| Browse All

Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG)

Financial Services | Insurance - Specialty | New York, United States | NYSE
4.85 USD -0.01 (-0.206%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.85

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 11, 2026, 1:35 p.m. EDT

OSG is currently in a weak position with negative earnings and a low price relative to its book value. The recent price decline and bearish options activity suggest that short-term traders may be looking to capitalize on a potential rebound, but the fundamentals are not supportive of long-term growth. The stock has a history of underperformance and lacks a dividend yield, making it a risky proposition for both short-term and long-term investors. The market seems to be waiting for a turnaround, but the current data does not indicate a strong catalyst.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.060128
AutoARIMA0.144310
AutoETS0.144312
MSTL0.147891

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 72%
H-stat 1.35
Ljung-Box p 0.008
Jarque-Bera p 0.492
Excess Kurtosis 0.60
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Debt to Equity Ratio 11.73
Revenue per Share 5.325
Market Cap 218,315,920
Forward P/E 6.69
Beta 0.88
Profit Margins -104.17%
Previous Name Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
Website https://www.octavegroup.com

As of April 11, 2026, 1:35 p.m. EDT: The options data indicates a mixed sentiment. For near-term expirations, there's a notable concentration of put options, especially around the $5.0 strike, suggesting some bearish sentiment. However, there's also a significant amount of call options at the $6.0 strike, indicating potential bullish speculation. The IV (implied volatility) is generally low, which might suggest a lack of conviction among traders. The recent dip in price and the presence of support levels could be attracting buyers, but the overall trend is bearish with a high probability of further declines in the short term.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.33877552
Address1 40 Wall Street
Address2 55th Floor
All Time High 35.61
All Time Low 3.88
Ask 4.96
Ask Size 1,000
Audit Risk 6
Average Daily Volume10 Day 730,560
Average Daily Volume3 Month 618,714
Average Volume 618,714
Average Volume10Days 730,560
Beta 0.881
Bid 1.97
Bid Size 1,500
Board Risk 1
Book Value 15.905
City New York
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.85
Current Ratio 0.997
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 4.98
Day Low 4.775
Debt To Equity 11.73
Display Name Octave Specialty
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,097,600
Ebitda -14,753,000
Ebitda Margins -0.058720004
Enterprise To Ebitda -36.716
Enterprise To Revenue 2.156
Enterprise Value 541,676,800
Eps Current Year 0.29
Eps Forward 0.725
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.47
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 212 208 3414
Fifty Day Average 5.1766
Fifty Day Average Change -0.32660007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06309162
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -33.877552
Fifty Two Week High 10.38
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.53
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5327553
Fifty Two Week Low 3.88
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.9699998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.24999994
Fifty Two Week Range 3.88 - 10.38
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,367,415,000,000
Float Shares 39,544,647
Forward Eps 0.725
Forward P E 6.689655
Free Cashflow 333,248,384
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 483
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.60187
Gross Profits 151,202,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.078439996
Held Percent Institutions 0.78567004
Implied Shares Outstanding 45,013,592
Industry Insurance - Specialty
Industry Disp Insurance - Specialty
Industry Key insurance-specialty
Ir Website http://ir.ambac.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=80774&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Octave Specialty Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, primarily engages in the specialty property and casualty insurance business in the United States and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments, Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance; and Insurance Distribution. The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment provides specialty property and casualty program insurance with a focus on commercial and personal liability risks. The Insurance Distribution segment offers property, niche specialty risk, accident and health, miscellaneous specialty, reinsurance, surety, marine and energy, specialty auto, excess and surplus lines commercial package, professional lines, and directors' and officers' insurance. The company was formerly known as Ambac Financial Group, Inc. and changed its name to Octave Specialty Group, Inc. in November 2025. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name Octave Specialty Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 218,315,920
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_317460
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Name Change Date 2,026-04-18
Net Income To Common -116,579,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 218,315,921
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 4.86
Operating Cashflow -52,283,000
Operating Margins -0.28565
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 212 658 7470
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 4.85
Post Market Time 1,776,464,821
Prev Name Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
Previous Close 4.86
Price Eps Current Year 16.724138
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.30493554
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.86901593
Profit Margins -1.04168
Quick Ratio 0.434
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0100002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.205766
Regular Market Day High 4.98
Regular Market Day Low 4.775
Regular Market Day Range 4.775 - 4.98
Regular Market Open 4.86
Regular Market Previous Close 4.86
Regular Market Price 4.85
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,003
Regular Market Volume 664,343
Return On Assets -0.0068900003
Return On Equity -0.083979994
Revenue Growth -0.046
Revenue Per Share 5.325
Sand P52 Week Change 0.36506534
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 45,013,592
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0318
Shares Short 1,427,951
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,676,197
Short Name Octave Specialty Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.033800002
Short Ratio 2.44
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol OSG
Target High Price 19.0
Target Low Price 12.0
Target Mean Price 15.33333
Target Median Price 15.0
Total Cash 174,128,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.874
Total Debt 127,412,000
Total Revenue 251,222,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.47
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 7.42635
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.5763502
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.3469201
Type Disp Equity
Volume 664,343
Website https://www.octavegroup.com
Zip 10,005