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Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN)

Industrials | Engineering & Construction | Houston, United States | NYSE
13.60 USD +0.25 (1.873%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:40 a.m. EDT

The narrative here is a classic 'value trap' masquerading as a turnaround story. While the forward P/E looks attractive at roughly 21x and analysts are shouting 'Strong Buy,' the underlying business is bleeding cash, with free cash flow running negative and operating margins barely clinging to life at 0.36%. The stock's recent 57% year-to-date surge has been entirely driven by a single explosive year (+201%) followed immediately by a correction (-2.2%), leaving the company with no consistent growth runway to justify the current valuation. The short-term outlook remains cautiously optimistic due to the technical bounce off the 200-day average and the aggressive analyst targets, which likely reflect a belief in a data-center catalyst. However, the lack of a dividend and the precarious balance sheet mean there is no safety net if the hype fades. The options market confirms this tension, with traders hedging against a potential collapse to $10 while hoping for a spike to $17.50. Until the company demonstrates sustained profitability and positive free cash flow, this remains a speculative gamble on management execution rather than a solid investment in a thriving industrial leader.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.162882
MSTL0.174723
AutoARIMA0.180310
AutoETS0.180319
MSTL_1050.239288

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 2.53
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.228
Excess Kurtosis -0.39
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 78.499
Revenue per Share 22.058
Market Cap 550,518,208
Trailing P/E 61.82
Forward P/E 20.73
Beta 1.34
Profit Margins 0.98%
Website https://www.oriongroupholdingsinc.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. In the near term (July expiration), there is heavy open interest at the 17.5 strike, suggesting a target for a sharp rally, while the 15.0 strike acts as a significant barrier. However, the September horizon reveals a stark divergence: massive put open interest at the 10.0 strike indicates a deep-fear scenario if the rally fails, whereas call volume is concentrated at the 15.0 strike. This structure suggests traders are betting on a 'V' shape—either a quick surge to 17.5 or a crash to 10.0—rather than a linear move.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.59307873
Address1 2,940 Riverby Road
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 24.98
All Time Low 1.53
Ask 17.7
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.2 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 428,280
Average Daily Volume3 Month 407,036
Average Volume 407,036
Average Volume10Days 428,280
Beta 1.343
Bid 10.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 2
Book Value 4.117
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.6
Current Ratio 1.411
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 13.82
Day Low 13.46
Debt To Equity 78.499
Display Name Orion
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Ebitda 35,689,000
Ebitda Margins 0.040560003
Enterprise To Ebitda 18.916
Enterprise To Revenue 0.767
Enterprise Value 675,097,152
Eps Current Year 0.3939
Eps Forward 0.65618
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.22
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 14.7204
Fifty Day Average Change -1.1203995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.076112024
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 59.307873
Fifty Two Week High 17.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.7999992
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21839076
Fifty Two Week Low 6.44
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.1600003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.1118013
Fifty Two Week Range 6.44 - 17.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,198,161,000,000
Float Shares 38,170,340
Forward Eps 0.65618
Forward P E 20.72602
Free Cashflow -4,755,625
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,076
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.12328
Gross Profits 108,478,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0571
Held Percent Institutions 0.86126
Implied Shares Outstanding 40,479,278
Industry Engineering & Construction
Industry Disp Engineering & Construction
Industry Key engineering-construction
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Orion Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty construction company for the infrastructure, industrial, and building sectors in the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. It operates through two segments, Marine and Concrete. The company engages in the building, rehabilitation, and maintenance of a range of marine transportation facilities, including terminals, cruise ship berths, private terminals, U.S. Navy facilities, marinas, and other port facilities; installation of foundations, mooring structures, and related components; provision of ongoing inspection, maintenance, and emergency repair services, as well as logistics services for directional drilling; installation and removal of underwater pipelines and transmission infrastructure, such as industrial intakes and outfalls, river crossing, and tie-ins; construction, repair, and maintenance of overwater bridges, causeways, and fendering systems; and construction of various environmental protection structures, including levees, erosion control systems, concrete mats, wetlands restoration features, and geotube installations for island and shoreline creation. It also provides maintenance and capital dredging services for ports, waterways, and channels. In addition, the company offers specialty services, such as design, salvage, demolition, surveying, towing, commercial diving, underwater inspection, excavation, and repair services. Further, it provides concrete construction services, including concrete placement and finishing, site preparation, layout, forming, and rebar placement services for data centers; industrial, warehouse, and distribution facilities; commercial, multi-family, institutional, and mixed-use structures; and retail, hospital, and recreational facilities. The company was formerly known as Orion Marine Group, Inc. and changed its name to Orion Group Holdings, Inc. in May 2016. Orion Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Orion Group Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 550,518,208
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_10393155
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 8,589,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 540,398,361
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 13.52
Operating Cashflow 36,434,000
Operating Margins 0.00356
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 28.96
Phone 713 852 6500
Pre Market Change 0.009999275
Pre Market Change Percent 0.07352408
Pre Market Price 13.61
Pre Market Time 1,784,102,486
Previous Close 13.35
Price Eps Current Year 34.52653
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.3033762
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6256543
Profit Margins 0.00976
Quick Ratio 1.336
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.16667
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.25
Regular Market Change Percent 1.87266
Regular Market Day High 13.82
Regular Market Day Low 13.46
Regular Market Day Range 13.46 - 13.82
Regular Market Open 13.52
Regular Market Previous Close 13.35
Regular Market Price 13.6
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,202
Regular Market Volume 321,796
Return On Assets 0.017380001
Return On Equity 0.0541
Revenue Growth 0.147
Revenue Per Share 22.058
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 40,479,278
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0466
Shares Short 1,886,383
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,482,283
Short Name Orion Group Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.056799997
Short Ratio 3.94
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol ORN
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 16.4
Target Mean Price 17.73333
Target Median Price 17.0
Total Cash 6,254,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.154
Total Debt 130,833,000
Total Revenue 879,907,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.22
Trailing P E 61.818184
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.82125
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.7787504
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.15047058
Type Disp Equity
Volume 321,796
Website https://www.oriongroupholdingsinc.com
Zip 77,020