Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC)Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Vero Beach, United States | NYSE
6.72 USD
-0.09
(-1.322%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 6.73 +0.01 (0.135%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:19 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Orchid Island Capital is fundamentally broken. The company is trapped in a multi-year death spiral, having lost over 86% of its value since 2016, with four consecutive years of negative annual returns ending recently. This relentless decline suggests the market has correctly identified severe structural issues within the mortgage REIT business, rendering any 'value' narrative dangerous. The balance sheet is precarious, carrying nearly $11 billion in debt against only $1 billion in cash, resulting in a crushing debt-to-equity ratio of 780%. While the headline dividend yield appears attractive at nearly 20%, it is a mathematical illusion; the payout ratio exceeds 150%, meaning the company is distributing more cash than it earns, likely burning through capital reserves to maintain the stream. This is not a high-yield opportunity; it is a distress signal. Short-term momentum remains weak, and the options market confirms this fear with heavy put buying. Avoid this security entirely. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.026682 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.038697 |
| AutoETS | 0.038711 |
| MSTL | 0.038775 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 62% |
| H-stat | 1.15 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.500 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.61 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-07-30 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-06-29 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 780.665 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.959 |
| Market Cap | 1,348,705,408 |
| Trailing P/E | 7.07 |
| Forward P/E | 5.42 |
| Beta | 1.54 |
| Profit Margins | 83.76% |
| Website | https://www.orchidislandcapital.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:19 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $5.00 and $10.00) compared to negligible call volume. Implied volatility is significantly elevated for put options relative to calls, indicating a market consensus expecting further price weakness rather than a rebound.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.43% | 19.31% | 18.86% | 18.33% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 0.100 | 1.434720 |
| 2026-05-29 | 0.100 | 1.474926 |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.100 | 1.422475 |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.120 | 1.706970 |
| 2026-02-27 | 0.120 | 1.612903 |
| 2026-01-30 | 0.120 | 1.538462 |
| 2025-12-31 | 0.120 | 1.666667 |
| 2025-11-28 | 0.120 | 1.659751 |
| 2025-10-31 | 0.120 | 1.659751 |
| 2025-09-30 | 0.120 | 1.711840 |
| 2025-08-29 | 0.120 | 1.699717 |
| 2025-07-31 | 0.120 | 1.724138 |
| 2025-06-30 | 0.120 | 1.711840 |
| 2025-05-30 | 0.120 | 1.756955 |
| 2025-04-30 | 0.120 | 1.678322 |
| 2025-03-31 | 0.120 | 1.595745 |
| 2025-02-28 | 0.120 | 1.403509 |
| 2025-01-31 | 0.120 | 1.437126 |
| 2024-12-31 | 0.120 | 1.542416 |
| 2024-11-29 | 0.120 | 1.540436 |
| 2024-10-31 | 0.120 | 1.585205 |
| 2024-09-30 | 0.120 | 1.459854 |
| 2024-08-30 | 0.120 | 1.463415 |
| 2024-07-31 | 0.120 | 1.492537 |
| 2024-06-28 | 0.120 | 1.438849 |
| 2024-05-31 | 0.120 | 1.411765 |
| 2024-04-29 | 0.120 | 1.421801 |
| 2024-03-27 | 0.120 | 1.357466 |
| 2024-02-28 | 0.120 | 1.428571 |
| 2024-01-30 | 0.120 | 1.470588 |
| 2023-12-28 | 0.120 | 1.387283 |
| 2023-11-29 | 0.120 | 1.619433 |
| 2023-10-30 | 0.120 | 2.016807 |
| 2023-09-28 | 0.160 | 1.902497 |
| 2023-08-30 | 0.160 | 1.664932 |
| 2023-07-28 | 0.160 | 1.495327 |
| 2023-06-29 | 0.160 | 1.559454 |
| 2023-05-30 | 0.160 | 1.579467 |
| 2023-04-27 | 0.160 | 1.499531 |
| 2023-03-30 | 0.160 | 1.522360 |
| 2023-02-27 | 0.160 | 1.407212 |
| 2023-01-30 | 0.160 | 1.349073 |
| 2022-12-29 | 0.160 | 1.492537 |
| 2022-11-29 | 0.160 | 1.496726 |
| 2022-10-28 | 0.160 | 1.585728 |
| 2022-09-29 | 0.160 | 1.946472 |
| 2022-08-30 | 0.160 | 1.185185 |
| 2022-07-28 | 0.225 | 1.384615 |
| 2022-06-29 | 0.225 | 1.607143 |
| 2022-05-27 | 0.225 | 1.475410 |
| 2022-04-28 | 0.225 | 1.567944 |
| 2022-03-30 | 0.225 | 1.367781 |
| 2022-02-25 | 0.275 | 1.622419 |
| 2022-01-28 | 0.275 | 1.413882 |
| 2021-12-30 | 0.325 | 1.413043 |
| 2021-11-29 | 0.325 | 1.371308 |
| 2021-10-28 | 0.325 | 1.313131 |
| 2021-09-29 | 0.325 | 1.321138 |
| 2021-08-30 | 0.325 | 1.300000 |
| 2021-07-29 | 0.325 | 1.274510 |
| 2021-06-29 | 0.325 | 1.242830 |
| 2021-05-27 | 0.325 | 1.188300 |
| 2021-04-29 | 0.325 | 1.192661 |
| 2021-03-30 | 0.325 | 1.092437 |
| 2021-02-25 | 0.325 | 1.152482 |
| 2021-01-28 | 0.325 | 1.217228 |
| 2020-12-30 | 0.325 | 1.250000 |
| 2020-11-27 | 0.325 | 1.186131 |
| 2020-10-29 | 0.325 | 1.269531 |
| 2020-09-29 | 0.325 | 1.287129 |
| 2020-08-28 | 0.325 | 1.262136 |
| 2020-07-30 | 0.300 | 1.188119 |
| 2020-06-29 | 0.275 | 1.170213 |
| 2020-05-28 | 0.275 | 1.300236 |
| 2020-04-29 | 0.275 | 1.344743 |
| 2020-03-30 | 0.400 | 2.711864 |
| 2020-02-27 | 0.400 | 1.351351 |
| 2020-01-30 | 0.400 | 1.315789 |
| 2019-12-30 | 0.400 | 1.369863 |
| 2019-11-27 | 0.400 | 1.415929 |
| 2019-10-30 | 0.400 | 1.446655 |
| 2019-09-27 | 0.400 | 1.415929 |
| 2019-08-29 | 0.400 | 1.431127 |
| 2019-07-30 | 0.400 | 1.173021 |
| 2019-06-27 | 0.400 | 1.255887 |
| 2019-05-30 | 0.400 | 1.302932 |
| 2019-04-29 | 0.400 | 1.206636 |
| 2019-03-28 | 0.400 | 1.215805 |
| 2019-02-27 | 0.400 | 1.186944 |
| 2019-01-30 | 0.400 | 1.144492 |
| 2018-12-28 | 0.400 | 1.242236 |
| 2018-11-29 | 0.400 | 1.178203 |
| 2018-10-30 | 0.400 | 1.253919 |
| 2018-09-27 | 0.400 | 1.103448 |
| 2018-08-30 | 0.400 | 1.003764 |
| 2018-07-30 | 0.450 | 1.112485 |
| 2018-06-28 | 0.450 | 1.200000 |
| 2018-05-30 | 0.450 | 1.208054 |
| 2018-04-27 | 0.450 | 1.229508 |
| 2018-03-28 | 0.450 | 1.227831 |
| 2018-02-27 | 0.550 | 1.513067 |
| 2018-01-30 | 0.550 | 1.401274 |
| 2017-12-28 | 0.700 | 1.487779 |
| 2017-11-29 | 0.700 | 1.461378 |
| 2017-10-30 | 0.700 | 1.408451 |
| 2017-09-28 | 0.700 | 1.373896 |
| 2017-08-29 | 0.700 | 1.450777 |
| 2017-07-27 | 0.700 | 1.465969 |
| 2017-06-28 | 0.700 | 1.408451 |
| 2017-05-26 | 0.700 | 1.386139 |
| 2017-04-26 | 0.700 | 1.270417 |
| 2017-03-29 | 0.700 | 1.398601 |
| 2017-02-24 | 0.700 | 1.412714 |
| 2017-01-27 | 0.700 | 1.160862 |
| 2016-12-28 | 0.700 | 1.298701 |
| 2016-11-28 | 0.700 | 1.302326 |
| 2016-10-25 | 0.700 | 1.301115 |
| 2016-09-26 | 0.700 | 1.324503 |
| 2016-08-25 | 0.700 | 1.308411 |
| 2016-07-25 | 0.700 | 1.289134 |
| 2016-06-24 | 0.700 | 1.353965 |
| 2016-05-24 | 0.700 | 1.342282 |
| 2016-04-22 | 0.700 | 1.318267 |
| 2016-03-23 | 0.700 | 1.371205 |
| 2016-02-22 | 0.700 | 1.472135 |
| 2016-01-22 | 0.700 | 1.601831 |
| 2015-12-22 | 0.700 | 1.447777 |
| 2015-11-20 | 0.700 | 1.546961 |
| 2015-10-22 | 0.700 | 1.383399 |
| 2015-09-23 | 0.700 | 1.449275 |
| 2015-08-24 | 0.700 | 1.674641 |
| 2015-07-23 | 0.700 | 1.694915 |
| 2015-06-18 | 0.900 | 1.369863 |
| 2015-05-21 | 0.900 | 1.295896 |
| 2015-04-23 | 0.900 | 1.278409 |
| 2015-03-25 | 0.900 | 1.337296 |
| 2015-02-23 | 0.900 | 1.292175 |
| 2015-01-22 | 0.900 | 1.369863 |
| 2014-12-23 | 0.900 | 1.363636 |
| 2014-11-21 | 0.900 | 1.296830 |
| 2014-10-24 | 0.900 | 1.226158 |
| 2014-09-23 | 0.900 | 1.334322 |
| 2014-08-22 | 0.900 | 1.275691 |
| 2014-07-24 | 0.900 | 1.311953 |
| 2014-06-23 | 0.900 | 1.374046 |
| 2014-05-22 | 0.900 | 1.409554 |
| 2014-04-23 | 0.900 | 1.457490 |
| 2014-03-24 | 0.900 | 1.472995 |
| 2014-02-21 | 0.900 | 1.426307 |
| 2014-01-23 | 0.900 | 1.476620 |
| 2013-12-23 | 0.900 | 1.396431 |
| 2013-11-21 | 0.675 | 1.093117 |
| 2013-10-23 | 0.675 | 1.078275 |
| 2013-09-23 | 0.675 | 1.210762 |
| 2013-08-22 | 0.675 | 1.272385 |
| 2013-07-23 | 0.675 | 1.099349 |
| 2013-06-21 | 0.675 | 1.140203 |
| 2013-05-23 | 0.675 | 1.003717 |
| 2013-04-23 | 0.675 | 1.020408 |
| 2013-03-21 | 0.675 | 0.951374 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.03813559 |
| Address1 | 3,305 Flamingo Drive |
| All Time High | 77.0 |
| All Time Low | 5.69 |
| Ask | 6.75 |
| Ask Size | 24,600 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.0 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 5,614,230 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 5,440,521 |
| Average Volume | 5,440,521 |
| Average Volume10Days | 5,614,230 |
| Beta | 1.54 |
| Bid | 6.7 |
| Bid Size | 66,800 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | 7.076 |
| City | Vero Beach |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 6.72 |
| Current Ratio | 0.108 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 6.81 |
| Day Low | 6.69 |
| Debt To Equity | 780.665 |
| Display Name | Orchid Island Capital |
| Dividend Date | 1,787,875,200 |
| Dividend Rate | 1.36 |
| Dividend Yield | 19.97 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,784,923,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,784,923,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,784,836,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,784,836,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,784,836,800 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 76.772 |
| Enterprise Value | 11,178,295,296 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.18333 |
| Eps Forward | 1.24 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.95 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,785,456,000 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 6.8134 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.0934 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.013708281 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -3.8135588 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 8.4 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -1.6799998 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.19999999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 6.42 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.2999997 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.046728928 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 6.42 - 8.4 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,360,852,200,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 20.43 |
| Float Shares | 200,322,910 |
| Forward Eps | 1.24 |
| Forward P E | 5.4193544 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.96969 |
| Gross Profits | 141,191,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00213 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.41535 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 200,700,226 |
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage |
| Industry Disp | REIT - Mortgage |
| Industry Key | reit-mortgage |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,782,777,600 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.1 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,661,904,000 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:5 |
| Long Business Summary | Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred to as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio comprises traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS, including interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) for the United States federal income tax purposes. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to stockholders, if it annually distributes dividends equal to at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its shareholders. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida. |
| Long Name | Orchid Island Capital, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,348,705,408 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_131452904 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 121,953,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,366,768,539 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 1 |
| Open | 6.81 |
| Operating Cashflow | 143,284,992 |
| Operating Margins | 1.58903 |
| Overall Risk | 6 |
| Payout Ratio | 1.5158 |
| Phone | 772 231 1400 |
| Post Market Change | 0.009100437 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.13542318 |
| Post Market Price | 6.7291 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,200 |
| Previous Close | 6.81 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 5.678889 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.94968903 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 9.262832 |
| Profit Margins | 0.83757 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.1 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0900002 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.32159 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.81 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 6.69 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 6.69 - 6.81 |
| Regular Market Open | 6.81 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 6.81 |
| Regular Market Price | 6.72 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,079,792 |
| Return On Assets | 0.012209999 |
| Return On Equity | 0.108509995 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.959 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Sector Disp | Real Estate |
| Sector Key | real-estate |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 200,700,226 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0765 |
| Shares Short | 15,348,042 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 13,885,665 |
| Short Name | Orchid Island Capital, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0766 |
| Short Ratio | 2.84 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | ORC |
| Target High Price | 7.5 |
| Target Low Price | 7.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 7.5 |
| Target Median Price | 7.5 |
| Total Cash | 1,035,768,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 5.161 |
| Total Debt | 10,865,357,824 |
| Total Revenue | 145,604,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 1.44 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.21145375 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.95 |
| Trailing P E | 7.073684 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 7.21705 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.4970503 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.06887167 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 4,079,792 |
| Website | https://www.orchidislandcapital.com |
| Zip | 32,963 |