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Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR)

Energy | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Houston, United States | NYSE
73.55 USD +2.63 (3.708%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by a powerful convergence of technical recovery and aggressive speculative positioning. After a brutal multi-year decline that saw the stock halve in value, the company has staged a remarkable rebound, trading significantly above its 200-day average. This resurgence is being amplified by a distinct shift in options sentiment: traders are loading up on calls targeting prices well above the current level, while put buying has evaporated. This creates a high-conviction short-term setup where momentum is the primary driver. However, the long-term picture remains mixed; while the balance sheet is healthy and profitability has returned, the lack of a dividend and the cyclical nature of the refining sector prevent a top-tier 'buy-and-hold' rating. The stock is currently a momentum play riding a successful turnaround, but investors should remain mindful that the broader energy sector can be volatile.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.095063
AutoETS0.096569
MSTL0.101674
AutoTheta0.150739

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 3.36
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.163
Excess Kurtosis 0.36
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Debt to Equity Ratio 87.475
Revenue per Share 152.687
Market Cap 3,688,111,616
Trailing P/E 8.33
Forward P/E 7.00
Beta 0.82
Profit Margins 6.02%
Website https://www.parpacific.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily skewed toward bullish exposure, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (particularly the $70 and $75 strikes) compared to negligible put volume. The call chain shows significant positioning at strikes above the current price, while the put side is virtually dormant except for deep out-of-the-money hedges. Implied volatility is elevated on the call side relative to the put side, suggesting traders are pricing in a potential upside move rather than a crash.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.0544612
Address1 825 Town & Country Lane
Address2 Suite 1500
All Time High 73.8
All Time Low 0.6
Ask 74.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 934,850
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,121,949
Average Volume 1,121,949
Average Volume10Days 934,850
Beta 0.822
Bid 69.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 2
Book Value 30.768
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 73.55
Current Ratio 1.624
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 73.8
Day Low 71.615
Debt To Equity 87.475
Display Name Par Pacific
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,938,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,938,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,873,600
Ebitda 742,284,032
Ebitda Margins 0.098400004
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.613
Enterprise To Revenue 0.651
Enterprise Value 4,908,545,536
Eps Current Year 15.81121
Eps Forward 10.5113
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 8.83
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 58.8456
Fifty Day Average Change 14.704403
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.24988109
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 105.44612
Fifty Two Week High 73.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.25
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0033875338
Fifty Two Week Low 26.83
Fifty Two Week Low Change 46.72
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.7413343
Fifty Two Week Range 26.83 - 73.8
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,346,851,800,000
Float Shares 48,667,027
Forward Eps 10.5113
Forward P E 6.997232
Free Cashflow 118,488,624
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,758
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.19015
Gross Profits 1,434,397,952
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02834
Held Percent Institutions 1.0641
Implied Shares Outstanding 50,144,277
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Key oil-gas-refining-marketing
Ir Website http://www.par-petro.com/Investor_Relations
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,390,953,600
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Par Pacific Holdings, Inc., an energy company, provides renewable and conventional fuels in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Retail, and Logistics. The Refining segment owns and operates refineries that convert crude oil into gasoline, distillate, asphalt, and other products. The Retail segment operates convenience stores and fuel retail outlets that sell gasoline, diesel, and retail merchandise, such as soft drinks, prepared food, and other sundries under the Hele, 76, and nomnom brands, as well as unattended cardlock stations. The Logistics segment owns and operates terminals, pipelines, trucking operations, marine vessels, storage facilities, loading and truck racks, and rail facilities for the movement of ethanol, petroleum, and refined products; and a jet fuel storage facility and pipeline that serves Ellsworth Air Force Base in South Dakota. The company also holds interest in crude storage tanks and a crude oil pipeline that provides access to crude oil from power river basin; and refined products pipeline. In addition, it owns and operates a single point mooring, a marine terminal, a unit train-capable rail loading terminal, manifest rail siding, a truck rack, and a proprietary jet fuel pipeline that serves Joint Base Lewis McChord. The company was formerly known as Par Petroleum Corporation and changed its name to Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. in October 2015. Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,688,111,616
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_98924
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 454,240,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,688,111,573
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 72.462
Operating Cashflow 406,028,992
Operating Margins 0.03266
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 281 899 4800
Pre Market Change -0.7999954
Pre Market Change Percent -1.0869503
Pre Market Price 72.8
Pre Market Time 1,784,111,637
Previous Close 70.92
Price Eps Current Year 4.651763
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.3904707
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.48892134
Profit Margins 0.06022
Quick Ratio 0.493
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.57143
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.63
Regular Market Change Percent 3.70841
Regular Market Day High 73.8
Regular Market Day Low 71.615
Regular Market Day Range 71.615 - 73.8
Regular Market Open 72.462
Regular Market Previous Close 70.92
Regular Market Price 73.55
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,203
Regular Market Volume 938,347
Return On Assets 0.0942
Return On Equity 0.33316
Revenue Growth 0.045
Revenue Per Share 152.687
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 50,144,277
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0934
Shares Short 4,682,848
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,841,029
Short Name Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm
Short Percent Of Float 0.1305
Short Ratio 5.43
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol PARR
Target High Price 85.0
Target Low Price 65.0
Target Mean Price 77.71429
Target Median Price 78.0
Total Cash 172,168,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.433
Total Debt 1,357,059,968
Total Revenue 7,543,364,096
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 8.83
Trailing P E 8.329558
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 48.2921
Two Hundred Day Average Change 25.257904
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.52302355
Type Disp Equity
Volume 938,347
Website https://www.parpacific.com
Zip 77,024