Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (OLPX)Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | New York, United States | NasdaqGM
2.07 USD
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:11 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is effectively extinguished by the corporate reality of the transaction. Olaplex is being acquired by Henkel at $2.06 per share in a cash deal, meaning the public trading entity is ceasing to exist shortly after this report date. The stock has already suffered a catastrophic structural decline, dropping nearly 90% over the last three years with zero positive annual returns during that window. Fundamentally, the business is bleeding cash with negative operating margins and a shrinking return on equity, making it a value trap rather than a bargain. While the recent price action shows a slight uptick, the overwhelming options activity is purely defensive, with traders buying puts to protect against the inevitable delisting and merger completion. There is no logical basis for a long-term hold or a short-term momentum play given the imminent termination of the company's independent existence. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.016189 |
| MSTL_85 | 0.019384 |
| AutoTheta | 0.050248 |
| MSTL_120 | 0.056971 |
| MSTL_85_120 | 0.069529 |
| AutoETS | 0.071948 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.073025 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 37% |
| H-stat | 1.29 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.167 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.75 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 40.147 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.637 |
| Market Cap | 1,391,282,176 |
| Forward P/E | 21.41 |
| Beta | 1.84 |
| Profit Margins | -3.53% |
| Website | https://olaplex.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest dominates across all expirations, with massive volume concentrated in out-of-the-money strikes (2.0 and 3.0) for the September and December contracts. This indicates a strong hedging demand or speculative bet against further declines, while call activity remains negligible and focused on deep in-the-money strikes.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.37086093 |
| Address1 | 432 Park Avenue South |
| Address2 | Third Floor |
| All Time High | 30.41 |
| All Time Low | 0.992 |
| Ask | 2.09 |
| Ask Size | 20 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 12,894,820 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 5,643,586 |
| Average Volume | 5,643,586 |
| Average Volume10Days | 12,894,820 |
| Beta | 1.844 |
| Bid | 2.07 |
| Bid Size | 20 |
| Board Risk | 10 |
| Book Value | 1.307 |
| City | New York |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 2.07 |
| Current Ratio | 6.272 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,781,481,600 |
| Day High | 2.07 |
| Day Low | 2.07 |
| Debt To Equity | 40.147 |
| Display Name | Olaplex |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,772,719,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,772,719,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,502,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,019,400 |
| Ebitda | 53,749,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.12636 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 26.372 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 3.332 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,417,442,304 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.088 |
| Eps Forward | 0.09667 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.02 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 2.0426 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.027400017 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.013414285 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 37.086094 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 2.085 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.015000105 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.0071942946 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 0.992 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.078 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.0866935 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 0.992 - 2.085 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,633,008,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 168,904,360 |
| Forward Eps | 0.09667 |
| Forward P E | 21.413054 |
| Free Cashflow | 65,363,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 278 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.72401 |
| Gross Profits | 307,959,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0066500003 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.98234004 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 672,116,988 |
| Industry | Specialty Retail |
| Industry Disp | Specialty Retail |
| Industry Key | specialty-retail |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-09-30 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Olaplex Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells haircare products in the United States and internationally. The company offers hair care shampoos and conditioners for use in treatment, maintenance, and protection of hair, as well as oil, moisture mask, and nourishing hair serum. It also provides in-salon services for repairing and shaping curls. The company distributes its products through professional distributors in salons, directly to retailers for sale in their physical stores, e-commerce sites, and its website, as well as third party e-commerce platforms. Olaplex Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is based in New York, New York. As of July 7, 2026, Olaplex Holdings, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Henkel US Operations Corporation. |
| Long Name | Olaplex Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,391,282,176 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1679658907 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -15,004,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,391,282,165 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 6 |
| Open | 2.07 |
| Operating Cashflow | 69,076,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.05143 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 310 691 0776 |
| Previous Close | 2.07 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 23.522726 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 1.5837796 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 3.2709036 |
| Profit Margins | -0.035269998 |
| Quick Ratio | 5.111 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Regular Market Day High | 2.07 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 2.07 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 2.07 - 2.07 |
| Regular Market Open | 2.07 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 2.07 |
| Regular Market Price | 2.07 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,454,400 |
| Regular Market Volume | 13,120,202 |
| Return On Assets | 0.00103 |
| Return On Equity | -0.01709 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.025 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.637 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 672,116,988 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0139 |
| Shares Short | 9,368,939 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,778,803,200 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 7,014,731 |
| Short Name | Olaplex Holdings, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0645 |
| Short Ratio | 2.08 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NY |
| Symbol | OLPX |
| Target High Price | 2.06 |
| Target Low Price | 2.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 2.03 |
| Target Median Price | 2.03 |
| Total Cash | 326,168,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.485 |
| Total Debt | 352,484,000 |
| Total Revenue | 425,351,008 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.02 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 1.583925 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.48607492 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.30688 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 13,120,202 |
| Website | https://olaplex.com |
| Zip | 10,016 |