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Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP)

Energy | Oil & Gas Midstream | Houston, United States | NasdaqGS
25.24 USD +0.49 (1.980%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:20 a.m. EDT

Plains GP Holdings presents a classic value trap scenario where the math looks attractive but the trend tells a different story. The 6.6% dividend yield is compelling, yet it comes with a payout ratio nearly 200%, meaning the company is distributing almost twice its earnings. While the recent price action shows a slight uptick, the broader multi-year trajectory reveals a brutal reality: the stock has lost roughly 25% of its value over the last nine years. Although the most recent annual return was positive, the asset has endured four consecutive years of negative performance prior to that, signaling a business struggling to regain its footing. The options market agrees with this caution, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts to hedge against further deterioration. Until the payout ratio becomes sustainable and the multi-year decline is decisively reversed, this remains a hold for income seekers who can stomach the risk of capital erosion.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.028212
MSTL_700.034230
AutoARIMA0.035470
AutoETS0.035476
MSTL0.037466
MSTL_1260.037834
MSTL_70_1260.040951

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 49%
H-stat 1.26
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.499
Excess Kurtosis -0.47
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 82.985
Revenue per Share 228.561
Market Cap 5,880,930,816
Trailing P/E 31.55
Forward P/E 11.52
Beta 0.42
Profit Margins 0.43%
Website https://www.plains.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:20 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume relative to calls, particularly for the November 2026 expiration where OTM puts dominate open interest. This suggests a fear of a significant downside gap or a 'crash' scenario rather than a steady decline. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a belief that the stock will trade sideways or inch higher without breaking out significantly. The skew implies a 'sell the news' or protection strategy against volatility rather than a bullish momentum play.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.75% 7.93% 7.50% 7.41%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-01 0.418000 1.754828
2026-01-30 0.418000 2.041016
2025-10-31 0.380000 2.200347
2025-07-31 0.380000 1.938775
2025-05-01 0.380000 2.127660
2025-01-31 0.380000 1.796690
2024-10-31 0.318000 1.848837
2024-07-31 0.318000 1.664921
2024-04-30 0.318000 1.746293
2024-01-30 0.318000 1.927273
2023-10-30 0.268000 1.739130
2023-07-28 0.268000 1.725692
2023-04-28 0.268000 2.000000
2023-01-30 0.268000 2.059954
2022-10-28 0.218000 1.755233
2022-07-28 0.218000 1.958670
2022-04-28 0.218000 1.882556
2022-01-28 0.180000 1.561145
2021-10-28 0.180000 1.627486
2021-07-29 0.180000 1.706161
2021-04-29 0.180000 1.871102
2021-01-28 0.180000 2.011173
2020-10-29 0.180000 2.861685
2020-07-30 0.180000 2.267003
2020-04-30 0.180000 1.958651
2020-01-30 0.360000 2.086957
2019-10-30 0.360000 1.915913
2019-07-30 0.360000 1.485149
2019-04-30 0.360000 1.525424
2019-01-30 0.300000 1.296456
2018-10-30 0.300000 1.414427
2018-07-30 0.300000 1.244813
2018-04-30 0.300000 1.238646
2018-01-30 0.300000 1.399907
2017-10-30 0.300000 1.485148
2017-07-27 0.550000 2.018349
2017-04-27 0.550000 1.846257
2017-01-27 0.550000 1.694393
2016-10-27 0.552000 1.603408
2016-07-27 0.616000 2.234043
2016-04-27 0.616000 2.260274
2016-01-27 0.616000 2.984496
2015-10-28 0.616000 1.452830
2015-07-29 0.605333 0.888801
2015-04-29 0.592000 0.761578
2015-01-28 0.541333 0.769522
2014-10-29 0.509333 0.687792
2014-07-30 0.488000 0.603562
2014-04-30 0.456000 0.620239
2014-01-29 0.333333 0.504642
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.63
dividendYield 6.59
exDividendDate 2026-07-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.595
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.064444445
lastDividendValue 0.418
lastDividendDate 2026-05-01
dividendDate 2026-08-14

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.2890705
Address1 333 Clay Street
Address2 Suite 1600
All Time High 86.88
All Time Low 3.04
Ask 28.65
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,167,520
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,603,708
Average Volume 1,603,708
Average Volume10Days 1,167,520
Beta 0.422
Bid 21.8
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 5
Book Value 6.437
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 25.24
Current Ratio 0.942
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 25.395
Day Low 24.97
Debt To Equity 82.985
Display Name Plains GP Holdings, L.P
Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Dividend Rate 1.63
Dividend Yield 6.59
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,132,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,132,800
Earnings Growth -0.762
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.762
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,105,800
Ebitda 2,355,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.05204
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.348
Enterprise To Revenue 0.643
Enterprise Value 29,079,099,392
Eps Current Year 1.9541
Eps Forward 2.19022
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.8
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 24.3252
Fifty Day Average Change 0.91480064
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.03760712
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.90705
Fifty Two Week High 26.15
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.90999985
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.03479923
Fifty Two Week Low 16.68
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.559999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.51318944
Fifty Two Week Range 16.68 - 26.15
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,381,930,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 6.85
Float Shares 192,443,949
Forward Eps 2.19022
Forward P E 11.523955
Free Cashflow 1,136,375,040
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.05946
Gross Profits 2,691,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.027609998
Held Percent Institutions 0.85378
Implied Shares Outstanding 233,000,430
Industry Oil & Gas Midstream
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Midstream
Industry Key oil-gas-midstream
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,777,593,600
Last Dividend Value 0.418
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,479,254,400
Last Split Factor 375:1000
Long Business Summary Plains GP Holdings, L.P., through its subsidiary, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., owns and operates midstream infrastructure systems in the United States and Canada. It operates through Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) segments. The company engages in the gathering and transporting crude oil using pipelines, trucks, and barges or railcars. It also provides terminalling, storage, and other related services. In addition, the company is involved in the natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminalling activities. PAA GP Holdings LLC operates as a general partner of the company. Plains GP Holdings, L.P. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Plains GP Holdings, L.P.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,880,930,816
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_22143565
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 52,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,995,100,089
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 25.06
Operating Cashflow 2,711,000,064
Operating Margins 0.02807
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 1.9968
Peg Ratio 0.67
Phone 713 646 4100
Pre Market Change -0.32999992
Pre Market Change Percent -1.3074481
Pre Market Price 24.91
Pre Market Time 1,784,033,076
Previous Close 24.75
Price Eps Current Year 12.916432
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.9210813
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.12995096
Profit Margins 0.00433
Quick Ratio 0.764
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.26667
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.49
Regular Market Change Percent 1.9798
Regular Market Day High 25.395
Regular Market Day Low 24.97
Regular Market Day Range 24.97 - 25.395
Regular Market Open 25.06
Regular Market Previous Close 24.75
Regular Market Price 25.24
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 1,887,030
Return On Assets 0.028499998
Return On Equity 0.09082
Revenue Growth 0.087
Revenue Per Share 228.561
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 197,904,124
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0773
Shares Short 15,307,145
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 16,912,954
Short Name Plains GP Holdings, L.P.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0795
Short Ratio 11.07
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol PAGP
Target High Price 27.0
Target Low Price 20.0
Target Mean Price 24.14286
Target Median Price 24.0
Total Cash 172,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.869
Total Debt 11,578,000,384
Total Revenue 45,255,000,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.595
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.064444445
Trailing Eps 0.8
Trailing P E 31.55
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 21.3185
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.9214993
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.18394817
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,887,030
Website https://www.plains.com
Zip 77,002