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Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO)

Technology | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | Wilmington, United States | NYSE
304.21 USD -17.23 (-5.360%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 302.85 -1.36 (-1.362%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:55 a.m. EDT

Onto Innovation presents a stark dichotomy between its five-year success and its recent struggles. Over the past half-decade, the stock delivered a cumulative gain of nearly 190%, but the most recent fiscal year saw a catastrophic 55% decline in value. While the forward price-to-earnings ratio suggests the market anticipates a turnaround, the current reality shows earnings contracting by nearly half and returns on equity languishing at just 5%. Analysts remain optimistic with a strong buy consensus, yet the balance sheet strength and cash flow are not enough to ignore the operational deterioration. Options traders are pricing in high volatility, betting on a bounce off the 260-280 support zone but acknowledging the risk of further downside. For the short term, the recovery above key moving averages offers a slight edge, but the long-term picture remains clouded by weak profitability metrics and a recent structural price collapse.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_66_79 ✓0.227543
MSTL_660.234490
MSTL_790.254706
MSTL0.256590
AutoTheta0.258563
AutoETS0.271412
AutoARIMA0.271413

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_66_79

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 5.09
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.038
Excess Kurtosis -0.57
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Revenue per Share 20.92
Market Cap 15,132,490,752
Trailing P/E 141.49
Forward P/E 30.59
Beta 1.55
Profit Margins 10.32%
Website https://www.ontoinnovation.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:55 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility remains elevated across all expirations, indicating speculators expect significant price swings. Open interest is heavily concentrated at the 260-280 strike range for puts, establishing a strong floor, while call open interest builds substantial walls at 390-480 strikes. This distribution suggests a range-bound outlook where traders are hedging downside risk while positioning for a potential recovery toward the upper end of the 52-week range.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 2.2468686
Address1 16 Jonspin Road
All Time High 386.46
All Time Low 20.32
Ask 303.99
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.2 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,656,320
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,277,665
Average Volume 1,277,665
Average Volume10Days 1,656,320
Beta 1.545
Bid 305.4
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 1
Book Value 42.863
City Wilmington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 304.21
Current Ratio 6.154
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 316.69
Day Low 300.1
Display Name Onto Innovation
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,013,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,013,000
Earnings Growth -0.485
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.473
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda 266,916,992
Ebitda Margins 0.25899
Enterprise To Ebitda 54.243
Enterprise To Revenue 14.048
Enterprise Value 14,478,326,784
Eps Current Year 7.19532
Eps Forward 9.94523
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.15
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 294.2346
Fifty Day Average Change 9.975403
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.03390289
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 224.68686
Fifty Two Week High 386.46
Fifty Two Week High Change -82.25
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21282928
Fifty Two Week Low 89.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 214.81
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.4027963
Fifty Two Week Range 89.4 - 386.46
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,572,269,400,000
Float Shares 49,393,372
Forward Eps 9.94523
Forward P E 30.588533
Free Cashflow 197,242,256
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,615
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.54186
Gross Profits 558,443,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0058999998
Held Percent Institutions 1.0071
Implied Shares Outstanding 49,743,567
Industry Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Industry Disp Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Industry Key semiconductor-equipment-materials
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,398,400
Long Business Summary Onto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that perform macro-defect inspection and metrology in the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, China, Southeast Asia, Asia, and Europe. The company offers lithography systems and process control analytical software; and automated and integrated metrology systems, silicon wafer all-surface inspection, macro defect inspection, automated defect classification and pattern analysis, yield analysis, opaque film metrology, 4D business, advanced packaging lithography, process control software, and yield management software products. It also provides process and yield management solutions, and device packaging and test facilities through standalone systems for optical metrology, macro-defect inspection, packaging lithography, and transparent and opaque thin film measurements. In addition, the company offers process control software portfolio that includes solutions for standalone tools, groups of tools, and factory-wide suites. Further, it engages in systems and software, spare parts, and other services, as well as offers software licensing services; and provides advanced product lines, such as FAaST, CnCV, and MBIR. The company's products are used in semiconductor and advanced packaging device manufacturers; silicon wafers; semiconductor integrated circuit fabricators; light emitting diodes; vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers; micro-electromechanical systems; CMOS image sensors; silicon and compound semiconductor power devices; analog devices; RF filters; data storage; and various industrial and scientific applications. Onto Innovation Inc. was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.
Long Name Onto Innovation Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 15,132,490,752
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_33946
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 106,414,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,934,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 15,989,572,176
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 311.79
Operating Cashflow 262,656,992
Operating Margins 0.16753
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.5
Phone 978 253 6200
Post Market Change -1.3624878
Post Market Change Percent -0.4478774
Post Market Price 302.8475
Post Market Time 1,783,987,200
Previous Close 321.44
Price Eps Current Year 42.27887
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.0972633
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 14.683114
Profit Margins 0.10325
Quick Ratio 4.48
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.2
Region US
Regular Market Change -17.23
Regular Market Change Percent -5.36026
Regular Market Day High 316.69
Regular Market Day Low 300.1
Regular Market Day Range 300.1 - 316.69
Regular Market Open 311.79
Regular Market Previous Close 321.44
Regular Market Price 304.21
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,121,352
Return On Assets 0.05371
Return On Equity 0.052529998
Revenue Growth 0.095
Revenue Per Share 20.92
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 49,743,567
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.052800003
Shares Short 2,626,188
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,954,433
Short Name Onto Innovation Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0669
Short Ratio 1.82
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol ONTO
Target High Price 450.0
Target Low Price 330.0
Target Mean Price 369.6
Target Median Price 357.5
Total Cash 654,163,968
Total Cash Per Share 13.151
Total Debt 0
Total Revenue 1,030,604,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.15
Trailing P E 141.49301
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.4954
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 210.39035
Two Hundred Day Average Change 93.81964
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.4459313
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,121,352
Website https://www.ontoinnovation.com
Zip 1,887