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Omada Health, Inc. (OMDA)

Healthcare | Health Information Services | South San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
14.44 USD +0.40 (2.849%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 3:21 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:49 a.m. EDT

Omada is a volatile growth stock between a technical buy and a growth pause. Fundamentally, the company is a high-quality Healthcare IT play with massive revenue growth (58%) and a solid balance sheet, but the low P/E and negative earnings suggest a deep value trap waiting to break out unless profitability turns. The stock is down ~50% year-over-year from the 52-week high, which clears significant cushion, but the short-term model predicts a slight further decline (-4.3%) due to momentum decay. The aggressive buying of unlocked puts in May-July 2026 is a temporary bet on volatility, not a long-term sell signal. If you are buying now, it is a high-risk bet on the next earnings catalyst to ignite the upside; it is not a stable dividend or cheap value play yet.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.234203
AutoTheta0.234341
MSTL0.243679
AutoETS0.247178

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.489
Excess Kurtosis -0.86
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Revenue per Share 7.102
Market Cap 850,883,328
Forward P/E 40.27
Profit Margins -4.91%
Website https://www.omadahealth.com

As of April 19, 2026, 1:49 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows a distinct separation between near-term and long-term sentiment. In the near term (April-July 2026), Call Open Interest (OI) is negligible at 0-5 contracts across all strikes, with no defined weakness at lower strikes. Conversely, Put OI is relatively higher, particularly at $20-$25 strikes expiring Q2-Q3 2026, indicating speculators are positioning for downside risk or hedging against volatility. However, this recent pullback from ~$28 (52-week high) to ~$14 is largely a mean reversion, not a structural breakdown. The IV spike on the deep puts (04/17) vs low IV on calls suggests fear of a temporary drop rather than a crash, with the market pricing in an ATM direction of roughly 2-3% for near-term expirations.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.38956523
Address1 611 Gateway Blvd
Address2 Suite 120
All Time High 28.4
All Time Low 10.28
Ask 18.07
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 714,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,330,160
Average Volume 1,330,160
Average Volume10Days 714,130
Bid 10.34
Bid Size 2
Book Value 3.931
City South San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.44
Current Ratio 3.604
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 14.55
Day Low 13.93
Display Name Omada Health
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,185,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,185,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,184,000
Ebitda -6,481,000
Ebitda Margins -0.02491
Enterprise To Ebitda -93.349
Enterprise To Revenue 2.325
Enterprise Value 604,993,152
Eps Current Year 0.19039
Eps Forward 0.3586
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.35
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.7728
Fifty Day Average Change 1.6671991
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.1305273
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -38.956524
Fifty Two Week High 28.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.96
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4915493
Fifty Two Week Low 10.28
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.16
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.40466926
Fifty Two Week Range 10.28 - 28.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,749,216,600,000
Float Shares 43,443,958
Forward Eps 0.3586
Forward P E 40.267708
Free Cashflow 15,336,750
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 916
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.65693
Gross Profits 170,939,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.073699996
Held Percent Institutions 0.90226
Implied Shares Outstanding 58,925,439
Industry Health Information Services
Industry Disp Health Information Services
Industry Key health-information-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-06-06
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Omada Health, Inc., together with its subsidiary, Physera, Inc., provides a range of virtual care programs in the United States. The company offers cardiometabolic programs for prediabetes, diabetes, and hypertension; a physical therapy program to address musculoskeletal conditions; other support programs for members taking glucagon-like peptide-1 agonists in its cardiometabolic program; and weight management programs, as well as various behavioral health support programs. It also delivers virtual care. The company offers its programs for employers, health plans and systems, and pharmacy benefits managers through its direct sales force and channel partners. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Long Name Omada Health, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 850,883,328
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_145092811
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -12,778,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 827,902,417
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 14.06
Operating Cashflow 18,252,000
Operating Margins 0.04326
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 888 987 8337
Previous Close 14.04
Price Eps Current Year 75.844315
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.6733654
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.269987
Profit Margins -0.04911
Quick Ratio 3.401
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.75
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.39999962
Regular Market Change Percent 2.8490002
Regular Market Day High 14.55
Regular Market Day Low 13.93
Regular Market Day Range 13.93 - 14.55
Regular Market Open 14.06
Regular Market Previous Close 14.04
Regular Market Price 14.44
Regular Market Time 1,776,799,284
Regular Market Volume 516,522
Return On Assets -0.0328
Return On Equity -0.08683
Revenue Growth 0.581
Revenue Per Share 7.102
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 58,925,439
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.060100004
Shares Short 3,541,079
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,600,814
Short Name Omada Health, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0665
Short Ratio 1.98
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol OMDA
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 14.0
Target Mean Price 21.41667
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 222,320,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.773
Total Debt 0
Total Revenue 260,210,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.35
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.902325
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.462325
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.19340086
Type Disp Equity
Volume 516,522
Website https://www.omadahealth.com
Zip 94,080