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Omada Health, Inc. (OMDA)

Healthcare | Health Information Services | South San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
17.63 USD -1.04 (-5.570%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 17.80 +0.17 (0.964%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 6:37 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:38 a.m. EDT

Omada Health presents a classic case of a high-growth story struggling with valuation and execution. The company boasts impressive top-line growth of 43%, yet the market has punished the stock, leaving it trading at a massive 86x trailing earnings multiple despite a forward P/E of roughly 39x. This disconnect suggests investors remain deeply skeptical of the path to profitability, evidenced by the razor-thin 1.4% profit margins and negative return on assets. The balance sheet is healthy with strong cash reserves, but the lack of a dividend and the recent insider selling by the CFO dampen confidence. Technically, the stock is hovering near its 50-day moving average, showing indecision rather than a clear trend. While the long-term business potential exists, the current price implies perfection that hasn't been delivered yet. For now, the risk-reward profile is too skewed toward waiting for a catalyst to justify a full entry.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.107188
AutoTheta0.107213
AutoETS0.114935
MSTL0.121269

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 0.05
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.084
Excess Kurtosis -1.63
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Revenue per Share 5.274
Market Cap 1,079,250,432
Trailing P/E 73.46
Forward P/E 31.70
Profit Margins 1.39%
Website https://www.omadahealth.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:38 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound or slightly lower scenario. While there is heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls (suggesting a desire for upside), the volume-to-open-interest ratio is low, indicating these are likely established positions rather than fresh aggressive bets. Conversely, put open interest is significantly higher than call open interest across most expirations, creating a 'put wall' that suggests hedging or a bearish bias. Notably, there is new call volume at deep strikes ($10), which could indicate a speculative long-term bet on a recovery, but the overall market structure favors downside protection.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.29984117
Address1 611 Gateway Blvd
Address2 Suite 120
All Time High 28.4
All Time Low 10.28
Ask 22.6
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,212,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,404,796
Average Volume 1,404,796
Average Volume10Days 1,212,650
Bid 13.56
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 4.17
City South San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 17.63
Current Ratio 3.907
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 18.95
Day Low 17.48
Display Name Omada Health
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 5,431,000
Ebitda Margins 0.01753
Enterprise To Ebitda 157.897
Enterprise To Revenue 2.768
Enterprise Value 857,538,496
Eps Current Year 0.436
Eps Forward 0.55614
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.24
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.745
Fifty Day Average Change -4.1150017
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.18923898
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -29.984116
Fifty Two Week High 26.915
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.285002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.34497496
Fifty Two Week Low 10.28
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.3499994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7149805
Fifty Two Week Range 10.28 - 26.915
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,749,216,600,000
Float Shares 51,030,244
Forward Eps 0.55614
Forward P E 31.70065
Free Cashflow 11,915,250
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 946
Fullday Change -0.87000084
Fullday Change Percent -4.659887
Fullday Price 17.63
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.68185997
Gross Profits 211,212,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.021440001
Held Percent Institutions 0.88074994
Implied Shares Outstanding 61,216,703
Industry Health Information Services
Industry Disp Health Information Services
Industry Key health-information-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-06-06
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Omada Health, Inc., together with its subsidiary, Physera, Inc., provides a range of virtual care programs in the United States. The company offers cardiometabolic programs for prediabetes, diabetes, and hypertension; a physical therapy program to address musculoskeletal conditions; other support programs for members taking glucagon-like peptide-1 agonists in its cardiometabolic program; and weight management programs, as well as various behavioral health support programs. It also delivers virtual care. The company offers its programs for employers, health plans and systems, and pharmacy benefits managers through its direct sales force and channel partners. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Long Name Omada Health, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,079,250,432
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_145092811
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 4,305,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,266,267,501
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 18.95
Operating Cashflow 23,685,000
Operating Margins 0.040409997
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 888 987 8337
Post Market Change 0.17000008
Post Market Change Percent 0.96426594
Post Market Price 17.8
Post Market Time 1,792,190,279
Previous Close 18.67
Price Eps Current Year 40.43578
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.2278175
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.4841616
Profit Margins 0.0139
Quick Ratio 3.7
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.75
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.04
Regular Market Change Percent -5.57044
Regular Market Day High 18.95
Regular Market Day Low 17.48
Regular Market Day Range 17.48 - 18.95
Regular Market Open 18.95
Regular Market Previous Close 18.67
Regular Market Price 17.63
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,800
Regular Market Volume 804,186
Return On Assets -0.00092
Return On Equity 0.01844
Revenue Growth 0.431
Revenue Per Share 5.274
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 61,216,703
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.121700004
Shares Short 7,452,573
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,742,536
Short Name Omada Health, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1241
Short Ratio 4.95
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol OMDA
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 22.0
Target Mean Price 28.41667
Target Median Price 28.0
Total Cash 221,712,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.622
Total Debt 0
Total Revenue 309,759,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.24
Trailing P E 73.45833
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.520325
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.109674454
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0062598414
Type Disp Equity
Volume 804,186
Website https://www.omadahealth.com
Zip 94,080