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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI)

Consumer Defensive | Discount Stores | Harrisburg, United States | NasdaqGM
88.33 USD +1.89 (2.186%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 88.33

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:41 a.m. EDT

Ollie's Bargain Outlet presents a compelling growth story for investors willing to forgo income. The company has demonstrated remarkable resilience over the past nine years, delivering a cumulative gain of nearly 360 percent despite a choppy path. Recent fundamentals are accelerating, with earnings growth surging to 43 percent and revenue expanding at a healthy 9 percent pace. While the stock trades below its 200-day average, it has reclaimed ground above the 50-day line, signaling early-stage momentum recovery. Analysts see substantial room for expansion, with a mean target price suggesting nearly 18 percent upside. However, the absence of a dividend means this is purely a capital appreciation play, and the high short interest creates volatility risk. For a patient buyer seeking exposure to the value-retail niche without the burden of debt, the valuation appears fair given the growth trajectory.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.107963
AutoETS0.107966
MSTL0.108631
AutoTheta0.114723

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 1.97
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.122
Excess Kurtosis -0.30
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 38.281
Revenue per Share 45.867
Market Cap 5,247,014,400
Trailing P/E 19.76
Forward P/E 17.84
Beta 0.41
Profit Margins 9.80%
Website https://www.ollies.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a wide range of outcomes, with heavy protective put orders clustered at deep in-the-money strikes around 50 to 55, suggesting a perceived floor well below current prices. Conversely, call interest concentrates at 120 and 145, implying upside targets significantly higher than the current level. A notable options wall exists at the 85 strike for January expiration, aligning with current pricing and acting as a key support zone. Implied volatility spikes sharply at far out-of-the-money strikes, indicating heightened speculation on both a crash and a rally scenario.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.31429476
Address1 6,295 Allentown Boulevard
Address2 Suite 1
All Time High 141.74
All Time Low 14.88
Ask 83.71
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,632,940
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,660,377
Average Volume 1,660,377
Average Volume10Days 1,632,940
Beta 0.414
Bid 72.11
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 31.833
City Harrisburg
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 88.33
Current Ratio 2.228
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 93.88
Day Low 87.83
Debt To Equity 38.281
Display Name Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,748,953,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,748,953,800
Earnings Growth 0.434
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.394
Earnings Timestamp 1,788,352,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,352,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,352,200
Ebitda 373,038,016
Ebitda Margins 0.13356
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.508
Enterprise To Revenue 2.071
Enterprise Value 5,785,158,144
Eps Current Year 4.61071
Eps Forward 4.9518
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.47
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 78.795
Fifty Day Average Change 9.535004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.121010266
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -31.429476
Fifty Two Week High 130.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -42.069992
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.32262266
Fifty Two Week Low 60.29
Fifty Two Week Low Change 28.04
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.46508542
Fifty Two Week Range 60.29 - 130.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,437,053,400,000
Float Shares 59,142,814
Forward Eps 4.9518
Forward P E 17.83796
Free Cashflow 119,643,128
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 6,500
Fullday Change 1.8899994
Fullday Change Percent 2.186487
Fullday Price 88.33
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.40613997
Gross Profits 1,134,403,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00342
Held Percent Institutions 1.22692
Implied Shares Outstanding 59,402,403
Industry Discount Stores
Industry Disp Discount Stores
Industry Key discount-stores
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Long Business Summary Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers health and beauty aids, food, candy, beverages, pet food and treats, laundry related products, and cleaning supplies; housewares and kitchen items, home decor products, furniture, household essential items, and home maintenance and utility items; patio furniture, air conditioners, fans, space heaters, toys, lawn and garden related products, outdoor items, holiday decor, gifts, and decorations products; books, stationery items, small electronic devices and accessories, clothing, sporting goods, pet products, automotive products, luggage and other general merchandise. It sells its products under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, American Way brands. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,247,014,400
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_301580992
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,542,400
Net Income To Common 273,580,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,909,311,595
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 89.8
Operating Cashflow 340,750,016
Operating Margins 0.10815
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 717 657 2300
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 88.33
Post Market Time 1,791,921,643
Previous Close 86.44
Price Eps Current Year 19.15757
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.7747934
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.8785577
Profit Margins 0.097950004
Quick Ratio 0.475
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.53333
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.89
Regular Market Change Percent 2.18649
Regular Market Day High 93.88
Regular Market Day Low 87.83
Regular Market Day Range 87.83 - 93.88
Regular Market Open 89.8
Regular Market Previous Close 86.44
Regular Market Price 88.33
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,601
Regular Market Volume 1,855,496
Return On Assets 0.067379996
Return On Equity 0.14862001
Revenue Growth 0.091
Revenue Per Share 45.867
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 59,402,403
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1547
Shares Short 9,187,234
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 7,761,287
Short Name Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings
Short Percent Of Float 0.1776
Short Ratio 4.39
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol OLLI
Target High Price 130.0
Target Low Price 76.0
Target Mean Price 101.6
Target Median Price 100.0
Total Cash 187,502,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.156
Total Debt 725,646,016
Total Revenue 2,793,107,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 4.47
Trailing P E 19.760628
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 88.7156
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.38559723
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.0043464424
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,855,496
Website https://www.ollies.com
Zip 17,112