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Oatly Group AB (OTLY)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Malmö, Sweden | NasdaqGS
14.67 USD -0.41 (-2.687%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.67

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:25 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is structurally broken. Despite a recent 17% rally driven by top-line revenue beats, the underlying business is hemorrhaging value. The stock has lost 94.5% of its value over the last four years, with every single year showing negative growth. Fundamentals are dire: the company is burning cash, has negative book value, and faces a debt load nearly twelve times its market capitalization. The balance sheet is fragile, with a current ratio of 0.43, suggesting liquidity risks that outweigh any potential turnaround story. While the recent price action shows some resilience, the options market is screaming caution, with traders buying deep insurance against a collapse. The statistical forecast model offers no directional clarity, which is typical for such a distressed asset. Until the debt is managed and profitability is restored, this remains a speculative trap rather than an investment opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.333620
AutoETS0.337247
AutoARIMA0.337247
AutoTheta0.345240

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 20.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.056
Excess Kurtosis -1.64
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Revenue per Share 29.791
Market Cap 458,070,752
Forward P/E -7.14
Beta 1.81
Profit Margins -13.81%
Website https://www.oatly.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes $5-$6) dominating the December and March expirations. Call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, while implied volatility is significantly elevated for downside strikes compared to calls, indicating a market consensus expecting a significant drop rather than a rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.100000024
Address1 AngfAerjekajen 8
All Time High 580.0
All Time Low 6.0
Ask 18.93
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 93,090
Average Daily Volume3 Month 149,060
Average Volume 149,060
Average Volume10Days 93,090
Beta 1.809
Bid 10.65
Bid Size 2
Book Value -0.767
City Malmö
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Sweden
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.67
Current Ratio 0.426
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 15.045
Day Low 14.56
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,721,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,721,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,723,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,190,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,190,600
Ebitda -13,642,000
Ebitda Margins -0.01475
Enterprise To Ebitda -71.363
Enterprise To Revenue 1.052
Enterprise Value 973,536,832
Eps Current Year -2.52
Eps Forward -2.055
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.09
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.0544
Fifty Day Average Change 2.6155996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.21698298
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -10.000002
Fifty Two Week High 18.22
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.5499992
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1948408
Fifty Two Week Low 8.01
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.83146065
Fifty Two Week Range 8.01 - 18.22
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,621,517,400,000
Float Shares 12,145,486
Forward Eps -2.055
Forward P E -7.1386857
Free Cashflow -3,398,250
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 1,404
Fullday Change -0.405
Fullday Change Percent -2.68657
Fullday Price 14.67
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.32952
Gross Profits 304,806,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.10067
Held Percent Institutions 0.58251
Implied Shares Outstanding 31,225,000
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-05-20
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,739,836,800
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Oatly Group AB, an oatmilk company, provides a range of plant-based dairy products in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, China, Sweden, The Netherlands, Finland, and Switzerland. Its oatmilk portfolio includes original, low-fat, full-fat, chocolate flavored, unsweetened, and Super Basic, which are offered in ambient and chilled packaging. The company offers Barista edition oatmilk; matcha; Oatgurts, which are oat-based yogurts; frozen desserts; cooking products, including regular and organic cooking cream, crème fraiche, whipping cream, vanilla custard, and spreads in a variety of flavors; and ready-to-go drinks. It sells its products through including foodservice, food retail, and e-commerce channels. The company was formerly known as Havre Global AB and changed its name to Oatly Group AB in March 2021. Oatly Group AB was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
Long Name Oatly Group AB
Market us_market
Market Cap 458,070,752
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_685045828
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -127,719,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 481,077,290
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 14.91
Operating Cashflow -10,282,000
Operating Margins -0.07476
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 46 4 18 47 55 00
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 14.67
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 15.075
Price Eps Current Year -5.821429
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -19.126467
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.49521428
Profit Margins -0.13808
Quick Ratio 0.266
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.405
Regular Market Change Percent -2.68657
Regular Market Day High 15.045
Regular Market Day Low 14.56
Regular Market Day Range 14.56 - 15.045
Regular Market Open 14.91
Regular Market Previous Close 15.075
Regular Market Price 14.67
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 35,040
Return On Assets -0.03977
Return On Equity -3.49913
Revenue Growth 0.152
Revenue Per Share 29.791
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Shares Outstanding 31,225,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0173
Shares Short 550,543
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 697,565
Short Name Oatly Group AB
Short Percent Of Float 0.0385
Short Ratio 2.81
Source Interval 15
Symbol OTLY
Target High Price 32.0
Target Low Price 12.5
Target Mean Price 19.5
Target Median Price 14.0
Total Cash 44,647,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.399
Total Debt 549,059,008
Total Revenue 924,995,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -4.09
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.316875
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.3531246
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.2962942
Type Disp Equity
Volume 35,040
Website https://www.oatly.com
Zip 211 19