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Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. (OTLK)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Iselin, United States | NasdaqCM
0.64 USD +0.00 (0.593%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 0.64 0.00 (-0.005%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:53 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:52 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is bifurcated between a desperate short-term catalyst play and a fundamentally broken long-term story. On the short end, the stock is trading near its 200-day average but remains significantly below the $1.00 strike where massive option open interest creates a magnet effect. The recent price action shows volatility, dropping from highs near $1.15 to current levels, suggesting the market is digesting the mixed news of FDA approvals versus looming Nasdaq compliance and funding issues. The 'strong buy' analyst recommendation appears disconnected from the reality of negative revenue growth and a deteriorating balance sheet. On the long end, the fundamentals are catastrophic. The company has lost 99.57% of its value over the last nine years, with the trailing twelve months showing negative revenue and operating margins so deep they are mathematically undefined. The business is burning cash with no path to profitability visible in the data. While the FDA approvals for Lytenava are a positive milestone, they do not yet translate into the sustained revenue growth required to justify a premium valuation. The market is currently pricing in a high probability of delisting or further dilution, making this a speculative gamble rather than an investment. The lack of dividends and the eroding book value confirm that capital preservation is impossible here.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.403767
MSTL0.879606
AutoARIMA1.236919
AutoTheta1.288506

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 19%
H-stat 100.25
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.153
Excess Kurtosis -1.25
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Revenue per Share -0.014
Market Cap 156,499,536
Forward P/E -4.61
Beta 0.80
Website https://outlooktherapeutics.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:52 a.m. EDT: Options activity reveals a distinct 'pinning' bias at the $1.00 strike across nearly all expirations, with massive open interest relative to volume. This suggests market participants are positioning for a binary event or regulatory decision around that level, likely the upcoming FDA date mentioned in news. However, the sheer volume of out-of-the-money calls indicates speculative hope for a rally, while the heavy put open interest at $1.00 acts as a significant resistance ceiling. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty surrounding the company's compliance status and funding pressures.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.25862068
Address1 111 S. Wood Avenue
Address2 Unit #100
All Time High 878.4
All Time Low 0.161
Ask 0.6519
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 21,577,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 18,673,849
Average Volume 18,673,849
Average Volume10Days 21,577,650
Beta 0.804
Bid 0.64
Bid Size 1
Book Value -0.056
City Iselin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 0.6449
Current Ratio 0.808
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 0.6583
Day Low 0.6191
Display Name Outlook Therapeutics
Dividend Date 1,552,867,200
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,710,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,710,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,710,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,710,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,710,600
Ebitda -55,531,736
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.957
Enterprise To Revenue -141.118
Enterprise Value 164,188,400
Eps Current Year -0.42
Eps Forward -0.14
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.71
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.2027
Fifty Day Average Change -0.5578
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.4637898
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -25.862068
Fifty Two Week High 2.538
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.8931
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.74590224
Fifty Two Week Low 0.161
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.4839
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 3.0055902
Fifty Two Week Range 0.161 - 2.538
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,465,911,000,000
Float Shares 196,109,177
Forward Eps -0.14
Forward P E -4.6064286
Free Cashflow -37,357,632
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 17
Fullday Change 0.00380003
Fullday Change Percent 0.592737
Fullday Price 0.64
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -2,275,914
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.12639
Held Percent Institutions 0.08454
Implied Shares Outstanding 242,672,554
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Last Split Date 1,710,374,400
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Outlook Therapeutics, Inc., operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing monoclonal antibodies for ophthalmic indications. Its lead product candidate is ONS-5010, an ophthalmic bevacizumab product formulation of bevacizumab product candidate that is in Phase-III clinical trial for the treatment of wet age-related macular degeneration and other retina diseases. Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. has collaboration agreements with Cencora. Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. was formerly known as Oncobiologics, Inc. and changed its name to Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. in November 2018. Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Iselin, New Jersey.
Long Name Outlook Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 156,499,536
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_145859589
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -61,123,256
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 155,577,374
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 0.65
Operating Cashflow -56,154,884
Operating Margins -1,242.5527
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 609 619 3990
Post Market Change -0.0049000382
Post Market Change Percent -0.7598136
Post Market Price 0.64
Post Market Time 1,787,961,226
Previous Close 0.6411
Price Eps Current Year -1.5354763
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -11.516071
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months -134.50975
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.449
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.00380003
Regular Market Change Percent 0.592737
Regular Market Day High 0.6583
Regular Market Day Low 0.6191
Regular Market Day Range 0.6191 - 0.6583
Regular Market Open 0.65
Regular Market Previous Close 0.6411
Regular Market Price 0.6449
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 9,482,025
Return On Assets -1.43166
Revenue Growth -0.994
Revenue Per Share -0.014
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 242,672,554
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.081999995
Shares Short 19,899,576
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 11,240,969
Short Name Outlook Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.086899996
Short Ratio 0.97
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol OTLK
Target High Price 10.0
Target Low Price 1.6
Target Mean Price 4.9
Target Median Price 4.0
Total Cash 11,242,068
Total Cash Per Share 0.046
Total Debt 18,431,144
Total Revenue -1,163,481
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.71
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 0.88535
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.24044997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.27158746
Type Disp Equity
Volume 9,482,025
Website https://outlooktherapeutics.com
Zip 8,830