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PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | São Paulo, Brazil | NYSE
8.89 USD -0.04 (-0.448%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 8.92 +0.03 (0.337%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT

The investment case for PagSeguro is currently compromised by a severe multi-year structural decline. Despite a low valuation multiple and a high dividend yield, the company has suffered four consecutive years of negative annual returns, with the most recent year seeing a sharp drop in share price. This persistent price erosion suggests the market views the business fundamentals as deteriorating, overriding any apparent cheapness. While the dividend yield is attractive, it appears to be a result of depressed stock prices rather than robust cash flow, especially given the negative free cash flow reported. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock trading well below its moving averages and facing heavy speculative selling pressure evidenced by the options flow. The statistical forecast offers no help, showing a flat prediction with low confidence. Until the multi-year downtrend halts and turns positive, the risk of further capital loss outweighs the income potential.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.042757
MSTL0.043226
AutoETS0.045782
AutoARIMA0.045833

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 0.41
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.607
Excess Kurtosis -0.65
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-15
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-21
Debt to Equity Ratio 11.823
Revenue per Share 69.772
Market Cap 2,450,493,184
Trailing P/E 6.13
Forward P/E 4.78
Beta 1.28
Profit Margins 10.86%
Website https://pagbank.com.br

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $3, $5, $8), while call activity remains sparse and concentrated near the money. The implied volatility skew is steep, with deep out-of-the-money puts trading at massive premiums compared to calls, indicating a market expectation of significant downside risk rather than a rally. Unusual flow shows new buying in deep puts, reinforcing a bearish sentiment.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.42% 2.42%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-22 0.26 2.416357
2025-07-16 0.12 1.423487
2025-05-23 0.14 1.620370
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.12
dividendYield 12.54
exDividendDate 2026-09-16
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.355
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.15173572
lastDividendValue 0.26
lastDividendDate 2026-04-22
dividendDate 2026-09-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.014412403
Address1 Av. Brigadeiro Faria Lima, No. 1,384
Address2 1st - 10th floors
All Time High 62.83
All Time Low 6.11
Ask 8.93
Ask Size 2,100
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,240,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,970,639
Average Volume 2,970,639
Average Volume10Days 2,240,650
Beta 1.276
Bid 8.88
Bid Size 2,500
Book Value 10.548811
City São Paulo
Country Brazil
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.89
Current Ratio 1.55
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 9.02
Day Low 8.84
Debt To Equity 11.823
Display Name PagSeguro Digital
Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Dividend Rate 1.12
Dividend Yield 12.54
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,256,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,256,000
Earnings Growth 0.101
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.023
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,478,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,427,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,427,200
Ebitda 9,309,784,064
Ebitda Margins 0.4701
Enterprise To Ebitda 0.305
Enterprise To Revenue 0.143
Enterprise Value 2,839,216,128
Eps Current Year 8.6315
Eps Forward 1.8585544
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.45
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,516,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.0772
Fifty Day Average Change -0.1871996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.020623054
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.4412403
Fifty Two Week High 12.32
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.4299994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.27840903
Fifty Two Week Low 8.42
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.47000027
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.055819508
Fifty Two Week Range 8.42 - 12.32
Financial Currency BRL
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,516,804,200,000
Float Shares 143,424,138
Forward Eps 1.8585544
Forward P E 4.7832875
Free Cashflow -1,856,306,432
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Fullday Change -0.04
Fullday Change Percent -0.447928
Fullday Price 8.92
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.51472
Gross Profits 10,193,391,616
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.032309998
Held Percent Institutions 0.74886
Implied Shares Outstanding 275,646,022
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,776,816,000
Last Dividend Value 0.26
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary PagSeguro Digital Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial and payment solutions for consumers, individual entrepreneurs, micro-merchants, and small and medium-sized companies in Brazil and internationally. The company provides digital banking solutions, including bill payments, deposits, top-ups, debt management, direct deposits, pix, tax collections, tax collections, wire transfer, and ATM withdrawal; cards, such as debit, credit, cash, and prepaid cards; and credit products comprising FGTS withdrawals, payroll loans, working capital loans, and overdraft accounts. It offers insurance services, including account, card, home, business, health assistance, life, and credit life insurance; investment services, such as recommendation from our distribution team, financial education, stocks and REITs, investment, PagBank CD, Third-party fixed income, treasury, automatic savings and money boxes; and operates cashback and Shopping PagBank, a marketplace for various brands. In addition, it provides software solutions comprising PagVendas, a POS software app; ClubPag, a marketing tool that allows merchants to advertise across client base, available for POS devices; PlugPag, a wireless solution that connects the machine to the commercial automation system, via Bluetooth technology; and Envio Fácil, a logistics solution for online sales. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Long Name PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,450,493,184
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_547797906
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 2,151,111,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,461,518,976
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 8.95
Operating Cashflow 6,049,251,840
Operating Margins 0.36203998
Payout Ratio 0.174
Phone 55 11 3914 9524
Post Market Change 0.029999733
Post Market Change Percent 0.3374548
Post Market Price 8.92
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 8.93
Price Eps Current Year 1.0299485
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.84274906
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.12373937
Profit Margins 0.10862
Quick Ratio 1.44
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.375
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.04
Regular Market Change Percent -0.447928
Regular Market Day High 9.02
Regular Market Day Low 8.84
Regular Market Day Range 8.84 - 9.02
Regular Market Open 8.95
Regular Market Previous Close 8.93
Regular Market Price 8.89
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 1,623,107
Return On Assets 0.06364
Return On Equity 0.14535
Revenue Growth -0.002
Revenue Per Share 69.772
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 155,186,514
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0692
Shares Short 19,080,135
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 20,723,980
Short Name PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.126
Short Ratio 6.69
Source Interval 15
State SP
Symbol PAGS
Target High Price 13.90191
Target Low Price 7.66723
Target Mean Price 11.567194
Target Median Price 11.915895
Total Cash 1,386,558,976
Total Cash Per Share 5.03
Total Debt 1,775,282,048
Total Revenue 19,803,666,432
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.355
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.15173572
Trailing Eps 1.45
Trailing P E 6.1310344
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.8137
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.9236994
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.09412346
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,623,107
Website https://pagbank.com.br
Zip 01,451-001