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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS)

Basic Materials | Gold | Vancouver, Canada | NYSE
42.70 USD -0.97 (-2.221%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:14 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case remains robust despite the recent price weakness. Fundamentals are exceptionally strong, with revenue growing nearly 50% year-over-year and earnings surging 130%, driven by a massive expansion in silver production capacity. The balance sheet is fortress-like, holding significant cash against minimal debt, while the payout ratio sits at a healthy 17%, leaving ample room for reinvestment. Although the stock has underperformed its moving averages recently, the multi-year trajectory shows a net gain of over 60%, confirming that the market has already priced in the operational challenges. The recent dip appears to be a correction rather than a structural failure, especially given the aggressive analyst price targets implying nearly double-digit upside potential. For investors willing to ride out the commodity cycle volatility, the underlying business quality and growth trajectory justify a strong buy rating.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_74 ✓0.111536
AutoETS0.128185
MSTL0.128603
AutoTheta0.134845
MSTL_74_1050.179470
MSTL_1050.192892
AutoARIMA0.204643

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_74

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 3.86
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.211
Excess Kurtosis -1.11
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-18
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-18
Debt to Equity Ratio 11.489
Revenue per Share 10.092
Market Cap 17,991,645,184
Trailing P/E 13.47
Forward P/E 8.49
Beta 1.55
Profit Margins 31.65%
Website https://www.panamericansilver.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:14 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate rebound with heavy call open interest walls at $55 and $60, suggesting a target range well above current prices. However, put volume remains elevated relative to call volume in the near term, indicating hedging against volatility or a belief that the recent drop may continue before the upside plays out. The implied volatility is relatively low compared to deep out-of-the-money strikes, reflecting a consensus of moderate moves rather than a binary crash or moonshot scenario.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.34% 0.61% 1.65% 1.85%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-19 0.180 0.340458
2026-03-02 0.180 0.268577
2025-05-20 0.100 0.420168
2025-03-03 0.100 0.425170
2024-11-18 0.100 0.440529
2024-08-19 0.100 0.474608
2024-05-17 0.100 0.459982
2024-03-01 0.100 0.775795
2023-11-17 0.100 0.698324
2023-08-18 0.100 0.655738
2023-04-13 0.100 0.513084
2023-03-03 0.100 0.623053
2022-11-18 0.100 0.673854
2022-08-19 0.110 0.681959
2022-05-20 0.120 0.535236
2022-03-04 0.120 0.451467
2021-11-19 0.100 0.373413
2021-08-20 0.100 0.417885
2021-05-21 0.070 0.207654
2021-02-26 0.070 0.211993
2020-11-13 0.070 0.211993
2020-08-14 0.050 0.148987
2020-05-15 0.050 0.204082
2020-02-28 0.050 0.252525
2019-11-15 0.035 0.190114
2019-08-16 0.035 0.212121
2019-05-17 0.035 0.320807
2019-03-01 0.035 0.275808
2018-11-16 0.035 0.269231
2018-08-17 0.035 0.221239
2018-05-18 0.035 0.198413
2018-03-02 0.035 0.228311
2017-11-17 0.025 0.164474
2017-08-17 0.025 0.141243
2017-05-18 0.025 0.145264
2017-02-23 0.025 0.130890
2016-11-23 0.013 0.078740
2016-08-19 0.013 0.062590
2016-05-20 0.013 0.088859
2016-02-25 0.013 0.135983
2015-11-19 0.050 0.721501
2015-08-21 0.050 0.700280
2015-05-20 0.050 0.496032
2015-02-26 0.125 1.304802
2014-11-21 0.125 1.190476
2014-08-21 0.125 0.890948
2014-05-16 0.125 0.939850
2014-02-27 0.125 0.880902
2013-11-21 0.125 1.192748
2013-08-22 0.125 0.937031
2013-05-22 0.125 1.010509
2013-02-28 0.125 0.758495
2012-11-15 0.050 0.273973
2012-08-23 0.050 0.289519
2012-05-23 0.038 0.221833
2012-03-01 0.038 0.150495
2011-11-17 0.025 0.103605
2011-08-18 0.025 0.085063
2011-05-26 0.025 0.074250
2011-02-24 0.025 0.068213
2010-11-17 0.025 0.070067
2010-08-19 0.025 0.104080
2010-02-24 0.025 0.122011
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.62
dividendYield 1.45
exDividendDate 2026-05-19
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.54
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.01236547
lastDividendValue 0.18
lastDividendDate 2026-05-19
dividendDate 2026-06-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.4678992
Address1 733 Seymour Street
Address2 Suite 2100
All Time High 69.99
All Time Low 2.40625
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,357,080
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,975,409
Average Volume 4,975,409
Average Volume10Days 4,357,080
Beta 1.545
Bid 42.72
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 4
Book Value 17.45
City Vancouver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 42.7
Current Ratio 2.84
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 43.2699
Day Low 42.27
Debt To Equity 11.489
Display Name Pan American Silver
Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Dividend Rate 0.62
Dividend Yield 1.45
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,651,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,651,200
Earnings Growth 1.316
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.704
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,564,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,564,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,564,800
Ebitda 1,946,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.48650002
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.851
Enterprise To Revenue 4.306
Enterprise Value 17,223,645,184
Eps Current Year 4.244
Eps Forward 5.029
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.17
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,148,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 604 684 0147
Fifty Day Average 51.167
Fifty Day Average Change -8.466999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.16547774
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 46.78992
Fifty Two Week High 69.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -27.289997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3899128
Fifty Two Week Low 26.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change 15.93
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5950691
Fifty Two Week Range 26.77 - 69.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 802,963,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.88
Float Shares 420,953,931
Forward Eps 5.029
Forward P E 8.490754
Free Cashflow 1,300,125,056
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 9,348
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.55724996
Gross Profits 2,228,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00065
Held Percent Institutions 0.6115
Implied Shares Outstanding 421,350,000
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Ir Website http://www.panamericansilver.com/investors/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,148,800
Last Dividend Value 0.18
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Long Name Pan American Silver Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 17,991,645,184
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_387933
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 1,266,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 18,353,373,247
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 42.82
Operating Cashflow 1,660,999,936
Operating Margins 0.48094
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.1703
Peg Ratio 7.02
Phone 604 684 1175
Pre Market Change 0.010002136
Pre Market Change Percent 0.023429694
Pre Market Price 42.7
Pre Market Time 1,784,026,893
Previous Close 43.67
Price Eps Current Year 10.061263
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4469914
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.4979115
Profit Margins 0.3165
Quick Ratio 2.065
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.77778
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.969997
Regular Market Change Percent -2.2212
Regular Market Day High 43.2699
Regular Market Day Low 42.27
Regular Market Day Range 42.27 - 43.2699
Regular Market Open 42.82
Regular Market Previous Close 43.67
Regular Market Price 42.7
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 2,689,570
Return On Assets 0.10613
Return On Equity 0.20796
Revenue Growth 0.493
Revenue Per Share 10.092
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 421,350,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0095999995
Shares Short 3,701,998
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,576,147
Short Name Pan American Silver Corp.
Short Ratio 0.79
Source Interval 15
State BC
Symbol PAAS
Target High Price 94.0
Target Low Price 53.0
Target Mean Price 69.625
Target Median Price 67.0
Total Cash 1,614,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.831
Total Debt 845,000,000
Total Revenue 4,000,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.54
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.01236547
Trailing Eps 3.17
Trailing P E 13.470032
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 50.27205
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.572048
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15062143
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,689,570
Website https://www.panamericansilver.com
Zip V6B 0S6