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Ovid Therapeutics Inc. (OVID)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | New York, United States | NasdaqCM
2.20 USD -0.22 (-8.940%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 3:49 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:11 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is a stark dichotomy between aggressive retail sentiment and deteriorating corporate reality. On the surface, the stock looks like a classic 'penny stock' momentum play; analysts are issuing 'strong buy' ratings with targets nearly four times the current price, and options traders are pouring capital into $5 and $7.50 calls, betting on a massive recovery. However, the underlying business is failing. Revenue has collapsed by 88% year-over-year, and the company is burning cash aggressively with no path to profitability visible in the forward estimates. The balance sheet, while currently liquid due to cash holdings, is propped up by a massive current ratio that masks the operational rot. The recent price action shows the stock struggling to hold gains, trading below its 50-day average despite the hype. While the options flow suggests a crowd willing to chase a miracle turnaround, the fundamentals—shrinking top line, negative returns on equity, and a history of multi-year decline—make this a dangerous speculative trap rather than a viable investment. The 'strong buy' consensus appears to be pricing in a binary event that hasn't happened yet, ignoring the fact that the company is actively losing ground in every metric that matters for a biotech firm.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.059608
AutoETS0.093026
AutoARIMA0.093027
MSTL0.096115

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 0.63
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.493
Excess Kurtosis -0.59
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 6.058
Revenue per Share 0.013
Market Cap 428,678,784
Forward P/E -5.85
Beta 0.23
Website https://www.ovidrx.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on upside potential, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls at the $5.00 and $7.50 strikes compared to negligible put activity. This heavy call positioning suggests a bet on a significant rally to double the current price, while the lack of protective puts indicates a willingness to take downside risk in exchange for asymmetric upside exposure.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.3771429
Address1 Hudson Commons
Address2 441 9th Avenue 14th Floor
All Time High 15.929
All Time Low 0.243
Ask 2.4
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,398,950
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,568,195
Average Volume 1,568,195
Average Volume10Days 1,398,950
Beta 0.23
Bid 1.73
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 8
Book Value 1.136
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.195
Current Ratio 12.386
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 2.415
Day Low 2.18
Debt To Equity 6.058
Display Name Ovid Therapeutics
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,624,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,400,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,400,200
Ebitda -57,974,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -6.316
Enterprise To Revenue 231.31
Enterprise Value 366,163,840
Eps Current Year -0.3775
Eps Forward -0.375
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.22
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 646 661 4027
Fifty Day Average 2.6457
Fifty Day Average Change -0.45070004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.17035191
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 37.71429
Fifty Two Week High 3.105
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.9100001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2930757
Fifty Two Week Low 1.18
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.015
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.86016953
Fifty Two Week Range 1.18 - 3.105
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,493,991,000,000
Float Shares 163,388,140
Forward Eps -0.375
Forward P E -5.853333
Free Cashflow -33,121,250
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 23
Fullday Change -0.21500015
Fullday Change Percent -8.939714
Fullday Price 2.195
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 1,583,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.06724
Held Percent Institutions 0.80424005
Implied Shares Outstanding 195,297,857
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ovid Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of small molecule medicines for brain disorders including epilepsies and seizure-related neurological disorders in the United States. The company is developing OV329, a GABA-AT inhibitor which is in Phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of adult and infant drug-resistant epilepsies; and OV4071, a first-in-human oral potassium-chloride cotransporter 2 direct activator which is in Phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of psychosis associated with parkinson's disease, lewy body dementia, and acute schizophrenia. It has license and collaboration agreements with AstraZeneca AB, H. Lundbeck A/S, Northwestern University, and Graviton, as well as Marinus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name Ovid Therapeutics Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 428,678,784
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_288870432
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -34,477,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 503,692,702
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 2.41
Operating Cashflow -54,773,000
Operating Margins -21.006819
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 646 661 7661
Previous Close 2.41
Price Eps Current Year -5.8145695
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.9322182
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 270.8015
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 11.745
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.21500015
Regular Market Change Percent -8.939714
Regular Market Day High 2.415
Regular Market Day Low 2.18
Regular Market Day Range 2.18 - 2.415
Regular Market Open 2.41
Regular Market Previous Close 2.41
Regular Market Price 2.195
Regular Market Time 1,791,920,999
Regular Market Volume 1,225,872
Return On Assets -0.23456
Return On Equity -0.25964
Revenue Growth -0.883
Revenue Per Share 0.013
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 195,297,857
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.096999995
Shares Short 18,948,082
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 20,674,725
Short Name Ovid Therapeutics Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.111099996
Short Ratio 11.15
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol OVID
Target High Price 9.0
Target Low Price 4.0
Target Mean Price 6.024
Target Median Price 5.12
Total Cash 117,219,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.6
Total Debt 12,715,000
Total Revenue 1,583,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.22
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.32035
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.12535
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.054022025
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,225,873
Website https://www.ovidrx.com
Zip 10,001