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Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. (OTLK)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Iselin, United States | NasdaqCM
1.55 USD -0.02 (-1.274%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.55 +0.00 (0.084%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:21 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is severely compromised by a decade-long structural decline where the stock has lost 99.6% of its value, with the last two years showing consecutive double-digit percentage drops. Despite the biotech sector's potential, the company's fundamentals are dire: it burns cash aggressively, operates at a massive loss, and trades at a valuation that defies logic given its negative book value and lack of revenue. The recent news of FDA reviews and fast-tracking offers a temporary catalyst, but the market has already priced in these developments, leaving the stock vulnerable to disappointment if the regulatory outcomes are not immediate and definitive. Short-term momentum is fragile; while the stock recently rallied, it is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, and the overwhelming options activity suggests traders are betting against a continuation of the downtrend or preparing for further volatility rather than a sustained recovery.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.716175
AutoETS0.720765
AutoARIMA0.721852
AutoTheta0.834642

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 19%
H-stat 59.09
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.087
Excess Kurtosis -1.48
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Revenue per Share 0.006
Market Cap 187,338,032
Forward P/E -7.05
Beta 0.78
Website https://outlooktherapeutics.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts relative to calls across nearly all expirations. The put/call ratio is skewed significantly toward hedging or bearish bets, while call volume remains thin and concentrated at strikes far below the current price, suggesting a lack of genuine bullish conviction despite the recent FDA-related price spikes.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.32327586
Address1 111 S. Wood Avenue
Address2 Unit #100
All Time High 878.4
All Time Low 0.161
Ask 1.56
Ask Size 1
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,161,660
Average Daily Volume3 Month 19,365,662
Average Volume 19,365,662
Average Volume10Days 8,161,660
Beta 0.781
Bid 1.16
Bid Size 2
Book Value -0.277
City Iselin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.55
Current Ratio 0.538
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 1.64
Day Low 1.49
Display Name Outlook Therapeutics
Dividend Date 1,552,867,200
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,723,638,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,723,638,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,875,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,651,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,651,200
Ebitda -60,454,584
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -3.42
Enterprise To Revenue 620.691
Enterprise Value 206,777,776
Eps Current Year -0.51
Eps Forward -0.22
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.12
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 0.88278
Fifty Day Average Change 0.66721994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.75581676
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -32.327587
Fifty Two Week High 3.39
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.8400002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5427729
Fifty Two Week Low 0.161
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.3889999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 8.627329
Fifty Two Week Range 0.161 - 3.39
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,465,911,000,000
Float Shares 96,399,321
Forward Eps -0.22
Forward P E -7.0454545
Free Cashflow -25,471,416
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 17
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -1,202,142
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.17419
Held Percent Institutions 0.06929
Implied Shares Outstanding 120,863,252
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Last Split Date 1,710,374,400
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Outlook Therapeutics, Inc., operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing monoclonal antibodies for ophthalmic indications. Its lead product candidate is ONS-5010, an ophthalmic bevacizumab product formulation of bevacizumab product candidate that is in Phase-III clinical trial for the treatment of wet age-related macular degeneration and other retina diseases. Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. has collaboration agreements with Cencora. Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. was formerly known as Oncobiologics, Inc. and changed its name to Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. in November 2018. Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Iselin, New Jersey.
Long Name Outlook Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 187,338,032
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_145859589
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -60,956,488
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 232,538,841
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 1.56
Operating Cashflow -47,045,520
Operating Margins -110.068245
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 609 619 3990
Post Market Change 0.0013000965
Post Market Change Percent 0.0838772
Post Market Price 1.5513
Post Market Time 1,783,987,084
Previous Close 1.57
Price Eps Current Year -3.0392156
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -5.5956674
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 562.33856
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.269
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0200001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.27389
Regular Market Day High 1.64
Regular Market Day Low 1.49
Regular Market Day Range 1.49 - 1.64
Regular Market Open 1.56
Regular Market Previous Close 1.57
Regular Market Price 1.55
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 8,651,303
Return On Assets -1.84824
Revenue Per Share 0.006
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 120,863,252
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0943
Shares Short 14,014,673
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 16,133,268
Short Name Outlook Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1038
Short Ratio 0.73
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol OTLK
Target High Price 10.0
Target Low Price 0.5
Target Mean Price 5.5
Target Median Price 6.0
Total Cash 7,748,226
Total Cash Per Share 0.064
Total Debt 27,187,960
Total Revenue 333,141
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.12
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 0.919145
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.63085496
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.6863498
Type Disp Equity
Volume 8,651,303
Website https://outlooktherapeutics.com
Zip 8,830