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PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | São Paulo, Brazil | NYSE
10.83 USD -0.16 (-1.456%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.83

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:13 a.m. EDT

The investment thesis here is defined by a stark contradiction between a massive, attractive yield and a fundamentally stagnant business. The 10.5% dividend yield is the primary driver of the current price, offering immediate income that far outpaces inflation, yet the company is actively cutting these payments, signaling that the payout is becoming increasingly fragile relative to cash needs. While the stock trades at a bargain valuation with a P/E under 8 and a price-to-book near parity, the underlying reality is grim: revenue is flat, free cash flow is negative, and the stock has erased nearly two-thirds of its value over the last seven years. The recent price action shows a brief, sharp spike followed by a retreat, leaving the stock hovering near its 200-day average without clear momentum. Options activity confirms this uncertainty, with traders betting on a wide range of outcomes rather than a specific direction. For a long-term investor, the lack of revenue growth and deteriorating cash generation makes holding risky despite the low price; the market is correctly pricing in a business that is struggling to grow. However, for a trader seeking income, the yield remains compelling provided the cuts continue slowly enough to maintain the total payout.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.042054
AutoARIMA0.042170
AutoETS0.042174
MSTL0.043019

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 2.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.360
Excess Kurtosis -0.90
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-15
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-15
Debt to Equity Ratio 11.823
Revenue per Share 69.772
Market Cap 2,985,246,208
Trailing P/E 7.63
Forward P/E 5.68
Beta 1.24
Profit Margins 10.86%
Website https://pagbank.com.br

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:13 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound outcome rather than a decisive breakout. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (17.0 and 13.0) with massive open interest, suggesting a speculative bet on a sharp rally to double-digit highs. Conversely, put volume is concentrated at lower strikes (7.0 and 8.0) with significant open interest, indicating a hedge against a drop back to the lows. This 'straddle' style positioning implies traders expect high volatility but are unsure of the direction, while the lack of deep ITM call buying suggests skepticism about a sustained bull case.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.96% 5.37% — —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-16 0.28 2.956705
2026-04-22 0.26 2.416357
2025-07-16 0.12 1.423487
2025-05-23 0.14 1.620370
Additional Data
dividendYield 10.19
exDividendDate 2026-09-16
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.355
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.12329391
lastDividendValue 0.28
lastDividendDate 2026-09-16
dividendDate 2026-09-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.2265625
Address1 Av. Brigadeiro Faria Lima, No. 1,384
Address2 1st - 10th floors
All Time High 62.83
All Time Low 6.11
Ask 10.82
Ask Size 2,300
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,049,920
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,357,343
Average Volume 3,357,343
Average Volume10Days 6,049,920
Beta 1.243
Bid 10.65
Bid Size 3,600
Book Value 10.832626
City São Paulo
Country Brazil
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.83
Current Ratio 1.55
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 10.89
Day Low 10.55
Debt To Equity 11.823
Display Name PagSeguro Digital
Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Dividend Yield 10.19
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,256,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,256,000
Earnings Growth 0.101
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.023
Earnings Timestamp 1,794,859,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,859,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,859,200
Ebitda 9,309,784,064
Ebitda Margins 0.4701
Enterprise To Ebitda 0.362
Enterprise To Revenue 0.17
Enterprise Value 3,373,969,408
Eps Current Year 8.53463
Eps Forward 1.905373
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.42
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,516,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.4156
Fifty Day Average Change 1.4144001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.1502188
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 22.65625
Fifty Two Week High 12.32
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.4899998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12094154
Fifty Two Week Low 8.42
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.4099998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.28622326
Fifty Two Week Range 8.42 - 12.32
Financial Currency BRL
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,516,804,200,000
Float Shares 140,612,549
Forward Eps 1.905373
Forward P E 5.6839266
Free Cashflow -1,856,306,432
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Fullday Change -0.1600008
Fullday Change Percent -1.4362729
Fullday Price 10.83
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.51472
Gross Profits 10,193,391,616
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.041950002
Held Percent Institutions 0.73709
Implied Shares Outstanding 275,646,022
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,789,516,800
Last Dividend Value 0.28
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary PagSeguro Digital Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial and payment solutions for consumers, individual entrepreneurs, micro-merchants, and small and medium-sized companies in Brazil and internationally. The company provides digital banking solutions, including bill payments, deposits, top-ups, debt management, direct deposits, pix, tax collections, tax collections, wire transfer, and ATM withdrawal; cards, such as debit, credit, cash, and prepaid cards; and credit products comprising FGTS withdrawals, payroll loans, working capital loans, and overdraft accounts. It offers insurance services, including account, card, home, business, health assistance, life, and credit life insurance; investment services, such as recommendation from our distribution team, financial education, stocks and REITs, investment, PagBank CD, Third-party fixed income, treasury, automatic savings and money boxes; and operates cashback and Shopping PagBank, a marketplace for various brands. In addition, it provides software solutions comprising PagVendas, a POS software app; ClubPag, a marketing tool that allows merchants to advertise across client base, available for POS devices; PlugPag, a wireless solution that connects the machine to the commercial automation system, via Bluetooth technology; and Envio Fácil, a logistics solution for online sales. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Long Name PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,985,246,208
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_547797906
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 2,151,111,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,505,622,339
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 10.8
Operating Cashflow 6,049,251,840
Operating Margins 0.36203998
Payout Ratio 0.1848
Phone 55 11 3914 9524
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 10.83
Post Market Time 1,792,014,010
Previous Close 10.99
Price Eps Current Year 1.2689478
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.9997575
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.1507421
Profit Margins 0.10862
Quick Ratio 1.44
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.375
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.16
Regular Market Change Percent -1.45587
Regular Market Day High 10.89
Regular Market Day Low 10.55
Regular Market Day Range 10.55 - 10.89
Regular Market Open 10.8
Regular Market Previous Close 10.99
Regular Market Price 10.83
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,002
Regular Market Volume 3,873,797
Return On Assets 0.06364
Return On Equity 0.14535
Revenue Growth -0.002
Revenue Per Share 69.772
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 155,186,514
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0629
Shares Short 17,336,325
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 18,616,927
Short Name PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1145
Short Ratio 5.36
Source Interval 15
State SP
Symbol PAGS
Target High Price 14.463486
Target Low Price 7.163688
Target Mean Price 11.531046
Target Median Price 11.375956
Total Cash 1,386,558,976
Total Cash Per Share 5.03
Total Debt 1,775,282,048
Total Revenue 19,803,666,432
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.355
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.12329391
Trailing Eps 1.42
Trailing P E 7.626761
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.79425
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.0357504
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.105750866
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,873,797
Website https://pagbank.com.br
Zip 01,451-001