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Oatly Group AB (OTLY)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Malmö, Sweden | NasdaqGS
13.52 USD +0.67 (5.214%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.33 -0.19 (-0.190%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:49 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:02 a.m. EDT

Oatly (OTLY) is exhibiting the classic 'comments section trading' setup on the path to profitability, but capital is aggressively pricing in the upside now rather than waiting for earnings. Analysis of the price history—closing 14.9% higher in the last month and nearing the 50-day average—validates the 'comeback' narrative, but the fundamentals remain stark: negative EPS and a massive debt burden (D/E: 2848x) prevent a long-term conviction Buy. The stock is positioned as a momentum play, not a value hold.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.065458
MSTL0.079190
AutoETS0.083596
AutoARIMA0.083599

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 3.76
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.060
Excess Kurtosis 0.33
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 2848.025
Revenue per Share 28.393
Market Cap 422,162,016
Forward P/E -6.65
Beta 1.95
Profit Margins -17.71%
Website https://www.oatly.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:02 a.m. EDT: Options activity reveals a bullish skew. Call IXI for 06/18 shows dominant OI at the $15 call strike (471 contracts) and significant placement at $17, indicating a 'long stock' flow projecting a move upwards. Put OI is heavily concentrated in the money ($10-$11 strikes) as a hedge for the move up, rather than a bet on a crash. The far-dated ($15, $22, $18) call activity suggests speculative positioning for a recovery above the $13.52 current price.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5849942
Address1 Ångfärjekajen 8
All Time High 580.0
All Time Low 6.0
Ask 13.7
Ask Size 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 102,690
Average Daily Volume3 Month 74,445
Average Volume 74,445
Average Volume10Days 102,690
Beta 1.945
Bid 13.38
Bid Size 1
Book Value 0.594
City Malmö
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Sweden
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.52
Current Ratio 0.476
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 13.98
Day Low 12.95
Debt To Equity 2,848.025
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,464,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,464,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,465,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,465,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,465,800
Ebitda -26,112,000
Ebitda Margins -0.030280001
Enterprise To Ebitda -342.381
Enterprise To Revenue 10.366
Enterprise Value 8,940,246,016
Eps Current Year -2.85333
Eps Forward -2.03333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -5.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.1297
Fifty Day Average Change 2.3903008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.21476777
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 58.49942
Fifty Two Week High 18.84
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.3199997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2823779
Fifty Two Week Low 8.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.120001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.60952395
Fifty Two Week Range 8.4 - 18.84
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,621,517,400,000
Float Shares 236,323,290
Forward Eps -2.03333
Forward P E -6.6491914
Free Cashflow -17,613,876
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 1,388
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.32124
Gross Profits 277,056,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.094569996
Held Percent Institutions 0.55687
Implied Shares Outstanding 31,225,000
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-05-20
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,739,836,800
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Oatly Group AB, an oatmilk company, provides a range of plant-based dairy products in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, China, Sweden, The Netherlands, Finland, and Switzerland. Its oatmilk portfolio includes original, low-fat, full-fat, chocolate flavored, unsweetened, and Super Basic, which are offered in ambient and chilled packaging. The company offers Barista edition oatmilk; matcha; Oatgurts, which are oat-based yogurts; frozen desserts; cooking products, including regular and organic cooking cream, crème fraiche, whipping cream, vanilla custard, and spreads in a variety of flavors; and ready-to-go drinks. It sells its products through including foodservice, food retail, and e-commerce channels. The company was formerly known as Havre Global AB and changed its name to Oatly Group AB in March 2021. Oatly Group AB was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
Long Name Oatly Group AB
Market us_market
Market Cap 422,162,016
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_685045828
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -152,771,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 422,318,125
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 13.98
Operating Cashflow -23,723,000
Operating Margins -0.043309998
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 46 4 18 47 55 00
Post Market Change -0.19000053
Post Market Change Percent -1.4053293
Post Market Price 13.33
Post Market Time 1,776,469,758
Previous Close 12.85
Price Eps Current Year -4.7383237
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 22.760944
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.48948646
Profit Margins -0.17713
Quick Ratio 0.333
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.85714
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.67
Regular Market Change Percent 5.21401
Regular Market Day High 13.98
Regular Market Day Low 12.95
Regular Market Day Range 12.95 - 13.98
Regular Market Open 13.98
Regular Market Previous Close 12.85
Regular Market Price 13.52
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 230,242
Return On Assets -0.04778
Return On Equity -2.43438
Revenue Growth 0.091
Revenue Per Share 28.393
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Shares Outstanding 31,225,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.014099999
Shares Short 439,788
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 415,333
Short Name Oatly Group AB
Short Percent Of Float 0.025999999
Short Ratio 7.67
Source Interval 15
Symbol OTLY
Target High Price 29.0
Target Low Price 14.0
Target Mean Price 18.91667
Target Median Price 16.25
Total Cash 64,345,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.103
Total Debt 560,235,008
Total Revenue 862,459,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -5.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 13.418725
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.101275444
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.007547322
Type Disp Equity
Volume 230,242
Website https://www.oatly.com
Zip 211 19