Oatly Group AB (OTLY)Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Malmö, Sweden | NasdaqGS
11.15 USD
+0.27
(2.482%)
⇧
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 11.15 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:56 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Oatly is currently defined by a severe disconnect between its operational recovery and its market valuation. Fundamentally, the company is showing signs of life with a 15% revenue increase and a turnaround in the latest year-over-year performance, yet the balance sheet remains fragile with negative book value and significant debt. The market has punished the stock relentlessly over the last four years, erasing over 95% of its value, which suggests investors remain deeply skeptical of the business model despite the recent top-line improvements. Short-term, the stock is technically weak, trading well below its 50-day moving average, and the statistical forecast offers no directional bias. However, the options market tells a different story: traders are aggressively buying insurance against further drops, betting that the recent rally is a relief bounce rather than a trend reversal. With no dividend to provide income and a negative earnings outlook persisting, the risk-reward profile remains skewed toward caution. The recent price surge appears to be driven by optimism around the revised revenue guidance, but until the bottom line turns positive and the debt load is managed, the long-term outlook remains precarious. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.109924 |
| AutoETS | 0.110041 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.111813 |
| MSTL | 0.130384 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 35% |
| H-stat | 6.43 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.393 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.78 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Revenue per Share | 29.791 |
| Market Cap | 348,158,752 |
| Forward P/E | -5.35 |
| Beta | 1.81 |
| Profit Margins | -13.81% |
| Website | https://www.oatly.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at $5 and $10) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some speculative call buying at higher strikes ($18-$20), the dominant theme is hedging against further declines, with put volume significantly exceeding call volume in longer-dated expirations.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.18866515 |
| Address1 | AngfAerjekajen 8 |
| All Time High | 580.0 |
| All Time Low | 6.0 |
| Ask | 13.59 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 73,030 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 116,401 |
| Average Volume | 116,401 |
| Average Volume10Days | 73,030 |
| Beta | 1.812 |
| Bid | 8.0 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Book Value | -0.767 |
| City | Malmö |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | Sweden |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 11.15 |
| Current Ratio | 0.426 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 11.24 |
| Day Low | 10.97 |
| Display Name | Oatly |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,217,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,217,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,190,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,190,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,190,600 |
| Ebitda | -13,642,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.01475 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -62.497 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.922 |
| Enterprise Value | 852,589,376 |
| Eps Current Year | -2.555 |
| Eps Forward | -2.085 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -4.2 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 12.9185 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.7685003 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.13689673 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -18.866516 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 16.424 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.274 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.32111546 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 8.01 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.1399994 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.3920099 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 8.01 - 16.424 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,621,517,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 12,145,486 |
| Forward Eps | -2.085 |
| Forward P E | -5.3477216 |
| Free Cashflow | -3,398,250 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 1,404 |
| Fullday Change | 0.2699995 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 2.4816132 |
| Fullday Price | 11.15 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.32952 |
| Gross Profits | 304,806,016 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.101730004 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.58308 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 31,225,000 |
| Industry | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Disp | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Key | packaged-foods |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-05-20 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,739,836,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:20 |
| Long Business Summary | Oatly Group AB, an oatmilk company, provides a range of plant-based dairy products in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, China, Sweden, The Netherlands, Finland, and Switzerland. Its oatmilk portfolio includes original, low-fat, full-fat, chocolate flavored, unsweetened, and Super Basic, which are offered in ambient and chilled packaging. The company offers Barista edition oatmilk; matcha; Oatgurts, which are oat-based yogurts; frozen desserts; cooking products, including regular and organic cooking cream, crème fraiche, whipping cream, vanilla custard, and spreads in a variety of flavors; and ready-to-go drinks. It sells its products through including foodservice, food retail, and e-commerce channels. The company was formerly known as Havre Global AB and changed its name to Oatly Group AB in March 2021. Oatly Group AB was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden. |
| Long Name | Oatly Group AB |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 348,158,752 |
| Market State | POST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_685045828 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -127,719,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 387,095,690 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 10.97 |
| Operating Cashflow | -10,282,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.07476 |
| Phone | 46 4 18 47 55 00 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 11.15 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,008,015 |
| Previous Close | 10.88 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -4.3639917 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -14.537157 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.37638986 |
| Profit Margins | -0.13808 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.266 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.2699995 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.4816132 |
| Regular Market Day High | 11.24 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 10.97 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 10.97 - 11.24 |
| Regular Market Open | 10.97 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 10.88 |
| Regular Market Price | 11.15 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,000 |
| Regular Market Volume | 70,853 |
| Return On Assets | -0.03977 |
| Return On Equity | -3.49913 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.152 |
| Revenue Per Share | 29.791 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17004645 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Shares Outstanding | 31,225,000 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0124 |
| Shares Short | 394,737 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 467,457 |
| Short Name | Oatly Group AB |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0276 |
| Short Ratio | 7.03 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | OTLY |
| Target High Price | 32.0 |
| Target Low Price | 12.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 18.7 |
| Target Median Price | 14.0 |
| Total Cash | 44,647,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.399 |
| Total Debt | 549,059,008 |
| Total Revenue | 924,995,008 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -4.2 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 11.3352 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.18520069 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.016338546 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 70,853 |
| Website | https://www.oatly.com |
| Zip | 211 19 |