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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto & Truck Dealerships | Bloomfield Hills, United States | NYSE
217.01 USD -0.84 (-0.386%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 217.01

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:40 a.m. EDT

The most critical development here is the unsolicited take-private proposal from Mitsui and others, which fundamentally alters the investment thesis. While the business is a dominant auto dealer with a consistent dividend track record, the looming buyout introduces significant uncertainty for long-term holders. Fundamentally, the company is trading at a premium relative to its moving averages, having rallied significantly over the past year, yet it still trades below the 52-week high. The valuation appears stretched given the negative earnings growth and high debt load, even though the revenue growth remains positive. For the short term, momentum is building with the stock trading well above its 200-day average, supported by bullish options flow targeting the 230 level. However, the long-term outlook is capped by the potential delisting or restructuring associated with a buyout, and the balance sheet carries substantial leverage. The dividend provides a safety cushion, but it is not a high-yield play. Investors should view this as a speculative opportunity tied to the deal's completion rather than a traditional buy-and-hold compounder.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.113119
MSTL0.156310
AutoETS0.164348
AutoARIMA0.164353

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 22.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.076
Excess Kurtosis -1.43
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 160.647
Revenue per Share 489.02
Market Cap 14,249,499,648
Trailing P/E 15.82
Forward P/E 15.04
Beta 0.83
Profit Margins 2.81%
Website https://www.penskeautomotive.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome with a bullish bias. There is significant open interest at the 200 strike for puts, acting as a defensive floor, while call volume spiked at the 230 strike for November expiration, suggesting a target price above current levels. Implied volatility is elevated at deep out-of-the-money puts, indicating fear of a sharp drop, whereas ATM volatility remains moderate.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.65% 3.25% 2.87% 2.45%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-14 1.440 0.654992
2026-05-26 1.420 0.852392
2026-02-25 1.400 0.877798
2025-11-14 1.380 0.867434
2025-08-15 1.320 0.731910
2025-05-27 1.260 0.767450
2025-02-24 1.220 0.740516
2024-11-15 1.190 0.742682
2024-08-15 1.070 0.645200
2024-05-17 0.960 0.614400
2024-02-14 0.870 0.578304
2023-11-09 0.790 0.533892
2023-08-09 0.720 0.432355
2023-05-19 0.660 0.472949
2023-02-09 0.610 0.438218
2022-11-09 0.570 0.500132
2022-08-09 0.530 0.462236
2022-05-20 0.500 0.462920
2022-02-09 0.470 0.457421
2021-11-09 0.460 0.414751
2021-08-09 0.450 0.518314
2021-05-21 0.440 0.512820
2021-02-09 0.430 0.655488
2020-11-09 0.420 0.723265
2020-02-21 0.420 0.795153
2019-11-07 0.410 0.805185
2019-08-08 0.400 0.894855
2019-05-17 0.390 0.883352
2019-02-08 0.380 0.903686
2018-11-08 0.370 0.822771
2018-08-09 0.360 0.703262
2018-05-18 0.350 0.729167
2018-02-09 0.340 0.701899
2017-11-09 0.330 0.722259
2017-08-08 0.320 0.779727
2017-05-18 0.310 0.722442
2017-02-15 0.300 0.559597
2016-11-08 0.290 0.677887
2016-08-08 0.280 0.702635
2016-05-12 0.270 0.758640
2016-02-08 0.260 0.864074
2015-11-06 0.250 0.506894
2015-08-06 0.240 0.450704
2015-05-13 0.230 0.457529
2015-02-06 0.220 0.421537
2014-11-06 0.210 0.447952
2014-08-07 0.200 0.429553
2014-05-08 0.190 0.417032
2014-02-06 0.180 0.430828
2013-11-06 0.170 0.422465
2013-08-08 0.160 0.411205
2013-05-16 0.150 0.483715
2013-02-07 0.140 0.433302
2012-11-07 0.130 0.472384
2012-08-08 0.120 0.478088
2012-05-08 0.110 0.428349
2012-02-08 0.100 0.417711
2011-11-09 0.090 0.446207
2011-08-08 0.080 0.453001
2011-05-18 0.070 0.330344
2008-11-06 0.090 1.239669
2008-08-07 0.090 0.654070
2008-05-08 0.090 0.447316
2008-02-07 0.090 0.514580
2007-11-07 0.090 0.439883
2007-08-08 0.070 0.330189
2007-05-09 0.070 0.339147
2007-02-08 0.070 0.286885
2006-11-08 0.070 0.307828
2006-08-08 0.070 0.338655
2006-05-09 0.070 0.316814
2006-02-08 0.060 0.307692
2005-11-08 0.060 0.347927
2005-08-08 0.055 0.316912
2005-05-06 0.055 0.360065
2005-02-08 0.055 0.374022
2004-11-08 0.055 0.385694
2004-08-05 0.050 0.411015
2004-05-06 0.050 0.330033
2004-02-05 0.050 0.346021
2003-11-06 0.050 0.394166
Additional Data
dividendRate 5.76
dividendYield 2.64
exDividendDate 2026-08-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 5.64
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.025889372
lastDividendValue 1.44
lastDividendDate 2026-08-14
dividendDate 2026-09-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.17992747
Address1 2,555 Telegraph Road
All Time High 227.0
All Time Low 2.875
Ask 217.31
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 297,600
Average Daily Volume3 Month 383,177
Average Volume 383,177
Average Volume10Days 297,600
Beta 0.833
Bid 217.09
Bid Size 500
Board Risk 8
Book Value 88.563
City Bloomfield Hills
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 217.01
Current Ratio 0.975
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 219.44
Day Low 216.98
Debt To Equity 160.647
Display Name Penske Automotive
Dividend Date 1,788,220,800
Dividend Rate 5.76
Dividend Yield 2.64
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,348,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,348,000
Earnings Growth -0.017
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.023
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,190,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,190,600
Ebitda 1,394,800,000
Ebitda Margins 0.043319996
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.898
Enterprise To Revenue 0.732
Enterprise Value 23,569,299,456
Eps Current Year 13.58782
Eps Forward 14.43072
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 13.72
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 203.2526
Fifty Day Average Change 13.7574005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06768622
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 17.992746
Fifty Two Week High 227.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.9900055
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.044008836
Fifty Two Week Low 140.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 76.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.54874396
Fifty Two Week Range 140.12 - 227.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 846,077,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.17
Float Shares 17,510,975
Forward Eps 14.43072
Forward P E 15.038057
Free Cashflow 218,100,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 28,600
Fullday Change -0.840012
Fullday Change Percent -0.385592
Fullday Price 217.01
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.16149001
Gross Profits 5,199,799,808
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.21178
Held Percent Institutions 0.80968004
Implied Shares Outstanding 65,662,873
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships
Industry Disp Auto & Truck Dealerships
Industry Key auto-truck-dealerships
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Last Dividend Value 1.44
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,149,206,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Japan, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. The company operates franchise dealerships under franchise agreements with various automotive manufacturers and distributors. It is also involved in the sale of new and used vehicles, maintenance and repair services, sale and placement of third-party finance and insurance products, third-party extended service and maintenance contracts, replacement and aftermarket automotive products, collision repair services, and wholesale of parts. In addition, the company operates a heavy and medium duty truck dealership, which offers Freightliner and Western Star branded trucks, as well as offers a range of used trucks. Further, it imports and distributes Western Star heavy-duty trucks, MAN heavy and medium duty trucks and buses, and Dennis Eagle refuse collection vehicles with associated parts, as well as distributes diesel and gas engines, and power systems. Penske Automotive Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan. Penske Automotive Group, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Penske Corporation, Inc.
Long Name Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 14,249,499,648
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_365436
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 906,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 14,304,656,883
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 218.99
Operating Cashflow 894,000,000
Operating Margins 0.03966
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.4012
Peg Ratio 2.33
Phone 248 648 2500
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 217.01
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 217.85
Price Eps Current Year 15.970921
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.450346
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.44255164
Profit Margins 0.02814
Quick Ratio 0.17
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.7
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.840012
Regular Market Change Percent -0.385592
Regular Market Day High 219.44
Regular Market Day Low 216.98
Regular Market Day Range 216.98 - 219.44
Regular Market Open 218.99
Regular Market Previous Close 217.85
Regular Market Price 217.01
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 258,216
Return On Assets 0.04236
Return On Equity 0.15842
Revenue Growth 0.06
Revenue Per Share 489.02
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 65,662,873
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0326
Shares Short 2,140,432
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 2,543,345
Short Name Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.123100005
Short Ratio 4.11
Source Interval 15
State MI
Symbol PAG
Target High Price 225.0
Target Low Price 205.0
Target Mean Price 211.875
Target Median Price 210.0
Total Cash 69,500,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.058
Total Debt 9,371,199,488
Total Revenue 32,198,500,352
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 5.64
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.025889372
Trailing Eps 13.72
Trailing P E 15.817055
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.3065
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 172.2238
Two Hundred Day Average Change 44.786194
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.26004648
Type Disp Equity
Volume 258,216
Website https://www.penskeautomotive.com
Zip 48,302-0954