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Patria Investments Limited (PAX)

Financial Services | Asset Management | Sausalito, United States | NasdaqGS
11.81 USD +0.31 (2.696%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 11.81

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:28 a.m. EDT

Patria Investments presents a compelling value case obscured by deteriorating operational momentum. Fundamentally, the company is a turnaround story with robust revenue growth (+35%) and a massive discount to its forward earnings (7.9x vs 27x trailing), supported by a fortress balance sheet and strong free cash flow. However, the market has punished the stock heavily, with a 15% decline over the last four years and a trailing earnings contraction of nearly 19%. This disconnect creates a high-risk, high-reward setup: the price is cheap relative to future potential, but the recent trend suggests investors remain skeptical of the business's ability to sustain profitability. The dividend yield of 5.8% is attractive but dangerous; the payout ratio exceeds 140%, indicating the company is returning more cash than it earns, which is unsustainable without a sharp earnings rebound. Short-term, the stock is range-bound and lacks immediate catalysts to break the downtrend, making it a hold rather than a buy. Long-term, if the company can stabilize earnings and restore growth, the margin of safety is wide enough to support a buy, but the path is fraught with volatility.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.044592
AutoTheta0.044608
AutoETS0.044615
MSTL0.049692

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 10.47
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.086
Excess Kurtosis -1.38
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 69.669
Revenue per Share 2.67
Market Cap 1,936,252,800
Trailing P/E 27.47
Forward P/E 7.97
Beta 0.78
Profit Margins 16.35%
Website https://www.patria.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:28 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put open interest at the $10 strike, suggesting a fear of further downside or a 'floor' at current levels. Conversely, call activity is concentrated at the $15 strike, indicating a speculative bet on a significant recovery to previous highs, while near-term call volume remains thin. Implied volatility is elevated on both sides, reflecting uncertainty rather than a clear directional consensus.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.46% 5.01% 5.50% 5.45%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-10 0.163 1.455357
2026-05-18 0.163 1.461883
2026-02-20 0.150 1.071429
2025-11-14 0.150 1.018330
2025-08-15 0.150 1.090116
2025-05-14 0.150 1.200000
2025-02-25 0.150 1.287554
2024-11-18 0.150 1.284247
2024-08-19 0.150 1.270110
2024-05-17 0.175 1.343055
2024-02-21 0.399 2.609549
2023-11-21 0.199 1.406360
2023-08-15 0.251 1.710975
2023-05-16 0.226 1.566182
2023-02-28 0.308 1.941992
2022-11-14 0.171 1.250000
2022-09-01 0.169 1.225526
2022-06-01 0.202 1.238504
2022-03-01 0.160 0.987045
2021-12-01 0.140 0.836820
2021-09-01 0.463 2.852742
2021-06-01 0.106 0.631704
Additional Data
dividendYield 5.59
exDividendDate 2026-08-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.615
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.053478263
lastDividendValue 0.163
lastDividendDate 2026-08-10
dividendDate 2026-09-14

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.1980474
Address1 One Harbor Driver
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 23.28
All Time Low 9.43
Ask 14.77
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,307,390
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,152,001
Average Volume 1,152,001
Average Volume10Days 1,307,390
Beta 0.784
Bid 8.54
Bid Size 2
Book Value 3.468
City Sausalito
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 11.81
Current Ratio 1.036
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 11.885
Day Low 11.4
Debt To Equity 69.669
Display Name Patria Investments
Dividend Date 1,789,344,000
Dividend Yield 5.59
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,502,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,502,800
Earnings Growth -0.185
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.168
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,501,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,400,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,400,200
Ebitda 191,280,000
Ebitda Margins 0.44692
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.407
Enterprise To Revenue 5.098
Enterprise Value 2,181,844,992
Eps Current Year 1.34567
Eps Forward 1.48145
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.43
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 10.9913
Fifty Day Average Change 0.8187008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.074486256
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -19.80474
Fifty Two Week High 17.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.989999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3365168
Fifty Two Week Low 9.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.9200001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19413549
Fifty Two Week Range 9.89 - 17.8
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,611,325,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 5.45
Float Shares 61,930,462
Forward Eps 1.48145
Forward P E 7.97192
Free Cashflow 200,050,752
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 548
Fullday Change 0.31000042
Fullday Change Percent 2.6956558
Fullday Price 11.81
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.58364
Gross Profits 249,799,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.05588
Held Percent Institutions 0.62325
Implied Shares Outstanding 163,950,267
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-01-22
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Last Dividend Value 0.163
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Patria Investments Limited operates as a private market investment firm. It specializes in investments in private equity, secondary direct and indirect and venture capital with focus in middle market, buyout and growth capital investments. It seeks to be sector agnostic with focus on agribusiness, power & energy, healthcare, logistics & transportations, food & beverage, agricultural products, packaged foods and meats, education services, outsourced business services, and digital & tech services. It prefers to invest globally with focus on Latin America, Europe, United States, North America and Brazil. It seeks to invest between $38.48 million and $72.14 million per transaction. The firm seeks a majority or minority stake in its portfolio companies. The company offers asset management services to investors focusing on private equity funds, infrastructure development funds, co-investments funds, constructivist equity funds, and real estate and credit funds. The firm seeks to co-invest with other investors. Patria Investments Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands with additional offices across South America, North America, Europe and Asia. Patria Investments Limited operates as a subsidiary of Patria Holdings Limited.
Long Name Patria Investments Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,936,252,800
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_699852503
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 70,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,649,445,115
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 11.51
Operating Cashflow 178,776,000
Operating Margins 0.28556
Payout Ratio 1.4227
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 11.81
Post Market Time 1,792,094,478
Previous Close 11.5
Price Eps Current Year 8.776298
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.4054213
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.5239553
Profit Margins 0.16354999
Quick Ratio 0.933
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.31000042
Regular Market Change Percent 2.6956558
Regular Market Day High 11.885
Regular Market Day Low 11.4
Regular Market Day Range 11.4 - 11.885
Regular Market Open 11.51
Regular Market Previous Close 11.5
Regular Market Price 11.81
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,400
Regular Market Volume 1,301,433
Return On Assets 0.05874
Return On Equity 0.12880999
Revenue Growth 0.349
Revenue Per Share 2.67
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16440773
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 71,004,837
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.030199999
Shares Short 4,951,590
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,981,531
Short Name Patria Investments Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.082200006
Short Ratio 4.55
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol PAX
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 15.0
Target Median Price 15.0
Total Cash 207,923,008
Total Cash Per Share 1.279
Total Debt 445,215,008
Total Revenue 428,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.615
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.053478263
Trailing Eps 0.43
Trailing P E 27.465117
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.29695
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.48694992
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.039599244
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,301,433
Website https://www.patria.com