Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC)Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Vero Beach, United States | NYSE
4.96 USD
-0.22
(-4.247%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 3:08 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:08 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Orchid Island Capital is currently defined by distress rather than opportunity. The company is trapped in a multi-year structural decline, having lost over 85% of its value since 2016, with eight consecutive years of negative annual returns. This relentless downward trajectory, combined with a catastrophic balance sheet featuring a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 769x and a current ratio of just 0.12, signals severe liquidity and solvency risks. While the stock trades at a low P/E, this is a market verdict on deteriorating business quality, not a margin of safety. The dividend, while yielding over 24%, is unsustainable given the payout ratio of 84% and the company's inability to generate enough cash to cover both operations and debt service without eroding equity. Recent news confirms this fragility, citing a drop in book value and a dividend cut. Technically, the stock is trading well below its moving averages, confirming the bearish trend. Options data reinforces this pessimism, with traders buying deep protection rather than betting on a rebound. There is no evidence of a turnaround yet; the fundamentals are broken, making this a dangerous hold for any timeframe. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.100911 |
| MSTL | 0.108984 |
| AutoETS | 0.110964 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.111034 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 45% |
| H-stat | 203.29 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.074 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.33 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-10-29 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-09-29 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 769.58 |
| Revenue per Share | 1.557 |
| Market Cap | 979,140,288 |
| Trailing P/E | 3.02 |
| Forward P/E | 4.72 |
| Beta | 1.61 |
| Profit Margins | 90.59% |
| Website | https://www.orchidislandcapital.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:08 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts relative to calls across all expirations. The heavy concentration of put volume at strikes significantly above the current price suggests a fear of a gap-down event or a prolonged grind lower, rather than a belief in a recovery. Call activity is minimal and concentrated near the money, indicating a lack of speculative bullish momentum.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84% | 19.08% | 18.81% | 18.53% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 0.100 | 1.841621 |
| 2026-08-31 | 0.100 | 1.517451 |
| 2026-07-31 | 0.100 | 1.540832 |
| 2026-06-30 | 0.100 | 1.434720 |
| 2026-05-29 | 0.100 | 1.474926 |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.100 | 1.422475 |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.120 | 1.706970 |
| 2026-02-27 | 0.120 | 1.612903 |
| 2026-01-30 | 0.120 | 1.538462 |
| 2025-12-31 | 0.120 | 1.666667 |
| 2025-11-28 | 0.120 | 1.659751 |
| 2025-10-31 | 0.120 | 1.659751 |
| 2025-09-30 | 0.120 | 1.711840 |
| 2025-08-29 | 0.120 | 1.699717 |
| 2025-07-31 | 0.120 | 1.724138 |
| 2025-06-30 | 0.120 | 1.711840 |
| 2025-05-30 | 0.120 | 1.756955 |
| 2025-04-30 | 0.120 | 1.678322 |
| 2025-03-31 | 0.120 | 1.595745 |
| 2025-02-28 | 0.120 | 1.403509 |
| 2025-01-31 | 0.120 | 1.437126 |
| 2024-12-31 | 0.120 | 1.542416 |
| 2024-11-29 | 0.120 | 1.540436 |
| 2024-10-31 | 0.120 | 1.585205 |
| 2024-09-30 | 0.120 | 1.459854 |
| 2024-08-30 | 0.120 | 1.463415 |
| 2024-07-31 | 0.120 | 1.492537 |
| 2024-06-28 | 0.120 | 1.438849 |
| 2024-05-31 | 0.120 | 1.411765 |
| 2024-04-29 | 0.120 | 1.421801 |
| 2024-03-27 | 0.120 | 1.357466 |
| 2024-02-28 | 0.120 | 1.428571 |
| 2024-01-30 | 0.120 | 1.470588 |
| 2023-12-28 | 0.120 | 1.387283 |
| 2023-11-29 | 0.120 | 1.619433 |
| 2023-10-30 | 0.120 | 2.016807 |
| 2023-09-28 | 0.160 | 1.902497 |
| 2023-08-30 | 0.160 | 1.664932 |
| 2023-07-28 | 0.160 | 1.495327 |
| 2023-06-29 | 0.160 | 1.559454 |
| 2023-05-30 | 0.160 | 1.579467 |
| 2023-04-27 | 0.160 | 1.499531 |
| 2023-03-30 | 0.160 | 1.522360 |
| 2023-02-27 | 0.160 | 1.407212 |
| 2023-01-30 | 0.160 | 1.349073 |
| 2022-12-29 | 0.160 | 1.492537 |
| 2022-11-29 | 0.160 | 1.496726 |
| 2022-10-28 | 0.160 | 1.585728 |
| 2022-09-29 | 0.160 | 1.946472 |
| 2022-08-30 | 0.160 | 1.185185 |
| 2022-07-28 | 0.225 | 1.384615 |
| 2022-06-29 | 0.225 | 1.607143 |
| 2022-05-27 | 0.225 | 1.475410 |
| 2022-04-28 | 0.225 | 1.567944 |
| 2022-03-30 | 0.225 | 1.367781 |
| 2022-02-25 | 0.275 | 1.622419 |
| 2022-01-28 | 0.275 | 1.413882 |
| 2021-12-30 | 0.325 | 1.413043 |
| 2021-11-29 | 0.325 | 1.371308 |
| 2021-10-28 | 0.325 | 1.313131 |
| 2021-09-29 | 0.325 | 1.321138 |
| 2021-08-30 | 0.325 | 1.300000 |
| 2021-07-29 | 0.325 | 1.274510 |
| 2021-06-29 | 0.325 | 1.242830 |
| 2021-05-27 | 0.325 | 1.188300 |
| 2021-04-29 | 0.325 | 1.192661 |
| 2021-03-30 | 0.325 | 1.092437 |
| 2021-02-25 | 0.325 | 1.152482 |
| 2021-01-28 | 0.325 | 1.217228 |
| 2020-12-30 | 0.325 | 1.250000 |
| 2020-11-27 | 0.325 | 1.186131 |
| 2020-10-29 | 0.325 | 1.269531 |
| 2020-09-29 | 0.325 | 1.287129 |
| 2020-08-28 | 0.325 | 1.262136 |
| 2020-07-30 | 0.300 | 1.188119 |
| 2020-06-29 | 0.275 | 1.170213 |
| 2020-05-28 | 0.275 | 1.300236 |
| 2020-04-29 | 0.275 | 1.344743 |
| 2020-03-30 | 0.400 | 2.711864 |
| 2020-02-27 | 0.400 | 1.351351 |
| 2020-01-30 | 0.400 | 1.315789 |
| 2019-12-30 | 0.400 | 1.369863 |
| 2019-11-27 | 0.400 | 1.415929 |
| 2019-10-30 | 0.400 | 1.446655 |
| 2019-09-27 | 0.400 | 1.415929 |
| 2019-08-29 | 0.400 | 1.431127 |
| 2019-07-30 | 0.400 | 1.173021 |
| 2019-06-27 | 0.400 | 1.255887 |
| 2019-05-30 | 0.400 | 1.302932 |
| 2019-04-29 | 0.400 | 1.206636 |
| 2019-03-28 | 0.400 | 1.215805 |
| 2019-02-27 | 0.400 | 1.186944 |
| 2019-01-30 | 0.400 | 1.144492 |
| 2018-12-28 | 0.400 | 1.242236 |
| 2018-11-29 | 0.400 | 1.178203 |
| 2018-10-30 | 0.400 | 1.253919 |
| 2018-09-27 | 0.400 | 1.103448 |
| 2018-08-30 | 0.400 | 1.003764 |
| 2018-07-30 | 0.450 | 1.112485 |
| 2018-06-28 | 0.450 | 1.200000 |
| 2018-05-30 | 0.450 | 1.208054 |
| 2018-04-27 | 0.450 | 1.229508 |
| 2018-03-28 | 0.450 | 1.227831 |
| 2018-02-27 | 0.550 | 1.513067 |
| 2018-01-30 | 0.550 | 1.401274 |
| 2017-12-28 | 0.700 | 1.487779 |
| 2017-11-29 | 0.700 | 1.461378 |
| 2017-10-30 | 0.700 | 1.408451 |
| 2017-09-28 | 0.700 | 1.373896 |
| 2017-08-29 | 0.700 | 1.450777 |
| 2017-07-27 | 0.700 | 1.465969 |
| 2017-06-28 | 0.700 | 1.408451 |
| 2017-05-26 | 0.700 | 1.386139 |
| 2017-04-26 | 0.700 | 1.270417 |
| 2017-03-29 | 0.700 | 1.398601 |
| 2017-02-24 | 0.700 | 1.412714 |
| 2017-01-27 | 0.700 | 1.160862 |
| 2016-12-28 | 0.700 | 1.298701 |
| 2016-11-28 | 0.700 | 1.302326 |
| 2016-10-25 | 0.700 | 1.301115 |
| 2016-09-26 | 0.700 | 1.324503 |
| 2016-08-25 | 0.700 | 1.308411 |
| 2016-07-25 | 0.700 | 1.289134 |
| 2016-06-24 | 0.700 | 1.353965 |
| 2016-05-24 | 0.700 | 1.342282 |
| 2016-04-22 | 0.700 | 1.318267 |
| 2016-03-23 | 0.700 | 1.371205 |
| 2016-02-22 | 0.700 | 1.472135 |
| 2016-01-22 | 0.700 | 1.601831 |
| 2015-12-22 | 0.700 | 1.447777 |
| 2015-11-20 | 0.700 | 1.546961 |
| 2015-10-22 | 0.700 | 1.383399 |
| 2015-09-23 | 0.700 | 1.449275 |
| 2015-08-24 | 0.700 | 1.674641 |
| 2015-07-23 | 0.700 | 1.694915 |
| 2015-06-18 | 0.900 | 1.369863 |
| 2015-05-21 | 0.900 | 1.295896 |
| 2015-04-23 | 0.900 | 1.278409 |
| 2015-03-25 | 0.900 | 1.337296 |
| 2015-02-23 | 0.900 | 1.292175 |
| 2015-01-22 | 0.900 | 1.369863 |
| 2014-12-23 | 0.900 | 1.363636 |
| 2014-11-21 | 0.900 | 1.296830 |
| 2014-10-24 | 0.900 | 1.226158 |
| 2014-09-23 | 0.900 | 1.334322 |
| 2014-08-22 | 0.900 | 1.275691 |
| 2014-07-24 | 0.900 | 1.311953 |
| 2014-06-23 | 0.900 | 1.374046 |
| 2014-05-22 | 0.900 | 1.409554 |
| 2014-04-23 | 0.900 | 1.457490 |
| 2014-03-24 | 0.900 | 1.472995 |
| 2014-02-21 | 0.900 | 1.426307 |
| 2014-01-23 | 0.900 | 1.476620 |
| 2013-12-23 | 0.900 | 1.396431 |
| 2013-11-21 | 0.675 | 1.093117 |
| 2013-10-23 | 0.675 | 1.078275 |
| 2013-09-23 | 0.675 | 1.210762 |
| 2013-08-22 | 0.675 | 1.272385 |
| 2013-07-23 | 0.675 | 1.099349 |
| 2013-06-21 | 0.675 | 1.140203 |
| 2013-05-23 | 0.675 | 1.003717 |
| 2013-04-23 | 0.675 | 1.020408 |
| 2013-03-21 | 0.675 | 0.951374 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.29331517 |
| Address1 | 3,305 Flamingo Drive |
| All Time High | 77.0 |
| All Time Low | 4.85 |
| Ask | 4.96 |
| Ask Size | 30,200 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.0 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 7,820,880 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 5,455,787 |
| Average Volume | 5,455,787 |
| Average Volume10Days | 7,820,880 |
| Beta | 1.605 |
| Bid | 4.95 |
| Bid Size | 16,300 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | 7.221 |
| City | Vero Beach |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.96 |
| Current Ratio | 0.124 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 5.235 |
| Day Low | 4.93 |
| Debt To Equity | 769.58 |
| Display Name | Orchid Island Capital |
| Dividend Date | 1,793,232,000 |
| Dividend Rate | 1.2 |
| Dividend Yield | 23.17 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,792,785,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,792,785,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,792,699,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,792,699,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,792,699,200 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 40.468 |
| Enterprise Value | 10,932,096,000 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.11 |
| Eps Forward | 1.05 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 1.64 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,793,318,400 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 6.0884 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.1283998 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.18533602 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -29.331516 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 8.4 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -3.4399996 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.4095238 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.85 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.11000013 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.02268044 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.85 - 8.4 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,360,852,200,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 20.47 |
| Float Shares | 199,224,191 |
| Forward Eps | 1.05 |
| Forward P E | 4.7238097 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Fullday Change | -0.21999979 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -4.2471004 |
| Fullday Price | 4.96 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.98267996 |
| Gross Profits | 265,463,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00223 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.47639 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 197,407,315 |
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage |
| Industry Disp | REIT - Mortgage |
| Industry Key | reit-mortgage |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,790,726,400 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.1 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,661,904,000 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:5 |
| Long Business Summary | Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred to as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio comprises traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS, including interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) for the United States federal income tax purposes. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to stockholders, if it annually distributes dividends equal to at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its shareholders. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida. |
| Long Name | Orchid Island Capital, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 979,140,288 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_131452904 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 244,723,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,172,599,451 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 1 |
| Open | 5.2 |
| Operating Cashflow | 206,448,992 |
| Operating Margins | 0.92952 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.84389997 |
| Phone | 772 231 1400 |
| Previous Close | 5.18 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 4.4684687 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 0.6868855 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 3.6245527 |
| Profit Margins | 0.90591 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.112 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.21999979 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -4.2471004 |
| Regular Market Day High | 5.235 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.93 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.93 - 5.235 |
| Regular Market Open | 5.2 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 5.18 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.96 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,177,720 |
| Regular Market Volume | 5,140,671 |
| Return On Assets | 0.023629999 |
| Return On Equity | 0.20798999 |
| Revenue Per Share | 1.557 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Sector Disp | Real Estate |
| Sector Key | real-estate |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 197,407,315 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1192 |
| Shares Short | 23,524,061 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 20,485,090 |
| Short Name | Orchid Island Capital, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.119399995 |
| Short Ratio | 4.49 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | ORC |
| Target High Price | 7.5 |
| Target Low Price | 7.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 7.5 |
| Target Median Price | 7.5 |
| Total Cash | 1,193,488,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 5.979 |
| Total Debt | 11,091,638,272 |
| Total Revenue | 270,140,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 1.38 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.26640928 |
| Trailing Eps | 1.64 |
| Trailing P E | 3.0243902 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 6.86955 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.9095502 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.27797312 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 5,140,671 |
| Website | https://www.orchidislandcapital.com |
| Zip | 32,963 |