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PACS Group, Inc. (PACS)

Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Salt Lake City, United States | NYSE
43.27 USD +0.05 (0.116%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 43.27

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:22 a.m. EDT

The investment case for PACS is fractured by a severe disconnect between its operational recovery and its capital structure. Fundamentally, the company is executing a remarkable turnaround: revenue is growing at 11%, earnings are surging nearly 190%, and the stock has rallied significantly from its lows. However, this operational success is being strangled by a crushing debt load; with a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 336 and a current ratio below 1.0, the balance sheet remains dangerously fragile despite the cash flow improvements. This fragility explains the terrifying options activity, where traders are aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts, betting that the debt burden will eventually force a deleveraging event or dilution that wipes out the current price gains. While the business quality is improving, the financial engineering required to fix the balance sheet introduces a binary risk that makes holding the stock perilous right now.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.153473
AutoARIMA0.153614
AutoETS0.172614
MSTL0.173846

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 3.00
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.466
Excess Kurtosis -0.59
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 336.456
Revenue per Share 34.677
Market Cap 6,848,445,952
Trailing P/E 27.92
Forward P/E 17.69
Beta -0.08
Profit Margins 4.49%
Website https://pacs.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant downside event, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 22.5, 35, 40) expiring in December 2026 and January 2027, which completely dwarf call volume at those strikes. Conversely, call buyers are focused on upside targets around 50, creating a distinct 'long gamma' bias at higher levels while the majority of the option chain supports a crash scenario. Implied volatility is elevated on the downside strikes, suggesting the market prices in a high probability of a sharp drop before year-end.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 2.3503876
Address1 90 S. 400 W
Address2 Suite 700
All Time High 45.89
All Time Low 7.5
Ask 45.5
Ask Size 500
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,079,540
Average Daily Volume3 Month 912,927
Average Volume 912,927
Average Volume10Days 1,079,540
Beta -0.081
Bid 43.34
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 7
Book Value 6.599
City Salt Lake City
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 43.27
Current Ratio 0.995
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 44.1
Day Low 42.53
Debt To Equity 336.456
Display Name PACS
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,599,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,599,800
Earnings Growth 1.941
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.834
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,529,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,392,000
Ebitda 442,524,992
Ebitda Margins 0.08146
Enterprise To Ebitda 22.851
Enterprise To Revenue 1.861
Enterprise Value 10,111,995,904
Eps Current Year 2.37452
Eps Forward 2.44667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.55
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 37.7376
Fifty Day Average Change 5.532402
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.14660186
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 235.03876
Fifty Two Week High 45.89
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.619999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.057093024
Fifty Two Week Low 7.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change 35.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 4.7693334
Fifty Two Week Range 7.5 - 45.89
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,712,842,200,000
Float Shares 47,983,436
Forward Eps 2.44667
Forward P E 17.685263
Free Cashflow 303,311,360
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 47,455
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.16765
Gross Profits 910,696,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.6968
Held Percent Institutions 0.30459
Implied Shares Outstanding 158,272,376
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Industry Disp Medical Care Facilities
Industry Key medical-care-facilities
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary PACS Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates skilled nursing facilities and assisted living facilities in the United States. It also provides senior care and independent living facilities. The company engages in the acquisition, ownership, and leasing of health care-related properties. PACS Group, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
Long Name PACS Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,848,445,952
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1874670139
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 243,766,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,840,532,090
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 43.0
Operating Cashflow 490,315,008
Operating Margins 0.0845
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.27
Phone 801 447 9829
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 43.27
Post Market Time 1,783,984,543
Previous Close 43.22
Price Eps Current Year 18.22263
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 6.557054
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.2606955
Profit Margins 0.04487
Quick Ratio 0.914
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0499992
Regular Market Change Percent 0.115685
Regular Market Day High 44.1
Regular Market Day Low 42.53
Regular Market Day Range 42.53 - 44.1
Regular Market Open 43.0
Regular Market Previous Close 43.22
Regular Market Price 43.27
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 528,768
Return On Assets 0.042740002
Return On Equity 0.27106002
Revenue Growth 0.112
Revenue Per Share 34.677
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 158,272,376
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0286
Shares Short 4,527,898
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,371,752
Short Name PACS Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0938
Short Ratio 4.76
Source Interval 15
State UT
Symbol PACS
Target High Price 57.0
Target Low Price 47.0
Target Mean Price 50.83333
Target Median Price 50.5
Total Cash 247,980,992
Total Cash Per Share 1.567
Total Debt 3,506,510,080
Total Revenue 5,432,275,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.55
Trailing P E 27.91613
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.2721
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 31.3242
Two Hundred Day Average Change 11.945801
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.3813601
Type Disp Equity
Volume 528,768
Website https://pacs.com
Zip 84,101