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Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA)

Energy | Oil & Gas Midstream | Houston, United States | NasdaqGS
23.54 USD +0.65 (2.840%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:48 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is bifurcated between a compelling income floor and a deteriorating growth story. On the income side, the company offers a robust 7.15% yield, which is attractive for defensive capital preservation. However, this payout is mathematically unsustainable; the payout ratio of 140% indicates the company is distributing significantly more cash than it generates in earnings, relying entirely on free cash flow and likely dipping into reserves or debt capacity to maintain the distribution. This is a classic 'yield trap' characteristic where the high coupon masks fundamental weakness. Fundamentally, the business is struggling. Earnings have contracted sharply by roughly 71%, and while revenue grew slightly, the profit margins are thin at just 2.5%. The balance sheet is also concerning, with a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 90%, suggesting limited financial flexibility to weather commodity downturns or fund aggressive growth without further dilution. The stock has underperformed significantly over the last nine years, dropping nearly 30% despite some recovery in recent quarters. Technically, the stock is trading above its 200-day moving average, which provides a short-term bullish bias, and options flow shows speculative interest in upside moves. However, this momentum is fragile and likely driven by the need to support the high dividend rather than organic business strength. For a long-term holder, the lack of earnings growth and the unsustainable payout ratio prevent a higher rating. It remains a hold for income-focused investors who can tolerate the risk of a cut, but it lacks the fundamental quality required for a top-tier buy recommendation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.023965
AutoETS0.024039
AutoTheta0.024052
MSTL0.024637

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 54%
H-stat 0.84
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.661
Excess Kurtosis -0.28
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 90.312
Revenue per Share 64.237
Market Cap 16,608,217,088
Trailing P/E 21.21
Forward P/E 11.84
Beta 0.47
Profit Margins 2.53%
Website https://www.plains.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound to slightly bullish outcome in the near term, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes above the current price ($24-$25) and significant put volume at lower strikes ($19-$20) for August and November expirations. This creates a 'straddle' style setup where traders are betting on volatility expansion rather than a specific directional breakout, though the call skew suggests a preference for upside moves if crude prices stabilize.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.87% 8.43% 7.93% 7.83%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-01 0.4180 1.869410
2026-01-30 0.4180 2.172557
2025-10-31 0.3800 2.310030
2025-07-31 0.3800 2.082192
2025-05-01 0.3800 2.274087
2025-01-31 0.3800 1.919192
2024-10-31 0.3180 1.954517
2024-07-31 0.3180 1.748213
2024-04-30 0.3180 1.845618
2024-01-30 0.3180 2.012658
2023-10-30 0.2680 1.797451
2023-07-28 0.2680 1.818182
2023-04-28 0.2680 2.077519
2023-01-30 0.2680 2.159549
2022-10-28 0.2180 1.835017
2022-07-28 0.2180 1.981818
2022-04-28 0.2180 2.037383
2022-01-28 0.1800 1.685393
2021-10-28 0.1800 1.757813
2021-07-29 0.1800 1.796407
2021-04-29 0.1800 1.916933
2021-01-28 0.1800 2.097902
2020-10-29 0.1800 2.926829
2020-07-30 0.1800 2.334630
2020-04-30 0.1800 2.038505
2020-01-30 0.3600 2.118893
2019-10-30 0.3600 1.976936
2019-07-30 0.3600 1.503131
2019-04-30 0.3600 1.555076
2019-01-30 0.3000 1.305483
2018-10-30 0.3000 1.388889
2018-07-30 0.3000 1.222494
2018-04-30 0.3000 1.276053
2018-01-30 0.3000 1.411765
2017-10-30 0.3000 1.516683
2017-07-27 0.5500 2.094440
2017-04-27 0.5500 1.870748
2017-01-27 0.5500 1.739405
2016-10-27 0.5500 1.756627
2016-07-27 0.7000 2.577320
2016-04-27 0.7000 2.981261
2016-01-27 0.7000 3.707627
2015-10-28 0.7000 2.288330
2015-07-29 0.6950 1.638378
2015-04-29 0.6850 1.372745
2015-01-28 0.6750 1.355422
2014-10-29 0.6600 1.184281
2014-07-30 0.6450 1.099557
2014-04-30 0.6300 1.129032
2014-01-29 0.6150 1.244939
2013-10-30 0.6000 1.167997
2013-07-31 0.5880 1.104433
2013-05-01 0.5750 1.021314
2013-01-30 0.5630 1.078544
2012-10-31 0.5420 1.194359
2012-08-01 0.5325 1.236934
2012-05-02 0.5225 1.284415
2012-02-01 0.5125 1.328753
2011-11-02 0.4975 1.556877
2011-07-29 0.4915 1.580894
2011-04-29 0.4850 1.509963
2011-02-02 0.4790 1.488965
2010-10-29 0.4750 1.505547
2010-07-30 0.4715 1.535081
2010-04-30 0.4675 1.612347
2010-01-29 0.4640 1.747975
2009-10-30 0.4600 1.923479
2009-07-31 0.4525 1.871381
2009-05-01 0.4525 2.161968
2009-01-30 0.4465 2.362434
2008-10-31 0.4465 2.232500
2008-07-31 0.4440 1.927502
2008-05-01 0.4325 1.849081
2008-01-31 0.4250 1.706485
2007-10-31 0.4200 1.522843
2007-08-01 0.4150 1.377593
2007-05-02 0.4065 1.415390
2007-01-31 0.4000 1.485608
2006-11-01 0.3750 1.612903
2006-08-02 0.3625 1.567568
2006-05-03 0.3540 1.643073
2006-02-01 0.3440 1.637316
2005-11-02 0.3375 1.641138
2005-07-29 0.3250 1.381215
2005-04-29 0.3190 1.563342
2005-02-02 0.3065 1.542915
2004-10-29 0.3000 1.694915
2004-07-30 0.2890 1.764347
2004-04-30 0.2815 1.729647
2004-01-30 0.2815 1.783339
2003-10-31 0.2750 1.833333
2003-07-31 0.2750 1.777060
2003-05-01 0.2750 2.020573
2003-01-31 0.2690 2.082849
2002-10-31 0.2690 2.309013
2002-08-01 0.2690 2.166734
2002-05-02 0.2625 2.001525
2002-01-31 0.2565 1.950570
2001-10-31 0.2565 1.982226
2001-08-01 0.2500 1.956947
2001-05-01 0.2375 1.948318
2001-01-31 0.2315 2.224892
2000-11-01 0.2315 2.444884
2000-08-02 0.2315 2.477592
2000-05-03 0.2250 2.769231
2000-02-03 0.2250 3.012552
1999-10-28 0.2405 2.506840
1999-07-30 0.2315 2.477592
1999-04-29 0.2250 2.465753
1999-01-27 0.2250 2.599278
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.63
dividendYield 7.13
exDividendDate 2026-07-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.595
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.069681086
lastDividendValue 0.418
lastDividendDate 2026-05-01
dividendDate 2026-08-14

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.2588235
Address1 333 Clay Street
Address2 Suite 1600
All Time High 61.09
All Time Low 3.0
Ask 26.72
Ask Size 1
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,801,560
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,725,304
Average Volume 2,725,304
Average Volume10Days 1,801,560
Beta 0.465
Bid 20.21
Bid Size 1
Book Value 10.722
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 23.54
Current Ratio 0.942
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 23.655
Day Low 23.03
Debt To Equity 90.312
Display Name Plains All American Pipeline, L.P
Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Dividend Rate 1.63
Dividend Yield 7.13
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,132,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,132,800
Earnings Growth -0.709
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.657
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,105,800
Ebitda 2,361,999,872
Ebitda Margins 0.05219
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.086
Enterprise To Revenue 0.735
Enterprise Value 33,270,216,704
Eps Current Year 1.78262
Eps Forward 1.98892
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.11
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 22.5242
Fifty Day Average Change 1.0158005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04509818
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 25.88235
Fifty Two Week High 24.26
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.7199993
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.029678455
Fifty Two Week Low 15.69
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.8500013
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.50031877
Fifty Two Week Range 15.69 - 24.26
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 911,399,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 7.23
Float Shares 465,008,877
Forward Eps 1.98892
Forward P E 11.835569
Free Cashflow 1,107,500,032
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,900
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.05946
Gross Profits 2,691,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.34057
Held Percent Institutions 0.40827
Implied Shares Outstanding 705,531,684
Industry Oil & Gas Midstream
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Midstream
Industry Key oil-gas-midstream
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,777,593,600
Last Dividend Value 0.418
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,349,136,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Crude Oil and NGL. The Crude Oil segment offers gathering and transporting crude oil through pipelines, trucks, and on barges or railcars. This segment provides terminalling, storage, and other related services, as well as merchant activities. The NGL segment is involved in natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminaling. This segment also includes ethane, propane, normal butane, iso-butane, and natural gasoline derived from natural gas production and processing activities, as well as crude oil refining processes. Its NGL components are used for various applications, such as heating, engine, and industrial fuels. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Plains GP Holdings, L.P.
Long Name Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.
Market us_market
Market Cap 16,608,217,088
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_393940
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 782,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 16,604,688,159
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 23.22
Operating Cashflow 2,715,000,064
Operating Margins 0.02823
Payout Ratio 1.4032
Peg Ratio 2.35
Phone 713 646 4100
Pre Market Change 0.03999901
Pre Market Change Percent 0.16991931
Pre Market Price 23.58
Pre Market Time 1,784,031,449
Previous Close 22.89
Price Eps Current Year 13.205283
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.195486
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.36699188
Profit Margins 0.02528
Quick Ratio 0.763
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.650002
Regular Market Change Percent 2.83967
Regular Market Day High 23.655
Regular Market Day Low 23.03
Regular Market Day Range 23.03 - 23.655
Regular Market Open 23.22
Regular Market Previous Close 22.89
Regular Market Price 23.54
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 2,713,112
Return On Assets 0.02977
Return On Equity 0.10436
Revenue Growth 0.087
Revenue Per Share 64.237
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Shares Outstanding 705,531,683
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.020599999
Shares Short 14,547,834
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 15,967,185
Short Name Plains All American Pipeline, L
Short Percent Of Float 0.0208
Short Ratio 6.01
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol PAA
Target High Price 27.0
Target Low Price 20.0
Target Mean Price 23.61111
Target Median Price 24.0
Total Cash 171,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.242
Total Debt 11,578,000,384
Total Revenue 45,255,000,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.595
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.069681086
Trailing Eps 1.11
Trailing P E 21.207209
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 19.87825
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.6617508
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.18420891
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,713,112
Website https://www.plains.com
Zip 77,002