services; employee payment services; and regulatory compliance services. The company provides retirement solutions, such as plan implementation, ongoing compliance with government regulations, employee and employer reporting, participant and employer online access, electronic funds transfer, and other administrative services; HCM solutions from recruiting and hiring to retirement; and talent management and talent acquisition services. In addition, it offers payroll solutions, including calculation, preparation, and delivery of employee payroll checks; production of internal accounting records and management reports; preparation of federal, state, and local payroll tax returns; and collection and remittance of clients' payroll obligations. Further, the company provides workforce management solutions; benefits administration solutions; digital marketplace for earned wages, financial wellness solutions, and voluntary lifestyle benefits; HR support to non-payroll clients through HR Partner Plus solution; and insurance services for property and casualty coverage, such as workers' compensation, business-owner policies, cyber security protection, and commercial auto, as well as health and benefits coverage, including health, dental, vision, and life. Additionally, it offers payroll, employer compliance, HR and employee benefits administration, risk management outsourcing, and both virtual and on-site availability of a professionally trained HR representative, and other solutions to businesses. It markets and sells its services primarily through its direct sales force. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
Long Name Paychex, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 39,382,700,032
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_295368
Most Recent Quarter 1,780,185,600
Next Fiscal Year End 1,598,832,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 38,248,336,000
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 108.91
Operating Cashflow 1,179,200,000
Operating Margins 0.38325
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.90589994
Peg Ratio 1.9
Phone 585 385 6666
Post Market Change 0.13999939
Post Market Change Percent 0.12641029
Post Market Price 110.89
Post Market Time 1,783,987,156
Previous Close 107.54
Price Eps Current Year 18.5583
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 10.543603
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 9.925076
Profit Margins 0.26633
Quick Ratio 0.303
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.16667
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.21
Regular Market Change Percent 2.98494
Regular Market Day High 111.64
Regular Market Day Low 108.7425
Regular Market Day Range 108.7425 - 111.64
Regular Market Open 108.91
Regular Market Previous Close 107.54
Regular Market Price 110.75
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 2,351,601
Revenue Growth 0.125
Revenue Per Share 10.88
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 355,600,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0573
Shares Short 20,374,922
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 20,011,633
Short Name Paychex, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0642
Short Ratio 5.41
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol PAYX
Target High Price 140.0
Target Low Price 90.0
Target Mean Price 106.57143
Target Median Price 105.0
Total Cash 1,124,499,968
Total Cash Per Share 3.162
Total Debt 4,608,300,032
Total Revenue 3,968,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 4.89
Trailing P E 22.648262
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.8997
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 104.51975
Two Hundred Day Average Change 6.2302475
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.059608325
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,351,601
Website https://www.paychex.com
Zip 14,625-2396